1) "PSYCLE SENSE sm": new:
3) Most recent Hypothetical
"PSYCLE sm" transactions, to be mimicked, and referred back to:
4) Already given out in previous NL's,
assumed Hypothetical "Long-side" positions:
7) other, still Extended/potentially
Toppy, "Puttables", near recent Highs Only, for potential Price Drops, using,
Only, L.T., in-the-money Puts Only, Always Diversified, w/stops if patterns abort
to the upside, for potential drops towards their 200 DMA's, at least:
a) Important Industry Group
(Rotation) notes:
1) the long bond fell to below 111, gotta hang in or else ....2) note that that RYPTX, Erlanger, 49.7, 47.7, now near 51.0, so far.... 3) the CRB down to 264 already, hah....crude dn to 33.75, and cash gold dn to 387, "it's biggest one-day price drop in 6 years", get it ?, once again, the 95 % and NL's are wrong, and I am correct....where are the kudos and rewards 2 me ? next ....4) hey, looks like I was, as usual, the first/only to give extended Trucking stocks out herein as Puts from recent highs, you're welcome....
b) more, misleading, sensationalized, Late, and/or
improper/incorrect comments from the Financial Media, Reporters, Govt.,
etc.:
1) Maudlin does correctly remind us how the West, Europe, even China, Russia, birth rates are already so low, vs. the rates among loser 3rd world countries, as to potentially hold worldly GDP growtyh down forever....of course, he also said this every year going back decades, dig ?, again I rest my case....better to learn int.-term swing chart patterns, than cont. to waste time/effort/resources trying to piece together constantly changing ;fundamental crop', as DAFPP factors, which they are not, yes ?
c) more incorrect/misleading/sensationalized, and/or
improper comments, from Fundamentalists/Companies, newspapers/magazines, etc.,
vs. illogical/Contrary/Unlinkable, past/present/future Economic items, and/or
stock price moves:
1) this one is amazing: heard on all No. Calif. news, that PCG is LOWERING their Nat. Gas prices forward, by-get this -25 % - , "because there exists plenty of N.G. for the forseeable future in Calif." - amazing, because EVERYWHERE ELSE as U know, we have been reading tons of dire qwarnings about a 'n.g. crunch from hell', yes ?....wonder who to believe, the NL asses, or a huge co. actually doing it, dig ? ....2) TDR said, recent BW mag, cited, "GE capital now has 16 K workers in India, IBM over 10 K, ORCL over 6 K, and the list goes on and grows....", hmmmmm....
d) more, likely late, incorrect, and/or misleading,
comments, from Brokerage firms, NL writers, Analysts, economists, Money Managers,
etc.:
1) another bearish-by-PSYCLE-sentiment signal, this time from thestreet.com, who just went Bullish on Commodities - get it ?, the pattern rarely chages , dammit....yet again, am i good or what ? ....2) the only-very-recently-correct Navallier (dgms) brags, "sell these 177 big-name stocks now, B4 its too late !", uh-huh.... 3) 'stockupticks' NL only now sent me an UNsolicited come-on, titled, get this - "is that BULL markt I hear ?" .....get it ?, another late-bull sign, ay ? ....4) ChangeWave's Tobin Smith, proving his nastiness, now Unsolicited emials, "stocks plunge - get out B4 it's 2 late !" - uh, excuse me ?, YOU never went bearish, and went bullish too late....next....
