1) "PSYCLE SENSE sm": new:
3) Most recent Hypothetical
"PSYCLE sm" transactions, to be mimicked, and referred back to:
4) Already given out in previous NL's,
assumed Hypothetical "Long-side" positions:
7) other, still Extended/potentially
Toppy, "Puttables", near recent Highs Only, for potential Price Drops, using,
Only, L.T., in-the-money Puts Only, Always Diversified, w/stops if patterns abort
to the upside, for potential drops towards their 200 DMA's, at least:
a) Important Industry Group
(Rotation) notes:
1) a bunch of Tech. stocks had minor upside breakouts early Wed., but failed to follow-through completely, pulling back thereafter, dig ?, so still not out of the woods, no 'all-clear' yet, and, also confirms my suspicions among 'already rallied' stocks (vs. still-buyable depressed basing ones)....the former, still evidence resistance around recent levels....it seems maybe 33-50 % are breaking out, or trying to, and the balance are as yet unable to, or possibly rolling over....of course, the former can be 1/2-or-all-position nice GAINS one can take here, and the rest are still so-far GAINS as well, dig ? either way, you made a bundle, longside, yes ? glad to be of help to you.... 2) as cash Gold up + $ 4. Thu., trying to find chart, but we gave ya some stocks which certainly have worked well at times, but SLGLF and NEM broke, but ABX and PDG, rose....got me....
b) more, misleading, sensationalized, Late, and/or
improper/incorrect comments from the Financial Media, Reporters, etc.:
1) Wed. 9:30, CNBC interviewed big dude from Yahoo, who, amazingly, did not directly answer one single simple question asked him....great system, huh ....proves once again the superior value of employing good technical/chart/ sentiment/pattern recognition, over ANY 'fundamentals', ay ? ....2) recent L.A.T. headline, "Stocks extend rally as Optimism builds in Tech. sector", and you know what that likely means ahead for already-rallied stocks, yes ? sure, 'some' may breakout as above, but many will not, further....using words like, 'powered by INTC and MSFT", and, "folks are finally moving money from M.M. funds , into Tech., mutual funds", and we all know their T.R., yes ? need I say more ?, oh, and last nite at Yoga class, an age-60-nice-gal-but-who-knows-nothing-about-trading-etc., who has never brought up investing to me previously, in years, sidled up to me, asking, "so, Jim, I now hear the conomy and stocks may have bottomed....so that means everything will start rising, right ?" then, recent days' grabbers on CNBC are proclaiming, "bullish buzz on wall street....could it finally be time to buy ?" amazing, huh....note to reader: are you seeing the normal, usual, easily discerned pattern again ?
c) more incorrect/misleading/sensationalized, and/or
improper comments, from Fundamentalists/Companies, newspapers/magazines, etc.,
vs. illogical/Contrary/Unlinkable, past/present/future Economic items, and/or
stock price moves:
1) and speaking of KFY, note how, only after rise from 7 (where everyone else said they could go under, yes ?) to 11, did 'news' come out, that they are getting US govt. contract to help hire all the probably-mediocre-and-likely-to-cause, and-not-solve, the airport security 'problem' at our many airports, forward....more "PSYCLE sm" pattern proof, ay ? ....2) and speaking of TE, a util. we never bt., broke down Thu., even as they reported eps which Exceeded wall st. est., proving my "PSYCLE's" no-linkage once again, yes ?
d) more, likely late, incorrect, and/or misleading,
comments, from Brokerage firms, NL writers, Analysts, economists, Money Managers,
etc.:
1) as usual in this "PSYCLE sm" stage, SoundView just came out with a late-as-usual useless tome/grabber-try NL service, entitled, "don't miss out on the coming Tech. stock rally" - amazing, huh....they, of course, hated all the Techs I was among the very first to give out herein around 9/21, way lower, yes ? most are already up +25 to 100 % since, yes ? they join the growing late-high-buyers, we outperform so often....learn the patterns....
