1) "PSYCLE SENSE sm":
Please appreciate, how much time/effort I put in, to put ALL applicable, staged, stocks, longs and puts, which fit learnable, and actionable, "PSYCLE sm" patterns, into each NL....Sometimes fewer, sometimes more....Whatever I find that best fits "PSYCLE sm" stages, which YOU can learn/take advantage of, for YOUR educational/trading benefit, I will put into each NL....again, the "Most Actionable, Do-able, stocks, Here/Now", are in Section (3). And note, the "learning/feeling/sentiment" items, are in section (2) and (8). Longer lists and I.G.'s, are in section (6) and (7)....and all follow-ups, are in sections (4) and (5). Very clear sections. You have No excuses for not taking advantage.
3) Most recent Hypothetical
"PSYCLE sm" transactions, to be mimicked, and referred back to:
4) Already given out in previous NL's,
assumed Hypothetical "Long-side" positions:(issues moving since last time, worthy of following-up, and/or
mentioning, because of recent price moves, still remaining long in most all of
them, unless otherwise noted):
6) Now--- Here are Other, Fuller lists, of still-Depressed, Long Buys, near their recent Lows Only, for potential Rises
towards resistance, always Diversified (w/close stops, when/if their basing or
"EVB" patterns break down): 7) other, still extended/potentially
Toppy, "Puttables", near recent Highs Only, for potential Price Drops, using,
Only, L.T., in-the-money Puts Only, Always Diversified, w/stops if patterns abort
to the upside, for potential drops towards their 200 DMA's, or lower (NOTE: again, if they are already down appreciably from their highs, do NOT
chase them down, right ?): 8) "PSYCLE sm" Lesson for today:
a) Important Industry Group (Rotation) notes: 1) do NOT abandon the Oil Services, as potential buys again soon....but not those that break to new lows.... 2) our Utilities are still falling, as predicted here for you....3) interestingly, some Airlines held at support, and look O.K., I had given you TWA, NWAC, but otherrs, like, CAI.B, KLM, BAB, are already too high.... 4) and, on second look, our Gaming (HET, CIR, MIR) issues DO look O.K., after all ....but Neither I.G. is especially great, just letting you know....as I said, market looks a bit unclear, here....
b) 1) L.A. Times, 1/23: article, "Indonesia's Fiscal Crisis Now Seen as Less Severe": GET IT ? exactly as I told you to loook for, exactly as my "PSYCLE sm" teaches, by the time "the Media" reports "less bad fundamentals", the stocks of companies concerned are ALREADY up a lot....perfect "PSYCLE sm" action, off stage 7/stage 1 bottoms, last summer.... 2) cnbc, Fri. 29th, announced a study done by a big discount B-firm, showing 43 % of their day-traders made money, 57 % lost money ....their guest, 9:30 am, said, a study done by state administrators, in Colo., Mass., Tex, and Md., showed that the vast majority of day-traders lose money, and that the only ones the public hears about in the media, etc., are the "select few" who did very well, because of all the come-on advertising done by B-firms, Wade C-ook, etc. Both parties said, non-day-traders (longer-term) did much better.... of course, none of these studies are super-conclusive.... 3) L.A. Times, 1/31, front page, editorial section: another good anti-media piece, pointed out that a 1997 study done by the Pew Research Center, found that 26 % of those surveyed got their political information from late-night TV show hosts, and 12 % got their news from MTV....seriously....these were adults, surveyed, not teens....
c) more incorrect/improper/misleading Media comments from "fundamentalists/
companies/mags", etc., vs. illogical/contrary stock prices moves, etc.: 1) Fri., 29th, 8 am, Nokia beats eps est., stock falls 10 points....showing its parabolic, extended chart, CNBC reporter says, "you don't have to be John Murphy to see that this is a great-looking chart"....late stage 3 comment, right ? we add the puts .... 3) another thought on how the "CNBC reporters" tend to be too close to the action, forcing/creating excitement (re-read my "Media", and "Scenarios", and "Psychology" booklets), losing their perspective: when I moved from N.E. to So. Cal., one of the first benefits I felt, mentally, was a better persoective on investment markets, since the west coast is farthest from NYC, etc., dig ? While those people seemingly got all excited at every little thing, Out here, I was able to view things less emotionally....this has helped me over the years....this also ties in with my "anti-local stocks" lessons you are already aware of, so you get my point....it is another reason NOT to let 95 % of all Media messages into your brain at all.... 4) ergo, CNBC's Tyler Matheson, Thu. 28th, 11:35 am, said, (quote) "with the big-name stocks splitting, good times may indeed be rolling." More late stage 3 commentary, yes ? ....5) long-term note: I just found out that the pres. of "IMP", a bank stock I gave you herein, but just missed, is well over age 80, and I still think there will be more takeovers among similarly-positioned (technically) Bank stocks in the next year or two....like, GSB, and SSM.... 6) Fri., 1/29, two big B-firms came out with newly-added buys, on "LRCX" way up here, at $ 38., even though co. announced much Bigger Losses, with sales Down -50 % .... gee, when I gave it to you herein, as a buy, stock was around $ 10....amazing, huh ....the pattern never changes....
