1) "PSYCLE SENSE sm": new:
3) Most recent Hypothetical
"PSYCLE sm" transactions, to be mimicked, and referred back to:
4) Already given out in previous NL's,
assumed Hypothetical "Long-side" positions:
7) other, still Extended/potentially
Toppy, "Puttables", near recent Highs Only, for potential Price Drops, using,
Only, L.T., in-the-money Puts Only, Always Diversified, w/stops if patterns abort
to the upside, for potential drops towards their 200 DMA's, at least:
a) Important Industry Group
(Rotation) notes:
1) cash Gold 562 up, Tue. 17 th, highest px since Mar. 1981, so, ahead, this may be the parabola-to-the-final-top ?, but, since I have been wrong, in a rare incorrect moment, on Gold, recently, I am out of it....even as, supposedly, in a story most-often appearing near tops (re-read my Booklets), China & India consider adding to their Gold reserves (hey, where have they been since gold was $ 260 ?, dgms)....wed. 18th, Gold pb to 540, then 566, 550, = fobo ?.... 2) I still watch the depr. fuel-cell-type stks for pot. longside, BLDP, PLUG, FCEL, etc., perhaps ahead....and, by Mon. 23rd, all are up, you're welcome....you know, i was thinking, in PSYCLE-nuance, how come all the Energy boo-birds are missing THIS I.G., also ?, 'if' things are, as they have been saying (which WE know they are not, dig ?).... 3) and the Stk. Mkt. Alamanc, going back decades, reminds us, that, in "Jan. seasonality', generally, in modern years, the best performing sectors have tended to be, Techs, Semis, Finls, and, interestingly, the Energy & Util. sector has historically been DOWN early in years, hah....good for us, both ways, ay ? - and, by Mon. 23rd, many stks correcting s.t. already, dig ?, as I expected, yes ?
4) the Mar. t-bond rose further to 115.4, on Tue. 17th, hah....this is, again, the opp. of what the 95 % have been expecting, yes ?, R U learning the PSYCLE sm patterns ?....anyway, the 118+ area lies overhead, still, right ?.... 5) and, as seemingly only I predicted herein from recent high, feb. nat. gas bd/further, under $ 8., hah, (and/but sell your profitable puts I gave out herein, your're welcome)...."but, Jim, n.g. can never fall ever during cold winters" - yeah, right, re-read my Booklets....and sell your N.G. puts bt. in d.t.-U-should-learn-from, at $ 14-15, yes ?, you're welcome....and, watch to buy long, at stage-2 low, soon, under $ 8.-, dig ?
6) meanwhile, Mar. Copper rose to a.t. high at $ 2.10/lb., but Crude popped to $ 68.35, fri. 20 th, but we are not worried about Crude any more, yet, of course....but wb a double-top, close stop above $ 71. (its 8/05 intraday, a.t., high), or else ?....and I must admit to being surprised at unl. gas back up to 1.90, locally about $ 2.45/gal. again, oy.... 7) since seemingly only I recently added Ford @ 7.6, wondering if GM @ around $ 18+, with its pot. 10 % div., might also be a s.t. bottom ? yup....plus, very recent WSJ article, "if GM's div. vanishes, so might it's stock price and investors", smacks of - you know this by knowing my PSYCLE, right ? - an impending BOTTOMY more than shortable nuance, sentiment-wise, historical pattern-wise, yes ?, we shall C....oh, and also, Kirkorian's Tricenda firm, which OWNS 7.8 % of GM stock, is actually URGING them to CUT/elim. their div. !, interesting, huh....Y would a huge stk. holder want to purposely LOSE an 8 % div. ?, unless it knew/felt the l.t pot. was significant from down here, dig ?, R U learning the pattern, dear reader ?, if not Y not ?
8) while I usually dont do it this way, in Psycle IGR, when/if the big Energy-stocks-winners investors move some of their Gains OUT of those topped stocks, that will free up a bunch of $ to be reinvested into depr. ideas, like maybe, Drugs, Trans, Techs ?, ahead/already ? ....9) according to B.S., tons of Puts have recently been bt. on PMCS, w/PMCS around 9.5, so am watching, tho we are out of it on this bounce-after-breakdown.... he also is 'putting' 'hospital' stks, like, LPNT, HCA, UHS, TRI, here, we shall C.... 10) and, while I was correct shorting, then a qsl shorting, and out since recent u/s bo, in it, Google's current mkt. cap. is more than either, IBM's, and Berkshire's (W. Buffett), yikes....ridiculous, ay ?, and, may have been a 'fobo' after all, as seemingly only I suggested herein, 414, 445, then 390, then 475, then 400, 445 'omly', dig ?
