1) "PSYCLE SENSE sm":
I have found some more "toppy" groups, while our favored depressed groups remain the same, as I keep pounding the "Split" nature of the market into your brain....I have no "super/major" new message for you this NL....Many depresseds have already had tax-selling bounces, while many extended stocks are still jockeying for position....So holding a bit more cash all-of-a-sudden, and watching for the next set or "rotating" groups to emerge....It may not be as great a period, for a while, long-side....
Please appreciate, how much time/effort I put in, to put ALL applicable, staged, stocks, longs and puts, which fit learnable, and actionable, "PSYCLE sm" patterns, into each NL....Sometimes fewer, sometimes more....Whatever I find that best fits "PSYCLE sm" stages, which YOU can learn/take advantage of, for YOUR educational/trading benefit, I will put into each NL....again, the "Most Actionable, Do-able, stocks, Here/Now", are in Section (3). And note, the "learning/feeling/sentiment" items, are in section (2) and (8). Longer lists and I.G.'s, are in section (6) and (7)....and all follow-ups, are in sections (4) and (5). Very clear sections.
3) Most recent Hypothetical
"PSYCLE sm" transactions, to be mimicked, and referred back to:
4) Already given out in previous NL's,
assumed Hypothetical "Long-side" positions:(issues moving since last time, worthy of following-up, and/or
mentioning, because of recent price moves, still remaining long in most all of
them, unless otherwise noted):
6) Now--- Here are Other, Fuller lists, of still-Depressed, Long Buys, near their recent Lows Only, for potential Rises
towards resistance, always Diversified (w/close stops, when/if their basing or
"EVB" patterns break down): 7) other, still extended/potentially
Toppy, "Puttables", near recent Highs Only, for potential Price Drops, using,
Only, L.T., in-the-money Puts Only, Always Diversified, w/stops if patterns abort
to the upside, for potential drops towards their 200 DMA's, or lower (NOTE: again, if they are already down appreciably from their highs, do NOT
chase them down, right ?): 8) "PSYCLE sm" Lesson for today:
a) Important Industry Group (Rotation) Notes:
note more, clear, split, Rotation occuring, among different I.G.'s, independent
of each other: 1) yes, after pullbacks which do not abort bottom patterns, many Oil Services remain buyable then.there....2) note, added more "hook-toppy" Retails, Supermarkets, Auto Parts, Financials, stocks, as new groups, in sec. (7) below....3) and depressed Gaming/Hotel stocks look improving....4) An intersting sidelight: for decades some people have touted "Bonds" as a "good" investment, even though they have historically woefully UNDER-performed well-chosen stocks.... Note that the "T-Bond" still continues to sell for only its general price, of several months ago....But also know that the whole 5 1/2- to- 6 % area on the Long Bond, is still likely to represent price-support, for a while....i.e., interest rates are unlikely to rise above that level for a while....
b) 1) "PSYCLE sm" right again, fundamentalists wrong again: gee, recently, FDX made a hook top, at $ 90., as I predicted here, on "reported news" that "they would make tons of money shipping online purchases", remember ? Well, our "puts" on great announcements after parabolic rises, worked....and, 2) remember when I said herein, around $ 30+, that AMD was finished, even though tons of analysts said their earnings would rise, with Intel's, and they said there was no risk at 30+ ? Well, "puts" into such news, and a rounding umbrella top, made sense.... recall, I gave AMD long herein, from around 14-15, months ago, when these same analysts hated it, yes ?
