1) "PSYCLE SENSE sm": new:
3) Most recent Hypothetical
"PSYCLE sm" transactions, to be mimicked, and referred back to:
4) Already given out in previous NL's,
assumed Hypothetical "Long-side" positions:
7) other, still Extended/potentially
Toppy, "Puttables", near recent Highs Only, for potential Price Drops, using,
Only, L.T., in-the-money Puts Only, Always Diversified, w/stops if patterns abort
to the upside, for potential drops towards their 200 DMA's, at least:
a) Important Industry Group
(Rotation) notes:
1) well, it happens every once in a
while, to balance all the correct I.G. timing choices I give out so often, but
some depressed Telecoms broke completely letaly for smallish losses....some S.T.,
some L.T., and was a real surprise, since people still have to make tons of phone
calls and cell useage, to survive, but we never question the charts, vs. staying
in 'because the fundamentals L.T. are basically sound and eventually they will
recover, etc." B.S., right ? ....2) some Insur. and Banks puttable Gainers, held
recent lows and/or reached initial downside targets for at least 1/2 pos. sales
Gains....neat.... 3) with local auto-gas having already from 0.97 to 1.30 gal.,
one would have to wonder if wise not to have any Energy longs, yes ?
b) more, misleading, sensationalized, Late, and/or
improper/incorrect comments from the Financial Media, Reporters, etc.:
1) to prove again how full of BS 95 % of all politicians are, Prews. Bush, Fri., actually lied, saying, "I have never been more optimistic about anything in my whole life"....doesn't matter what he was referring to (but he was speaking about 'the futuere of America', dgms)....really, GW ?, "never" ?, about "anything ever" else ? I don't think so....this, on top of his, "we'll give more and spend more, while lowering deficits" BS lie, as well....uh oh....
c) more incorrect/misleading/sensationalized, and/or
improper comments, from Fundamentalists/Companies, newspapers/magazines, etc.,
vs. illogical/Contrary/Unlinkable, past/present/future Economic items, and/or
stock price moves:
1) re-read my "why fundamentals and media stuff is almost total BS" booklet, re: recent supposed drop in Unemployment rate -- don't you believe it/that....the ONLY reason our UE % 'fell' (when in reality it did NOT), is because - get this - so many people have dropped out of the 'actively looking for a job' rolls, because things are so bad nationwide mostly, those who remain saw UE fall very slightly, dig ? it would, of course, be nice, if the Media actually educated the country generally, so people would not expect the moon from here, economically, but that's always too much to ask, yes ? i am right on this, they are wrong, as usual....
d) more, likely late, incorrect, and/or misleading,
comments, from Brokerage firms, NL writers, Analysts, economists, Money Managers,
etc.:
1) and, as expected, thousands of analysts (who,
remember, get most things wrong, most of the time, even the financials of
companies THEY miss stuff in (dgms), yet accept big money from), and eggheads,
nationwide, are now scouring financials and details and footnotes of hundreds of
companies, in the wake of Enron, dig ? hey, they gotta have something to
do, right ? ....2) after the close Tue., perma-bear B. Schaeffer became even more
bearish on "breakdown below obvious support on indices'', which, as I inferred,
would be needed as a 'fobd'....and, B.S., Thu. (late, of course), exclaimed, "after 53 straight days between 570 and 600 on the OEX, that trading range has been SHATTERED !" ....as a super-bearish-from-Wed.-lows signal, by them, dig ? yeah, well, we shall see....so far, we are right, he is wrong.... 3) as the unenlightened masses on CNBC spew bullishly now about PG, even the most bullish person only had a L.T. stock price target of even $ 90 to $ 100, from tdays 82 or so, making their whole output pretty-much a waste, as usual, ay ? and they get paid for that crap ?
