1) "PSYCLE SENSE sm": new:

wI am sure even 'the 95 %' see the obvious potential triple-bottoms beckoning lower ahead, yes ? well, my idea was that many would not retrace completely all the way back down, or, buying near previous double-bottoms w/close stops, and get a last breakdown below the previous db's, then 'the' bottom....anyway, you have done well in my Longs and Puts relative most everyone else out there with a NL, yes ?

while acknowledging that more shorts are covering lately, in each of the 6 very-recent mini-moves the last few weeeks, Erlanger is still super-short, calling for an acceleration of a downtrend, immediately....and more slight bd's among indexes, Fri.

Erlanger, Wed. am, says, 'after congesting the recent downmove, we are ready for a BIG down, trendy move in stocks, even from recent lows"....he even sees a retest to the Oct. lows, wow....but we had another over-1.00 one-day P/C ratio reading, Wed. - oversold ahead still !? and, 2 more such high readings, Thu. & Fri., dig ?, even though, Oscillators and my new chartbook just don't look VG, am still sticking with strict "PSYCLE sm" patterns, no emotion, and getting ready to do well again longisde at bottom ahead - are you ?

I am not a huge Fibonnacci guy (obly Joe D. has a good T.R. with it), but the SPX, DJIA, and COMPX, remain roight near their respective 61.8 % retracement levels off the months-ago lows, dig ?, as pb after rises....so, gotta be some bottoms around here, still, dig ? and last few days have seen more very high P/C ratios, making the 10-day 0.71 by Mon. 10th close....the definition of s.t. oversold, dig ?

I also just got 2 scared-ignorant-investor calls, wanting to sell stocks they already lost a ton on, with other brokers as usual, dgms, down here near their lows now, "because they could fall to zero if there's a war", get it ? you know what to do about that, yes ?

always try to also VIEW charts of the ones we 'just miss' to learn the patterns even further, as they were also given herein specifically as well, yes ? more proof of "PSYCLE sm" power/value....

2) "What's Been Said, and What I've Read":

a) Important Industry Group (Rotation) notes:
1) neat, might I again be real good with cash Gold, a possible one-day reversal early Wed. for a s.t. top from the $ 390 area....I'd even bet, as with the Gulf War 1990 (re-read my famous, extremely valuable treatise), any actual fighting will lead to lower price....$ 375 later Wed. already....and, of course, RGLD, 28.86 fobo, then 25.47 vq, see ? also, now hearing/reading that bullish GOLD comments pervade hugely worldwide (fyi, Japanese investors are also way too bullish up here, supposedly lining up to buy gold from their govt. sales, and you know what THAT has historically meant thereafter), with 11-yr. new high and big volume, well, watch out, ay ? I also read of a veritable Australian Gold Rush is underway, with mining equip. unavailable ? and,more than a few acquaintences just said, "I am waiting for pb so I can get into Gold for much higher guaranteed prices", get it ? THE PATTERNS RARELY CHANGE....are you learning ? if not, why not ?

2) and, evidently, China and Russia are buying gold....but only now ? up here ? this should be enuf to know what to do, yes ? of interest, the 'rationale' is that they sell us many goods, but don;t want many of our goods, receiving USA dollars, but don't wnat to buy our stocks/bonds, either, so now, they buy gold ? what do you think from this, if true ? ....3) note I remived a few depressed Biotechs which bd recently....no damage, since most not bt. anyway, but just showing how UNemotionally UNattached my concept is, to your benefit.... 4) as i previously said a while ago, wish I had seen chart of Platinum, because it just hit $ 700. oz., highest level in 23 years.... 5) did not expect bo in cash crude oil, now over $ 35, Fri., a QSL of little consequence to uS, but, like Gold at $ 390, really unexpected....treating both, of course, as fobo's, yes ?

6) in a little good news, the Treasury is brigning back the '3-yr. note', after 5 yrs. not issuing any, a GOOD thing for all....it has been so rare they do anything even remotely decent....as i predicted here when the idiots said there was a supposed 'surplus', even the Bush people est. budget deficits of - get this - $ 300 B. in 2003, and another $ 300 B+ in 2004....hey, i didn't vote for any of them.... 7) wish you had Put those extended Insur. stocks I gave out months ago ?, as several huge co's. got whacked anew last week, due to higher med. expenses, costs, etc., from our disintegrating health system, ay ? "but, JIm, those companies were so well managed, such attention to detail, how do such stocks fall like that ?", yadda, yadda.... 8) noticing Rails trying to saucer bottom ahead, hmmm....don't hear that anywhere else....while extended Banks still puttable near highs ? ....9) also note another possible Puttable top in the Bond, yes ? ....9) as i said, I thought some Retails might form saucer, but some bd, so just not excited about the RTH any more, no damage....

