1) "PSYCLE SENSE sm": new:
The tons of recent large % Gains in section (3)'s in my last few NL's, have cleaned up and culled a very good period/pass for my "PSYCLE sm"....

Tom Costello, NASDAQ guy on CNBC, Fri. 12:22, "tons of cash remains uninvested, dying to buy, but no one expects prices to go lower to allow them to get in lower....meanwhile, MSFT is starting to break out...." uh, geez, guy, are you OK ? this is another V.S.T. reason NOT to blindly 'pay-up' or buy already-up Techs, yes ? Pisani, Fri. 12:43, "I was real surprised to see some of the Tech. stocks price gains recently, and MSFT, YHOO, Semis, looks very bullish now...." get it ? too late in those....as usual....where the hell was HE when I was begging people to buy near lows in Dec. ? this is almost perfect S.T. stage 2 behavior, as usual, ay ? the pattern rarely changes....

then, Tyler Matheson CNBC at last Fri. close, asked, "I don't understand, why is money coming into market now ?" well, yeah, guy, you DON'T understand.... meanwhile, note more and more Semis and Comp. Techs. are hitting their 200 DMA's ....and you know what THAT means, S.T., yes ? plus, that previously-given NYSE's A/D 'saucer base' has already reached its initial upside target, therefore we sell into strength on already-up ones, while continuing to buy still-depressed ones, dig ?

another lesson probably not learned - by everyone but us: 1/20 L.A.T. headline, "positive January for stocks may hold promise for rest of year", is late-BS, because, as only I reported here earlier, 'the Jan. effect' ALREADY worked perfectly for us and y'all from Dec. lows, while/when most everyone else was improperly BEARISH about 2001 and Jan. 2001, just based on the first few weak days, back then, remember ? so, NO 'scenarios' (re-read my Booklet)....Of interest, since 1971, the 6 double-digit Januaries in the NASDAQ, continued to rise until each Spring, with a pullback in the middle, and in 1987 we had you-know-what later....but/so, as I mentioned here, after pullbacks in many issues, I do expect more rallies thereafter, and secondary rises in our still-depressed issues from there....And, some more of our Puttables likely to work out from recent highs, into the Spring....this, even with 'all that pension $ investing in stocks, ahead'....Ask who is doing the selling up here, S.T., as the latecomers just begin to buy already=up stocks, dig ?

always try to also VIEW charts of the ones we 'just miss' to learn the patterns even further, as they were also given herein specifically as well, yes ? more proof of "PSYCLE sm" power/value....

2) "What's Been Said, and What I've Read":

a) Important Industry Group (Rotation) notes:
1) well, as usual, looks like I will end up being the first to give out Homebuilders as Puttables near tops, as 'the street' begins to love them way up here (after hating them at lows, as usual), "because of lower I.R.'s", yeah right....CNBC also highlighted them Fri., get it ? ....2) contrarily and similarly, CNBC low-lighted Metals, which we like down here, dig ? the pattern rarely changes.... 3) even as Bob Pisani showed obvious resistance and double-tops in Bank stocks, said, Fri., 11;30, "while it looks like a double-top, because of lower I.R.'s and good results fundamentally, I would not automatically assume them to be slipping or breaking down yet...." Meaning, he missed them as sales/puts (while we caught them, of course), and still is not VG at the technical pattern thing....allied, since I was among the first few to give out T-0bond near previous lows, and out at recent tops, let me also be the first to siuggest, viewing a 'yield' chart, the 10-yr. T-bond YIELD looks like a saucer, possibly, higher (!), which should be a shock to 'the 95 %' who are still expecting another big I.R. drop/cut by the Fed soon, yes ? to me, looks, at best, like a base, for yields to RISE for a little while, the opposite of their opinions (as usual, huh)....wild....

