1) "PSYCLE SENSE sm": new:

I thought, because was no trading last Mon., maybe 'after the first hour or two Wed.' instead, for a S.T. bottom....wrong....what a difficult period been lately....looking back, down the road, it is likely this coming 'bottom area time' will have been best timed using 'sentiment', and accepting more "fobd's", as suggested....and, finally, last week, began to see the rampant "giving-up, no bulls around", phone calls and messages out there we need....

at least now more people know why I suggested selling/taking QLG's in many 1/2-positions recently after initial bounces - just as more of my smaller-sized-but-still-very-nice followers suggested holding on, dig ? Looking back, one can see high-volume-S.T.-tops in tons of already-up Techs, before recent pullbacks to bases....the S.T. temporary problem was, I got more QSL's and breakdowns in still-previously-basing Techs....and, as I said back then herein, just as 'the 95 %', began to get bullish, calling for a breakout above NASDAQ 3000, we had that S.T. top, right ? Of course, those same people are super-bearish now, of course....

BTW, the next time anyone tries to tell me that parabolic big-name stocks don't often go all the way back down in time, L.T., is gonna get a whack....the 'W' likely to form here may have a 'right-side lower', to shake out the last panic sellers, will watch for this....it is a bit too obvious, with the plethora of potential double-bottoms around, especially Techs, but also good that so few people are buying....hence, expecting 'fobd's'....but Friday they are certainly making it amazingly tough, as rough to call as I have seen in years....

watched for all the 'bear market articles' over the past weekend....and, unfortunately, B-firm retail guys said on CNBC, Fri., 8:15, they see very little panic yet, unlike last year....oy....and I still expect to get whipsaws and "fobd's" making things just plain unbearable to an extent....I will do my best to stay with the patterns, regardless....Fri., saw plenty of mimor new lows, making decisions real tough....but, new charts over weekend, show a doable V.S.T. bottom in the NASDAQ (QQQ), and is the NASDAQ unweighted index a saucer ? Hence the larger 'long buys' section (3) all of a sudden....

more potential S.T. bottom sentiment comments: Sunday, L.A.T., a fundamental anaylst at Piper J. said, "when you're asking youself every day, 'is this the bottom ?', you have an itchy finger to sell..." - which is interesting, since PSYCLE traders have an itchy finger to BUY at those same times, dig ? and, early Mon. (today), got tons of decent one-hour pops....the NASDAQ 100 at just under 2,000 Friday, would have fulfilled our "lower right side of a 'W'" concept....so, once again, is probably better to be in some with stops, not not be in any, longside....did you know that, in the last 22 years, March has been up 9 times, and down 2 times, in odd numbered years ?

always try to also VIEW charts of the ones we 'just miss' to learn the patterns even further, as they were also given herein specifically as well, yes ? more proof of "PSYCLE sm" power/value....

2) "What's Been Said, and What I've Read":

a) Important Industry Group (Rotation) notes:
1) looks like my suggestion that some Gold stocks would improve is right, even though I failed to buy any of them herein.... 2) note further drops in Financials puttables....even with 'lower interest rates', dig ? NO 'links'.... 3) added some Utils. as puttables, iffy but maybe.... 4) First Albany's big analyst guy (whose real L.T. past T.R. we do not know), Fri. 8:44 said, "we'd rather buy some Techs later, on the way up, and pay 20-30 % more then today's prices, than buy any now...." Another potentially bullish sentiment comment ? ....5) PIMCO's Bill Gross, CNBC, Fri. 8:45, said, "we are in the first 'new economy recession', and will take a lot longer to come out of it than people think, and Bonds will continue to make us money...." - but, he did not specifically say which ones/types, nor give prediction on any interest rates....as only I said earlier, 'the 95 %' still (mis)believe rates and stocks prices are guaranteed inverse, but last 2 years have again disproven that to me.... 6) and note relative stronger performance continuing for many Foreign stocks I gave herein at lows.... 7) and I wonder if Auto-relateds, Paper, Japan stocks, somehow related, improving - you heard it here first, as usual.... 8) and, while not a great list, more depr. Biotech stocks improving technically.... 9) note, I recommended taking at least 1/2 positions Puts Gains in Financials Friday, section (3) below....