d) more, late, and/or misleading, Brokerage/NL writer/Analyst comments: 1) Thu. 28th, cnbc, 3 separate treatments, highlighted the DJ Trans. stocks/avg., and all, finally, got bearish Thu., saying "how bad the index looks", how it has been falling, etc. Of course, the next day, that avg. ROSE over 3 %....and, of course, the same guys who panned it Thu. (late, get it ?) are now bullish on them, Fri., 'nuff said.... 2) a quick word on the uselessness of trying to employ "relative strength": "AWS", a "short sale" I gave you recently at its "PSYCLE sm" rolling top, fell from 29+ to 20-, yet its "RS" remains at 99, dig ? makes RS useless, all-around, as taught in my booklets.... 3) Schwab raised its margin requirements on 20 Internet stocks for the second time.... 4) two more acquaintences who have never traded before, asked me excitedly, expectationally, about "the market".... not a good sign, right ? ....5) Mon. 2/1, 10 am, KWHY-tv, in a rare appearance, Sherman McLellan, he of the Oscillator/Summation Index, was pretty S.T. bearish, to about Dow 8700, Feb./Mar. period, after one more pop in the Indexes from here, due to weakness in his internal market A/D measures, which I have been reporting recently herein, then L.T. bullish thereafter....but, as I said, most every technician is saying that....He is also seeing T-bond yield rise potential to around 6 % down the road....he is aware of my output....you should know his actual real-world track record is worse than his reputation, but I respect his output tremendously, and he is a good person....It's just that, like any indicator-based approaches, there is often too many different interpretations of one set of figures (like Elliott Wave, which also does/has not worked that well over the years, but has a puzzlingly tremendous reputation, for some reason). His Summation Index is real close to falling below the "zero line", which also preceeded the June to Oct. decline, last year, but he, expects a lesser decline this time, than happened last year....but, last, as with all "index prognosticators" he is bullish and bearish at the same time, maybe....just too miffy....See why I don't even try to predict Indexes ?
As you have seen the last several months, how well one does, just "doing" the
best individual stocks, and Ind. Groups, technically/sentiment-wise, mostly
long-side, while ignoring, or going contrary to, 95 % of all Media messages, and
"indexes/averages" comments, from the peanut gallery ? By just getting my
output, alone, you do much better, and save time, by not having to even try to
"seek, and process" tons of other, useless fundamental info., anyway....and we
also help remove potential emotional problems before they begin.
Also re-read "the Guide" for how I derive the estimated % percentage Gains I show herein, on assumed Hypothetically closed-out trades (always assumed to have been in Options, where applicable/suitable, and on margin where available/suitable/logical, and on a cash basis where not, as per "PSYCLE sm" tenets)....and "bal." in section (3), means, "the balance" of assumed long positions, assuming a "1/2 and 1/2" sale....and, "css" means "covered previous short sale", where no puts options existed....
and puts, ETEC, LSON, EGRP, NLCS, PERC, USAI., GDT, PDX, MMC, PBI., and longs, TWLB, IAIC, SCNI., PRD, CSE, PAH, NBR, CYB, FLC, JOB, GLM, FCH, LOD, TLZ, IGL, VC, for VQ, very small losses, of little or no overall consequence to a properly diversified portfolio...
NOTE: while most of the $ 5 to $ 10. stocks are listed here as
"stocks on margin" ("stk.on.mgn."), if one Had bought L.T., in-the-money calls
options, their % Gains would have been multiplied, higher, right ? We just
prefer not to buy Calls on most stocks under $ 10., unless their patterns are
phenomenal, as their options premiums tend to be too high, vs. just buying those
stocks on Margin, with close stops, where suitable, instead, with less risk, and
similar reward potential--- stocks themselves have no "premium", right ? and, of
course, if one just bought longs for cash, and not on margin, the % Gains would
be relatively smaller, though still excellent, for so short a holding period, yes ? also, obviously, these have always been listed, from biggest % Gains, to smallest, then losses....