b) more, misleading, sensationalized, Late, and/or improper/incorrect comments from the Financial Media, Reporters, Govt., etc.:
1) read v. int. treatise on the end of the world (dgms), but they WERE the first/only to alert people, that, in 1999, your Govt. CHANGED the GDP calculation in the USA, by taking 'business software spending' OUT of the GDP measurement, and instead capitalized that item as ;investment spending', thereby, as they did with AIDS (re-read my early 1980's treatise on that correct-but-trashed-by-the-95%' prediction by me), making the announced figures read Larger, when, in fact, they were falling, dig ? heym just another huge, damaging example of your govt.'s nastiness and lying/misleading, 'nuff said....

c) more incorrect/misleading/sensationalized, and/or improper comments, from Fundamentalists/Companies, newspapers/magazines, etc., vs. illogical/Contrary/Unlinkable, past/present/future Economic items, and/or stock price moves:
1) *** important "PSYCLE sm' econmic sentiment/opinions-out-there note:
1) remember, as you hear/read nothing but doomsayers, worry, unease, discomfort, and 'either ionflation or deflation' tomes in the finl. media, that these are the same people who said pretty-much the same thing, every minute, all the way UP in LFA's, in the 1980's, and who have never bought anything anywhere near their lows, etc., yes ? 'nuff said....

2) and more proof of 'no fundamentals linkages' working: with all the stupid l.t. predictions of USA following Japan down, which have been made for years now, incorrectly, etc., I read where, in 1993 Japan was a 'creditor' nation, supposedly a ;good' thing financially, right ?, while, now, the USA is/has been a 'debtor' nation, supposedly a 'bad' thing, right ? well, if those are/were correct economic labels/assessments, then how come japan god killed, why the US, at least for years, rose ? I wrote about the goodness/badness of 'debt/deficits' years ago.....re-read my stuff....

3) and another perfect, predicted-only-first-by-me-as-usual-with-no-reward-nor-respect example of my "PSYCLE sm" at work, as, Tues., several big B-firms changed from love-it, to sell-it, on SCHL stock - as usual, only after it got killed of course - dig ?, this is the Harry Potter stock....'nuff said....you know the pattern, which rarely changes, yes ? you're welcome....

d) more, likely late, incorrect, and/or misleading, comments, from Brokerage firms, NL writers, Analysts, economists, Money Managers, etc.:
1) been reading semi-doomsdayers the Daily Reckoning NL, calls for $ 1,000 gold, and 5,000 DJIA, hah....they also are amazingly NOT in gold yet - get it ?, awaiting that 'pb' - smacks of stage 4 and 5, ay ? and this new one, from Reuters (wish I could dconfirm factuality), that $ 3 trillion has been lost since 1999 highs in equities, worldwide ?, that's $ 2 K. for evey biped on the planet....of course, no one mentions the Trillions the networth of our planet had/has RISEN since, say, after WW2, ay ?

2) more proof of my PSYCLE value, as recent Barron's listed many 'famous stocks progonosticators' predictions made in 2000, 2001, 2002", and, found, of course, they were uniformly vastly too bullish all along - no stops, no shorts, no IGR, need I say more ? ....3) and Erlanger still says a brand new "plunge to new lows in indexes" is imminent....

e) more general, political, misreported items proving why one should probably ignore 95 % of everything else out there:
1) while we eschew most fundamentals/scenarios, one postulate has any 'attack against Iraq' will be faster, more powerful, and shorter than 1990-91, and, that the ';costs' will be 'repaid' to 'us' from proceeds of oil 'we' takeover, from IN Iraq, etc.

So, as you have seen, for years now, how well one does, often, just "doing" the best 'individual' stocks, and rotating Ind. Groups, chart-technically, and sentiment-wise, mostly long-side, while ignoring, or going contrary to, 95 % of all Media messages, and "indexes/averages" comments, from the peanut gallery ? By just getting my output, alone, you do much better, and save time, by not having to even try to "seek, and process" tons of other, useless fundamental info., anyway....and we also help remove potential emotional problems for you, before they begin....

3) Most recent Hypothetical "PSYCLE sm" transactions, to be mimicked, and referred back to:

Always remember to view "1-year-at-least past" charts of everything you can view, herein, along with their 200 day moving averages (DMA's), to "see/learn" the "PSYCLE patterns", and see where/when stocks in section (3) were Hypothetically bought near lows, and put near highs....all % percentage 'Gains' are just logical ESTIMATES for L.T., ITM options, where exist, and/or on Margin, where no options exist....