5) TDR still teaming up with Jim everbear Grant, writing, "US econ. cond. will cont. to rot away day by day for the forseeable future", yikes.... 6) and InvestorInsight is pounding again about "imminent crisi on N.G. !!!", yeah, right, exactly as only I retorted the last few times he blathered on Unsolicitedly like that, and, only once, did N.G. rise nicely - and since, had fallen, as I reported herein....R U learning the patterns ?, if not, why not ?
e) more general, political, misreported, incorrect, agendized, slanted, items proving
why one should probably ignore 95 % of everything else out there:
1) I am recently real worried now, about all sorts of Fundamental things, USA-wise, all sorts of elements, items, etc., like, R.E. prices topping, infrastructure, politics, attorneys, drug companies, ruining our country even further.... 2) CMCSK, in their terrible monopoly, is now 'limiting the broadband use' by their modem users, in their latest nasty behavior to hurt captive overcharged subscribers....nothing new there, ay ? ....3) read where evidently, global record album (no such thing, but dgms) sales dropped further for 2003, to $ 28 B., from their 1989 peak of over $ 40 B/yr., citing, for instance, dowqnload sales of an album of 'only' 16,000 units, vs. 'CD sales of the same album of 1.3 mm'....perhaps ROXI may be a decent buy down here after all, as i recently suggested ?
So, as you have seen, for years now, how well one does,
often, just "doing" the best 'individual' stocks, and rotating Ind. Groups,
chart-technically, and sentiment-wise, mostly long-side, while ignoring, or going
contrary to, 95 % of all Media messages, and "indexes/averages" comments, from
the peanut gallery ? By just getting my output, alone, you do much
better, and save time, by not having to even try to "seek, and process" tons of
other, useless fundamental info., anyway....and we also help remove potential
emotional decision-making problems for you, before they begin....
Always remember to view
"1-year-at-least past" charts of everything you can view, herein, along with
their 200 day moving averages (DMA's), to "see/learn" the "PSYCLE patterns", and
see where/when stocks in section (3) were Hypothetically bought near lows, and
put near highs....all % percentage 'Gains' are just logical ESTIMATES for L.T.,
ITM options, where exist, and/or on Margin, where no options exist....
"Q" = 'quick', i.e., after
less than a month or so holding, "VQ" = 'very quick', i.e., just a couple of
weeks time, and "VVQ" = 'very very quick', i.e., often after just a few days
since 'bought' herein....and, L.T., means 'long-term', i.e., at least a few
months' time holding period:
still more quick, large % Gains:
5 more Longs, neat....
and,
7 more Puts:
as you have always done, please read them carefully and VIEW their charts
carefully, to learn patterns
note, from now on, "s.o.m.", means, 'stock bt. on margin" (hypothetically)
1/2 pos. puts AMZN (58- to 44+) for VVVVQ % Gain....1/2 pos. puts UTEK (33+ to 35- to 27+) for VQ % G.... bal. CTLM, for Big % Gains....1/2 pos. calls MEDI (20++ to 24+) for VVVQ % G....1/2 pos. KRON (41+, 43+, 34+) for Q % G....1/2 pos. stock SUQU (0.33 to 0.60+) for VVVQ % G....1/2 pos. s.o.m. IO (4- to 6-) for % G....1/2 pos. puts MHK (75 to 69+) for Q % G....bal. puts CTL (38 to 30-), bal. puts WON (39 to 31), ....1/2 pos. puts UTHR (27 to 21-) for VVVVQ % G....1/2 pos. puts JEC (49 to 44) for VQ % G....1/2 pos. puts ODFL (36 to 30+) for VVQ % G....1/2 pos. calls AIV (33++ to 36) for VQ % G....bal. calls JNJ (50- to 55-) for % G....
and/but, longs, 1/2 pos. ACTI, and, , puts, SIVB bo ?, CYMI. bo ?, PCL ?, KRB bo ?, UOPX, AFL, for very quick, very small losses, normally of small overall consequence to a properly diversified L.T. portfolio ....but longside a bit upsetting, rare, as U know....and always presages a better period, yes ? are you learning ? if not, why not ?