e) more general, political, misreported items proving
why one should probably ignore 95 % of everything else out there:
1) as I inferred first, according to S.O.T. Union speech, evidently our Govt. deficits will remain, and even grwo, now, "for the next decade at least"....amazing, and they have no liability of due process when theymislead and lie, right ? great system, huh....plus, this idiot Pres., actually promised - get this - "higher spending, and lower deficits"....I am not kidding....and he continues to say 'nucular' instead of 'nuclear', dgms....hey, I didn't vote for them.... 20 ditto to the 'world economic forum' in NYC, where B.S. 'protesters' tried to put-down MCD as "the source of global hatred towards America and consumerism and capitalism"....yeah, well, the hell with that minorty, as MCD's customers internationally outnumber their detractors (uh, it's a free country, right ?, so they are free not to patronize MCD, so they should shut up, but I digress), by thousands-to-one....as I have been teaching for decades, I am still waiting for other-than-Israel Middle-east-and-Communist-countries-with nasty-people-in-them, to invent mass products, services, medical, technology, sports, entertainment, financial markets, food, charity, etc., anywhere near what our little country has vastly helped the world with (instead of, say, close-mindedly blowing innocent people up, etc.), dig ? next....
So, as you have seen, for years now, how well one does,
often, just "doing" the best 'individual' stocks, and rotating Ind. Groups,
chart-technically, and sentiment-wise, mostly long-side, while ignoring, or going
contrary to, 95 % of all Media messages, and "indexes/averages" comments, from
the peanut gallery ? By just getting my output, alone, you do much better,
and save time, by not having to even try to "seek, and process" tons of other,
useless fundamental info., anyway....and we also help remove potential emotional
problems for you, before they begin....
Always remember to view
"1-year-at-least past" charts of everything you can view, herein, along with
their 200 day moving averages (DMA's), to "see/learn" the "PSYCLE patterns", and
see where/when stocks in section (3) were Hypothetically bought near lows, and
put near highs....all % percentage 'Gains' are just logical ESTIMATES for L.T.,
ITM options, where exist, and/or on Margin, where no options exist....
"Q" = 'quick', i.e., after
less than a month or so holding, "VQ" = 'very quick', i.e., just a couple of
weeks time, and "VVQ" = 'very very quick', i.e., often after just a few days
since 'bought' herein....and, L.T., means 'long-term', i.e., at least a few
months' time holding period:
still more quick, large % Gains, 1 more Longs (plus several
'balances'), and, 12 more Puts:
bal. puts RMD for Q, Large % Gain....all puts ADRX (75 to 57) for 111% G....1/2 pos. puts KSS (71+ to 62++) for Q 80% G....1/2 pos. calls NNDS (20, then 18++, then 23+) for 60 % and 111% Gains....bal calls DJ. Util. Avg. (276 to 283) for Q % G....1/2 pos. puts BAC (64 to 59) for VQ 44% Gain....bal. puts MMC (111- to 95) for 66% G....all puts AMN (72 to 64++) for Q 50% G....1/2 pos. puts PGR (150-- to 140+) for Q 30% G....1/2 pos. puts RE (72 to 65++) for 40% G....1/2 pos. puts IVV (117- to 110+) for Q % G....1/2 pos. puts IWV (65 to 60+) for Q % G....1/2 pos. puts MSFT (70 to 63-) for Q 44% G ....1/2 pos. puts OMC (90- to 84+) for VQ 30% G....1/2 pos. puts ONE (39+ to 36+) for VVQ 33% G....1/2 pos. puts FTN (36++ to 33+) for VQ 44% G....
and/but, longs, CIEN, CLTK ?, TEX ny, sos ?, VRSN, FON, ITCD, LWIN, BRW, SGP no, BDAL ?, VRA, MOT no, Q. yes, 1st pos. VIGN only, bal. AYE (33 to 35 to 33-), and, puts, ACV ?, VCI. ?, STK, CBRL, CLX no, FO, COST, WWY, MNTR, for very quick, very small losses, normally of small overall consequence to a properly diversified L.T. portfolio....
NOTE: while most of the $ 5. to $ 10. stocks are listed here
as "stocks on margin" ("stk.on.mgn."), if one Had bought L.T., in-the-money calls
options, their % Gains/Losses would have been multiplied, higher, right ? We
prefer not to buy Calls on most stocks under $ 10., unless their patterns are
phenomenal, as their options premiums tend to be too high, vs. buying those
stocks on Margin, with close stops, where suitable, instead, with less arithmetic
risk, and yet, similar reward potential--- stocks themselves have no "premium",
right ? and, of course, if one just bought said longs for cash, and not
on margin, the % Gains/Losses here would be relatively smaller, though still
excellent, for such short holding periods, yes ? also, obviously, these
"hypothetical transactions" are always listed, from biggest % Gains, to smallest,
then all losses....