c) more incorrect/improper/misleading Media comments from "fundamentalists/
companies/mags", etc., vs. illogical/contrary stock prices moves, etc.: 1) rats, I didn't get this item into the NL fast enough: L.A. Times, late Dec., ranked Planet Hollywood the "booby prize" stock for 1998, saying, as a prediction, get this: "P.H. stock will not be worth the value of one of their menus"....kicking 'em when they're down, that's what the Media does, yes ? Well, I checked the stocks, and, well, you know the rest.....it recently hit $ 3 1/2, up from $ 2 1/8, when they wrote that....dig ? ....2) notice, among Brazil stocks, that, "TBH" has doen nothing more, than rally back up to its still-declining 200 DMA, see it ? just FYI....3) cnbc, Fri., 1:05, Rene San Miguel, reproting a super-positive "fundamental item" on "DBCC" stock, then, hesitated, when he, disappointedly said, (quote) "DBCC fell 9 points today....you figure it out....why did it fall on such good news ?" ....4) and, as suggested, a S.T. double-bottom in the Nikkei. index, eh....5) oh, and if I hear another CNBC reporter use the word, 'biforcation' again, I'll scream....what the hell is that ?
d) more late, and/or misleading, Brokerage/NL writer/Analyst comments: 1) Frank Barbera, KWHY-tv, Thu. 14th, 10 am, confirmed what I have been saying for years--- showing more proof, that trying to invest via "the Dogs of the Dow" overrated concept, has UNDER-performed the averages, the last 11 full years, way under-performing again, in both 1998, and 1997....Such simplistic, narrow, non-technical concepts, by nature, don't have a prayer....But they occasionally sell a lot of books....don't get me started.... 2) all morning Fri. 15th, cnbc, trumpteted impending speech by Abbey Cohen....because "she" is, herself, in at least "PSYCLE sm" late stage 3/early stage 4, that would normally be a kiss of death (equal to her appearing on covers on big mags, dig ?)....we shall see, but I certainly would lean that way....3) cnbc, Fri. 12:40, John Murphy actually showed two valuable items: first, as I suggested here, how the T-Bond contract held its decline right at its 200 DMA support, and, second, he showed a potential double-top, from mid 1997, on the PHLX "Semi." index, and also suggested lightening up among such stocks, as you know I concur....
As you have seen the last several months, how well one does, just "doing" the
best individual stocks, and Ind. Groups, technically/sentiment-wise, mostly
long-side, while ignoring, or going contrary to, 95 % of all Media messages, and
"indexes/averages" comments, from the peanut gallery ? By just getting my
output, alone, you do much better, and save time, by not having to even try to
"seek, and process" tons of other, useless fundamental info., anyway....and we
also help remove potential emotional problems before they begin.
Also re-read "the Guide" for how I
derive the estimated % percentage Gains I show herein, on assumed Hypothetically
closed-out trades (always assumed to have been in Options, where applicable/
suitable, and on margin where available/suitable/logical, and on a cash basis
where not, as per "PSYCLE sm" tenets)....and "bal." in section (3), means, "the
balance" of assumed long positions, assuming a "1/2 and 1/2" sale....and, "css"
means "covered previous short sale", where no puts options existed....
and puts, MSBC, UNPH, IMNX, NTLI., MEDI., WHIT, SEPR, UIS, long, IDTC (14 to 17, to 14-), for VQ, very small losses....
NOTE: while most of the $ 5 to $ 10. stocks are listed here as
"stocks on margin" ("stk.on.mgn."), if one Had bought L.T., in-the-money calls
options, their % Gains would have been multiplied, higher, right ? We just
prefer not to buy Calls on most stocks under $ 10., unless their patterns are
phenomenal, as their options premiums tend to be too high, vs. just buying those
stocks on Margin, with close stops, where suitable, instead, with less risk, and
similar reward potential--- stocks themselves have no "premium", right ? and, of
course, if one just bought longs for cash, and not on margin, the % Gains would
be relatively smaller, though still excellent, for so short a holding period, yes ?