4) my goodness, are recent reactions in stock markets perfect, or what.... Fri., already up as I have been saying, only now does CNBC ask, Fri. 12;27, "might the NASDAQ and the Semi. stocks be ready to run ? looks like all the ingredients for a rally" - when, in fact, it has already occured ! how many times do I have to teach people how things unfold in sequential "PSYCLE" ? .... 5) and, M.C. Cabrera, CNBC, Fri. noon, said, "the Latin ADR's are the biggest % gainers today....surprising...." Uh, excuse me -I was, as usual, the first/only to give you the Foreign Stocks and CEMF's recently herein right at lows, yes ? where are the interiviews of me on CNBC ? ....6) and, recall all those obviously-seen Insider Sales among Financial and Energy stocks back in Nov./Dec. - how could anyone not have exploited their S.T. rolling tops ? ....7) and, I am, once again, as usual, especially proud of certainly being the first/only tohave called the recent bottom in "high-yield/junk bonds" herein for you recently - L.A.T. Tom (don't get me started) Petruno's column 1/21, pointed out their avg. yield is already down from 12.3 % to 10.8 % VERY quickly....hope you got some when I gave them to you herein, before the recent move....

8) I did NOT expect the pop in Gold stocks on Monday.... 9) and, as the universe (except for me) gets super-negative on most all Util. stocks, note that only I gave out, but just missed, SRE, 2 weeks ago, see it ? ....10) and, oy, as usual, only after bounces off EVB's only I was first to give out herein for you Defc. 99, CNBC, Tue., interviewed an analyst about "Telecom" stocks - with their index up from 950 to 1275 quickly, dig ? learn the pattern....anywway, is already, as I said recerntly, up against S.T. resistance, dig ? caveat emptor....

b) more, misleading, sensationalized, Late, and/or improper/incorrect comments from the Financial Media, Reporters, etc.:
1) Pisani (see above and below here), "the HMO stocks, Energies, are clearly breaking down here....one more bad week, and Driugs and Financials will completely fall apart...." Gee, you LOVED them at tops, wher only I 'put' them, and, now hate them only AFTER drops, right near their initial downside support ! i.e., he is likely to be wrong again S.T. from here, dig ? and since when do HIS "late predictions" get rank on the mass Media ? oy....the pattern rarely changes.... 2) uh oh, CNBC, Mon. 8 am, highlighting Retail stocks, late, as usual....can't be great for them, S.T., right ? that said, our KM, JCP, ODP, LTD, LWN, etc., have been/are up as expected....

3) how nasty was 1/21 L.A.T. front-page article, "Utility stocks' tumbles hit elderly hard", since unlike me, they, and most NO one else suggested selling/protecting/stops when I did near highs, dig ? as usual, they offered NO items of D.A.F.P.P.V., the pattern rarely changes....

c) more incorrect/misleading/sensationalized, and/or improper comments, from Fundamentalists/Companies, newspapers/magazines, etc., vs. illogical/Contrary/Unlinkable, past/present/future economic items, and/or stock price moves:
1) this one is near-perfect: 1/20 L.A.T., correctly (but late, off highs I gave you herein first, and recently 'took' Puts gains in at 200 DMA's), asked, "DUK, REI, SO, ENE, etc., may not eb able to count on Calif. for big future profits....they could even lose if Calif. adds caps on prices, etc.", get it ? in any case, the 'first less-than-great fundamental news', only comes out, as usual, AFTER a nice drop in those stocks, yes ? the pattern rarely changes.... 2) amazingly, CNBC's J. Kernan, Mon. 11:25, actually exclaimed, "the Insur. stocks are doing REAL well here...." Uh, excuse me ? has he SEEN their recent drops only I predicted herein ?