(either for Cash, especially in Pensions,
and/or on Margin where suitable, and/or Only L.T., in-the-money Options, where
suitable/available, always Diversifying, always with close Stops below/above
recent lows/highs):
1/2 pos. LU @ 6, 1/3 pos. PPL @ 32-, 1/3 pos. SFY @ 17-,
1/3 pos. DTHK @ 6 3/8, 1/3 pos. NXTL @ 7+, 1/3 pos. CPN @ 10.2, 1/3 pos. CWP @ 11+
?, 1/3 pos. UNWR @ 7+, 1/3 pos. IMCO @ 11+, 1/3 pos. U. @ 5-, (note, PCS, HNCS, not bt. yet)
"Repeats": (some of these are/were '1/2 size positions): 1/2 pos. CNC @ 3+, 1/3 pos. GLW @ 7 5/8, 1/3 pos. TLCP @ 9 1/2, 1/3 pos. SONS @ 4-, 1/3 pos. ULBI. @ 3 3/4, CORR @ 18+ eh, 1/3 pos. BLS @ 38-, 1/2 pos. STOR @ 4, 1/2 pos. ONIS @ 4 5/8, 1/2 pos. ABMD @ 14-, 1/3 pos. BR @ 32+ ?, 1/3 pos. CYGN @ 4++, 1/3 pos. INET @ 8-, 1/3 pos. KO @ 44-, CCR @ 40- eh, BOY @ 7+, RIGL @ 4+, F. @ 14, VSAT @ 12++, CLTK opb ?, MCD @ 26-, SPOT @ 20, PACW @ 0.54, MICC @ 10, AVGN @ 9 5/8, NXY @ 18++, SHPGY @ 34+, MOT @ 13-, VIGN @ 3.05, the DJUA @ 275 again, ZIXI. @ 4.85.... "buy (only) low", right ?
** Important: took, , and a few from the 'just missed' list below, Off the pot. Long Buys list, before they might have been Hypothetically "bt."....we do Not "Guess" at bottoms, nor tops....and, most
'missed' ideas just below, were also 'removed', to keep immediate potential Buy
lists smaller for you....
I try to
give them alphabetically by symbol:
(new ones): 1/2 pos. GAP @ 25+ ?, 1/2
pos. ACAI. @ 30-, 1/3 pos. IART @ 30, 1/3 pos. GILD @ 70,
"Repeats": LE @ 51, CTAS @ 51+, BSBN ss @ 27, BBY @ 74,
1/3 pos. SVU @ 24-, 1/3 pos. AN @ 13, AH @ 27+, 1/2 pos. IART @ 31+, STJ @ ?, 1/3
pos. HDI. @ 55+, 1/2 pos. MEDQ @ 30, 1/3 pos. IGEN @ 41-, BBBY @ 35, 1/2 pos. UPC
@ 45++, PEP @ 49+, 1/2 pos. UST @ 35, CBRL ?, FO no, 1/3 pos. VFC @ 40, SKYF @
20+, 1/2 pos. NSIT @ 25+, LIZ @ 26+, CFBX @ 26, IFF @ 31 ?, SPH @ 28, ASBC @
35++, UDR @ 14+, BAC @ 54, 1/2 pos. ICBC @ 24+, OMC @ 89-, ATVI. @ 28-, BAX @ 55,
BAC @ 53++, CLX @ 41+ ?, ITT @ 51+, ONE @ 39+, PGR @ 150-, BBY @ 74,
and/but, took, 'anything already way down', and,
ROOM, STJ, DEBS, SVU, HDI, BSBN, PCOP, YUM, UCBH ?, PG, PHLY, and the 'just missed' ones just below here, Off the pot. Puts list, before "put", as they aborted their patterns immediately (also see recent past issues taken off, here)....remember, any new highs = off the Puts list (although expect some "fobo's"....so VIEW their charts, to see what 'aborted Puts patterns' look like, for YOUR lifetime benefit....also, obviously, where they have fallen nicely, many of these were 'just missed' herein as well, right ?