(new ones) ADM @ 15+, AOC @ 54+, DSGIF @ 3 1/8, HPC 25++, ICI. 31+, IO. @ 7, LSN @ 4+, OXY @ , PCAR @ 40+, SHMN @ 1 13/16, SRR @ 7 7/8, TKN @ , TRI. @ , VSNR @ 1 3/16, WSTNA @ 2 7/16,
(repeats) (Note: some new, "re-added" repeats) ARG @ 8+, BEZ @ 19+, BGO @ 3/4, BLM @ 2.06, BTC @ 12+, CAU @ 0.31, CCH @ 3/16, CQB @ 9++, CXI. @ 5/16, CYI. @ 1 5/8, EAR @ 5/8, ELY @ 10.06, FHCC @ 15+, FLM @ 10+, FP @ 2 5/16, GLDR @ 1-, GSR @ 1, HIV @ 1 3/4, IAIC @ 1 3/16, IHS @ 12+, INPR @ 5+, JOB @ 6+, MHR @ 2 7/8, MKA @ 8+, MPN @ 4 1/4, MRII. @ 2 5/16, NGX @ 7/16, NL @ 13-, PVH @ 6++, RRC @ 3.06, SAA @ 0.75, SSC @ 11/16, TFN @ 4.06, TLZ @ 4 5/16, TOX @ 3/16, UBIX @ 5+, UMR @ 11/16, UPR @ 8+, UTI. @ 7+, VGZ @ 3/16....most are still EVB's...."buy low", right ? and, more importantly, that, now, AFTER recent rises, most "new buys" are real cheapies, and/or "laggards" with less "sexiness", and/or for "catch up" moves....also see the "just missed" issues, below....many previously given stocks are already up, too late, dig ?
New Note: added a new section, of "Mansfield Chart" depressed base ideas, by
I.G., in sec. (6) below....also, note, some new/repeat long buys, are in stage 2,
having pulled back after previous upside breakouts from earlier bases, dig ?
still plenty to choose from, to build a portfolio, long-side....
NOTE: as I teach in the "green Guide" Booklet, you should
already understand/know, that, very often, there is NOT "just one day" when my
ideas become "long buys" or "long puts"....some stocks may hit around originally
suggested prices, 2, 3, 4 times, etc., sometimes over a period of weeks, as they
may form EVB's, double-bottoms and/or bases at times, right ? When/if they rise/
fall in between those times, I will follow-up those moves, in section (4) and (5)
anyway....this is a Positive, a Benefit, for you....Remember, I have subscribers
who ARE already in stocks which have already moved before YOU may have noticed them herein, dig ? And there ARE many subscribers who ARE viewing MANY of the charts of the stocks herein, first....and there ARE many subscribers who DO want
"longer, more thorough, teaching" NL's/items from me....
*** therefore, remember, all my given stocks REMAIN buyable/puttable, every time they hit originally suggested prices, unless/until they break their patterns....even if weeks pass by !!! This is covered in "the Guide" and herein, endless times.... "just get close", and do everything else properly: the stops, VIEWING the charts BEFORE acting, NOT forcing trades, and, of course, LEARNING the
stages/patterns of price, ind. group, and sentiment/media patterns.
** Important: took, IOX, RBO, --- Off pot. Long buys list,
before they might have been Hypothetically "bt." (as most all made quick, new
lows....and/or, they need more work, technically....also recall the last few
lists of stocks removed before "bt." here). Note, I try to give "something for
every type of investing/trading desire/account/objective", including some real
cheapies, some $ 5-10. stocks, some over $ 20. stocks, and some "names" blue
chips--- either, for straight Cash, and/or on Margin, and/or L.T., in-the-money
Options, etc., so that all my valued subscribers have Choices, and for proper
Diversification --- all still having similar, exploitable patterns, in each NL.
**** Newly BOUGHT, long "PUTS" (or "short sales" if no puts), for potential Drops: alphabetically by symbol: (new ones) CHTT @ 46++, CSGS @ 75, EGRP @ 90+, ESRX @ 72+, IQIQ @ 15+, LAF @ 40+, OSTE @ 45+, SEEK @ 80, TWTR @ 30+,
(and, note, some "new" repeats again) BOBE @ 26+, BSYS @ 49+, COF @ 129+, EAII. @ 61+, GTSG @ 60+, OMC @ 58-, TSAI. @ 49....notice, FEWER Puttables do-able here !!!!
