1) "PSYCLE SENSE sm": new:

well, so far in 2006, I am correct, so what else is new, in Commods, specifically predicting that many of the rallied-commods would reverse/pullback, counter to what the 95 % have been expecting/saying/ripping people off prop[osing, dgms....

and, once again v.s.t., we see another of my valuable "PSYCLE sm" tenets in action: recall last wk, when we had the one-day-but-the-95 %- said-it-would-continue-guaranteed-lower-immediately stks price drop ?, well, even with Fri. 20th being weak, we had, as I told U 2 watch for, NO v.s.t. follow-thru-to-the-downside, and, by the next fri. 27th, indexes ROSE a bunch, yes ?, so much for 'what obviously should happen next, solely (and ignorantly) based on a one-day happening", yes ?, hope U R learning my patterns....

I havent seen/mentioned this in a while, but recent P/C ratio has been falling, to, an almost-bearish 10-d reading of 0.547, with real low 0.375 reading wed. 25th, hmmm....and, EWT reminds that the 'leading sentiment indicator that, in 1994, was bearish 46 consecutive weeks -signalling the big RISE thereafter, is now the most bullish the most time, up here - signalling future stock price drops probable", dig ?

I remind y'all, that, historically, ''years ending in '5'", going back 100 yrs., have most always been real good on the upside for stocks - but last year was not, dig ?, now, yrs. ending in "6" have historically been Not-so-good, hmmm.... and, on thu. 2/2, Indexes dn again - boy they really seem 2 B putting s.t. tops, eh ?, got any puts up here ?, if not, y not ? meanwhile, u now have some new Put Gains below....but i certaiinly had not been vg in puts lately, rare....

meanwhile, the BCA research NL, just published a study back to 1980+, showing that VIX vs. S & P volatility, etc., and, they said the last real-low-level-bottom in VIX, was in 1995- and corporations did v. well thereafter, even as the VIX, ROSE (counter to what the Doomer-bears have incorrectly been inferring - the doomer-bears say that, when/if VIX rises off a v. low level, stocks will FALL, but, in historical fact, they have risen, generally, surprise), back then, as it may be doing now, hmmmm....but, again, I would caution anyone who tries to employ just one 'indicator', right ?

and, Mon. 6th, B.S. mentioned, as I did 1st, the NYSE H/L ratio deteriorating, dig ? and, some Commods approaching rising 50 DMA pot. s.t. support, so, as usual, already, bigger--recently-declining Commods are too late to begin putting/shorting here....but I am not expecting much more than reflex rallies in them from s.t. lows, right ?

and this int. recent item: an EWT subs. asked how Dent, Cramer, and many genl. Finl. people are bullish, citing supposedly 'negative sentiment', therefore go long, by them - while the EWT is bearish, citing overly-Bullish sentiment, from Consensus, AAII, I.I., and P/C ratios....see Y we normally eschew generally-used sentiment stuff, except contrarily ?, next....that said, the DJIA/INDU rise, Wed. 15th, may be a v.s.t. b.o., so we had to take a v. small, very quick, Loss in it, though other Indexes remain puttable on strength....

So, as U have seen, for years now, how well one does, often, just taking advantage of the best individual stocks and in rotating industry groups, chart-pattern-technically and sentiment-wise contrarily, mostly on the long side, but never eschewing the put-side, with preset stops and proper diversification - while ignoring or going opposite 95 % of all news, fundamentals, media messages, opinions, indexes/averages comments, from nearly everyone other than me, etc.
By just getting my output herein, alone, at least, U do much better, and save time, by not even having to "seek and process" the massive and ridiculous, often-misleading and/or incorrect, useless-as-D.A.F.P.P. info., anyway....and we also help remove potential emotional decision-making problems for U, B4 they even begin, yes ?

2) "What's Been Said, and What I've Read":

a) Important Industry Group (Rotation) notes:
1) i know it's not much, but I am proud of our recent longside gains, in GM, AKS, DCX, etc., as old, disliked, smokestack stocks, dig ? ....2) this, again, is another biggie, proving, IMHO, why so few O & G stocks are even remotely fairly valued, but, instead, are rather fully or even OVERvalued up here: the recent TRA/TDR NL, specifically mentioned how most Energy-co. mergers/takeovers, have paid between $ 9. and $ 17. per barrel of proven reserves, to the acquired stock/co. - then, they made a short list of pot. takeovers in energy stocks/co's, and/but - they ALL are already being valued at OVER $ 9-17/bbl., dig ?, APC, KMG, DVN, ECN, OXY....PLUS, most all had already-developed the vast majority of their available land/wells/acreage, dig ?, again, i rest my case...and so get out of most all rallied Energy stocks up here....but, the fact that they have already developed most of their land, do not exect a huge drop in Energy prices, just a nice, normal, scary-to-the-96 %-now-bulls, correction, ahead ....