(Note: some new, "re-added" repeats !!!) AZC @ 1/2, BAANF @ 9++, BGO @ 3/4, BIR @ 4+, CAU @ 0.31, CCH @ 3/16, CPU @ 11+, CQB @ 9++, CXI. @ 5/16, CYM @ 9 1/2, DMN @ 6 5/8, EAR @ 5/8, ELY @ 10.06, FLM @ 9-, FP @ 2 5/16, GKI. @ 3, HPC @ 26.06, IIR @ 3 5/8, INPR @ 5, IOX @ 1 7/8, ISCO @ 1 1/8, KRY @ 5/8, LUB @ 14+, MKA @ 8+, MPN @ 4 1/4, MRII. @ 2 3/16, NBTY @ 5 5/8, NGX @ 1/2, NOI. @ 10-, NWAC @ 23+, PAM @ 3 5/8, PAR @ 7+, RYO @ 0.25, SAA @ 0.75, SSC @ 11/16, TCK @ 10+, TEN @ 30++, TFN @ 4 1/8, TOX @ 3/16, TWA @ 4++, UTI. @ 7 1/8, UPX @ 1 13/16, VGZ @ 3/16, VRC @ 7+, WATFZ @ 9-, WCCI. @ 11/16, WSTNA @ 2 3/8....most are still EVB's ...."buy low", right ?
NOTE: as I teach in the "green Guide" Booklet, you should
already understand/know, that, often, there is NOT "just one day" when my
stocks become "long buys" or "long puts"....some stocks may hit around originally
suggested prices, 2, 3, 4 times, etc., sometimes over a period of weeks, as they
may form EVB's, double-bottoms and/or bases at times, right ? When/if they rise/
fall in between those times, I will follow-up those moves, in section (4) and (5)
anyway....this is a Positive, a Benefit, for you....Remember, I have subscribers
who ARE already in stocks which have already moved before YOU may have just noticed them herein, dig ? And there ARE many subscribers who ARE viewing MANY of the charts of the stocks herein, first....and there ARE many subscribers who DO want "longer, more thorough, teaching" NL's/items from me....I give it all....
*** therefore, remember, all my given stocks REMAIN buyable/puttable, every time they hit originally suggested prices, unless/until they break their patterns ....even if weeks pass by !!! This is covered in "the Guide" and herein, endless times...."just get close", and do everything else properly: the stops, VIEWING the charts BEFORE acting, NOT forcing trades, and, of course, LEARNING the
stages/patterns of price, ind. group, and sentiment/media, patterns.
** Important: took, DEMP, TSA, RGR, UAG, LWN, LYO, FIT, P., --- Off the pot. Long buys list, before they might have been Hypothetically "bt.".... Note, I try to give "something for every type of investing/trading desire/account/objective", including some real cheapies, some $ 5-10. stocks, some over $ 20. stocks, and some "names" blue chips--- either, for straight Cash, and/or on Margin, and/or L.T., in-the-money Options, etc., so that all my valued subscribers have Choices, and for proper Diversification --- all still having similar, exploitable patterns, in each NL.
**** Newly BOUGHT, long "PUTS" (or "short sales" if no puts), for potential Drops: alphabetically by symbol: (new ones) ADBE @ 49, AEOS @ 68+, ASND @ 87+, BBBY @ 33+, CBRNA @ 59+, CNMD @ 33, GE @ 104+, INTC @ 140, JCOR @ 71, PROX @ 30, RAD @ 50, SYKE @ 32, TWTR @ 32, VRSN @ 95+, XEIKY @ 28-, YUM @ 49-....
(and, note, some "new" repeats again) AHAA @ 40, ATHM @ 129, AZO @ 34-, GTSG @ 66-, IIN @ 41-, LAF @ 40+, MCD @ 80, MOT @ 72+, MPO @ 32-, RSCR @ 25+, SLVN @ 33+, SPW @ 71-, TLAB @ 87-, TROW @ 37+, TSAI. @ 50+, UNM @ 60++
and/but, Took, AMTD, SFXE, BBOX, DRTE, ELN, LXK, KSS, ANF, JEC, CXR, Off pot. Puts list, before "put", as they aborted their patterns immediately (also see recent past issues taken off, here). IMPORTANT: sometimes, just in the few hours after I send this NL to the web site, a stock might break its S.T. umbrella top, or its depressed EVB/base pattern....And, of course, sometimes suggested stocks hit their "buy/put" levels in between NL's, in which case they are still added, as above....So I am assuming, you actually View their recent charts, BEFORE you consider buying any Longs or Puts, and you will see/know that the pattern is still O.K., and therefore buy/not buy them if their immediate patterns have aborted....this takes just seconds each to check/do, and will keep you from buying Puts/Calls on issues which abort budding patterns quickly after publication of my NL's, then incorrectly blaming me, when that is your doing.