and/but, Took, MXWL, MEDI., MRX, Off pot. Puts list, before "put", as they aborted their patterns immediately (also see recent past issues taken off, here). IMPORTANT: sometimes, in the few hours after I send this NL to the web site, a stock might break its S.T. umbrella top, or its depressed EVB/base pattern ....And, of course, sometimes suggested stocks HIT their "buy/put" levels
in between NL's, in which case they are still added, as above....So I am assuming, you actually View their recent charts, BEFORE you consider buying any Longs or Puts, and you will see/know that the pattern is still O.K., and therefore buy/not buy them....this takes just seconds each to check/do, and will keep you from buying Puts/Calls on issues which abort budding patterns quickly after publication of my NL's, then incorrectly blaming me, when that is your doing.
....and/but, among stocks recently given you herein, in sections (6) and (7)
below, we "just Missed", NSANY, PSFT, PAGE, AIMM, CNJ, CBG, FLH, SOC, PRT, CFS, ORG, OH, as Longs near very recent lows, and, GMSTF, ELNK, PAYX, RMBS, COOL, DNEX, FITB, OSSI., FNM, HAN, AES, CTX, FTU, SHX, RAD, DL, as Puts, near recent highs....as one of the few honest guys in this biz, I will always tell you here, also when we "miss" actually catching suggested ideas, so you can "view/see" and LEARN their charts/patterns, for your educational benefit. By viewing such charts, also tells us, whether the market itself is providing more bottoms/tops, at that time, right ? Another reason why it is important to consider ALL my output, each NL....Again, the idea is to Learn the "Patterns" of previously "given/done" ideas, for YOUR future benefit.
**** note: ("sos") means "Sell On Strength" (on a
bounce up towards resistance, and/or where it broke down from)....("S") means
Sell it here (if still right at/near the listed price level).
also note, how, SWW, NRL, STN, IKN, OH, all hit their 200 DMA's, resistance, see it ?
note: please try to appreciate, that I have some subscribers who want "real
quick and out" trades, and others, who want the "multi-month holds for bigger
potential gains" trades....by VIEWING the "higher still" list above, you will
hopefully learn better PERSPECTIVE in the overall chart patterns, and what can
really be accomplished at times, if one lets them....another, of many reaons why
we are so against "day-trading": why anyone would limit one's potential, and
increase one's stress, and actually want to spend more time having to watch and process more things, on purpose, is beyond illogic. With my "PSYCLE sm", we trade less, hold positions longer, do not have to watch every minute, and have much less stress.
and/but, then, seeing Many pullbacks, RRC 3 1/2 up 1/2, GYMB 8 5/8 up 1, UPR 9 1/8 up 7/8, AG 8 up 5/8, HIV 2 1/4, NWAC 26 up 1 1/2, IHS 12 5/8 up 1, MANU 14 3/4, -2 5/8, SAA, CSE, PAH, NHC, MGN, PRD, CTI., NOV, Oil Service (VRC, HAL, NBR 14 up 1, PGO 15 up 1, NE 14 3/8 up 7/8, VTS, ESV, RDC, PDS, PPP, WEL, UTI., FGI., HP, DO.), FCH, BAANF, TWLB, WKGP, MIFGY, CDE, BMG, TEN, NBTY, PLC, FNL, JOB, CPU, GLT, MCL, ATX/A, COE, PMK, TXB, ESOL, LXR, NPSI., SEW, HPH, JBAK, LDW, MSX, HBI., BIR, BUR, ADM, SRR, CCC, CYM, LYO, MPN, SUL, NGX, SSC, MCN, CCH, UPX, FP, AR, and all Metals....some of these are also in "ms" list below.
again, please do not be afraid of buying the "Real Depressed
Stocks", even in pension accounts, always diversifying, with close stops....