3) oh, and, add 'energy stocks' puttables: remember, the 95 % overpaid/overrated analysts/NL writers, love them NOW - where the hell were they several hundred percent ago, lower ?, dgms....I am not kidding: recall when THEY all guaranteed that 'lousy OXY' would go bankrupt ?, ditto APC and APA, when I was trying to sell O & G LP's at EF Hutton in the early 1980's, but, of course, no one would buy Energies at 1980's lows, in perfect "PSYCLE sm" bahevior...dgms.... 4) and, hey, an actually valuable item from recent TDR NL: the total stocks market value of GM is around $ 13 B, Ford around $ 16 B, while Honda's tmv is around $ 52 B, and Toyota's is - get this - $ 170+ B. ---- of course, as usual, TDR doomer opines says this means GM & F are dead forever forwrd, while HMC & TOY will rule the world, forward, flw's if I ever heard them, dig ?, just fyi....their inference was, as IBM's tmv in 1970's was more than that of the entire Japanese stock market's....

5) but, TYX yield had vstbo up, to 4.720 %, wed. 24th, and continues to form that 'contracting triangle on its side', very neutral-to-bearish, still, ditto TNX 4.537 %, oy, and, still, both yields must fall below last month's lows, or else....and, as expected, the Mar. t-bond WAS turned back dn from its recent rally, at the 115 level, dn to 112.5 already....see below, both TYX & TNX were recently puttable again, dig ? ....6) continuing your education, note we are put/short Crude Oil from recent top, s.t., yet close to being Long/call Nat. Gas, soon....the idiot 95 %-ers still 'link' them together, hah, you/we know better, right ?, re-read my Booklets.... 6) we just missed Puts on DJUA/UTIL.X, a probable stage 4 d.t., yes ?, but do watch it, because its volatility over the decades has proven my "PSYCLE sm" spo many times, yes ?, anyway, along with many 'already rallied big-time and only loved near highs' ideas, I have been suggesting, will reverse/correct in 2006, ahead, dig ?.... 7) cash Copper hit record $ 2.23, and cash Silver hit $ 9.62, it's highest since mid-1987, and Platinum high new at $ 1,078, UN-predicted by me, I still say/said probable fobo's, so ya got me on those, and/but they MUST correct ahead.....btw, a slight typo by me, last NL, I mentioned how some people are only now liking palladium, already way up from 150-175, now 280-290....i accidently typed 'now around $ 400', when I meant to type, 'now around $ 300.', obviously....

8) add Energy stocks: been watching the OIH & OSX, for s.t. tops, of course, and, wed. 25th, both down decently, 7 may be beginning to crack, as expected ?, plus, as i keep saying lately, it is taking a plethora of 'neg. fundamentals stories' abounding (whether true or not, dgms), to NOT send Crude to new highs, while H.O. and N.G. remain well below their highs, dig ?, R U learning th epattern ?, hope so....we shall C...and, thu. 2/2, your govt. announced that both, oil, and gas, inventories/stocks rose again thin the most recent reporting period, dig ? meanwhile, March N.G. fell to 7.16, a now-or-never ?-pot.-psycle-buy-level ?, soon, we shall C....and Mar. Crude pb to 60- recently, and still has its prev. sup. around 58+, recmember....plus, othr Energy stks I specifically gave out herein as Puttables, like, PTEN 36+, 38+, 30-, and, MUR 55+, 60+, 45, VTR 32+, 34+, 30-, would have, as usual, worked out anyway, s.t., dig ?, all fobo's, as U have been taught is often the terminal chart formation after big, loved-by-the-95 % rises, yes ?....R U learning mmy patterns ? ....9) and, notice recent rise in Corn futures, as seemingly only I predicted herein 4 U, watch it, off v.l.t. base, yes ?, learn the pattern....