....and/but, among stocks recently given you herein, in sections (6) and (7)
below, we "just Missed", GHM, DOL, OCN, ISV, as Longs/Buys near very recent lows, and, CTXS, PZZA, MCRL, MACR, MXWL, SAPE, DKWD, NOK/A, NCOG, ISSX, DRIV, ASC, PL, as Puts/Shorts, near recent highs....as one of the few honest guys in this biz, I will always tell you here, also when we "miss" actually catching suggested ideas, so you can "view/see" and LEARN their charts/patterns, for your educational benefit. Also, by viewing such charts, tells us whether the market itself is providing more bottoms/tops, at that time, right ? Another reason why it is important to consider ALL my output, each NL....Again, the idea is to Learn the "Patterns" of previously "given/done" ideas, for YOUR future benefit.
**** note: ("sos") means "Sell On Strength" (on a
bounce up towards resistance, and/or where it broke down from)....("S") means
Sell it here (if still right at/near the listed price level).
KRY 1 1/4 up 3/4, TFN 5 3/8 up 1 3/8, ARG 10 1/4 up 1 1/4, NWAC 27 up 3 3/4, SOC 7 1/4 up 3/4, SRR 10 7/8 up 1, PCAR 44 1/4 up 3 1/2, AIN 21 up 1 1/2 (S), CBRL 23 3/8 up 7/8, WEL 2 7/8 up 3/8, OFIS 6 3/4 up 1, VLO 19 up 1 1/2, MANU 9 1/4 up 3/4, LUB 15 3/4 up 1, FHCC 17 up 7/8, DGSIF 3 1/2, WSTNA 2 1/2, AIMM 2 1/2, TXB 4 5/8, BCP 7 1/2, IT 24 3/4, ICI. 37-, EAR 3/4 up 1/4, WCCI. 7/8 up 3/16, up/further, since last time here....
*** note, these "follow-on" further rises, normally represent "stage 2" rises, in their "PSYCLE sm", after pullbacks, dig ? ....some much bigger rises became stage 3: among issues given you near their lows herein, KLIC 29, LRCX 38, CYMI. 30-, CKFR 42-, ROP 22+, LIZ 38, TER 66, LPX 20+, LSI. 28, SGI. 20+, WJ 26+, LE 32, CD 22, IIF 8+, MS 2 7/8, higher still....and, Ampex, which I gave you hereright near its lows, hit 5 1/2, and should have been sold for a huge gain....AIN, and, LIZ, hit their 200 DMA....
note: please try to appreciate, that I have some subscribers who want "real
quick and out" trades, and others, who want the "multi-month holds for bigger
potential gains" trades....by VIEWING the "higher still" list above, you will
hopefully learn better PERSPECTIVE in the overall chart patterns, and what can
really be accomplished at times, if one lets them....another, of many reaons why
we are so against "day-trading": why anyone would limit one's potential, and
increase one's stress, and actually want to spend more time having to watch and process more things, on purpose, is beyond illogic. With my "PSYCLE sm", we trade less, hold positions longer, do not have to watch every minute, and have much less stress.
and/but, then, seeing Many pullbacks, CPU 13 3/8 up 2 3/8, MIFGY 10 up 1 1/8, ELY 11 3/8 up 1 1/4, NETM 2 7/8 up 3/8, then 2, ELCO 2 up 1/2, TWA 5 up 1/2, VLO 19 up 1 3/4, CDE 5 1/8 up 1/2, BEZ 19 7/8 up 1, ESV 9 1/2 up 1/2, HPC 27 1/4 up 1 1/4, (Oil Service: HAL, NE, VRC, UTI., PDE, NBR, HP, etc.), INPR, ISSI., BAANF, SHG, ESOL, MATK, HPC, GHV, NBTY, CENT, SEW, UPX, CMND, RXSD, SAMC, CBMI., CTI., TEN, SAA, MGN, MAH, WKGP, FNL, MCL, SHG, ATX/A, COE, PMK, LXR, HPH, MSX, BIR, CCC, MPN, SUL, BTC, SSC, CCH, IHS, ICI., AG, and all Metals....some of these are also in "ms" list below....
again, please do not be afraid of buying the "Real Depressed
Stocks", even in pension accounts, always diversifying, with close stops....