Again, you Must buy at least a FEW, to increase your chances of being in the
bigger movers....Lesson: there is NO such thing as "but, Jim, which 1 or 2 are
your favorites ?" It is impossible, and illogical, to expect anyone to be able
to choose just 1 or 2, out of 2,500 issues....maybe 5 to 10, long-siders, and
also 5 to 10, put-siders, sometimes, but never just 1 or 2....One must also
eliminate one's "PSY-chological need for excitement", and/or of "instant/S.T.
gratification"
* and/but, these
already assumed Longs, are acting weaker S.T., and/or must strengthen, and/or must strengthen "again/anew", and/or must "break above recent high or else", and/or are sales on strength ("sos") to/towards/near resistance:
(note, some of these are also in "pb" list above) HPC 26 1/2 up 7/8, SAA, UPR, TRP, GGC, DBRSY, ARG, VDC, RMDY, IAIC, IMO, GLM, JOB, MPN, TLZ, TWA, GSR, EAR, BCP, CEI., FCH, PAH, WEL, LFB, HAL, HBI., WORK, JBAK, ESV, FHS, LXR, HPH, PLC, PMK, BEZ, MWY, WKGP, MHR, MCL, CXI., GLT, SSC, MCN, TMA, ADM, TOX, NGX, NDE, CAU, NR, HP, NL, MT, ELY, RDC, IT, and cheap Golds, Oil Svc., must follow-through.
5) Already given out in
previous NL's, assumed Hypothetically long "Puts" positions:
(issues moving since last time, worthy of
following-up, still remaining long in these long Puts, unless otherwise noted):
Note: these have always been listed, by "number of points falling", from
most, to least...."(sow)" means, "Sell long puts On next Weakness, towards/near
support"...."(S)" means sell/sold their long Puts right near here, and/or as in
section (3) above....I follow-up every idea mentioned, for your benefit....
remember, these are NOT "overnite" trades, they take a little time to fulfill, so
please have some patience, and no emotion, nor antsiness....let them do their
thing....**** IMPORTANT, you MUST view the 200 DMA's of our Puttables, past and
present, for their potential support targets/areas/prices....
* but, then, these, are
acting too Strong, and/or are Bouncing, and/or must weaken anew, and/or are sales
on pullbacks/weakness (sow): FDX +6, -6, INTU +8, CLX +4, BMET -1, +1, FLEX, GTSG, PGNS, TSAI., RSCR, WIND, LLY, COMS, BRG, LSON, IDXX, CSC, TXCC, FAM, MSBC, MEDQ, BSYS, INHL, LLL -1 1/4, BOBE, MMC, AMT, VRSN, AFS, ABT, COF, SLR, MMC, IBM, CCU, CMA, drugs....also, see, ZILA -5 wow, FITB, RMBS, MANH, AES, MGX 9, declined anyway....gave you herein near highs but just missed....
also note, how, ALD, ASC, LLY, fell to their 200 DMA's....see it ?
Remember, we either buy our
Puts right up near each stock's high, or not at all....but you can still view
their charts, to "see" previously formed/worked/aborted "PSYCLE sm" patterns, to
hopefully Learn from.
"Potential Longs, by Industry Groups, for Rotation":
some decent bases here, and many decent EVB's and double-or-triple- bottoms, (but, again, Not when/if any of these make new lows here, and, NOT if they are already "up", much, off lows, right ?):
NOTE: obviously, given recent pops, has gotten more difficult to find "depresseds still right near their lows", so keep that in mind....we'll sometimes pay an eentsy bit more, but will NOT "pay up" much.
"Leisure/Entertainment": (besides, ELY, MWY, PAR, PIN, PRD), found several other real cheapies in the Mansfield charts, which I share below here.
Semis/Comp./Techs: please see "Techs", listed, in the "watching" section, just below.