10) as the pattern rarely changes, only now, 1/30/06, does B. S. highlight "CC stock powers higher on earnings"....gee, recall when they hated it, along with the 95 % analysts, when CC got whacked a while ago - and i alone added it herein, along with depressed tech.-retailers ?, you're welcome....ditto similarly with recent 'bullish only now' on WDC.... 11) the Nikkei @ 16,700+ and HengSeng 15,800+ , rallyed again, but i/we are watching for s.t double tops, yup, as the Nikkei dn to 15,700 and the H.S. to 15,300 by 2/16, so far.... 12) april GLD hit new highest since 1/81, @ 577+, tue. 1/31, but i am/was still s.t. bearish on it (am I alone ?) ....and, newly, headlines read things like, "gold is now longer creeping up, it is soaring....", and, "gold enters a new stage" - of course, U know what THIS normally means, hence, PSYCLE-wise, yes ? a likely fobo ahead, then a bigger drop than the gold-bugs expect, yes ? then, Mon. feb. 6th, the EWT said, it is 'do or die time' for gold/silver here, i agree, and, already by 2/7/06, dn to 535 so far, any further break, below 535 on GLD, and, a poss. bigger drop ahead, dig ?, as usual, am I alone in this, or what ? anyway, its dn $ -19. one-day price drop was evidently its biggest such drop in a LONG time, get it ? "but, Jim, everyone knows Gold will rise forever, no risk here, yadda, yadda", right ?, dgms....

13) and, arent U glad i added GOOG again recently as pot. fobo ?, they missed wall st's overrated analysts' eps ests. (gee, what do they pay those guys for ?, re-read my Booklets), and was down from 445 to 330+ by 2/13, hah....so I say, watch for another d/s break, only after a normal reflex pop, dig ? oh, and the 'unexpected reason' given for their esp shortfall, was - get this - a 'higher tax rate'....hmmmm, gee, think about it: with all their massive computer and info. resources at their fingertips, they, and their analysts, have NO excuse for not knowing this simple-to-get item, ay ?....oh, and then, AMZN 'disappoints earnings', the next day....gee, both, and EBAY+, on my herein-puts-list, at recent highs, yes ?, and I/we rarely view/consider supposed 'fundamentals/earnings', right ?....you're welcome....Recall, YHOO, EBAY, GOOG, AMZN, all 'blew away earnings ests. last Q', yes ?, yet their 'stocks' ( 2 diff. things, as U have been taught endlessly by me), fell....R U learning the/my patterns ?, hope so....

14) and a new pot. thx (sic) to a likely-wrong-as-usual Yoga person, who admitted he lost ($ -500,000) after the y2k tech. stk. top (when i tried unsuccessfully to help him & many other Yoga people get out and/or short/protect techs & parabolics, and I was ignored as usual by 'those people' again, dgms), for loving VLO, the biggest USA 'refiner' of O & G, at its recent $ 65- high....VLO ann. record eps last wk - and, of course, its stk. px. (2 diff. things, right ?), fell, to 48. s.t., as the pattern rarely changes....after a reflex rally, look for VLO to pb further to at least its 200 dma, around 50+ (as might Crude ?), ahead ?....oh, and to his credit, this Yoga-person did buy VLO much lower, l.t., ago.... 16) and, the 'CME commodity trackers' index' 'ccc' ?, of a bunch of commods in one index, now shows a triple-top-with-two-lower-lows-at-the-top, so adding it puttable, below, dig ?

17) and, note recent predicted herein but we just missed drop, in DJUA, UTIL index....likely more to come, down in Utils, s.t. anyway.... 18) and, as with SUNW recently, hmmmm, evidently been a ton of Calls options bt. recently, on COMS, similarly....both have been PSYCLE buys near super-l.t.-base-depr. lows herein from a while ago....you're welcome.... 19) note added extended OIH, OIX, OSX, O & G indexes, as Puttables see ?, in s.t. H & S tops, PSYCLE-wise, you're welcome ....20) with Sugar up to what, 19 cents now, with the 95 % loving it, yes ?, way too high/late to begin getting bullish, from 6 cents where I speficially gave it out longable herein as usual, last year, right ? ...again, watch for price declines in Sugar, ahead, in perfect PSYCLE nuance, as the 'overhyped-as-usual fundamental stories' abound, as per Ethanol & Brazil drought & last year's hurricanes, yadda, yadda, dig ? , so i would almost put/short Sugar around 19+ cents, s.t. anyway, dig ? , and, by 2/10 fri., March Sugar pb to 17.25, hah