b) more, misleading, sensationalized, Late, and/or improper/incorrect comments from the Financial Media, Reporters, etc.:
1) amazingly, and seriously, really, Wed., Joe Kernan exclaimed, "look at GE's low PE....you gotta be crazy not to buy it here"....then, just B4 the close, he alluded to a coming period similar to the early 1970's.... 2) CNBC's reporter-gal INcorrectly excalimed, Wed. 8:23, "with Energy and Services stocks SURGING, we'll interview pres. of KEG, ahead...." wrong, and late, as usual.... 3) B. PIsani, Wed. 11:09, actually said, "all I hear from everyone on the floor is that there's no reason to buy anything here...." then, at the close, Tom Costello, "there is absolutely no optimism, nothing but fear.... guaranteed lower early tomorrow...." Then, Ron Insani added, "if this ain't the bottom then we are in a lot of trouble...." wow, could help us, sentiment-wise, real soon ? and, again Thu. morning, Pisani saying EVERYTHING negative, traders, floor guys, no one buying, nor "finding anything to trade/buy here".... 4) Pisani, Fri. 8 am, did correctly mention how, recently, many traders are asking HIM for advice, which normally comes near lows, after big drops....so props to him for that....

5) another potential bottomy contrary sentiment comment, was CNBC's J. Kernan, Fri. 8:05, saying, "I cannot deal with this any more, I'm not watching the major avgs. any more..." 6) and, Fri. 9:18, CNBC analyst said, "there's NO chance of any rebound soon in battered Techs, even the big-named ones....hard to get excited on any of these....dead money for balance of this year...." What does THAT tell you ? ....7) the L.A.T. Jim Flanigan finally wrote a big super-bullish article on EPG stock...uh, a little late again, aren't you ? ....8) Mon., CNBC-gal floated new story, "if you own MSFT, you are probably asking, 'what do I do now' ?", to which I would answer: learn parabolic patterns and sell or hedge positions - at 110....

c) more incorrect/misleading/sensationalized, and/or improper comments, from Fundamentalists/Companies, newspapers/magazines, etc., vs. illogical/Contrary/Unlinkable, past/present/future economic items, and/or stock price moves:
1) big talk all day Wed. about country Turkey, and their, seriously, 4,000 % interest rates, potential collapse, etc.... 2) he did not teach anything of value, as usual, but Joe Kernan, Wed. 11 am, chronicled story of BRL and LLY, and a new drug, over the last year....what was pertinent to US, is that, LLY stock fell, as predicted herein, while the street loved it - then, 'bad' news came out lower, that BRL might have a competitive drug - so analysts went negative on LLY only AFTER big stock-price fall, and positive on BRL, only AFTER it rose parabolic S.T., get it ? Then, BRL fell big-time, and, now, with both down, they are negative on both stocks ....the pattern rarely changes....

d) more, likely late, incorrect, and/or misleading, comments, from Brokerage firms, NL writers, Analysts, economists, Money Managers, etc.:
1) analyst Wed. 8:13, CNBC, said what everyone is now saying, "there's a ton of worry out there...." 2) hey, John (one-note, sometimes right, but not that great) Dessauer agrees with me, now alos beginning to like Japan stocks long ...

e) more general items proving why one should probably ignore 95 % of everything else out there:
1) as expected in the terror, Calif. declared the first 'only stage 2 alert', Tue., and 'stage 1' (even slightly better S.T. situation) Wed., in over a month....they plan to present the largest Bond issue in US history, ahead, $ 10 billion, thorugh which consumers will indirectly pay for part of the not-caused-by-them mess.... 2) gee, Fri., comes out possibly Clinton pardoned more people in return for political favors...what a shock....great system, great morals, huh....

So, as you have seen, for years now, how well one does, often, just "doing" the best 'individual' stocks, and rotating Ind. Groups, chart-technically, and sentiment-wise, mostly long-side, while ignoring, or going contrary to, 95 % of all Media messages, and "indexes/averages" comments, from the peanut gallery ? By just getting my output, alone, you do much better, and save time, by not having to even try to "seek, and process" tons of other, useless fundamental info., anyway....and we also help remove potential emotional problems for you, before they begin....

3) Most recent Hypothetical "PSYCLE sm" transactions, to be mimicked, and referred back to:

Always remember to view "1-year-at-least past" charts of everything you can view, herein, along with their 200 day moving averages (DMA's), to "see/learn" the "PSYCLE patterns", and see where/when stocks in section (3) were Hypothetically bought near lows, and put near highs....all % percentage 'Gains' are just logical ESTIMATES for L.T., ITM options, where exist, and/or on Margin, where no options exist....