3) DYN announced Tue., their profits for the last Q. were highest ever - note, as taught, as usual, this 'news' only comes out AFTER big rise in stock, yes ? ....4) similarly/contraily, as i reported earlier here, finally, 1/21, several NL's-who-failed-to-prtect nor predict-recent-Elec.-Util.-drops, said in the L.A.T.'s article, "Now they see that Util. stocks are no longer widow-and-orphan stocks".....well, duh....reminds me of a true story (don't get me started on my so-called friends and family also not giving me proper respect nor allowing me to help them -the last 25+ years), of how my aunts and uncles, aged 60+ in the 1960's and 1970's, losing tons of bucks as east-coast Utils. tanked, without prtection nor stops, as usual....that whole generation, wonderful in many ways as those people were, refused to learn 'patterns' of any kind, eventually becoming bitter and hurt, created solely by themselves, and way too 'thinking they were risk averse, while, in reality being not agressive enuf in investing"....'nuff said....when I was at EF Hutton, 1977 to 1983, I refused to pitch nuclear Utils. near their highs, and caught heat from mgmt. (as usual), then, they would not buy those same stocks/preferreds/bonds after big EVB drops/bottoms, from which they rose big-time thereafter, as usual....the pattern rarely changes....

d) more, likely late, incorrect, and/or misleading, comments, from Brokerage firms, NL writers, Analysts, economists, Money Managers, etc.:
1) why did CNBC have Elaine (put any word you wish here) Garzarelli on, all day Fri. ? well, at least she's been good for some decent contrary timing help for us over the years....they also had a useless analyst on Fri. 10;20, who, when asked about some big losers, said, "we're just holding on, no we would not buy more at lows....", which, as you have been taught, is normal in a BASE ! one stock was our MRCH.... 2) the pres. of Gerard, Clauer, is giving his people at his B-firm rewards for calling Declines in stocks more successfully....he has a reputation, as I do, for being decent compared to his peers, at downturns....kudos for him, regardless of whether he is better or worse than I at this....according to Zacks Resaerch, only 29 or over 8,000 recommendations on Wall St. in 2000, were 'sells', as I have been teaching is true, for decades....but, this said, to win his 'contest', a stock must be rated, and remain, 'underperform' or 'sell' for at least 120 days - and rating cannot be changed during that period, both of which are, of course, RIDICULOUS requirements, for obvious reasons....but at least a decent attempt....we shall see....he also mentioned how many analysts are reprimanded or fired for EVER putting out 'sales'....don't get me started....

3) an analyst whose L.T. actual T.R. was not mentioned (I wonder why), says, recent lows are NO more attractive than the interim 'halefway-down lows of last April/May....implying he thinks lows will all be broken....yikes....yet he did show a chart of the Taiwan Dollar mirroring the SOX index....he sees, at earliest, into Fall before a bottom....but I saw/see a S.T. bottom last Spring (correct) and a similar one formed recently (correct), so who do you want to believe ? was Jeff McgGrath, chief Tech. analyst at LEH, yet....boy, do we differ....of course, my followers already have big % gains in Techs, and THEY loved many Techs near last years highs....don't get me started....

4) more pans to all the major B-firms who, at recent lows only, finally downgraded VIGN, RBAK, JMXI, CNXT, etc., dig ? but true kudos to CS, First Boston for actually coming out with a new Buy on our MRCH, over $ 2, with a target of $ 8, took some balls on their part....of course, they also loved it tons higher, with no stops all the way down, yes ? ....5) Monday, Salomon SB's Retail analyst began 'buys' on a ton of major 'Retail' stocks....as usual in this not-cheap stage, analyusts always hang their hat on 'relative PE valuations', which is normally a BS excuse for not being good pattern-recognizers, dig ? oy....this said, this analyst was the only big dude to (with me) go bearish on them last spring....which should help OUR depressed Retail stocks....neat.....oh, they showed a chart of the S & P retail index, and it just looks like a rally-after-a-breakdown, up towards resistance, dig ? exactly as I suggested....of interest to earn, is how they are only NOW saying, 'they could be in for a rebound soon', when, as any idiot can see, most have ALREADY rebounded (re-read my Media booklet)....next....the pattern rarely changes....