2) and an upset and probable warning for the brand-new 'channelling stocks.com' commercial on CNBC, as probably not, as they say, "buy low, sell high....trade the same stock over and over forever"....yeah, right....an outgrowth of a proven-not-as-good-as-overpitched Wade (dgms) Cook, concept, I covered years ago herein, they usually end up getting bored, or selling before breakouts (up), or not cutting big losses on breakdowns long, while accepting generally, only smaller % moves even when correct, poutting more pressure on one having to run many gains in a row to make any serious appreciable money....but, I still wish everyone well....I applaud any honest meaningful attempt to help tons of people, if so....
e) more general, political, misreported items proving
why one should probably ignore 95 % of everything else out there:
1) yet more proof mof my "PSYCLE sm" teets, as the new bad movie, "Orange County", has - get this - not one single scene filmed IN Orange County, ca., amazing....this adds to everything wrong with most of what Hollywood puts out, ay ? ....2) and, similarly, California evidently is preventing (in their continued ignorance, dgms) millions of residents from being able to benefit from newly-enacted USA/Federal legislation which would allow more retirement contribution amount increases, etc. - this is beyond terrible....and people still believe in certain parts of our political system....
So, as you have seen, for years now, how well one does,
often, just "doing" the best 'individual' stocks, and rotating Ind. Groups,
chart-technically, and sentiment-wise, mostly long-side, while ignoring, or going
contrary to, 95 % of all Media messages, and "indexes/averages" comments, from
the peanut gallery ? By just getting my output, alone, you do much better,
and save time, by not having to even try to "seek, and process" tons of other,
useless fundamental info., anyway....and we also help remove potential emotional
problems for you, before they begin....
Always remember to view
"1-year-at-least past" charts of everything you can view, herein, along with
their 200 day moving averages (DMA's), to "see/learn" the "PSYCLE patterns", and
see where/when stocks in section (3) were Hypothetically bought near lows, and
put near highs....all % percentage 'Gains' are just logical ESTIMATES for L.T.,
ITM options, where exist, and/or on Margin, where no options exist....
"Q" = 'quick', i.e., after
less than a month or so holding, "VQ" = 'very quick', i.e., just a couple of
weeks time, and "VVQ" = 'very very quick', i.e., often after just a few days
since 'bought' herein....and, L.T., means 'long-term', i.e., at least a few
months' time holding period:
still more quick, large % Gains, 7+ more Longs (plus several 'balances'), and, 2 more Puts:
all stk.on.mgn. PLUG (7++ to 13-) for VQ 133% G....bal. stk.on.mgn. FCEL (13 to 22) for VVQ 111% Gain....1/2 pos. stk.on.mgn. CPST (4- to 6+) for Q 80% G....1/2 pos. stk.on.mgn. STLD (10.0 to 13.5) for L.T. 66% G....all puts MMC (111 to 101) for VVQ % G....1/2 pos. stk.on.mgn. ACPW (5. to 7++) for 55% G....bal. STXN, SBGI, GSPN, SWC, WAG, MTZ, all for large % Gains....1/2 pos. calls ABX (14+ to 17+) for VQ % G.... 1/2 pos. calls AFL (24. to to 26+) for Q small % G....1/2 pos. calls SRE (22+ to 25+) for VQ % G....1/2 pos. puts PGR (150 to 140+) for VQ 25% G....
and/but, longs, SLGLF ?, NNDS ny, bal. VRSN no, AWE, and, puts, INTL, ROST, SYMC, MSFT ?, UDR no, LIZ ?, TECD ?, GNSS, for very quick, very small losses, normally of small overall consequence to a properly diversified L.T. portfolio....