21) and OJ's recent rise from 0.80 to 1.30+, and they all LOVE it only up here, so, of course, is also a probable toppable ahead.... 22) but cash Cotton, which they DIS-like, looks like a saucer for a further Rise ahead, by me, yes ?, recent base-low around 50+ cents.... 23) and, now, 2/6 or so, I see, in a possibly significant chart-pattern, the TYX yld. forming a lower-low again, and its yld. has fallen recently from 4.732 % to 4.544 %, while the TNX shows a nice also-puttable-at-recent-yield-high triple-top around 4.6 %, neat, get it ?, as the Recession takes hold, I say, and yields fall, while the 95 % cont. to only expect higher yields forever forward, got that ?, you're likely welcome, again.... 24) noting further pb in Gold to 535.5, Mon. 13th, hah....

25) and, now, as seemingly only I predicted/expected herein, the Nikkei 15,800 dn, HengSeng 15,300 , ditto, more to come ?!.... 26) and EWT reiterated its l.t.-held prediction of eventual DXY u.s. dollar low, around 70....again, as i have said, a kinda useless prognostication, esp. since they were bearish from lows-around-80, when i was correctly bullish up to 95-90, dig ? ....oh, and they are still, ''more definite about DE-flation, than ever before'', interesting, since, again, they have been incorrect, big-time, again in recent years, dgms.... 27) oh, and the reason I suggested selling Profitable Puts on GOOG down here, was because it reached its previous 'upside-gap' (was s.t. resistance, now likely s.t. support, as U have been taught), from a little while ago, see that in the chart ?, from my Booklets....

28) wow, wish I had known of this earlier, but, as usual, did not read about it anywhere until now: evidently, while many 'commod. indexes' have cont'd. to rise since last 9/05, the ''Goldman Sachs Commod. Index'' has been dead FLAT since 9/05, hmmmm...and therefore, of ocurse, looks Puttable to me, dig ? as i said at their recent commod. px. tops, herein, most rallied-commods were Puttable, while depressed ones like Grains/foods, etc., were Buyable near lows, in l.t. bases and with neg. sentiment, dig ?, as Psycle-IGR continues as usual....R U learning the pattern ? ....29) and, last, re: SOX, the Semis do indeed look toppy s.t., dbl. top last was 561, 1/04, vs. its recent rally-high 546, and its 5/02 high also around 546, get it ?, = puts....the only problem might be that a few more NL's are also rec'd. selling Semis here, oy.... 30) and, add Energies, Cramer (dgms) now says all major Oil Svc. stks remain super-no-risk-screaming-buys at recent pb levels, and "even with Crude at $ 60. bbl.", are great buys, period, for years ahead (paraphrasing him)....yikes....has he SEEN cycles in any I.G.'s, going back decades ?....

b) more, misleading, sensationalized, Late, and/or improper/incorrect comments from the Financial Media, Reporters, Politicians, Your Govt., etc.:
1) ok, here's one: the BCA research NL just [published a nice chart back to 1980's, showing "corporate cash as a % of their total assets'', vs., 'the USA's personal savings rate', and, the formaer has been Rising for years now, while the latter has bee Falling, as i have reported herein for years....meaning, while the Doomers have been, so far in recent years, incorrect for years, citing 'only' the low savings rate, they have continued to fail to be Bullish about the employers and businesses of the USA, having more and more cash in their coffers....while the airy-fairy-yoga-people hate capitalism and corporations peiod, they forget that entrepreneurs create 90 % of all jobs and products and svcs. in the country....and THEY seem to be doing relatively better ....hey, we cant have a Depression unless tons more people lose their jobs, from here, (again ?), yes ? - unless the '90-'95 areo-def. ind. exper., becomes the R.E.-mtg.-finl.-ind. exper., forward ?....