11) well, as usual, Agora/TDR/TRA NL, only-now likes "palladium", long, which, recall, I specifically gave out 2 U herein in its long nice depr. base, a while ago, yes ?, they cite China's needs for it, yadda, yadda....also, as usual, while I gave it 2 U herein UNDER $ 200, THEY waited till just over $ 400. oz. recently, to begin to like it, dig ?, as the pattern rarely changes....next.... 12) recall how I have said that, while the 95 % latecomers are only recently beginning to favor the Nikkei (at 15,000 , already way up from where I suggested it long, herein, from around 6,000 , while they hated it as usual, re-read my Booklets) ?, well, recent biggest-one-day-drop-since-5/04, from 16,400+ to 15,800 or so, may mark at least a s.t. top in that index, dig ?, ditto with the Heng Seng index from over 16,000....oh, and in case some idiots/95 %-ers are telling U (incorrectly, mind U, Psycle-wise) that, "the Asian indexes fall on higher Oil prices" = total b.s., because, they have/had been RISING for months/years, AS Crude had/has been ALSO rising, up to this wk., yes ?, jeez, they never learn, do they ?, but you/we do, yes ?, next....and, by Mon. aft. 23rd, Nikkei dn to 15,300 and H.Seng dn to 15,400 , C ?, cb just the beginning of a top in them , and probably lower still, ahead ?, and a small kudo for EWT for also calling the s.t. drops....but we expect another bounce, before they may break below recent lows....
13) that said, Unleaded (auto) Gas held recent lows, already up towards 1.90-, with its recent high 1.96 not too long ago, dig ?, rats....i did kinda figure it to fall below 1.50 recent low, sorry, chief....so, unless/until falls below recent 1.70, then 1.50, actually looks higher, even might make a new high, which will help (sic) Recession, causing more $ cost for auto-drivers, dig ?, rats....and, it sure is taking a piling-on number of 'neg. scary fundam. stories' to get Crude up to $ 68+, 1/22, hmmmm....how come is not above $ 100. already, dig ?, dgms.... 14) gee, did I read this right- the TMV of the entire Nikkei stocks Index, at 16,800 recent high, is 'only' about $ 45 B. ?
b) more, misleading, sensationalized, Late, and/or
improper/incorrect comments from the Financial Media, Reporters, Politicians,
Your Govt., etc.:
1) the EWT said, "the number of investors in Saudi Arabia has risen in just the last 5 yrs., from 50 K, to 2 mm", wow, if so....of course, their always-negative inference, is that S.A. has been somehow 'keeping the US mkts. alive by investing so much here", the last few years, which is, of course, more of their BS....and, they infer negatively further, when (not if, dgms), they stop investing 'here', our country will fall, yadda, yadda....yeah, right.... 2) and, in possibly-perfect PSYCLE nuance, am now reading articles, after they loved it at highs, hated it at lows as usual, that, supposedly, "JBLU is fading fast" - get it ?, U know what stage in its PSYCLE sm, that likely means, yes ? (hint: it aint a top, right ?)
3) and, with Crude popping to $ 68. the 22nd, lately, still below its $ 70. high, Iran announces it is going ahead with its Nuclear plans, and, China & India announce they are going to est. Oil reserves, buying Oil, ahead for that purpose....so, unless/until Crude rises over $ 70., I still say these smack of normal, usual, stage-4 Psycle sm stories one hears near tops, get it ?, re-read my Booklets.... 4) the EWT correctly, i assume, reminds us, that, in the past 40 yrs., every inverted-yield-curve led to Recessions....they said in 8/05 that it is 'inevitable'....yet, as usual in Psycle-sentiment, all 56 economists in year-end/ahead WSJ recent 2006 prediction article, see pos. GDP growth every Q. of 2006, coming - while EWT, and I, and the Doomers, foresee the Recession - but those 56 'famous economists' do not....so what else is new ?, get it ? ....meanwhile, while we do not normally 'do' fundamentals, Iran's Nuclear stance may lead other UN nations to sanction them at some point, and Iran produces 5-6 % of the world's oil....and, of course, in normal PSYCLE nuance, I see all the idiot/late analysts now liking Uranium stocks, 'because of Iran', as the pattern rarely changes....and, of course, no Uranium stk. is low, all are ALREADY way up, from where I suggested them 2-3- yrs. ago herein, yes ?, next....
4) and, from a guy Jon Markham, via thestreet.com, in as good a probably-fadeable story Psycle-wise as U will see, entitled - get this - "17 stocks that ALWAYS go up"....the symbols: EXPD, GLYT, BRO, GGG, SYK, POOL, FRK, SSD, TOL, CHS, CLFC, CATY, GGG, SWWC, HARB, FELE, ANZ, HME, NAB, NJR, as, in his doing, have had stocks with ''positive stock price retuns every one of the last 10 years''....and, of course, none of them were loved at their lows, and all are way too high to even consider now, right ? interesting: I know of very few people nor pros who have ever heard of most of those, have U ?, again, I rest my case....the 'overrated/overpaid pros' continue to UNDER-perfrom often, yes ? ....5) and, in 2005, guess what were the 3 best-perfroming Countries' stock Indexes ?, nope - S. Korea, Brazil, Mexico....and, btw, China was among the WORST, as seemingly only I suggested herein last year, yes ?.... 6) hey, here's a fundamental prediction from me, I dont hear elsewhere: 'wireless users/buyers' now total about 2/3 of the US potential buyers, therefore, expect slower growth in all of that, forward - another sign of Recession forward, i say....