Again, you Must buy at least a FEW, to increase your chances of being in the
bigger movers....Lesson: there is NO such thing as "but, Jim, which 1 or 2 are
your favorites ?" It is impossible, and illogical, to expect anyone to be able
to choose just 1 or 2, out of 2,500 issues....maybe 5 to 10, long-siders, and
also 5 to 10, put-siders, sometimes, but never just 1 or 2....One must also
eliminate one's "PSY-chological need for excitement", and/or of "instant/S.T.
gratification"
**** New Important Item: in the same manner that we sometimes get "fakeout breakouts" to the upside, with some of our Puttables, we, here, are now likely to see some "fakedown breakdowns" among some of our depressed potential buys/holds, on the long-side....meaning, we are giving a bit more "leeway" to stocks in, for instance, the Oil Service, a Metals, and such, industry groups, when those stocks listed here in section (4), have slight-breaks of their depressed chart patterns ....because, as you know, historically, many "fakedown breakdowns" will "revalidate", and end up rising as expected, given a little more time, anyway, dig ? Obviously, how you deal with these stocks, is totally up to YOU--- a matter of each individual's personal taste, situational needs, and risk parameters....I have tried to cut, Q, S losses in those that have farther to drop once they break, but have retained those which do not seem to have much farther to drop, before they revalidate, and become decent shots on the long-side anyway, dig ? Regardless, I am not going to fight the tape....one can almost always get back in wnay....last, there are many such stocks, so, if one misses one, or has a Q,S,L in one, one can easily still catch others, in the same I.G., yes ?
* and/but, these
already assumed Longs, are acting weaker S.T., and/or must strengthen, and/or must strengthen "again/anew", and/or must "break above recent high or else", and/or are sales on strength ("sos") to/towards/near resistance:
(note, some of these are also in "pb" list above) (note new stocks ! ) WAFTZ, ESOL, IMO, AZC, GHV, UTI., TRI., VRC, MKA, DMN, AOI., PGO, BEV, WSTNA, MRII., LSN, LFB, SAA, DBRSY, PDE, SEW, HMY, GKI., MSN, BEZ, WCCI., FLM, ULB, MPN, LFB, WORK, LXR, HPH, PMK, BEZ, WKGP, MHR, MCL, IHS, IMG, CXI., SSC, TMA, ADM, TOX, CAU, AG, cheap golds, oil services....
5) Already given out in
previous NL's, assumed Hypothetically long "Puts" positions:
(issues moving since last time, worthy of
following-up, still remaining long in these long Puts, unless otherwise noted):
Note: these have always been listed, by "number of points falling", from
most, to least...."(sow)" means, "Sell long puts On next Weakness, towards/near
support"...."(S)" means sell/sold their long Puts right near here, and/or as in
section (3) above....I follow-up every idea mentioned, for your benefit....
remember, these are NOT "overnite" trades, they take a little time to fulfill, so
please have some patience, and no emotion, nor antsiness....let them do their
thing. **** IMPORTANT, you MUST view the 200 DMA's of our Puttables, past and
present, for their potential support targets/areas/prices....
* but, then, these, are
acting too Strong, and/or are Bouncing, and/or must weaken anew, and/or are sales
on pullbacks/weakness (sow): (some new names here) QLGC +14, MSPG +10, ATHM -6, +12, SBUX +4, PKN +3, GTSG +4, -2, RAD +2, MOT -2 1/2, SLVN -1 1/4, WABC +1, -1, SLR -2, GNTX -1, TROW -1, MOT, MKL, AZO, UFPI., EXPD, BMET, COMS, BEL, SSP, CEFT, MCD, GTSG, DCLK, LLTC, CSGS, TLAB, FRO, SHX, ESRX -2, GPU, GPSI., TSAI, IQIQ, CHTT -1 1/2, BRG, AZO, FAM, SYY, AMP, MYG, SVU, BSYS, AHAA, BXM, CPQ -1, SPW, WPI., VL, DL....
Remember, we either buy our
Puts right up near each stock's high, or not at all....but you can still view
their charts, to "see" previously formed/worked/aborted "PSYCLE sm" patterns, to
hopefully Learn from.
"Potential Longs, by Industry Groups, for Rotation":
some decent bases here, and many decent EVB's and double-or-triple- bottoms, (but, again, Not when/if any of these make new lows here, and, NOT if they are already "up", much, off lows, right ?):
NOTE: obviously, given recent pops, has gotten more difficult to find "depresseds still right near their lows", so keep that in mind....we'll sometimes pay an eentsy bit more, but will NOT "pay up" much.