2) saw another interesting item in recent TRA/TDR NL:, in just now beginning to get super-bullish on already-way-way-up-from-where-the-95 %-hated-them- and-I-gave-them-out-herein-long stock price lows, on COAL stocks, they wrote, "I dont know how we missed how cheap they were at htier lows", interesting, since, if they just knew my PSYCLE, and/or viewed depr. base chart patterns, they'd had found all their current rec's, near those same stocks' lows, yes ?, as the pattern rarely changes....learn my patterns.... 3) and while we normally eschew fundamentals, read recent article that, supposedly, "over $ 24 B. has been spent by govts./agencies on nanotech to date, yet not one concrete product has been created yet." gee, sounds like the Biotech ind, 20+ years ago, ay ?, and/but, of course, many puffed-by-NL-nasty-people have already had parabolic rises, yes, ?, as per normal PSYCLE occurance (re-read mny Booklets), so, only on bigger pb's, might some nanotechs setup as longables, l.t., as the biotechs did, a few times, after their initial ridiculous-puffed-rises, dig ?, could be a while, tho,....

and, 1/30, I saw the best example of PSYCLE-headlines b.s. out there, as, amazingly, I read 3 separate, "has natural gas peaked ?" come-ons among the finl. press --- only well after N.G., as u know, had ALREADY GOTTEN KILLED, dn from 15 to 8-/mcf, dig ? by people/invmnt.-timing-dummies who only loved N.G. near highs as usual, and who lost million sof investors billions of dollars in the recent decline, dig ?, as the pattern rarely changes....i again hope U R learning from me herein, and rest my case.... 4) and, also as usual in perfect PSYCLE stage-nuance, only now am I reading newly-bullish articles about a "sugar shortage worldwide", yadda, yadda....of course, as usual, they only come out AFTER sugar has/had ALREADY risen a bunch, doubling from hwre e i have been recommending it longisde, several times over the decades, in its l.t depr. base around 4-5-6 cents, to around 11-12 cents now, dig ?, almost a 25-yr. high here, dig ?, R U learning the pattern ?, if not, y not ? (i.e., for the umpteenth time I ask where all these people are/were when these things bottom, and I/we are there ? dgms)....

5) and this one I came up with by myself: your govt.'s new fy 2007 budget shows an 'expected deficit of around $ 423 B., a record', inherent (dgms).... I also noticed that their Defense budget for the year is est. at around $ 440. B., almost the exact amt. fo expected budget deficit, hmmmm....coincidence ?, I think not....do we add Iraq/Afghan. cost of around $ 120 B. for the yr. ahead ?.... next....that said, I remind U, that even o/s sources say, "the net worth of the US econ. is around $ 51 trillion", including about $ 11. T. in mtgs. debt.... 6) and, only now, 2/13, do I even see hint of Finl. Media idiots/95 %-ers mentioning recent predicted-here-only-first price pullbacks, hah....at their bottoms ahead, watch for perfect "PSYCLE sm" behavior getting bearish on the very items they stupidly loved at their highs, dig ?, learn my patterns....which rarely change, right ?

7) and this new item via TRA/TDR, wonder if true, that, evidently, 'world Central Banks' actually hold a lot LESS actual physical Gold in their supposed vaults, than they think/report", ergo: ....8) and this related, 'linked' PSYCLE-addition-inference-of-import: with my seeming 'alone/first to suggest this while the 95 % begin to fall in love with yet another new-fangled investing idea/product, which will likely become a futurw disappointment of course, right ? : I read that those "ETF's" (dgms) have been accumulating Gold, only way up here, dig ?, way too late, as per usual "PSYCLE sm" dictates, yes ?, ans in Jan. & Feb. '06, supposedly "Gold-oriented ETF's" added another 90 tons of Gold to their coffers !?....sounds like a lot to me.... and that 'demand is way way outstripping supply for Gold ETF's' - and that, "a year ago ETF's owned an agregate of 170 tons of Gold, and recenrly they own about 414 tons, ranking them as the 13th largest official holder of Gold in the world", according to goldforcaster.com (whose l.t. past t.r. is not given, dgms) ....meaning, contrarily, of course, sell into this top, yes ?, 'nuff said, as sentiment was recently like 96 % bullish, U know what to do....