c) more incorrect/misleading/sensationalized, and/or
improper comments, from Fundamentalists/Companies, newspapers/magazines, etc.,
vs. illogical/Contrary/Unlinkable, past/present/future Economic items, data,
and/or stock price moves:
1) well, for the 2nd time recently, 'the 95 %' were surprised (but not us) by your govt. ann. HIGHER crude oil & nat. gas Inventories, even with recent 'frigid N.E. weather', dgms, hah.... 2) and, as R.E. corrects, keep in mind that about 20-25 % of all biz/jobs in OC are mtg./r.e./bldg.-related, yes ?, so, watch out.... 2) BCA. Res. showed another vg chart, of 'the fed-funds-I.R.', vs. 'the SPX's PE ratio', and, guess what ?, while most are bearish on rallied stocks, and RE, etc., this chart back to 1960, shows that, contrary (as usual, re-read my Psycle Booklets) to what the pros have mistakenly misbelieved for decades, PE's tend to RISE, as the Fed lowers IR's, sergo, to BCA, stock-PE's may RISE, as the Fed stops-then-loers IR's in 2006-07, as I also predict will happen to IR's, yes ?, while "the 95 %' mis-believe that IR's have only begun rising, dig ? (fundamentally (oy), corporations are getting more efficient at margin-raising, and the world-econ. continues to get stronger (?)), they say....
3) Argentina is the world's 2nd lgst. exporter of Corn....now U know I normally eschew fundamentals, but they say they are having a drought, and, as U know, I am among the few who like the depr.-l.t. Grains, Corn, Wheat, etc., long, forward....hmmmm.... 4) l.t. uber-bearish Steven Roach, big-time econ. for MSDW, says, Americans w/d over $ 600 B. from Home Equity in 2005....interesting, since Fed numbers say they 'only' w/d around $ 200-250 B, hmmmm....i think the 'bears/doomers' are immorally/misleadingly (as usual) using the 'potential $ they have to employ/withdraw', while the Fed is trying to use the 'actual $ amt. w/d-used so far', dig ?, more honestly, yes ?, so what else is new, NL's misleading and hurting people.... 5) speaking of Gold, TRA/TDR says, 'the total present value of all Gold ever mined' is now, at $ 555/oz., about $ 450 B....
6) gee, if the 'experts/analysts' are supposed to be so good (sic), how come they 'missed' recent ests. on YHOO, INTC, IBM, etc. ?, announced 1/18 , which 'they' 'blame' the NASD stk. drop on, etc., yadda, yadda....but, interwestingly, in a rare potentially-correct move, S & P actually just Lowered GOOG from a hold to a sell, wow....one kudo to them.... 7) *** and, hey, get this: your govt. just announced their stockpiles of Crude Oil, are now +12 % Higher than at this time, last year, hah, like an increase of over 3mm bbls. - take that, perma-energy-bulls/doomers ....8) and, while I normally eschew one-co. fundamentals, Cendant, CD, may become like 4 diff. stocks, as it jettisons its 4 operating units, this year ?, could the parts end up being worth a lot more than CD, near its lows (where, recall, I liked CD lower, herein, yes ?, when the analysts all hated it, big neg, articles abounded in mainstream Finl. Press back then, s usual, yes ?)....historically, as i have mentioned herein B4, spin-offs have done BETTER after the spin-off, going back decades, so watch for this, ahead, l.t.
9) TRA NL says France & Britain are 'idiots' for having been selling their national Gold holdings, for/during 2004-2005, all the way up.....and, that the USA 'says' they cont. to hold about 262 mm ozs., worth about $ 130 B., now.... 10) and TRA/TDR, cite some guy's citing that "M-3 growth is skyrocketing a.o.a. sudden, up + $ 178 B. the last 6 wks. alone, which is an annualized rate over +20-25 %" ....they, of course, view everything as Doomable, but I recall reading where, most ends-of-most-years, M-3 rises, because Your Govt. pumps $ in for normal, usual, Holiday spending....what i need to know, and the authors did not tell us as usual, is what end-of-recent-past-years M-3 rises %, were, dig ?.... but, an additional little item of pot. neg. econ. note, I do hear: that ''total Fed credit declined by -$ 17 B. last wk.", meaning, less $ to lend out, get it ?, wish I could follow that, because THAT item, if falls more, continually, WOULD neg. affect this ecopn., dig ?
d) more, likely late, incorrect, and/or misleading,
comments, from Brokerage firms, NL writers, Analysts, economists, Money Managers,
etc.:
1) well, finally, even www.INO.com, just pitched, "is Gold going to $ 850 ?", and, in PSycle sm parlance, U know what THAT likely means, s.t. ahead, anyway, sentiment-wise, yes ? ....oy ....2) wow, foinally, Bob EWT Prechter, just formally admitted, "I have been wrong for a very long time", being mostly-bearish on stocks, since after the 1987 crash, dgms.... interesting.... 3) and, as usual, only after a big l.t. price stocks rise (re-read my Booklets), a new ETF, PowerShares = PHO, is 'water-related stocks, new issue....of course, i viewed the stk. px. chart of all 35 stks w/in it, and - U guessed it - only 1, is anywhere else but anear its a.t. high, already, get it ?, that one 'bopb', is CCC....next....as the PSYCLE pattern rarely changes....