"Leisure/Entertainment": (besides, ELY, PIN, PRD, WCCI.), found several other real cheapies in the Mansfield charts, which I share below here.
Computer/Techs: please see Techs, listed, in the "watching" section, just below.
(Y2K) "Year 2000": (DDIM, SAA, UBIX, CMND, MIFGY, Only near recent lows)
Prec.Metals (NGX, CBJ, TVX, GLDR, CCH, VGZ, CAU, BGO, RYO, some real cheapies, riskier, most need more work/time)
"Basic Inds." (Chem., Farm, Steel, Copper) (BIR, RTC, MAH, CYM, CSE, CCC, FNL, HPC, TEN, AG)
Energy/and Oil Svc. (IIR, UTI., UMR, WEL, VRC, VTS, PXD, PGO, near their recent lows, Only)
Biotech/Health/Medical (add, VTR, IOX, to, TAROF, COB, MATK, FHCC, CBMI., RXSD, NOV, GNSA, TOX, ULB, CCLR, ALLP, TOX, MPN, MT, TXB, HIV, SHG, LH)
Consumer/Retail/Apparel/Shoes (REV, NBTY, SRR, COO, PVH, HMY, KFI., MSN, UNO, BLM, GCO, HBI.)
Hotel/Gaming/REIT (HMT, MIR, ILX, PAM, HET, CIR, SER)
And, as I pointed out earlier here, some depressed R.E.I.T./Financials/ Mtg.-type/R.E., stocks, many with huge Insider Buying a while ago, some with very high "potential" dividends (more boring, though), may shape up ahead....watching, in no particular order, add, EOP, ICH, SMT, WIR, to, LTC, HOT, LSN, BD, PRT, SMT, WDN, RTC, ARI., FHS, NHR, BRE, AAC, ALF, AML, BNP, BOY, BRI., CPP, CRO, PMC, ENN, FBG, NDE, JPR, MAA, RFS, TMA, IMH, FP, MT, if you need some maybe's, on pullbacks only)
and/but, Important: also, took these Off the pot. long Buy list, Before they might have been Hypothetically "bt.": DEMP, TSA, RGR, UAG, LWN, FIT, LYO, P., --- were taken Off....These/they just need more work, technically ....we do NOT "Guess" at bottoms....we want only the EVB's, which set up properly ....we MUST also see the cathartic/high volume, in "PSYCLE sm" stage 7", first.
We are Also "Watching" --- as potential EVB's/bottoms, near recent lows ONLY:
add, AGU, ATW, BCF, BSX, CP, DRC, FAX, FGI., FTS, FWC, GLBL, HXL, IAD, IMG, MB, OE, SDC, TAM, TK, TRP, VLO, WFT, XTO, to, those listed in section (3), and those just above here, plus, "repeats" (alphabetically by symbol) ACE, ADM, ALN, ALR, AOI., ARG, BAANF, BDR, BEV, BEZ, BGO, BMC, BTC, CBJ, CBRL, CENT, CEXP, CFS, CLCDF, CNB, CNU, CPU, CQB, CXI., CYB, DETC, DMN, DOL, EAR, ELCO, GDC, GHM, GHV, GKI., HCM, HDG, HLX, HMY, HPH, ILX, IMP, INPR, ISSI., JLG, JOB, KNE, KRY, LH, LKI., LSN, LUB, MANU, MKA, MLP, MSX, NAUT, NEM, NETM, NOX, NPSI., NWAC, OI., OLGC, PDE, PDS, REV, SEW, SOC, SSN, STRX, SUPX, TBI., TCK, TDW, TFN, TIE, TMO, TWA, VLO, WKGP, WTT, VSNR, still, most all as "EVB's" (again, note, most are "Techs", with some "Finls., Foreign, Health"), plus, the Value Line issues: NSANY, OFIS, SEW, MGN)....some here, some Not just yet, as some still need more work, technically ....and/but most, only on pullbacks towards lows....and/but, not any of these, when/if they make new lows or break budding bases/patterns.... don't "force" trades....