NOTE: while most of the $ 5. to $ 10. stocks are listed here
as "stocks on margin" ("stk.on.mgn."), if one Had bought L.T., in-the-money calls
options, their % Gains/Losses would have been multiplied, higher, right ? We
prefer not to buy Calls on most stocks under $ 10., unless their patterns are
phenomenal, as their options premiums tend to be too high, vs. buying those
stocks on Margin, with close stops, where suitable, instead, with less arithmetic
risk, and yet, similar reward potential--- stocks themselves have no "premium",
right ? and, of course, if one just bought said longs for cash, and not
on margin, the % Gains/Losses here would be relatively smaller, though still
excellent, for such short holding periods, yes ? also, obviously, these
"hypothetical transactions" are always listed, from biggest % Gains, to smallest,
then all losses....
(either for Cash, especially in Pensions,
and/or on Margin where suitable, and/or Only L.T., in-the-money Options, where
suitable/available, always Diversifying, always with close Stops below/above
recent lows/highs):
again, "just get real close" to
suggested prices:
1/2 NWRE @ 10+ eh, MEDI. @ 21-, TRMS @ 17- ?, 1/3 pos. THC @ 12-,
MAT @ 18+ fo ?, CC recons 11 % at 93, with CC under $ 9, UGRD @ 0.065, 1/4 pos. US dollar DXY @ 85.50, LENF @ 0.27, IFPG @ 0.145, AMD 10.75 % due 11/04 recons @ 93 eh, CRXA @ 5 1/2,
"Repeats": (some of these are/were '1/2 size positions'): and a super-spec ISYN @ 0.011, 1/3 pos. ZF @ 4++, SRDX @ 20...."buy (only) low", right ?,
remember, near major market turns/bottoms, you have been taught many times,
to "stick around and give stocks a bit more leeway, as to 'fobd's', etc.,
continuing to stay in, diversify more, allow for more risk, etc.", yes ? hence
the questions about 'fobd's', and buys that say 'fobd', right ? but some normal,
usual, QSL's still occur and are accepted along the way with no emotion nor
incompleting trading my way, right ? you're welcome....
*** Important: took, WIN, MCDT, and a few from the 'just missed' list below, Off the pot. Long Buys list, before they might have been Hypothetically "bt."....we do Not "Guess" at bottoms, nor tops....and, most 'missed' ideas just below, were also 'removed', to keep immediate potential Buy lists smaller for you....
RJR @ 60-, 1/2 SKYW @ 20+ eh, 1/2 HIB @ 23+ eh, OSIP @ 35+, 1/3 DHI. @ 29+, VSEA @ 50, FO. oso, FOSL ?,
1/2 pos. DJTA @ 3100, SDS @ 30 wc, 1/3 pos. MER @ 60+, ASCA no, BRKS @ 27+, 1/3 AT @ 50+ ?, 1/3 DG @ 22+ ? ny ?, 1/3 IFX ?, PSUN @ 24-, 1/2 KTO @ 17+, the NAZ @ 2100-, the DJIA @ 10.600+, 1/3 BOBE @ 32+ eh, MHS os ?, WEN @ 40+,
1/2 SIAL @ , UTHR @ 27-, SNV no, 1/2 YUM @ 34+, FITB @ 60-, CMTL soon, GTRC os ? ny, O. @ 40+ ?, KRON @ 41+, cash Crude around 35, CECO @ 52-, 1/4 pos. ACXM @ 19+ ?, 1/2 CSC @ 45, 1/2 JBL @ 31++, SLVN ?, FOSL ny ?, RMK nah,
XXIA ?, IFX, CRAI. @ 35+, NSANY @ 24-, DRL @ 34+, 1/2 ORBK ?, APPB @ 39+, BUD @ 52++, SNPS, MBI. ?, CSC, AMG ?, FCFS oso, AFCO oso, KRON @ 41- fo, ENR @ 38+, RARE @ 26-, 1/2 pos. BEN @ 48-, 1/3 pos. 1/3 pos. MRBK @ 45, O. @ 40+ fo ?, SCHS @ 30+, SWBT @ 39++, 1/3 pos. OHP @ 45++, EVG eh, JKHY @ 19+, WWY @ 57- eh,
"Repeats":
>
EQR @ 30 fo, GD ctbo ?, TGT @ 40, CZN @ 12++,
and/but, took, 'anything already way down', and, ASCA, SIAL, AVCT, MHS, and the 'just missed' ones just below here, Off the pot. Puts list, before "put", as they aborted their patterns immediately (also see recent past issues taken off, herein) ....remember, any new highs = off the Puts list (although expect some "fobo's" along the way, have patience)....so VIEW their charts, to see what 'aborted Puts patterns' look like, for YOUR lifetime benefit ....also, obviously, where they have fallen nicely, many of these were 'just missed' herein as well, right ?