4) a rare kudo to B.S., who, like, me, sees Ford & GM as depr. buys, esp. given the Media's piling-on in Neg. fundamental articles, dig ?, and Moodys downgrades Ford debt, yeah, right- not...R U learning the patterns ? hope so....meanwhile, noticing all the positive (opposite) press on CRAY, if U recall herein, I was among the few to suggest depr. buy near l.t. lows, when the analysts all predicted BK for CRAY, yes ?, R U learning the pattern ? hope so.... 5) Doug perma-doom Casey, predicts in 2006: gold to 700, silver to 20, oil to 100, IR's way up, SPX way down, yadda, yadda.... 5) and, reminding y'all, that according to the WSJ, wall st. is handing out over $ 21 B. in bonuses here....wow....not sure if they are warranted, as weren't in several recent years....
6) gee, since being perma-bearish for years now, the Agora/TDR/TRA NL people, only 1/17/06, finally ask in NL title, "recession ahead ?"....well, duh.... broken clock my ass.... 7) and recent MONEY mag. detailed fading RE prices, nationwide, coasts, etc., well, duh.... 8) well, since, in 2005, 'private corporate buyouts/takeovers' rose +90 % over the amt. raised/spent for those buyouts $ in 2004, rose to $ 105 B., and now, late/high as usual (re-read my Booklets), only NOW (get it ?) do we read about 'watch for a bunch of such buyouts ahead in 2006' articles in the always-late finl. Press, dig ? ....9) the EWT seems to be strongly expecting the Japanese Yen to bo of a 10-yr. contracting triagle, UP a lot, forward, hmmmm....as we have said, where were they when the Nikkei bottomed years ago, and is already up +150 %, and they are not yet bullish on it, as we were, herein ?, next....
10) add Palladium: only recently has now the EWT added Palladium, as 'the best looking commod. around now from here forward" - as usual, way later, and higher, than I specifically gave it out herein, quite a while ago, yes ?, R U learning the pattern ?, oh, where are my accolades and rewards ?, and again, know that the 95 % always 'add/discover' everything high/late, period....
e) more general, political, misreported, incorrect,
agendized, slanted, items proving why one should probably ignore or go/do the
opposite of, 95 % of everything else out there:
1) while the Doomer NL's have cont'd. to disappoint, BCA-research, Quebec, has, for years, been among the few decent econ. NL's, predictive-wise....anyway, recently, they showed a nice chart back to 1980, showing 'US home bldrs. activity', vs. 'inventory of homes as a % of households', and, finally, as i predicted a few months ago herein, it shows a definite H & S top in activity, and a Psycle-type saucer in Inventory, hmmmm, get it ?, would be a perfect storm if so....but the trouble is/has been, IMHO, the H & S top & btm., show since 1993-94, get it ?, I mean, a "RE-top' has been forming, if so, since way back at the BOTTOM-in-prices, in 1994 !, so, once again, while it certainly may be true, forward, with RE-probably-lower, it was NOT a good harbinger of any kind, since 1994, untill now, dig ?, so inconclusive, dgms....
and, by 1/4/06, reading more and more anecdotal stories of RE slowing, etc., NY, VA., Fla., So Cal., etc. - and, I heard from my Oregon RE guy, that now, again, their RE is again fully/over-priced, as many Ore. SFH's have doubled in price off their correction lows of just 3 yrs. ago, dig ?, so even that alt. is gone, dig ? ....oh, and just FYI, per-sq.-ft. prices of NYC condos and co-ops, hit around - get this - $ 1,000/sf, a record, late 2005....that, vs., say, 'only' $ 350/sf for condos even in OC, get it ? so, as I inferred, this leaves only the Midwest, Texas, and maybe the Carolinas, as the least expensive R.E. relatively, forward....
2) and, Jan. 1 was the deadline for Seniors nationwide to sign up for that ridiculously-complicated 'medicare D' plan - your govt. says, out of 45mm people eligible, only 6mm+ signed up....gee, I wonder why....your tax dollars (not) at work, ay....I still await much of anything the govt. does, to work well, and w/o special/political interests/crap, aren't you ? ....3) I just read in perma-doomer NL, TRA/TDR, that, they say, Shanghai R.E. prices are already off -30 % in recentl months, hmmmm...their inference, of course, is that's what's coming for the US coasts' R.E. .... 4) ho hum, as seemingly only I suggested herein last year, according to recent LAT/OCR, 'the OC" now has - get this - a SURPLUS of 'water', due to catch-up rains, etc., so much the recent articles said, that in some areas, the ground is not able to handle the water....dgms....see how CYCLES work ?, no exceptions, ay ?, anyway, watch for the boo-birds to spin this positive item, negatively, and, for OC politics to somehow screw this one up as well, ahead.... 'drought forever forward', yeah, right....R U learning the patterns ?....