NOTE: while most of the $ 5. to $ 10. stocks are listed here
as "stocks on margin" ("stk.on.mgn."), if one Had bought L.T., in-the-money calls
options, their % Gains/Losses would have been multiplied, higher, right ? We
prefer not to buy Calls on most stocks under $ 10., unless their patterns are
phenomenal, as their options premiums tend to be too high, vs. buying those
stocks on Margin, with close stops, where suitable, instead, with less arithmetic
risk, and yet, similar reward potential--- stocks themselves have no "premium",
right ? and, of course, if one just bought said longs for cash, and not on
margin, the % Gains/Losses here would be relatively smaller, though still
excellent, for such short holding periods, yes ? also, obviously, these
"hypothetical transactions" are always listed, from biggest % Gains, to smallest,
then all losses....
(either for Cash, especially in Pensions,
and/or on Margin where suitable, and/or Only L.T., in-the-money Options, where
suitable/available, always Diversifying, always with close Stops below/above
recent lows/highs):
1/2 pos. CIMA @ 30, 1/2 pos. F @ 15, 1/3 pos. MOT @ 14 1/8, 1/2 pos. VIGN @ 4-,
"Repeats": (some of these are/were '1/2 size positions):
1/2 pos. BDAL @ 15, 1/2 pos. FLR @ 35 eh, 1/3 pos. AOL @ 31, SHPGY @ 35, 1/2 pos. SGP @ 34, 1/3 pos. PACW @ 0.40+, 1/3 pos. NDE @ 22+, BTY @ 35, 1/3 pos. GX @ 0.63, 1/3 pos. ITCD @ 0.90, CCR @ 40, BOY @ 7+, 1/3 pos. NXY @ 19--, ACLA @ 4.6, RIGL 4 5/8, 1/3 pos. RT @ 11-, 1/2 pos. TEO @ 5 3/4 eh, NNDS @ 18+, PBCT @ 21-, 1/2 pos. FON @ 19-, VRA @ 1.2, 1/3 pos. VRSN @ 33-, 1/3 pos. GSK @ 48+, 1/3 pos. UHS @ 38+ eh...."buy (only) low", right ?
** Important: took, DIGL, OCPI, SRR, KTC, BMY, TE, and a few from the 'just missed' list below, Off the pot. Long Buys list, before they might have been Hypothetically "bt."....we do Not "Guess" at bottoms, nor tops....and, most 'missed' ideas just below, were also 'removed', to keep immediate potential Buy lists smaller for you....
I try
to give them alphabetically by symbol:
(new ones):
BBBY @ 35,
"Repeats": 1/2 pos. ATVI. @ 27++, 1/2 pos. NSM @ 34, RCI. @ 32, SUI. @ 38, 1/2 pos. UPC @ 45+, 1/2 pos. PEP @ 49, 1/3 pos. MTH @ 52, 1/2 pos. KSS @ 71-, 1/2 pos. BCS @ 135, 1/2 pos. UST @ 35, 1/2 pos. APD @ 47+, KSS @ 71+, CBRL @ 30+, 1/2 pos. FDO @ 30+, 1/2 pos. CSTR @ 26-, 1/2 pos. MSFT no ?, 1/2 pos. UB @ 39 eh, 1/2 pos. TECD @ 48, 1/3 pos. VFC @ 40, 1/2 pos. JCI. @ 81+, CBRL @ 30+, ACV @ 45+, 1/2 pos. COST no ?, AMG @ 72+, SFG @ 48, 1/2 pos. VCI. @ 36, SKYF @ 20+, 1/2 pos. FTN @ 36++, HD @ 51+, 1/2 pos. ITT @ 51, EC @ 28, CFBX @ 26, PSA @ 35+, 1/2 pos. GCI. @ 69++, ASBC @ 35++, UDR @ 14+, IWV @ 65-, IVV @ 117-, QQQ @ 42+, 1/2 pos. ICBC @ 24+, UDR @ 14+, AMG @ 72++ ?,
and/but, took, 'anything already way down', and, PCL, DRIV, and the 'just missed' ones just below here, Off the pot. Puts list, before "put", as they aborted their patterns immediately (also see recent past issues taken off, here)....remember, any new highs = off the Puts list (although expect some "fobo's"....so VIEW their charts, to see what 'aborted Puts patterns' look like, for YOUR lifetime benefit....also, obviously, where they have fallen nicely, many of these were 'just missed' herein as well, right ?