*** and/but, among stocks recently specifically given you herein, in sections
(6) and (7) below, we "just Missed", PMACA, NENG, CBB, ROXI, as Longs/Buys near very recent lows, and, CANI, ISLE, CECO, CY, MCD, NMR, KNGT, HLT, SEE, CDI, MRVL, MTSN, as Puts/Shorts, near recent highs (obviously, they were removed from sec. (7).... Every single stock ever listed here over past NL's was specifically given you herein, in sec. (6) or (7), previously, and you very likely could still have caught them, if you took the time to view their charts....More proof of the power of "PSYCLE sm" patterns....again, just because I honestly admit to "missing" some, which DO work anyway, that I give you herein, does not mean YOU have to miss those same stocks....if you do just a little work, YOU may certainly catch ones, which I may happen to just miss, herein....making you money, in both directions, most of the time, while hopefully stopping losses smallishly....
(issues moving since last time, worthy of following-up, and/or
mentioning, because of recent price moves, still remaining long in most all of
them, unless otherwise noted):
**** note: (sos) means "Sell On Strength" (i.e., on
a bounce up towards resistance, and/or where it broke down from)....("S") means
Sell it here (if still right at/near the listed price level).
acting a.o.k., and/or strong(er):
also be sure to VIEW charts of all given winners lately from last few NL's, to
learn the patterns yet again:
LFP 0.46, 0.55, SUQU 0.62 up 0.19, TRMS 16.85 (B)< 18.71, MEDI. 24.29 up 2, JNJ 54.82 up 1 soso, PYX 8.69 (S), PSS 14.12 bo, CTLM 7.60 (S), DXY over 87.70, THC 12.75 up 0.53, MAT 19.79, higher since last NL here....and,CBH 58+, DL 28+, LTR 54, NT 8+, RIG 28+, NET 18+, NOI. 28+, CCBL 18, SGI. 3 3/8, even higher still, you're welcome....view their charts to learn the pattern more....
and, these are either pulling
back, or bouncing, after new expected pb's:
obviously, getting plenty of pb's:
SRDX 20.50 pb (B), 20.90, 20.20 (B), 20.77, NWRE 10.25 (B), 10.80, UGRD 0.10 pb bopb, CRXA 5.90 pb, AIV 34.20 pb, 36.00, 34.92, MEDI. 23.01 pb eh, SUQU 0.47 pb, MAT 18.85 pb, bopb....
and/but, these
already assumed Longs, are acting weaker S.T., and/or must strengthen, and/or
must strengthen "again/anew", and/or must "break above recent high or else",
and/or are sales on strength ("sos") to/towards/near resistance:
(note, some of these are also in "pb" list above
....obviously, any stock near its lows, or close to breaking "must strengthen" or
else, yes ?)
HPS ?, BORL 9.20, 10.44 (S) ?, HMN sos, TTIL sos, MTON 3.40, 2.75 oy, PTGC pb, HPI, CC 10.9, l 10.40, GLT 11.65 bd ?, AMD 14.10 dn, ms....CPKI. 17.02 fobd (S) ?, IO. 5.32 dn - and ACTI. 7.22, 5.22, 6.18, 5.78 = bd, sos, LFP 0.43, 0.54, 0.46 sos ? ....and many others must follow through and bo even further above recent recovery highs ! nope ....