*** and/but, among stocks recently specifically given you herein, in sections
(6) and (7) below, we "just Missed", QCOM, XTO, CANI, as Longs/Buys near very recent lows, and, STT, RYAN, NVDA, as Puts/Shorts, near recent highs....Every single stock ever listed here over past NL's was specifically given you herein, in sec. (6) or (7), previously, and you very likely could still have caught them, if you took the time to view their charts....More proof of the power of "PSYCLE sm" patterns....again, just because I honestly admit to "missing" some, which DO work anyway, that I give you herein, does not mean YOU
have to miss those same stocks ....if you do just a little work, YOU may
certainly catch ones, which I may happen to just miss, herein....making you
money, in both directions, most of the time, while hopefully stopping losses
smallishly....
(issues moving since last time, worthy of following-up, and/or
mentioning, because of recent price moves, still remaining long in most all of
them, unless otherwise noted):
**** note: (sos) means "Sell On Strength" (i.e., on
a bounce up towards resistance, and/or where it broke down from)....("S") means
Sell it here (if still right at/near the listed price level).
acting a.o.k., or strong(er) :
be
sure to VIEW charts of all the big winners lately from last few NL's, to learn
the pattern:
ELC 1.73 up 0.50, VIGN again 3.80 up 0.80, CNC 4.09 up 0.98, DTHK 7.45 up 1.20, CPN 11.65 up 1.65, STOR 5.59 up 0.71, NXTL 8.30 up 1.30, IMCO 12.45 up 1.20, FLM 18.29, 21.30, LU 6.72 up 0.72, ULBI. 3.93 up 0.28, ANAD 14.22, ONIS 4.33 (B), 5.71, PPL 33.81 up 1.49, TEO 6.39 up 0.29, LLY 75.10 up 1.90, ABMD 13.95 (B), 15.10, ZIXI. 4.8 (B), 5.0, up/higher since last NL here....
and/but, then, seeing Many pullbacks,
and/or more Bounces after pullbacks:
VSAT 12.38 (B), 13.79, STOR 4.69 up 0.40, AFL 24.68, 26.20, ANEN 15.18, 16.40, NNDS 23.50 up 3.00 (sos), ANAD 14.15, 13.25, ONIS 5.20 pb, CHINA pb, UTHR 9.10, 10.10, BLS 40.20 up 1.20, DPL 22.75, UHS 40.47, 42.35, CEI. 17.30, CNC 3.50 pb, CPN 11. pb, INET 8.16, 8.59, PBCT 21.83, NXTL 7.8, 8.0, PEG 41.00, 42.36, DPL 22.70 pb, AVGN 10.06 pb, 11.40, CPST 4.05, 4.20, SIEB 4.25 pb, TEO 6.05, VLCCF 15.75 pb, ELC 1.45, MCD 27.20 up, ABMD 14.10, 14.70, CNC 3.80, MICC 10 pb (B), 11.39, BDAL 13.79 pb (B), NDE up....some of these are also in the "ms/sos" list below, and, those must strengthen or else....
and/but, these
already assumed Longs, are acting weaker S.T., and/or must strengthen, and/or
must strengthen "again/anew", and/or must "break above recent high or else",
and/or are sales on strength ("sos") to/towards/near resistance:
(note, some of these are also in "pb" list above
....obviously, any stock near its lows, or close to breaking, "must strengthen"
or else, yes ?)