5) and speaking of Political crap (is there any other kind ?), I just read where evidently, a few years ago, SBUX had itself classified as - get this - a 'manufacturing co.' (dgms), so it would forward, qualifies for special tax-code tax breaks....great system, huh....not.... 6) in their continuing e.o.t.world perma-dooming, TRA now says that "1 in every 53 Amer. families has filed for bankruptcy"....gee, I dunno, that sounds awfully high, you agree ?, and that "banks are now taking back homes faster than they can finance them....81,000 properties in Amer. entered some form of foreclosure in Dec. '05, up from 70,000+ in Nov. '05"....wherefrom do they keep getting such drivel ?, anyway, at least it seems logical that their stuff is mis-applied, yes ?, in that, I mean, is that a total of 81 K problematics, up from 70k+ already in force ?, if so, then, that is 'only' 81 K homes, out of MILLIONS nationwide, yes ?, dgms....last, he wrote that 'foreclosures rose + 25 % to +60 % in Utah, NV, Ca., TX, in Dec. '05"....oy.... remember, as taught U in my Booklets, "any even small # rise, from a very very low level, translates to, initially, a very high % garise", yes ?, math....
7) and, this from 1/22/06 front-page LAT, R.E. sec., yet another l.t. toppy sign in Psycle parlance, showing how, in 2005, the biggest price gains, like +40-50 %, occured in the lowest-quality, catch-up, IGR-like, communities, east/south of LA....for instance, Bev. Hills 'only' rose about 7 % in 2005, dig ?, perfect "PSYCLE sm" IGR", ay ?, exactly as seemingly only i teach....when the 'crap' rises, watch out, dig ?, re-read my Booklets....
So, as you have seen, for years now, how well one does, often, just "doing" the best 'individual' stocks, and rotating Ind. Groups,
chart-technically, and sentiment-wise, mostly long-side, while ignoring, or going
contrary to, 95 % of all Media messages, and "indexes/averages" comments, from
the peanut gallery ? By just getting my output, alone, you do much
better, and save time, by not having to even try to "seek, and process" tons of
other, useless fundamental info., anyway....and we also help remove potential
emotional decision-making problems for you, before they begin....
Always remember to view
"1-year-at-least past" charts of everything you can view, herein, along with
their 200 day moving averages (DMA's), to "see/learn" the "PSYCLE patterns", and
see where/when stocks in section (3) were Hypothetically bought near lows, and
put near highs....all % percentage 'Gains' are just logical ESTIMATES for L.T.,
ITM options, where they exist, and/or assumed bt. on Margin ("s.o.m."), where no
options exist....
"Q" = 'quick', i.e., after
less than a month or so holding, "VQ" = 'very quick', i.e., just a couple of
weeks time, and "VVQ" = 'very very quick', i.e., often after just a few days
since 'bought' herein....and, L.T., means 'long-term', i.e., at least a few
months' time holding period:
still more quick, large % Gains:
9 more Longs,
and,
5 more Puts:
as you have always done, please read them carefully and VIEW their charts
carefully, to learn patterns....note, "s.o.m.", means, 'stock bt. on margin"
(hypothetically)
all s.o.m. ALGN (5 3/4 to 8 1/4) for % Gain....1/2 pos. DALRQ (0.50+ to 0.85+) for VVQ % G....at least 1/2 pos. s.o.m. IDNX (4+ to 7++) for % G....1/2 pos. calls NDN (9- to 11-) for VVQ % G....bal. calls JBLU (11++ to 17-) for VQ % G....bal. calls MRK, LLY, for Q % G....bal. puts GCI (82+ to 61) for l.t. % G....all puts Feb. Nat. Gas (15- to 8++) for VQ very big % Gain....1/2 pos. puts DXY (92+ to 89+) for Q % G....1/2 pos. SUNW (3+ to 5-) for % G....1/2 pos. calls LEA (28 tpo 31) for VQ % G....1/2 pos. s.o.m. MIVA (4.1+ to 5.9-) for VVQ % G....at least 1/2 pos. stk. CCUR (1 5/8- to 2 3/8-) for % G....1/2 pos. s.o.m. BVC (15+ to 18) for VQ % G + div., bal. s.o.m. BVC (15+ to 18), bal. calls MRK (26+ to 33+), for nice big % Gains....1/2 pos. puts DCEL (8+ to 6+) for Q % G....
and/but, longs, TOPT or fobd ?, 1/2 pos. LEA, bal. PMCS (11 to 6 to 9+), ,
and, puts, WLT fobo ?, CTSH bo ?, GOOG, PTEN, DNR,
for quick, mostly very small losses, normally of small overall consequence to a properly diversified L.T. portfolio....are you learning the pattern ? if not, why not ?