*** NEW: these are longer, tighter depressed bases, directly from
longer-term, 2 1/2-year, "Mansfield" charts:
health, medical/pharm. (AIMM, ALLP, MRII., NPRO, TAROF, VMRX)
comp./tech./s'ware: (CSRE, GTSI., LSKIC, MIDI., OBJS, KTEC, PNCL)
telecom, etc.: (APAC, MRVC)
leisure/entert.: (SHOW, FAIRE, ONST, WCCI., (all real risky/cheap)
capital goods: (DETC, DSGIF, FAVS, ISCO, JPEI., WAFTZ, WSTNA) (most are bigger companies)
Note, some of these have high $ cash/share, little or no debt, and/or
earnings, for those of you who value those things....others are REAL cheapies/very risky....there are others I am checking, with similar patterns, will let you know....mind you, these are NOT "very-short-term" trades....but some
subscribers wanted some longer, depressed basers, so here they are....just
providing something for every need....
**** The potential Longs above are chosen, First, by their EVB, or "base"
technical chart patterns, then, I do do a "little Fundamentals research" on each,
to make sure they are viable companies, with no "hidden time bombs"....Last, on
some of these, you are going to have to stretch your time-frame out a bit, this
time around, as some of these may, like after the last few mini-crashes, take
weeks instead of days, months instead of weeks, to form any bases/EVB's, and/or
rise, dig ?
Fuller, Potential Puts
list, by Industry groups where practical, near their highs ONLY, do NOT "chase
down" much:
note: this list supercedes all previous ones....these are the
ONLY Puttables here, all others have been removed....note Larger/Growing list !!!
(banks/insur.) HLI., TROW, UNM, WABC,
(comp./techs/s'ware) BSYS, CPQ, PKN, MANH, QLGC, TSAI.,
(telecom/commun.) CDRD, COMS, CSN, LIN, PROX, TLAB,
(medical/health/drug) BMET, BGEN,
(internet) ATHM, EBAY, GNET, MSPG,
(retail/food) add, AEOS, to, AZO, BBBY, MCD, RAD, SBUX, SVU, YUM,
**** also watching: add, ADBE, AFL, ALO, APCC, ASND, BMY, BVEW, CBRNA, CMTO, CNET, CNMD, COX, CTAS, CTXS, DISH, DRIV, GE, GNSSF, INTC, INTU, JCOR, LU, LUK, NOK/A, NSOL, NTBK, ORU, PEP, PLCM, PMCS, RFMD, SCI., TFSW, TYC, VOD, VRTS, WPO, XEIKY, XMCM, to, ("repeats") ADPT, AHAA, ALSI., AMP, ASC, BBOX, CCRD, CEFT, CFR, CSGS, DKWD, DLTR, DL, EFII., ESRX, EXPD, FNM, GAC, GMSTF, GNTX, GPS, GPU, GTSG, HAN, IIN, INKT, IMNX, IQIQ, ISSX, JBL, LCOS, LAF, LLTC, MACR, MANH, MCRL, MEDQ, MKL, MM, MPO, MRIS, MYG, NAB, NCOG, PL, PLH, PZZA, SAPE, SCH, SCMM, SEEK, SEGU, SLVN, SPW, SSP, TWTR, UFBI., USTC, USW, VECO, VRSN, WHC, WIND, WPI....
**** the Best Puttable Industry Groups: in noe particular order, Extended Supermarket, Restaurants, Retail, Cap. Goods, Blue Chips, Homebuilding, Consumer, Utilities, Banks, Health/Medical/Drug/Biotech, Insurance, Finance, Computer, Internet, Aero./Def., Food/Bev., High-PE techs, and all Tele.-Commun., in no particular order, as the most probable Puttables, near their recent Highs ONLY, w/close stops above their patterns....also, note how we are revisiting some of our past Puttable stocks....the list Grows....
VIEW THE CHARTS....VIEW THE 200 DMA....VIEW THE CHARTS....
the depressed Oil Service stocks may be forming rare "saucer/saucepan with a handle" formations, out to the right of the pattern....this is an extremely difficult pattern, but is normally bullish when it resolves, eventually....it is just next to just impossible to time the "last bottom on the right", if you view their charts.....am trying my best to help you with this one....but it is just one I.G., of many, right ?
I have been so busy, expending so much time/effort, researching, finding, and giving the ideas I do in each NL lately, I have not had time to give more "Lessons" here lately, nor to finish 3 more real valuable "Booklets"....Besides all the previous Lessons you have hopefully gleaned from all my past materials, NL's, ideas, and my (7) educational Booklets, I re-ran "the seven sequential stages of my "PSYCLE sm", from 12/7 NL, through the 12/28 NL....refer back to those section (8) lessons any time....hope they helped....but NO special "lesson" today, except to re-read recent explanations of stages 1-7....take this time to VIEW charts from section (3) and (6)....