SONS, F 14.00 (B), 15.35, 14.50, CLTK 10.35, 11.25 ?, SLR 10.97 (B), 11.69, VIGN (S), then bb @ 3.00, then 3.69, ZIXI, SHPGY 34.16 non, UFI, KANA, UAL, LNUX, PSEM, SCOR, ACTU 6.10, 6.64, 6.35, NXY 19.82, 18.85, 19.60, CVAS, TLCP 9.38 dn (B), 10. eh, BDAL 13.70 (B), 14.95, PDG up, TEX 16.85 up (sos), BR 32.34 ms (B), 34.69, WFII, DSS, GLW 7.56 (B), 8.10, CORR 18.39 (B), 19.65, ACPW 4.7 bopb, 5.0, TLD 15.75 (B), 16.35, CHRS 6.05, 5.68, MOT 12.78 (B) ?, 13.57, CTS 14.25 (B), VRA 1.07, 1.25 (S), AMCC 9.96 (B), 10.60, and,
most all Techs and rallied stocks, must follow-through up further....above their bases and resistance highs of this week....and/or, above their previously-broken-below-before-Sept. 11th-levels....and, AYE 32, 34, another 'fobd' ?
5) Already given out in
previous NL's, assumed Hypothetically long "Puts" positions:
(issues moving since last time, worthy of
following-up, still remaining long in these Puts, unless otherwise noted):
check
their patterns out to learn:
ADRX -7 1/2 (S), PGR -6, KSS -4 1/2, BCS -4 1/2,
XL -2, MMC -4 (S), UPC -3, ACAI. -3, AMN -2 1/2 (S), FTN -2 1/2, MSFT -2 1/2, AH -2 1/2, BBY -2, IGEN -2, QQQ -1 1/4, IVV -3, OMC -2, ONE -3, IWV -1 1/2, BAC -1, GILD -1 1/2, NSIT -1, BSYS -1, LE -1 1/8, AN, down/further since last NL here ....while, XL, AMN, OMC, ONE, approached/hit their 200 DMA (sow)....
* But, then, these, are
acting too Strong, and/or are Bouncing, intraday, and/or Must Weaken anew,
nevertheless, and/or are sales on pullbacks/weakness ("sow"):
6) Now--- Here are Other, Fuller lists,
of still-Depressed, Long Buys, near their recent Lows Only, for potential Rises
towards resistance, always Diversified (w/close stops, when/if their basing or
"EVB" patterns break down):
Potential Longs, by Industry Groups, for "Rotation":
some
decent bases here, and many decent EVB's and double-bottoms, (but, again, Not
when/if any of these make new lows here, and, NOT if they are already "up", much,
off lows, right ?
some Depressed:
Utilities, Entertainment/Leisure, Retail/Apparel, Cable, Brokers, Foreign
depr. stocks - like Japan, Agriculture-oriented, Golds, Telecom, Steel,
Telecom/Wireless, Biotech, Health-related, Chem./Farm/Fert., alternative Energy,
and Precious and other Metals, some Transportation/Airlines, Ind. Groups...and,
the 'defensive index' is improving as well....and, more Foreign Closed-End M.
Funds, at bigger discounts soon ? hmmmm....
*** and, of course, many
depr. Techs, Semis, data storage, internet, software, memory, computer -
relateds, below, and soon....ONLY near lows, as always....
We are Also "Watching" --- as potential EVB's, or "basing", or "double"
bottoms", near recent lows ONLY:
*** as S.T., "EVB's": in no particular
order, as a "watching" list: note, most have been on this list for a while,
allowing you ample opportunity to have SEEN their charts, and bought them when/if
suitable, yes ?
added, (in no particular order !): (be sure thay have not popped up too
much too fast recently, already, before you buy, and, note I took some off list
already),
understand, some of these stil need more work/pullbacks....this list
will be revised over each weekend....