*** and/but, among stocks recently specifically given you herein, in
sections (6) and (7) below, we "just Missed", SRE, MDCC, PCYC, WGRD, CNC, PNV, HNCS, UCFC, RNWK, as Longs/Buys near very recent lows, and, UST, as Puts/Shorts, near recent highs....Every single stock ever listed here over past NL's was specifically given you herein, in sec. (6) or (7), previously, and you very likely could still have caught them, if you took the time to view their charts....More proof of the power of "PSYCLE sm" patterns....again, just because I honestly admit to "missing" some, which DO work anyway, that I give you herein, does not mean YOU have to miss those same stocks....if you do just a little work, YOU may certainly catch ones, which I may happen to just miss, herein....making you money, in both directions, most of the time, while hopefully stopping losses smallishly....
(issues moving since last time, worthy of following-up, and/or
mentioning, because of recent price moves, still remaining long in most all of
them, unless otherwise noted):
**** note: (sos) means "Sell On Strength" (i.e., on
a bounce up towards resistance, and/or where it broke down from)....("S") means
Sell it here (if still right at/near the listed price level).
acting a.o.k., or strong(er) :
be
sure to VIEW charts of all the big winners lately from last few NL's, to learn
the pattern:
many more big winners for you....you're welcome:
PLUG 13.10 up 3.17 (S), CTHR 2.24 up 0.39, FCEL 22+ up 4 (S), VIGN 4.81 up 0.98, ACPW 7.88 up 1.68, STLD 13.54 up 1.97 (sos), VRA 1.40 up 0.20, CTHR 1.95 up 0.21 (sos), SIEB 4.39 (B), 5.02, MFDE 3.10 up 0.20, GSPN 16.72, 19.00 (sos), ACTU 6.64 up 0.63, TG 18.25, 19.73, SHPGY 37.55 up 2.85, AFL 26.57 up 1.07, NDE 23.41 up 1.31, CPST 6.23 up 0.23, SGP 35.05 up 1.34, GSB 28.62 up 1.18, FLR 37.10 up 1.10, F. 15.75 up 0.85, PBCT 21.70, FAF 19.28, MC 13.70, ITCD 0.98, BDAL 16.50, 15.88, 17.24, FSII. 11, ABX 17.38 (sos), RRC 5.09, MTZ 8.27 (S), CEI. 18.69, ZIXI. 6.52, BOY 8.49, SRP 15.95, up/higher since last NL here....
and/but, then, seeing Many pullbacks, and/or more Bounces after pullbacks:
CVAS 6.60, 7.21, MICC 12.20, 13.23, 12.70, AVGN 10.25, 11.45, SCOR 29.39 up 1.89, KEYN 9.58 up, SIEB 4.73 pb, PDG 12.07 up, FSII, UFI, CHRS, BLS 38.6 pb, ZIXI. 5.88, ACLA 4.40 (B), 4.71, AOL 31- (B), NDE, MFDE, VSAT 13.85 dn, TEO 5.92 (B), 6.30, AYE 34.75, 35.69, AMCC 11.42, 12.51, SHPGY 35.99 pb, RT 12.20 up 0.65, FON 19.02 (B), 19.81, HBIO 8.33 pb, VLCCF, CPST 5.18 pb, CIEN 15, DPL 23.85 pb, ACPW 6.80 pb, RRC 4.57, RIGL 4.79, 5.22, DPL 23.80, ZIXI, GX 0.66, Q. 13.80, TFS 16.81, the DJUA 291 pb, CTS 16.26, 17.25, 15.93, 16.66, SRE, ACTU 5.77 pb, PEG 40.84, VSAT 13++, SPOT, UTHR 9.52, NXY 19.08 (B), 19.45....some of these are also in the "ms/sos" list below, and, those must strengthen or else....and, were, NEM 18.50, 19.95, and VRSN, more 'fobd's ?