9) oh, and also, evidently Vanguard Funds closed 2 funds recently, with no warning, their Explorer (small-caps), and, their - get this - Precious Metals & mIning Fund, citing HUGE inflows of money recently, hmmmm.... 10) and TDR/TRA writes that "central banks have leased or sold 31,000 tons of gold", meaning, in their perma-doomer mentality, that "central banks have now, 10-15,000 tons of gold, LESS than their officially reported reserves of gold." their meaning, as aleways, is 'gold up forever to the moon, and depression worldwide, so what else is new....remember, the players change, but the "PSYCLE sm" patterns rarely change.... 11) and thsi int. item, from the BCA research people: again, contrary to what the 95 % believe/expound, China evidently "continues to have serious employment growth problems", a real shocker to the 95 %, and an item which seemingly i was ampong the 1st few to suggest, at the top of China's stocks'-prices move, 2 years ago, herein, yes ? anyway, in fact, China's employment-to-GDP ratio has fallen like -80 % in the last few years, yikes.... implkying Deflation for their prices, not inflation, hmmmm....remember, as I have said all along, as yet, China's working pop. is way too disperse outside their major cities, plus, infrastructure still mediocre at best....

c) more incorrect/misleading/sensationalized, and/or improper comments, from Fundamentalists/Companies, newspapers/magazines, etc., vs. illogical/Contrary/Unlinkable, past/present/future Economic items, data, and/or stock price moves:
1) i am wondering, 'fundamentally' (sic), Y is Symantec SYMC stock is breaking down further, if their products are so 'necessary/quality'....next.... 2) recent WSJ reports, that, "US household debt hit a record $ 11+ trillion in 3Q 2005, rising at the highest one-year rate since 1985....US households spent a record $ 14 % of their disposable income in 2005, on just servicing their debts." ....3) recent Wash. Post said that the Euro country of Estonia (Baltic), is growing in efficiency & importance as an Energy, O & G, pipeline, refinery place, for Europe, Russia, etc., and US companies are starting to invest in them there....esp. with Russia pressuring the Ukraine 1950-ish-ly to supply their Nat. Gas at usurous prices, dgms....meanwhile, good for Estonia....

4) once again, so far, we see evidence of my "PSYCLE's" strength/power, as, 'if' NFLX's earnings/fundamentals DID 'blow away wall st. (idiot analysts-sic) estimates', how come NFLX's stock (re-read my Booklets, 2 diff. things, yes ?), did not bo anew ?, next.... 5) the US Commerce Dept. just announced that "US econ. growth slowed to 1.1 % 4Q 2005, the slowest Q in 3 yrs." - as, I predict(ed), the Recession takes hold (except for the wealthy, as usual.... 6) and, last wk, your idiot Fed raised the FF rate further to 4.5 %, its 14th rise (I predicted 'only' 13 herein, 18+ months ago, recall), highest rate since 3/31, and "left the door open to even another raise in March", UNexpected by me.... 7) Jim perma-bear GRant just wrote, "the last time the US treasury created as much paper$ as they have recently, was 2/96, thereafter then, IR's rose from 5.6 % to 7.0 % on just 4 months."

8) and, of course, TOL and other homebldr. stks./co's have been Lowering their forward earnings ests., dig ? (duh....), hey U heard it coming here, 1st, interestingly, a recent headline from several Nl's/mags, have been puzzlingly saying, "sell the Homebldg. stocks-but not untill May or July", uh, huh ?, got me....regardless, as usual, they will all be late, and we will be closer to the top, yes ? ....9) and/ but, conversely, PSYCLE-wise, CSCO announced lower eps, but its stock has Risen, as only I predicted, from its base-17, towards 20, you're welcome...hope U R learning the patterns.... 10) and in a rare probably-correct assessment/prediction, Lowes Cp.'s Pres. James Tisch, suggested, "now that oil-tanker-prices are so so high, we expect supply to start Increasing for ships, tankers, scrap metal, etc., eventually Lowering prices, and mitigating current temporarily-too-high prices, forward, in normal cycle parlance" (I am paraphrasing his long-long remarks)....wowl n eat-o, huh....another PSYCLE understander.... recall, i alone gave out very-depressed-low-priced-stocks-back-then 'tanker co.' stocks, longside herein, yes ?