(Y2K) "Year 2000": (DDIM, SAA, UBIX, CMND, IAIC, MIFGY, Only near recent lows)
Prec.Metals (CBJ, BMG, CDE, TVX, GLDR, CCH, VGZ, CAU, BGO, RYO, AR, some real cheapies, riskier, most need more work/time)
"Basic Inds." (Chem., Farm, Steel, Copper) (IGL, NL, BIR, RTC, MAH, CYM, CCC, FNL)
Energy/and Oil Svc. (IIR, UTI., UMR, TRP, LYO, UPR, GLM, MHR, RDC, WEL, VRC, FGI., OIL, IO., NE, near their recent lows, Only)
Biotech/Health/Medical (add, LH, to, TAROF, COB, MATK, FHCC, CBMI., NHC, TWLB, NOV, GNSA, TOX, ULB, CCLR, TOX, MPN, IHS, MT, VTA, TXB, VC)
Consumer/Retail/Apparel/Shoes (TSA, RXSD, GYMB, REV, NBTY, SRR, COO, PVH,
PBY, HMY, KFI., MSN, UNO, BLM, GCO, HBI.)
Hotel/Gaming/REIT (add, HMT, MIR, to, ILX, PAM, LOD, HET, CIR, SER)
Employment (NRL, OLS, JOB, ESOL, eh)
And, as I pointed out earlier here, some depressed R.E.I.T./Financials/ Mtg.-type/R.E., stocks, many with huge Insider Buying a while ago, some with very high "potential" dividends (more boring, though), may shape up ahead....watching, in no particular order, add, GRT, TRI., to, FCH, CPT, HOT, LSN, KE, BD, PRT, SMT, OH, WDN, RTC, ACH, ARI., FHS, NHR, BRE, PAH, AAC, ALF, AML, BNP, BOY, BRI., CPP, CRO, PMC, ENN, FBG, NDE, KPA, JPR, MAA, BED, PMC, RFS, TMA, IMH, FP, MT, if you need some maybe's, on pullbacks only)
and/but, Important: also, took these Off the pot. long Buy list, Before they might have been Hypothetically "bt.": IOX, RBO, --- were taken Off....These/they just need more work, technically, first, and/or are still making new lows....we do NOT "Guess" at bottoms....we want only the EVB's, which set up properly....we MUST also see the cathartic/high volume, in "PSYCLE sm" stage 7", first.
We are Also "Watching" --- as potential EVB's/bottoms, near recent lows ONLY:
add, AOC, BEV, CBG, CNB, DOL, FAX, FLH, FLS, GHV, GRT, HLX, JLG, KMT, LUB, LH, LTC, OI., OXY, PCAR, TBI., to, those listed in section (3), and those just above here, plus, (alphabetically by symbol) ACE, ADM, ALN, ALR, AOI., ARG, ATC, ATV, BDE, BDR, BEZ, BGO, BTC, CBJ, CENT, CEXP, CFB, CFS, CIEN, CLCDF, CPU, CQB, CXI., CYB, DETC, ELCO, FHS, FLM, GDC, GHM, GKI., HCM, HDG, HIV, HMY, HPC, HPH, ICI., ILX, IMP, INPR, KMG, KNE, KRY, LSN, MKA, MLP, MSX, NLC, NETM, NEV, NOX, PXD, RBO, SCS, SEW, SOC, SSN, STRX, SUPX, SWW, TDW, TFN, THP, TIE, TLZ, TMO, TWA, UQM, VDC, WKGP, VSNR, still, most all as "EVB's" (again, note, most are "Techs", with some "Finls., Foreign, Health"), plus, the Value Line issues: NSANY, DEMP, OFIS, SEW, TSA, MGN)....some here, some Not just yet, as some still need more work, technically....and/but most, only on pullbacks towards lows....and/but, not any of these, when/if they make new lows or break budding bases/patterns....don't "force" trades....
*** NEW: these are longer, tighter depressed bases, directly from
longer-term, 2 1/2-year, "Mansfield" charts:
health, medical/pharm. (AIMM, ALLP, MRII, NPRO, SCNI., TAROF, VMRX)
comp./tech./s'ware: (CSRE, GTSI., LSKIC, MIDI, OBJS, KTEC, PNCL)
telecom, etc.: (APAC, MRVC)
leisure/entert.: (SHOW, FAIRE, ONST, WCCI., (all real risky/cheap)
capital goods: (DETC, DSGIF, FAVS, ISCO, JPEI., WAFTZ, WSTNA) (most are bigger companies)
Note, most of these have high $ cash/share, little or no debt, and/or
earnings, for those of you who value those things....others are REAL
cheapies/very risky....there are others I am checking, with similar patterns,
will let you know....mind you, these are NOT "very-short-term" trades....but some
subscribers wanted some longer, depressed basers, so here they are....just
providing something for every need....
