IN-THE-MONEY OPTIONS EVALUATION

USING THE PITBULL INVESTOR OPTIONS SELECTION METHOD
OPTIONS PREMIUMS AND CAPITAL INVESTMENTS EVALUATION MODEL
Contracts: 1 Rate: 9.30% SYMB: AMAT STOCKNAME: APPLIED MATERIALS Price: $100.44 MAX Days to Expiry: 270
Type: PUT Open: 12/1/99 TOTAL COST=Number of Contracts X Asked Price + Interest Cost + Commissions Comm: $30.00 MIN Days to Expiry: 60
VALUE RANK Option Symbol Strike Price Contract Expiry EXIT DAY BID PRICE ASKED PRICE intrinsic VALUE Time VALUE Interest Cost Wasting Cost Contract Cost TOTAL COST BREAK EVEN Daily Capital Daily Cost Daily Total System Select
 
1 +ANQPX $120.00 22-Apr-00 03/25/00 $25.38 $25.63 $19.56 $6.06 $93.11 $729.36 $2,562.50 $2,685.61 $93.14 $17.07 $6.36 $69.71 Best
 
2 +ANQPC $115.00 22-Apr-00 03/25/00 $22.00 $22.25 $14.56 $7.69 $80.85 $879.60 $2,225.00 $2,335.85 $91.64 $12.71 $7.67 $71.26 OK
3 +ANQPB $110.00 22-Apr-00 03/25/00 $18.63 $18.88 $9.56 $9.31 $68.58 $1,029.83 $1,887.50 $1,986.08 $90.14 $8.34 $8.99 $72.81 OK
4 +ANQPA $105.00 22-Apr-00 03/25/00 $15.75 $15.88 $4.56 $11.31 $57.68 $1,218.93 $1,587.50 $1,675.18 $88.25 $3.98 $10.64 $73.63 OK
5 +ANQSA $105.00 22-Jul-00 06/24/00 $18.63 $18.88 $4.56 $14.31 $112.35 $1,573.60 $1,887.50 $2,029.85 $84.70 $2.22 $7.65 $74.83 Poor
6 +ANQSX $120.00 22-Jul-00 06/24/00 $28.25 $28.38 $19.56 $8.81 $168.89 $1,080.14 $2,837.50 $3,036.39 $89.64 $9.51 $5.25 $74.87 Poor
7 +ANQSB $110.00 22-Jul-00 06/24/00 $21.75 $21.88 $9.56 $12.31 $130.20 $1,391.45 $2,187.50 $2,347.70 $86.52 $4.65 $6.77 $75.10 Poor
                                   
                                   
                                   
                                   
                                   
              THIS IS A SAMPLE FOR ILLUSTRATIVE PURPOSES-NOT A RECOMMENDATION          
                                   
                                   
                                   
                                   
                                   
                                   
VALUE RANK Option Symbol Strike Price Contract Expiry EXIT DAY BID PRICE ASKED PRICE intrinsic VALUE Time VALUE Interest Cost Wasting Cost Contract Cost TOTAL COST BREAK EVEN Daily Capital Daily Cost Daily Total System Select
Minimums 6.06 57.68 729.36 1587.50 1675.18 84.70 2.22 5.25 69.71  
Medians 9.31 93.11 1080.14 2187.50 2335.85 89.64 8.34 7.65 73.63  
Maximums 14.31 168.89 1573.60 2837.50 3036.39 93.14 17.07 10.64 75.10  
 
Notes on Calculations:
Intrinsic Value is the difference between the Strike Price and the current Price of the stock. This value can be lost if the stock price moves against the option.
For out-of-the-money options, Intrinsic Value is negative and is the amount per share by which the option is out-of-the-money (and thus cannot profit by a small move in Price).
Time Value is the difference between the Asked Price and the Intrinsic Value. Time Value is also sometimes termed Wasting Value.
Interest Cost is the Contract Price multiplied by the daily Rate between the Open and Close dates.
Wasting Cost is the Time Value multiplied by the contract size, plus Interest Cost and Commission Cost.
Contract Price is the Asked Price multiplied by the contract size.
Total Cost is the Contract Price plus Interest Cost and Commission Cost.
Even Price is the contract size times the sum of the stock Price and Time Value, plus the Commission Cost, all divided by the contract size.
(For out-of-the-money options, the (negative) Intrinsic Value is also subtracted from (added to) the stock Price and Time Value.)
This is the stock Price at which this trade will theoretically break even. The actual breakeven point will depend on the option bid price, which also includes (wasting) time value.
Capital Daily is the Intrinsic Value divided by the number of days the option will be held (Close Date minus Open Date), multiplied by the contact size.
(For out-of-the-money options, the inverse (positive) value of the negative Intrinsic Value is used.)
This is a time-sensitive measure of the capital (or profit, for out-of-the-money options) that is at risk to volatility of the stock price.
Cost Daily is the Wasting Cost divided by the number of days the option will be held (Close Date minus Open Date).
This is a time-sensitive measure of the option time value and trading overhead.
For Call options, Total Daily is the sum of Even Price plus Capital Daily and Cost Daily.
For Put options, Total Daily is the sum of Even Price minus Capital Daily and Cost Daily.
For Call options, Notes identify as "Best" the minimum Total Daily, "OK" the Total Daily values less than the median, and "Poor" the Total Daily values greater than the median.
For Put options, Notes identify as "Best" the maximum Total Daily, "OK" the Total Daily values greater than the median, and "Poor" the Total Daily values less than the median.
Select the "Best" or a later expiring and lower cost "OK" option as representing a reasonable balance between capital risk, wasting value, and profitable window time.


Last Updated on 12/1/99
By ROBERT MUNRO/HENRY FORD
Email: wford@home.com