added even more: but, note,
obviously, I removed a bunch, and some others are already up, as well (and many
others previously given from lows, remain buys on big pullbacks, also note,
re-added some previously whipsawed ones):
added, (note, we removed a bunch, and some may break today, Fri., after this
NL out)
but look at all the new ones - you know what THIS usually means (read
sec. (1) above), added these:
RTK, ELC, MDPA, BEAV, AFCI, EMKR, QCOM, WCNX, VRTX ?, AEP ?, CNX, CUZ, NR, XTO, SFY, INTV, MVSN, NMTC, NOVN, VC, MSV, LLY, RAD, IVX, PDE, RX, TY, PPL, UTOB ?, NRG ? ny, CPN,
to, AHAA, DTHK, CORR eh, FCEL, IMCO eh, MEDX, ONIS, QTRN, SBSE, UNWR, LBRT, GEMP, AMT ?, CRA ny, GLW, TXN, ULBI, PB, ING, AGU, FTS, IN, PYX, WR, NSI. ?, CHU, FLE, WCG, APC, QVDX ?, PDII, TIXX, INET, CYGN, NXTV, TXCC, CSAR, KCS, RCNC, FA, WXS ?, KO, ANAD, AETH, NUAN ?, U, CIEN, FAX, SATC, ADCT, AKAM, HNCS, HGSI, DLEX, RMBS, WR, PCOP ?, F, KME ?, FDRY, ENWY, GEMP, BCON nah, MDCC, KCS nah, KEI., AMCC eh, STOR, RIGL, ANEN, SCAI, ATML, PLXS ?, PNW, ALS, FLA, TEX no ?, BDAL, TLCP, STLW, TRMB, RT, BOY, RMBS opbo, AVNX opbo, JDSU obpbo, CTS, EX eh, CLTK no ?, MFDE ?, HYSQ, UAL, CEI, CNU, SLR eh ?, UHS, CNH, KTC, MCD, VRSN no,
as EVB's or bases....
and, some Energy/Alt./Svcs.: BR, RRC, VLCCF, PDE, CNX, XTO, SFY, CPN,
ACPW, NXY,
some Biotechs, Drugs, and health-relateds: SCOR, OSTE, SHPGY, DMN, ABMD, GERN, CYGN, AVGN, UTHR, UHS, LLY, and Drugstocks above,
among Telecom-Internet-Satellite-Commun.-orienteds: PACW, CWP, TLD, TEO, SPOT, BLS, SCMR, VIGN, Q. no, GLW, MOT, SONS, LU, NXTL, UNWR,
Utils.: PEG, NU, MTP, the DJUA @ 275 firm, PPL,
financial-orienteds: CCR, ALL, FAF, CNC, NDE, INET,
and, some more Foreign stocks and some Telecoms, Trans., and Auto/Truck replacement parts, opb's,
and/but, not any of these above, when/if they make new lows or break budding
bases/patterns....don't "force" trades....and be sure to do your 'fundamentals'
homework on all, especially the lesser-known/cheaper ones....
(NOTE: again, if they are already down appreciably from their highs, do NOT
chase them down, wait for bounces):
* added, BPRX, RYAN, NVDA, USAI, UCBH nah, TKTX, STT, to, BBY, AH, SVU, HAS, ACTN, GNSS, BSYS, GILD, NSIT, ESST, GENZ, IART, MEDQ, RESP, SAGI, IGEN, OMC, CTAS, ONE, FO no, ETM, IP, GPT ?, LE, BBBY, BAX, MEDI, PEP, GTK, PH, UST, UPC, CLX ?, HOTT, KSS, ATVI, CBRL ?, EFTD, UOPX, INTU ?, COST, BAC, LE, VFC, PGR, ICBC, ITT, IFF, IBC, GCI. ?, FTN, APPB, SKYF, UDR, BCS, NHP, AMG, from recent past NL's....
**** the Best Puttable Industry Groups: in no particular order, and/but,
understanding we have already HAD some real nice drops: added, extended
Building/Residential/Commerical-relateds, Semiconductor-relateds, and maybe Chem.
soon, to,
Extended: Comp./S'w/Educ. co's., Peripherals, Security....
Toys/Leisure/Video/Games, temp. staffing, restaurants, Pollution-related,
Aero./Def., Funeral, "Medical-outpatient-home-care", "commercial services',
'mobile homes', Insur. Brokers/Banks/Mtg./S & L's/Loans,
Homebuilders/Construction/Electrical, Health/Medical/Drug/Dental/Biotech,
Commercial Services, all types of Media, Apparel, Tobacco, Food, and some High-PE
Techs, all near their recent Highs ONLY, w/close stops above their patterns
highs....this ends putside-downside follow-ups/ideas section....
VIEW THE CHARTS....SEE where the 200 DMA's are....LEARN THE
PATTERNS/STAGES