11) and, as the DJ Trans. Index breaks out further up to new a.t. high, UN-predicted by me, I would again ask the 95 % 'prices-link-to-ind.-fundamentals' idiots, who all Incorrectly-as-usual said, years ago, that, 'if' energy prices rose a lot, airlines/trucking/RR, etc., stocks prices would tank (pun intended), 'if' one 'could' 'link' F to stk. px., how could stk prices of co's whose main material driver (pun intended) is O & G, rise, AS their costs rise and their earnings are hampered by higher O & G prices ???, again I rest my case, re-read my Booklets.... 12) and, I kinda laughed-sadly again, reading recent article about hos huge, l.t., powerful, successful, super-corporations, like, DOW, DD, AA, AL, PD, etc., have been losing profits to rising raw-materials prices used in THEIR costs of manufacturing....interesting, since you's think they'd know to hedge those items, which you'd think they'd ceratainly have ample resources to do, yes ?, another {SYCLE-imponderable, dgms....

d) more, likely late, incorrect, and/or misleading, comments, from Brokerage firms, NL writers, Analysts, economists, Money Managers, etc.:
1) W. Buffett, in recent college speech, said, "the world now owns $ 3 trillion more of USA, than we own of them....this will create political turmoil at some point....pretty soon there will be a major adjustment (down)....the US trade deficit was about -$ 700 B. in 2005, on top of -$617 B. in 2004, that's $ 2 B. a day....15 yrs. ago, the USA had no trade deficit with Chuina, but now, runs about $ 200 B./yr....if we dont change the course, the rest of the world could own $ 15 trillion of US - that would be equal to the total mkt. value of all Amercican companies' common stock(s)." So, again, i ask, whether or not he is correct, forward, why does he cont. to hold our Amer. stocks at all, dig ?, dgms....

2) as if in perfect PSYCLE sm nuance, thestreet.com's Jim Jubrak (dgms) only now, way up here, very late, begins to like the Coal stocks ?, oy....do these NL guys ever learn the pattern ?, guess not...next.... 3) then, they highlight the 'Insulin'/pharma. stocks, because 'they may move, hence, based on the FDA's approval of PFE's new 'inhalable insulin'....their take is 'positive' for PFE & NKTR, stock, but maybe, bearish for others like, LLY, NVO, ALKS, MNKDD, KOSP, SNY, as competitors....if U wish, since WE never trade stks. just on 'news/fundamental/stories' items crap, follow these, 2 C if any DO move a lot, just on this developing item, to learn the pattern.... 4) hey, whew, I finally got a probable l.t. top sign in GOOG, as, get this, Henry "I only began to love the parabolic tech stks in early 2000, and creamed tons of investors" Blogett, now loves - wait for it - GOOG @ 445, newly....U know what THAT likely means, ahead...he joins several other finally-newly-bullish-at-the-likely-top big-brokerage-firm 'analysts', bullish, finally....as the pattern rarely changes, ay ?

5) I newly just read James Boric' 'the sleuth' penny stock NL, saying, "during higher IR periods, stock prices of companies with tons of cash win the best", I would remind him, that he is wrong, historically, paradoxically, as I have proven countless times over the decvades, truns out that companies who Borrow a lot, whose stocs are bt. near their busted lows, have performed the best thereafter !, and I have personally had experience with the 'culled from lists stocks of companies with the most cash and the least debt", well UNDER_performing, yes ?, i know, makes no sense in reality, tho the 'theory' seems correct - just another valuable PSYCLE nuance to learn - tho, i still favor depressed stocks of companies with tons of cash, in bases, as u know, also....

6) and, a real rare surprise, a few major B-firms have downgraded some major Drillers here, hmmmm....unusual, GSF, HAL, ETC.... 7) and this one had to happen at some pt.: hedge-fundr-ers actually w/d more $ than they deposited into hedge-funds, in Q4 2005, for the 1st time in over 10 yrs., hmmmm.... 8) and, in a rare probably-correct item, realmoney.com's Dan Fitzpatrick, whose lt.. past t.r. is never given (dgms), concurs with the 'indexes/stocks are now likely topping at least s.t. becvause MACD/RS indicators have same toppy pattern now, as they had the last several s.t. tops-and-drops in stocks the last 12 mos.", thing.... 9) TDR/TRA correctly (rare) pointed out how senile Greenspan has gotten, in that, in his first 'private speech' he just delivered for - get this - $ 120 K, ridiculous but true, he actually stuypidly said, "Gold price rose due to terrorist threats"....omigod....but more proof that most all govt. people are terrible compared to non-perma-doomer private people like us, yes ?