**** The potential Longs above are chosen, First, by their EVB, or "base"
technical chart patterns, then, I do do a "little Fundamentals research" on each,
to make sure they are viable companies, with no "hidden time bombs"....Last, on
some of these, you are going to have to stretch your time-frame out a bit, this
time around, as some of these may, like after the last few mini-crashes, take
weeks instead of days, months instead of weeks, to form any bases/EVB's, and/or
rise, dig ?
Fuller, Potential Puts
list, by Industry groups where practical, near their highs ONLY, do NOT "chase
down":
note: this list supercedes all previous ones....these are the
ONLY Puttables here, all others have been removed....note LARGER/growing list !!!
(banks/insur.) WABC, AFS, HIG, HLI., TROW, SUT, NFS,
(comp./techs/s'ware) BSYS, MANH, INTU., INSS, IBM,
(telecom/commun.) CDRD, LLL, COMS, DY,
(medical/health/drug) BMET, BGEN, IDXX,
(internet) EBAY, DCLK, AOL, others, etc.
also watching: addin many: add, AGPH, AHAA, AIT, ANF, ASC, ATHM, AZO, CC, CDWC, CEN, CUBE, DDDF, EDMC, EGRP, ESRX, FDS, GCTY, GNET, GNTX, GPS, IQIQ, LXK, MDS, MYG, NETS, OSTE, PLCE, RAD, SBUX, SHX, TLAB, TSS, TWTR, YUM, to, AMP, AMT, BCST, CACS, CFR, CL, CLX, CSGS, CTXS, CXR, DL, EAII., FDX, FNM, GMSTF, GPU, GTSG, HAN, IMNX, IONAY, LAF, LSON, MANH, MKL, MM, NAB, NIS, OMC, PGNS, PKN, PL, PLH, RSCR, SAPE, SEGU, SSP, SVU, TSAI., TXCC, UFS, VRSN, WAT, WIND, WLP, Food/Bev., big-name Consumer stocks...
**** the Best Puttable Industry Groups: added some Extended Supermarket, Restaurants, Retail, to, Cap. Goods, Blue Chips, Homebuilding, Consumer, Utilities, Banks, Health/Medical/Drug/ Biotech, Insurance, Finance, Computer, Internet, Aero./Def., Food/Bev., High-PE techs, and all Tele.-Commun., in no particular order, as the most probable Puttables, near their recent Highs ONLY, w/close stops above their patterns.... also, note how we are revisiting some of our past Puttable stocks....
Been so busy, expending so much time/effort, researching, finding, and giving the ideas I do in each NL lately, I have not had time to give more "Lessons" here lately, nor to finish 3 more real valuable "Booklets".... Besides all the previous Lessons you have hopefully gleaned from all my past materials, NL's, ideas, and my (7) educational Booklets, I promised I would re-run "the seven sequential stages of my "PSYCLE sm"", and, from 12/7 NL, through the 12/28 NL, I did so.....refer back to those sec. (8)'s any time.....hope they helped....but NO special "lesson" today, except to re-read recent explanations of stages 1-7....take that time to VIEW charts from section (3) and (6)....