6) I read about John Moorlach, who may have done well fduring the past O.C. bankruptcy case, said he put $ 40 mm of the county's pension $ for schools, into EIX notes, early Sep. and Dec. 1999 - even as its stock obviously rolled over and broke down....besides, as usual, having no hedges nor protection nor stops, this again points out the good I might do for these people - and is doubly-upsetting to me personally, since one of my supposedly best friends is tight with Mr. moorlach, and has still not suggested we meet, professionally, dig ? amazing ego insecuriity there, ay ? next....interestingly, he evidently bought Bonds, not stocks ?, very unclear, and they were downgraded as well, right ? and, somw schools again are gestting whacked financially....last, they wrote yesterday, that they also bought $ 40 mm in notes of PCG, as well....we shall see....could end up being an EVB decent idea, actually ?

7) another dumb analyst on CNBC, Tue., said, "he expects a stock market recovery beginning in the second half of this year".....interesting, since thousands of stocks have ALREADY bounced nicely, yes ? the pattern rarely changes.... next....

e) more general items proving why one should probably ignore 95 % of everything else out there:
1) another recent psycholiogical study, reported in recent L.A.T., proving once again, that "TV violence does indeed contribute to more adverse affects and teen and youth violence"....well, as I have been saying forever, 'duh...." Thankfully, the researchers lay much of the blame on parents, which is correct....but, as usual, Hollywood refuses to acknowledge of help this situation....when they easily could....don't get me started....of interest, one study says the 'negative affects' can continue "for 10-15 years later", which I found interesting....what do YOU think ? ....2) and speaking of great examples to set for children, the Govt., of course, will 'pardon' Mr. Clinton, for, you know....next....oy....more proff, that, if one has power, one can do just about anything one wishes, bad or otherwise, lie, cheat, mislead, steal, immorality, etc., at little or no damage.....in fact, politicians still receive tons of undeserved pensions YOU pay for, and, often, speaking income, books, etc., well, I'll stop here....

2) and I certainly won't hit companies when they are down, but, gee, getting back to 'responsibility for making decions that turned oitu to have been rough recently for them", now, those companies who CHOSE to get much lkower Elec./Gas rates, in return for allowing their service to be shut0-off first in emergencies, are now complaining....I mean, give me a break....hey, they made an agreement, that's life....geez, it's like NO one is ever responsible for anything they ever do anymore, my goodness...'nuff said.... 3) I also heard all day Fri., that the Bush people want a '180-day trial initial period', to 'judge his behavior', instead of/vs. the normal '100 day' transition all other past presidents have gotten a break during/until....sure, they are all idiiots, unable to know what to do anyway, and wantno part of making decisions here, dig ? perfect evasive behavior....just like the above stories, ay ? hey, I did not vote for them....

4) great - no....Mon., Calif. politicos now are suggesting 'they' will "trade higher prices against consumers to pay much more, in return for the state's takover of some Elec. plants"....yikes, thanks again for hurting us even further, guys....just what we need - politicians to run state Elec. biz.....great sytem, huh....

So, as you have seen, for years now, how well one does, often, just "doing" the best 'individual' stocks, and rotating Ind. Groups, chart-technically, and sentiment-wise, mostly long-side, while ignoring, or going contrary to, 95 % of all Media messages, and "indexes/averages" comments, from the peanut gallery ? By just getting my output, alone, you do much better, and save time, by not having to even try to "seek, and process" tons of other, useless fundamental info., anyway....and we also help remove potential emotional problems for you, before they begin....

3) Most recent Hypothetical "PSYCLE sm" transactions, to be mimicked, and referred back to:

Always remember to view "1-year-at-least past" charts of everything you can view, herein, along with their 200 day moving averages (DMA's), to "see/learn" the "PSYCLE patterns", and see where/when stocks in section (3) were Hypothetically bought near lows, and put near highs....all % percentage 'Gains' are just logical ESTIMATES for L.T., ITM options, where exist, and/or on Margin, where no options exist....