NEW NOTE: just a quick reminder, that, as per the green "Guide", a stock
herein may certainly be found, in 1, 2, 3, even 4, different sections of my NL at
any given time....this is logical, and helpful for you....example: it may be in
sec. (3) as a new buy at a certain price area, and, in sec. (4) if it has risen or fallen decently from the bought level, as I follow-up its movements for your benefit, and, still also in sec. (6) as a buy when/if it pulls back to its original suggested buy level....This is a GOOD thing for you, NOT a bad/confusing thing....A stock might have risen, from, say, $ 6 (sec. 3) , to $ 7 1/4 (sec. 4 follow-up), then is pulling back again (sec. 4, next paragraph), and, when/if it pulls back towards $ 6 again,. without breaking its original pattern, is remains a buy (sec. 6)....GOT THAT ? Finding such ideas among the "repeats" in sec. 3, ilisutrates this helpful item....It is very simple, as I have said umpteen times: all suggested stocks remain actionable when/if they remain/return to original prices, in the future, provided their original chart pattern is still intact.... period.
Plus, as you have seen among "repeats" in sec. 3, often, a stock WILL sometimes return to its original actionable price levels, and some will end up "revalidating" after initial slight breaks of patterns, which is also of little consequence, since your transaction costs are so low, and you have eliminated all emotions from the process, you can always get back in, at those times, yes ? (plus, as I taught you, we give a bit more 'leeway' at the special year-end period, employing a bit less strict/tight stops, right ?)
Remember, the time length of the full trip from stage 1 through 7, can be one
year, or ten years, or 100 years, depending on one's desired perspective....A
stock can be in one stage S.T., and another stage L.T. Now, one cannot have
"everything", that is, we try not to turn a S.T. position into a L.T. position,
and we never even try for "potential 10-baggers over several years"....One must
decide beforehand, whether one expects a S.T. trade or a L.T. investment....But
at least knowing the normal, usual characteristics of each sequential stage, puts
us way ahead of "the 95 %". I use 1-year and 2-year charts, period, because we
seek 1-2-3-month patterns, holds, and moves, and NOT overnite, nor daily nor
intraweek moves.
Remember, WE tend to ONLY trade long, from stage 1, into stage 2, with stops,
and often miss potential stage 3 rises....and we try to Only get Puts at what we
think might be a stage 4 top, with stops, and often miss stage 6 and 7 drops, but
more on that later....The highest-reliability, reward/risk plays, are in stage 1
and 4, even with occasional stops triggered.
IMPORTANT: people keep
trying to "formula-ize/computerize" my "PSYCLE sm" process, which, as I keep
saying, is a fruitless waste of your valuable time...."just get close(r)", and do
everything else correctly....The KEY is just plain learning the simple VISUAL
chart patterns for each of the 7 sequential stages in my "logo chart" on my
webpage and on the front of every Booklet, then adding the "sentiment" nuances of
each stage.
As Repeated in Every NL:
As I keep reiterating, It is
also still better most times, to, 1) buy "some" stage 1 "PSYCLE sm" stocks, in
depressed or EVB chart patterns, when their "news seems so bad" but their
patterns show EVB's (and have occasional, small, cut losses), than to never do
that at all....Because, historically, and as you have seen herein, any small, cut
losses, will be more than overcome by larger % Gains, over time, off those EVB
lows, when one properly Diversifies....and, to, 2) TRY at least "some"
"Puts/options" the opposite way, near their Highs only, when/where suitable,
than to never do any Puts ever....always diversifying properly, with close
stops....no emotion.
Remember, "PSYCLE sm" stocks tend to move much more INDEPENDENTLY of any/all
"external" stuff, than "the 95 %" incorrectly believe....one does Not "need"
"events" to happen, in order to exploit normal, probable stock price moves....
this is a Good thing....One Key is to have the strength to Buy, when there is a
"scary story", provided the stock pattern is intact....Connectedly, realize, by
nature, there is SUPPOSED to be no "sexiness" in stocks/groups, near their lows,
in bases, nor EVB's....they only become "sexy", After they rise a bunch, right ?
and, by then, it is/will be too late....One must buy into NON-sexiness, into
NON-positiveness, into "fear", when the patterns are intact, right ? Also,
buying PUTS options "the Psycle Way", can be viewed as just plain intelligent/
logical, and proper, as just "insurance" or "protection", as well as for direct
profit at times, yes ? The March tops, and July tops, and drops, have proven
that yet again.