NOTE: while most of the $ 5. to $ 10. stocks are listed here
as "stocks on margin" ("stk.on.mgn."), if one Had bought L.T., in-the-money calls
options, their % Gains/Losses would have been multiplied, higher, right ? We
prefer not to buy Calls on most stocks under $ 10., unless their patterns are
phenomenal, as their options premiums tend to be too high, vs. buying those
stocks on Margin, with close stops, where suitable, instead, with less arithmetic
risk, and yet, similar reward potential--- stocks themselves have no "premium",
right ? and, of course, if one just bought said longs for cash, and not
on margin, the % Gains/Losses here would be relatively smaller, though still
excellent, for such short holding periods, yes ? also, obviously, these
"hypothetical transactions" are always listed, from biggest % Gains, to smallest,
then all losses....
(either for Cash, especially in Pensions,
and/or on Margin where suitable, and/or Only L.T., in-the-money Options, where
suitable/available, always Diversifying, always with close Stops below/above
recent lows/highs):
again, "just get real close" to
suggested prices:
1/3 MLIN @ , ISSI @ 6+, AXL @ 18-, LEA @ 27+, L. @ 7 5/8, AFR @ 11+, +div., WFII. @ 5., PLCM @ 14 5/8, LSCC @ 4+, 1/3 F. @ 7.60 db, non, CMGI. @ 1.50+, 1/3 SLR 3.50+, and, a spec, Mar. Nat. Gas @ 7++ ? soon, close stop, s.t.o.,
1/3 CSCO @ 17+ non, 1/3 MIVA @ 4.5, 1/4 pos. CPNLQ @ 0.15 to 0.20 ? super-spec eh ?, and 1/3 pos. those 18.5 % CPNLQ notes due 7/06, @ 27-, with CPNL @ 0.15 ? hmmmm, eh, (note, JBLU @ 11.5-12.0 adj. for split - (sold))
NDN @ 9+, EXTR @ 4 1/6, 1/3 SUNW @ 3 5/8, 1/3 CVM @ 0.46 fobd, 1/3 PLC @ 0.47 non, 1/3 CIF @ 3 3/8 + div., 1/2 pos. bonds GM 10 % coupon, mature 2015, @ 73, 1/3 AMCC (fo)bd ?, C.AY.U @ 11 3/4 big div., ALGN @ 6.1,
"Repeats": (some of these are/were '1/2 size positions'): 1/4
SINX @ 0.02- super spec, IDNX 4.38, EVC opb....
remember, near major market turns/bottoms, you have been taught many times,
to "stick around and give stocks a bit more leeway, as to 'fobd's', etc.,
continuing to stay in, diversify more, allow for more risk, etc.", yes ? hence
the questions about 'fobd's', and buys that say 'fobd', right ? but some normal,
usual, QSL's still occur and are accepted along the way with no emotion nor
incompleting trading my way, right ? you're welcome....
*** Important: took,
DCN bd, IMH, HNR bd, XJT bd, TPOT bd ?,
and a few from the 'just missed' list below, Off the pot. Longside Buys list, before they might have been Hypothetically "bt.".... we do Not "Guess" at bottoms, nor tops....and, most 'missed' ideas just below, were also 'removed', to keep immediate potential Buy lists smaller for you....
puts: added, TIE @ 75 d.t., BAC @ 47, CI. ? fobo ? @ 117 ?, DCEL @ 8-, ADSK @ 44++, GME no, bo ?, STC @ 52+ non, fobo, to,
the CRB around 335 firm, AMZN 49+ non, HAR @ 104-, SBUX @ 32, EBAY 47- non, TYX @ 4.8% +, TNX @ 4.6 % +, DJIA @ 11.k-, DXY @ 92.5, OEX @ 585+, TLT @ 92+ again,
others, "Repeats":
see above....
and/but, took, 'anything already way down', and, WGII, ODP bo ?, AAPL bo ?, VSEA bo, NOV bo ?, VLO bo, PTEN bo, VTR bo, GME bo ?, DNR, MUR, HYDL bo, REM, CRI,
and the 'just missed' ones just below here, Off the pot. Puts list,
before "put", as they aborted their patterns immediately (also see recent past
issues taken off, herein)....remember, any new highs = off the Puts list
(although expect some "fobo's" along the way, have patience)....so VIEW their
charts, to see what 'aborted Puts patterns' look like, for YOUR lifetime benefit
....also, obviously, where they have fallen nicely, many of these were 'just
missed' herein as well, right ?
*** and/but, among stocks recently specifically given you herein, in sections
(6) and (7) below, we "just Missed",
BLDP, PLUG, LTXX, NLY, CDIC, OSIP, PLT, STTS, KEM, IMCL, GM, PHRM, CMOS, CCMP, DTPI, MLIN, MOVI, GM rats,
as Longs/Buys near very recent lows, and, PRGS, EBAY, SEB, NOV, DEO, COH, BMHC, UTHR, CRI, AMGN, NFLX,
as Puts/Shorts, near recent highs (obviously, they were removed from sec.
(7).... Every single stock ever listed here over past NL's was specifically given
you herein, in sec. (6) or (7), previously, and you very likely could still have
caught them, if you took the time to view their charts....More proof of the power
of "PSYCLE sm" patterns....again, just because I honestly admit to "missing"
some, which DO work anyway, that I give you herein, does not mean YOU have to
miss those same stocks....if you do just a little work, YOU may certainly catch
ones, which I may happen to just miss, herein....making you money, in both
directions, most of the time, while hopefully stopping losses smallishly....