10) and, only after it fell s.t., as usual (I, of course, gave U its drop almost FROM its recent top), B.S. now suggests, "time for a Contrary play in Gold price ?" crapola e-mail come-on, late, as the pattern rarely changes, dig ?, anyway, so, U know what to do - fade HIM, s.t. anyway....but here's the kicker: while i figured he'd be bearish more from recent top as I was, get this- at the end of his B.S. email, turns out he remains really BULLISH on Gold, even from recent top, "because sentiment has not turned negative yet, in which case I would be more concerned"....yikes, talk about unclear,....next....

11) similarly, the 'dgms' Cramer, only now, suggests these "5 best buyable retailers stocks here", as, MWRK, PETS, DBRN, TWTR, GME, and, of course, where are these overrated NL's near their lows ?, s.o.s., oy.... 12) and, Crame's R. Suttmeier DOES sugg. a s.t. top in Senis is near, like, rallied issues, LRCX, AMD, BRCM, MRVL, RMBS, NSM, and, of course, the SOX - and I agree - as several cheapie-semis I gave U herein from recent lows (you're welcome), have approached their s.t. resistance levels, yes ?, so I will add the SOX to my pot. Put WL.... 13) and, yes perma-commodity-bull Jim Rogers remains very bullish on all rallied-bigtime-already commods, even thru recent some-big pullbacks/declines in their prices, hmmmm....let's see how his ego may hurt hiom, hence ?, PSYchologically....I already gave him due kudos years ago for catch some lows, but he stayed bullish often during big price declines B4, so we shall C....he cartainly has been successful to date, for a long time....

e) more general, political, misreported, incorrect, agendized, slanted, items proving why one should probably ignore or go/do the opposite of, 95 % of everything else out there:
1) more evidence of RE drops:, turns out, that, 'existing home sales' fell for oct., nov. & dec. 2005, not just one mo., and, mtg. apps. fell and were dn -16 % in/by 12/05 from their 6/05 high...and, wed. 25th, headline, "Las Vegas condos cool", says it all, ay ?, R U learning the pattern ? ....last, as I suggested a while ago herein, reading more articles about coming 40-50-yr. mtgs.--- sure, with RE prices so ridiculously high, is only a logical progression, to ''keep perceived (even if misleading) mo. pmts. relatively low", dig ?....and, is the RE fpr-sale inventory in Boston, now _54 % larger than it was at this time last year ?, yikes....

2) i know this is way off any subject except PSYCLE nuance, but just heard recent B.S. TV commercial about a 'pain reliever item' of probably little help in reality, in which the lady says, "I can't even feel the pain !" - and I got to thinking, if she can't feel the pain, how does she know if there is any pain anyway ?, circular illogic, dig ?, dgms.... 3) and, suposedly, businesses in US have been caught off-guard by the supposed lower-consumer-demand lately, a.o.a. sudden, and have highe inventories than they figured on, hmmmm....cb good for buyers ?, bad for those businesses' sales/profits ? ....oh, and, the "PSYCLE sm" key: none of this is being reported much, in finl. media, hmmmm....

4) well, Your Govt. makes things even worse, with new bills just passed, making it harder to qualify for medicare stuff, and, sticking it to students-loans, raising ratesto their loans, and more.... 5) and, finally (they should have done this decades ago, as I have been railing about, dgms), the SEC/NASD decided recently to begin investigating specialists on the NYSE, and also (the real crooks, btw:) the Boston, Chi., Philly exchanges....I could write a book about what I observed there.... 6) and, finally, seeing real evidence of RE price drops in Aust., GB, europe, etc., hah....

So, as you have seen, for years now, how well one does, often, just "doing" the best 'individual' stocks, and rotating Ind. Groups, chart-technically, and sentiment-wise, mostly long-side, while ignoring, or going contrary to, 95 % of all Media messages, and "indexes/averages" comments, from the peanut gallery ? By just getting my output, alone, you do much better, and save time, by not having to even try to "seek, and process" tons of other, useless fundamental info., anyway....and we also help remove potential emotional decision-making problems for you, before they begin....

3) Most recent Hypothetical "PSYCLE sm" transactions, to be mimicked, and referred back to:

Always remember to view "1-year-at-least past" charts of everything you can view, herein, along with their 200 day moving averages (DMA's), to "see/learn" the "PSYCLE patterns", and see where/when stocks in section (3) were Hypothetically bought near lows, and put near highs....all % percentage 'Gains' are just logical ESTIMATES for L.T., ITM options, where they exist, and/or assumed bt. on Margin ("s.o.m."), where no options exist....