5) Already given out in
previous NL's, assumed Hypothetically long "Puts" positions:
(issues moving since last time, worthy of
following-up, still remaining long in these Puts, unless otherwise noted):
check
their patterns out to learn:
AMZN -7, UTHR -6 1/2, VSEA -5, CTL -4 1/2 (S), INDU -186, the DJTA -222, NAZ -63, KRON +2 fo, -8 1/2 sow, WEN -3 1/2, BRKS -4, ODFL -3 1/2 sow, YUM -3, MHK -2, AT -1 3/4, CYMI. +2, -2 1/2, UTEK -2 1/2, FISV -1 3/4, CECO -1 3/4, CHS -1, UOPX -1, SWBT -1, SKYW -1 1/4, DHI. -1, BOBE -1, MRBK -2, NSANY, WON -1 1/2 (S), IFX, crude oil under 33, gold under 398, hah, down lower since last time here....while, JEC, MHK, NSANY, AMZN, down to/approach their 200 DMA....
* But, then, these, are
acting too Strong, and/or are Bouncing, intraday, and/or Must Weaken anew,
nevertheless, and/or are sales on pullbacks/weakness ("sow"):
these must
weaken anew:
note, as mentioned in sec. (2) above, how many puttables popped
back up to potential resistance levels - and some are on verge of breaking
out/up, and some had minor breakouts, poss. fobo's ?, so you're call from here in
those, as usual (pun intended):
JBL +1 1/2, EQR, BRKS +1 1/2, MHK +2 1/2, WEN +1, ODFL, UOPX +2, ACXM, FISV +3/4, APPB +2, AMZN +1 1/2, SYMC, BUD, CNCT, GPT, MCY, BBBY -1 3/4, +3 1/2, WWY -1 3/8, BUD +3/4, SWBT dn, CHS + 1 5/8, UTEK -1 1/2 sow, CHIR +2, -1 3/8, YUM +1, JEC +1 1/2, TGT, CHS +1, CZN dn, KRON +4, PRX, EQR -1, gold, RMK mw, Crude, O. fo ?....
6) Now--- Here are Other, Fuller lists,
of still-Depressed, Long Buys, near their recent Lows Only, for potential Rises
towards resistance, always Diversified (w/close stops, when/if their basing or
"EVB" patterns break down):
Potential Longs, by Industry Groups, for "Rotation":
some
decent bases here, and many decent EVB's and double-bottoms, (but, again, Not
when/if any of these make new lows here, and, NOT if they are already "up", much,
off lows, right ?
some Depressed:
** in
lieu of IGR here, just do those individual stocks below, they tend to be depr.
techs, telecoms, most/all computer-stuff, biotechs, drugs, cap. goods,
machy/equip., some blue chips, alt.-energy-relateds, internets, etc. No need to
give specific IG's here....except for sec. (2) part (1) above comments, like,
cap. goods/equip./trans. stocks as recent pot. db's, etc.
We are Also "Watching" --- as potential EVB's, or "basing", or "double"
bottoms", near recent lows ONLY:
*** as S.T., "EVB's": in no particular
order, as a "watching" list: note, some have been on this list for a while,
allowing you ample opportunity to have SEEN their charts, and bought them when/if
suitable, yes ?
added, (in no particular order !): (be sure thay have not popped up too
much too fast recently, already, before you buy, and, note I took some off list
already),
understand, some of these stil need more work/pullbacks....this list
will be revised over each weekend....
added:
added these, note list growing as mentioned above:
note how many
previously-given 'fobd's' are being re-added !
'opbo', means 'on pullback
only', yes ?