(issues moving since last time, worthy of following-up, and/or
mentioning, because of recent price moves, still remaining long in most all of
them, unless otherwise noted):
**** note: (sos) means "Sell On Strength" (i.e., on
a bounce up towards resistance, and/or where it broke down from)....("S") means
Sell it here (if still right at/near the listed price level).
* suggested-herein stocks which are
acting a.o.k., and/or strong(er), hang in them unless otherwise noted:
also
be sure to VIEW charts of all given winners lately from last few NL's, to learn
the patterns yet again:
IDNX 7.86 up 2.96 nice, sos, JBLU 17 adj. up 3 nice (S), ALGN 8.48 up 2.38 v. nice (S), SUNW 4.15, 5.00 bo, CHINA 4.40 cbo, up 1.21, F. 8.96 up 1.41, DALRQ 0.89 stbo ?, AXL 21.36 up 3.60 nice, LEA 30.13 up 3.06 nice, IRSN 3.33 up 0.55 bo, L. 8.11 up 0.34, PLCM 17.05 up 2.66 nice, CSCO 19.42 up 1.91, LSCC 4.74 up 0.56, AFR 12.74 up 0.76, TLT 92.59 soso, SLR 3.89 up 0.36, WFII. 5.09 bopb, 5.36 stbo, TOPT 13.24, MIVA 5.99 up 0.82, COMS 4.74 up 0.61 cbo, soso ?, ISSI. 6.11 non, 6.58, DSS 3.59 up 0.44 bo, PLCM 17.18, SXT 19.15, up/further since last NL here....and, PPH 72.87, bo ?, with MRK 33.++ (S), LLY 58.75, up ?....and, IDNX 5.44 ctbo ?, and, SEBL 10.64 still a t/o....and, GM bonds up, of course....
and, these are either pulling back, or
bouncing, after expected pb's already occuring/occured:
MLIN , ISIS 5.69 up bmsfoe, pb, NDN 9.90 pb, msfoe, 10.95, mssf, CMGI. 1.48 pb, csb, bmsn, EXTR 4.58 fobd ?, 4.80, msa, PLC 0.55, 0.48, 0.60 wc, 0.49 bopb, 0.59, DALRQ 0.68 pb, TLT 91.49 pb, CCUR 2.34 up 0.33 ctbo but (S), AXL 17.95 dn 3.30 wow, msa, cbopb, 18.76, F. 8.13 pb, MIVA 5.28 pb, 5.65, 5.13 msa, SUNW 4.70 pb, msa, 4.39, 4.70, 4.46, AFR 12.44 pb, CEGE 6.04 pb, F. 7.85 pb, 8.59, 8.31, PLCM 16.60 pb, EXTR 4.65, 5.13, 4.87, CSCO pb, COMS 4.38 pb, WFII. 5.00 pb, cb, 5.37, SXT 18.60 pb.... and, that 18.5 % trashed CPN note, up from 27 to 44 recently, eh....
and/but, these
already assumed Longs, are acting weaker S.T., and/or must strengthen, and/or
must strengthen "again/anew", and/or must "break above recent high or else",
and/or are sales on strength ("sos") to/towards/near resistance:
(note, some of these are also in "pb" list above
....obviously, any stock near its lows, or close to breaking "must strengthen" or
else, yes ?)
IDNX msf, LEA bd (S), CPNLQ 0.28 up, non, ms, EVC 6.95 ms, 7.28, 6.98, 7.40, hold, FNGC 0.26, 0.49 sos, 0.35, 0.42, LENS msfoe, BVC msa....and, PMCS 9.95 up (sos), AMCC 3.06, 2.75, LLT 57++pb, msa....and, might TOPT be another fobd ? eh....ditto HNR 9.90 up , fobo, hold....
5) Already given out in
previous NL's, assumed Hypothetically long "Puts" positions:
(issues moving since last time, worthy of
following-up, still remaining long in these Puts, unless otherwise noted):
check
their patterns out to learn:
feb. nat. gas 8.30 dn 3.90 wow, hah (S) puts, PTEN 35+, 32.7, DCEL 6.17 dn 1.83 nice, ADSK 42.8 dn 1.9, SBUX 30-, DXY 88.80 dn 2.55, hah, cow, BAC 44+ dn 2+, TIE 69 dn 6, down/lower since last time here....
* But, then, these, are
acting too Strong, and/or are Bouncing, intraday, and/or Must Weaken anew,
nevertheless, and/or are sales on pullbacks/weakness ("sow"):
and/but
these must weaken anew:
TIE 75, 71, 73+, TLT 92.77 non, mwi, bo ?, mw, EBAY 47- non, DXY cbd 87.91, STC up, non, 53, 51.4, CI. 117, 110, DJIA 11,020 fobo ? 10,661 hah, OEX 586++ fobo ? mwa, 570 hah, HAR 99+, 93+,103 mwa, TNX 4.3 % yld dn a lot, hmmmm, TYX 4.5 % yld dn a bit, mwf, GME 39, 38, mwfn, SBUX 31.7, 30.2, TNX also mwa, BAC mwa, ADSK 42+, 44+, 41+, 43- mwa, 44+, 43+, are and/or up/dn, when/and they should be falling more....and, WON 16-, dn, even more, (S) bal. puts....and, GCI 60-, lower still, (S)....and, GOOG, 414, but then bo (S), but then, fri. 20th, 394, hah....