and/but, these
already assumed Longs, are acting weaker S.T., and/or must strengthen, and/or
must strengthen "again/anew", and/or must "break above recent high or else",
and/or are sales on strength ("sos") to/towards/near resistance:
(note, some of these are also in "pb" list above
....obviously, any stock near its lows, or close to breaking, "must strengthen"
or else, yes ?)
this list growing, dig ? BTY 35 dn (B), 36.88, FLR 35 pb, GSK 48.54, 49.92, KANAD 29.2 (S), 26.50, VRSN 32.81 (B), 36.50, UAL 16.25 up, 14.50, NNDS 18.06 (B), 19.19 (S) ?, TG, LNUX, PSEM 15-, HMT, AYE, PHI, SLGLF (S), TERN 8.20, 9.12, 8.05, TIE (S), CIMA 29.86 (B) ?, IFC 16.25, STXN 9.05 (S), UHS 38.58, 36.60, UFI, KEYN, WFII, KFY (sos), DSS, CHRS, VSAT, FMC (S), CHINA, and most all Techs and rallied stocks, and those listed in sec. (3) last time above, must follow-through up further....above their bases and resistance highs of this week....and/or, above their previously-broken-below-before-Sept. 11th-levels....
5) Already given out in
previous NL's, assumed Hypothetically long "Puts" positions:
(issues moving since last time, worthy of
following-up, still remaining long in these Puts, unless otherwise noted):
check
their patterns out to learn:
MMM -4, JCI. -3 3/4, NSM -1 1/2, BBBY -1 1/4, FTN -1 1/8, APD -1 1/2, KSS -1, BCS -2, PEP, RWT, ATVI. -3/4, ASBC, down/further since last NL here.... and, MMC, fell to its 200 DMA....
* But, then, these, are
acting too Strong, and/or are Bouncing, intraday, and/or Must Weaken anew,
nevertheless, and/or are sales on pullbacks/weakness
("sow"):
6) Now--- Here are Other, Fuller lists,
of still-Depressed, Long Buys, near their recent Lows Only, for potential Rises
towards resistance, always Diversified (w/close stops, when/if their basing or
"EVB" patterns break down):
Potential Longs, by Industry Groups, for "Rotation":
some
decent bases here, and many decent EVB's and double-bottoms, (but, again, Not
when/if any of these make new lows here, and, NOT if they are already "up", much,
off lows, right ?
some Depressed:
Utilities, Entertainment/Leisure, Retail/Apparel, Cable, Brokers, Foreign depr. stocks - like Japan, Agriculture-oriented, Golds, Telecom, Steel, Telecom/Wireless, Biotech, Health-related, Chem./Farm/Fert., alternative Energy, and Precious and other Metals, Ind. Groups...and, the 'defensive index' is improving as well....and, more Foreign Closed-End M. Funds, at bigger discounts soon ? hmmmm....
*** and, of course, many depr. Techs, Semis, data storage, internet, software, memory, computer - relateds, below, and soon....ONLY near lows, as always....
We are Also "Watching" --- as potential EVB's, or "basing", or "double"
bottoms", near recent lows ONLY:
*** as S.T., "EVB's": in no particular
order, as a "watching" list: note, most have been on this list for a while,
allowing you ample opportunity to have SEEN their charts, and bought them when/if
suitable, yes ?
added, (in no particular order !): (be sure thay have not popped up too
much too fast recently, already, before you buy, and, note I took some off list
already),
understand, some of these stil need more work/pullbacks....this list
will be revised over each weekend....