I removed a bunch more....then added some fobd's and new ones,
as usual....as you have been taught, be patient and selective:
of course, from
here, most are ONLY on/after pb's, yes ?
still adding some, dig ?:
like:
THC, ETM, REY sto ?, IPAS ?, FHCC, BSTE opbo, ROXI. ?, MBVA ctbo ?, EVC opb ?, ITMN opbo, to, TRMS, LAB, UCI. obpbo, MCDT, ROXI. fobd ?, db ?, SSFT opbo, LENS opbo, LAB dbs ?, PSY div. ?, to, APAC opb, WSTF opb, MAT, Q. obpbo, NWRE dbs ?, MTON spec EVB, VDM, SEHO another spec, to, GLT, LENF obpbo, BRCD obpbo, HMN, DSS obpbo, RPHL opbo (spec), JRSE, ICOW opbo, GONT obpbo, ACTI. fobd, IOM, MCEM, DYII. ?, MCCC tln, CPKI. fobd ?, to, IFPG, BMRN obpbo, RINO eh, CSTR ?, COKE obpbo, CVG opbo ?, LSS ds ? opb, PYX opbas, to, PSS opbo, LEXG opbo, IDNX obpbas, UGRD opb, ZF obpbo, AGIL opb, GLBL ny, LFP opbo, CRGN obpbo, AKLM obpbo,
and, including, for pot. price rises, plus pot. high-dividends/interest while
you wait ?
added, CC 11 % recons with CC below 9, AMD recons eh, AIV, ZF @ 4....
and/but, not any of these above, when/if they make new lows or break budding
bases/patterns....don't "force" trades....and be sure to do your 'fundamentals'
homework on all, especially the lesser-known/cheaper ones....
(NOTE: again, if they are already down appreciably from their highs, do NOT
chase them down, wait for bounces):
note: as always, because so many patterns have changed, be sure to view
each of these, B4 acting on any !
added, AAP, SSI, CPB, CYN, KMX, DG, FO, RJR, HOT, UPS, WEN, CDI, AM, NMR, banks, foods, CERN, EWBC, EFII. ?, HYSL ?, KLAC ?, KMRT, LLTC ?, MICC, MNST, NTLI, OSIP, SKYW, SKIL, SKYW, VMSI. ?, to, AT, DHI. ds ?, CY ?, semis ?, homebldg. ?, DRL, DG, FLR ?, MCD ?, MEL ?, EC oso, to, defensive index, construc./mining/machy., truckers ?, YUM, RL, HLT, DT ?, DELL, XRAY oso, FMER, DCOM ?, ISIL ?, PDII, APPX ?, TMWD ?, EC ?, RDN ?, CMTL, CRAI, FISV, FOSL, DD, HNZ, JBL, FSH, CECO oso, MRVL os, to, BBH fo ?, APPB, CRAI, BKMU, CANI. ny, FITB ?, IBCP ?, ISLE, ORBK ?, TTMI, SPLS, VECO ?, COF, CMI, MBI, JCP, RSH, BRE, NITE, CYBX, HOTT no ? fobo ?, CSC bo ?, WRI, SYMC ?, to, HIT, IFX, O, SUP ?, BWA, BUD, EMC, MER fobo ?, OHP, NAV, AD, XXIA, AFCO, INTU eh, nah, NSANY, RARE, SYMC, SWBT, KBH, to, SBL, BBBY ?, CHS, AMT, AMZN, SLVN fo ?, VTSS ?, COF, SDS, VIP eh, CFBX fo ?, ASKJ ?, BHE, PGR, FBR ds ? ny, EQR, SRCE, GTRC, PIXR, SCHS, WWCA, WFSI, to, RMK, WWY, TGT, ACXM, CMCSK, HCR ?, PCL, SII. ?, ABER, TEVA bo ?, CVC, DIGE nah, SRNA oso ?, ECA, from recent past NL's....
**** the Best Puttable Industry Groups: in no particular order,
and/but, understanding we have already HAD some real nice drops:
added, Extended: (for I.G.'s, please see sec. (2) above, from now on, , all near their recent Highs ONLY, w/close stops above their patterns highs.... this ends our putside-downside follow-ups/ideas
section....
general note: as per my teachings, WITHIN some industry groups, there
may be bpth, extendeds, and depresseds, as recently, certainly normal....
VIEW THE CHARTS....SEE where the 200 DMA's are....LEARN THE
PATTERNS/STAGES