6) Now--- Here are Other, Fuller lists,
of still-Depressed, Long Buys, near their recent Lows Only, for potential Rises
towards resistance, always Diversified (w/close stops, when/if their basing or
"EVB" patterns break down):
Potential Longs, by Industry Groups, for "Rotation":
some
decent bases here, and many decent EVB's and double-bottoms, (but, again, Not
when/if any of these make new lows here, and, NOT if they are already "up", much,
off lows, right ?
some Depressed:
*** in lieu
of IGR here, just do those individual stocks below, as they tend to be depessed,
and still, there have not been as many clearly-doable I.G. sectors, except as
delineated/mentioned in sec. (3) at times, above....
We are Also "Watching" --- as potential EVB's, or "basing", or "double"
bottoms", near recent lows ONLY:
*** as S.T., "EVB's": in no particular
order, as a "watching" list: note, some have been on this list for a while,
allowing you ample opportunity to have SEEN their charts, and bought them when/if
suitable, yes ?
added, (in no particular order !): (be sure thay have not popped up too
much too fast recently, already, before you buy, and, note I took some off list
already),
understand, some of these stil need more work/pullbacks....this list
will be revised over each weekend....
added:
added these, note list growing as mentioned above:
'opbo', means 'on pullback only', yes ?
as you have been taught, be patient and selective:
of course, from here, most are ONLY on/after pb's, yes ?
but, now, 10/5, many are already up, so only buying them near lows - but you knew that....
obviously, many have already bounced, so bopbo for most, yes ?
added, MLIN, ISSI opb, N. Gas s.t.o. soon, LU d.b. ?, AXL, LEA, L, CBB ?, AFR ? below, SLR, CMOS, KEM, SXT, CCMP, MOVI evb, F., GM, PHRM, QLTI ?, WFII, PLCM, LSCC, MLIN d, to, SANM opbo, CSCO close stop, TLT, INSM spec, PLUG opb, AKS opb, EXTR obpbo, MIVA, PLC, JDSU mtln, CVM fobd, DBTC spec eh, SINX fobd ?, TXEO another super spec. ?, PCLE tln, PKS tln, IRSN ovbpbo, IDNX, EVC bd ?, AMCC fobd, SUNW tln, ALGN, COMS obpbo, held, HLIT fobd ? ny ?, SSCC fobd, SEHO obpbo....
and these may be just stage 2 pb's buys, and/or EVB's, with close stops below real recent lows?: NLS, PLT, UST, PLCM, s.t. anyway ?, also watching, CDIC, NGEN, WIW, ZHNE opbo, CTIC, ahead ?!
and, for pot. price rises, plus pot. high-dividends/interest while
you wait ?
added, NLY ?, AFR ?, PTF ovbpbo, WIW sta ?,
to, 18.5 % note CPN matures 7/07, again, @ 27 ? yikes, BLX, BVC, CIF + 9.5 % div., bonds GM 10 % coupon, mature 2015, @ 73 ....and, ZF ovbpbo,
and, been watching 2 cdn. o & g. royalty trusts, C.AY.U, and C.NAE.U, (APF energy
trust, & NAL o & g trust), but both were already up around 11 and 13++, when
added herein, and, now, are 13 and 17+ (S), so too high, were yielding 15 % each
at lows anyway, so tln,
and/but, not any of these above, when/if they make new lows or break budding
bases/patterns....don't "force" trades....and be sure to do your 'fundamentals'
homework on all, especially the lesser-known/cheaper ones....
(NOTE: again, if they are already down appreciably from their highs, do NOT
chase them down, wait for bounces):
note: as always, because so many patterns have changed, be sure to view
each of these, B4 acting on any !, recent drops to s.t. support means only 'put'
these after rallies towards highs, right ?, so removed a bunch, with recent
drops....and may remove more, so chk. charts B4 considering:
note,
finally removed some stks which had, obviously, already worked big-time, or
broken out, belatedly....
added, AMGN, ADSK, DCEL, NFLX, UTHR, BMHC oso, BAC, GME ? bo ?, CI. ?, SEB, STC non, TIE, to, AMZN non ?, HAR oso, big stk. indexes, FCS, SBUX d.t. eh, EBAY, and, extended Energies oso, Banks, Finls, REITs, Leisure, Gaming, Flour/Grain/food, oso, REITs oso, and most bonds on strength only....and, perhaps, the stock indexes oso again ahead oso, non ?, but Semis & Gold bo, until recently running into resistance, no longer cheap at all, dig ?
VIEW THE CHARTS....SEE where the 200 DMA's are....LEARN THE
PATTERNS/STAGES