added even more: but, note,
obviously, I removed a bunch, and some others are already up, as well (and many
others previously given from lows, remain buys on big pullbacks, also note,
re-added some previously whipsawed ones):
added, (note, we removed a bunch, and some may break today, Fri., after this
NL out)
but look at all the new ones - you know what THIS usually means (read
sec. (1) above), added these:
MOT, GERN, SATC, ADCT, CIMA, AKAM ?, EPNY, HNCS no ?, HGSI, PCYC, DLEX, FORR ?, FLM, FLR, CED, TLK, WR, VRC, PCOP ?, F, to, CNC ?, KME ?, PB, FDRY, WGRD ?, ENWY, GEMP, BCON, MDCC, CIEN, BSTE, KCS, KEI. ?, HIT ?, BRW, ABMD, AMCC, HYDL, UCFC, STOR, RIGL, RMBS, PWER, SCAI, WHES ?, BRZZ, ATML, PLXS ?, PNW, ALS, FLA, TEX, TERN, ACTU, ANEN, BDAL, ELON, DCNT, TLCP ?, NNDS !?, STLW, UCFC, TRMB, RT, BOY, MTP ny, RMBS opbo, AVNX opbo, JDSU obpbo, CTS, EX, ALL, TSS, NGEN, MFDE, HYSQ, CEI, SLR ?, UHS ?, CNH, MCD, VRSN ?,
as EVB's or bases....
and, some Energy/Alt./Svcs.: BR opbo, RRC, VLCCF, PWR, NXY, OLOG,
some Biotechs, Drugs, and health-relateds: ACLA, HBIO, SGP, SCOR, OSTE, SHPGY, DMN, GSK, ABMD, GERN, (AVGN, UTHR, already up),
among Telecom-Internet-Satellite-Commun.-orienteds: PACW, T, AWE, TLCP, AOL, TEO, NNDS ?, SPOT, BLS, GX, BTY, SCMR, VIGN,
Utils.: PEG, AYE, NU, NDE, (others are already up),,
financial-orienteds: GSB, CCR, PVN, ALL ?, FAF, TSS, MNY, CNA, CNC ?,
and, some more Foreign Telecoms, and more, soon ?
and/but, not any of these above, when/if they make new lows or break budding
bases/patterns....don't "force" trades....and be sure to do your 'fundamentals'
homework on all, especially the lesser-known/cheaper ones....
(NOTE: again, if they are already down appreciably from their highs, do NOT
chase them down, wait for bounces):
* added, BBBY, MEDI. ?, PSFT, PEP, NSM, SUI, to, EDS, FDO, GTK, NBR, PH, UST, UPC, STZ, CLX, HOTT ?, CSTR, LEG, KSS, MTH, ATVI, CBRL, EFTD, MSFT no ?, MNTR ?, KSHS, UOPX, INTU ?, JCI, VFC, TECD, PGR, ADRX, AMGN, ZRAN, PCL ?, SFG, RCI, APOL ?, SMTC, ICBC, COST no ?, IFF, PSA, ACV, IBC, ITT, RCI, MTH, GCI, FBC, IMCL ?, FTN, STW ?, SKYF, UDR ?, BCS, TOO, APPB no ?, MATR, NHP, AMG no ?, BCS ?, from recent past NL's....
**** the Best Puttable Industry Groups: in no particular order, and/but,
understanding we have already HAD some real nice drops: added, extended Building/Residential/Commerical-relateds, Semiconductor-relateds, and maybe Chem. soon, to,
Extended: Comp./S'w/Educ. co's., Peripherals, Security.... Toys/Leisure/Video/Games, restaurants, Pollution-related, Aero./Def., Funeral, "Medical-outpatient-home-care", "commercial services', 'mobile homes', Insur. Brokers/Banks/Mtg./Loans, Homebuilders/ Construction/Electrical, Health/Medical/Drug/Dental/Biotech, Commercial Services, all types of Media, Apparel, Tobacco, Food, and some High-PE Techs, all near their recent Highs ONLY, w/close stops above their patterns highs....this ends putside-downside follow-ups/ideas section....
VIEW THE CHARTS....SEE where the 200 DMA's are....LEARN THE
PATTERNS/STAGES