NEW NOTE: just a quick reminder, that, as per the green "Guide", a stock
herein may certainly be found, in 1, 2, 3, even 4, different sections of my NL at
any given time....this is logical, and helpful for you....example: it may be in
sec. (3) as a new buy at a certain price area, and, in sec. (4) if it has risen
decently from the bought level, as I follow-up its movements for your benefit,
and, still in sec. (6) as a buy when/if it pulls back to its original suggested
buy level....This is a GOOD thing for you, NOT a bad/confusing thing....A stock
might have risen, from, say, $ 6 (sec. 3) , to $ 7 1/4 (sec. 4 follow-up), then is
pulling back again (sec. 4, next paragraph), and, when/if it pulls back towards $ 6 again,. without breaking its original pattern, is remains a buy (sec. 6)....GOT
THAT ? Finding such ideas among the "repeats" in sec. 3, ilisutrates this helpful item....It is very simple, as I have said umpteen times: all suggested stocks remain actionable when/if they remain/return to original prices, in the future, provided their original chart pattern is still intact.....period.
Plus, as you have seen among "repeats" in sec. 3, often, a stock WILL return
to its original actionable price levels, and some will end up "revalidating"
after initial slight breaks of patterns, which is also of little consequence,
since your transaction costs are so low, and you have eliminated all emotions
from the process, you can always get back in, at those times, yes ? (plus, as I
taught you, we give a bit more 'leeway' at the special year-end period, employing
a bit less strict/tight stops, right ?)
Remember, the time length of the full trip from stage 1 through 7, can be one
year, or ten years, or 100 years, depending on one's desired perspective....A
stock can be in one stage S.T., and another stage L.T. Now, one cannot have
"everything", that is, we try not to turn a S.T. position into a L.T. position,
and we never even try for "potential 10-baggers over several years"....One must
decide beforehand, whether one expects a S.T. trade or a L.T. investment....But
at least knowing the normal, usual characteristics of each sequential stage, puts
us way ahead of "the 95 %". I use 1-year and 2-year charts, period, because we
seek 1-2-3-month patterns, holds, and moves, and NOT overnite, nor daily nor
intraweek moves.
Remember, WE tend to ONLY trade long, from stage 1, into stage 2, with stops,
and often miss potential stage 3 rises....and we try to Only get Puts at what we
think might be a stage 4 top, with stops, and often miss stage 6 and 7 drops, but
more on that later....The highest-reliability, reward/risk plays, are in stage 1
and 4, even with occasional stops triggered.
IMPORTANT: people keep
trying to "formula-ize/computerize" my "PSYCLE sm" process, which, as I keep
saying, is a fruitless waste of your valuable time...."just get close(r)", and do
everything else correctly....The KEY is just plain learning the simple VISUAL
chart patterns for each of the 7 sequential stages in my "logo chart" on my
webpage and on the front of every Booklet, then adding the "sentiment" nuances of
each stage.
As Repeated in Every NL:
As I keep reiterating, It is
also still better most times, to, 1) buy "some" stage 1 "PSYCLE sm" stocks, in
depressed or EVB chart patterns, when their "news seems so bad" but their
patterns show EVB's (and have occasional, small, cut losses), than to never do
that at all....Because, historically, and as you have seen herein, any small, cut
losses, will be more than overcome by larger % Gains, over time, off those EVB
lows, when one properly Diversifies....and, to, 2) TRY at least "some"
"Puts/options" the opposite way, near their Highs only, when/where suitable,
than to never do any Puts ever....always diversifying properly, with close
stops....no emotion.
Remember, "PSYCLE sm" stocks tend to move much more INDEPENDENTLY of any/all
"external" stuff, than "the 95 %" incorrectly believe....one does Not "need"
"events" to happen, in order to exploit normal, probable stock price moves....
this is a Good thing....One Key is to have the strength to Buy, when there is a
"scary story", provided the stock pattern is intact....Connectedly, realize, by
nature, there is SUPPOSED to be no "sexiness" in stocks/groups, near their lows,
in bases, nor EVB's....they only become "sexy", After they rise a bunch, right ?
and, by then, it is/will be too late....One must buy into NON-sexiness, into
NON-positiveness, into "fear", when the patterns are intact, right ? Also,
buying PUTS options "the Psycle Way", can be viewed as just plain intelligent/
logical, and proper, as just "insurance" or "protection", as well as for direct
profit at times, yes ? The March tops, and July tops, and drops, have proven
that yet again.