1) "PSYCLE SENSE sm": new:
3) Most recent Hypothetical
"PSYCLE sm" transactions, to be mimicked, and referred back to:
4) Already given out in previous NL's,
assumed Hypothetical "Long-side" positions:
7) other, still Extended/potentially
Toppy, "Puttables", near recent Highs Only, for potential Price Drops, using,
Only, L.T., in-the-money Puts Only, Always Diversified, w/stops if patterns abort
to the upside, for potential drops towards their 200 DMA's, at least:
a) Important Industry Group
(Rotation) notes:
1) DXY up to 84.74, hah, you're welcome, but still must get above last recovery-high over 85, dig ?.... 2) and, Crude, pb further to 53.50, hah.... 3) noticed that a TON of call options traded recently, on LU, we shall C.... 4) while TNX yld. up to 4.693 %, oy,
b) more, misleading, sensationalized, Late, and/or
improper/incorrect comments from the Financial Media, Reporters, Politicians, your Govt., etc.:
1) ...
c) more incorrect/misleading/sensationalized, and/or
improper comments, from Fundamentalists/Companies, newspapers/magazines, etc.,
vs. illogical/Contrary/Unlinkable, past/present/future Economic items, data, and/or stock price moves:
1) just read where evidently, land-prices in Tokyo have stoopped falling, and rose, for the 1st time since - get this - 1987....as expected here....and/but Japanese sold about $ 63 B. ("1/2 in) in US govt. securities recently, the most sales they have effected supposedly, since 3/02.... 2) read another correct-by-me tome, from LAT's J. Flanigan 9rare, dgms), explaining again, how, l.t., 'entreprenurial inventions, discoveries, efficiences, products, srvcs., etc., will "keep oil/gas prices in check to an extent".....vs. the doomers....I agree, as U know....he even mentioned how China is likely to use more Nuclear, vs. electricity....and, that, as China grows, they will start producing more than what it entails to produce stuff, dig ?, 'nuff said....
3) read vg article bullish on RR's, BNI, in USN&WR, citing some real fundamentals, like, rising costs for Trucking, rail turning out to be more efiicient, and, companies like FDX 'always looking for RR solutions', vs. 'trucking', interesting, huh....while congestion and infrastructure problems remain, I have often liked RR stocks after they drop, over the yrs. - you already know how great I have been with Trucking and Airline stocks over the decades....
d) more, likely late, incorrect, and/or misleading,
comments, from Brokerage firms, NL writers, Analysts, economists, Money Managers,
etc.:
1) wow, ck. this one, as it proves i am way better than TDR's Sjuggerud, again: he just wrote, with DXY over 84, "the crash in the US dollar is over", gee, thanks again for nothing - late, as usual, R U learning the rarely changing patterns ?. ..
e) more general, political, misreported, incorrect, agendized, slanted, items proving why one should probably ignore 95 % of everything else out there:
1) read another in a too-long line of terrifying missives about 'credit reportsa and companies involved', recent LAT, citing, "the Major Crdit agencies actually operate 'dummy' impostor websites, which, when people just try to access their supposedly-free-available once-a-yr. credit reports, lead them to pay, unsecure, nasty places, NOT giving them their supposedly legally warranted reports !, yikes, dgms....even the phone numbers given dont work....great system, huh....not.... next....
So, as you have seen, for years now, how well one does,
often, just "doing" the best 'individual' stocks, and rotating Ind. Groups,
chart-technically, and sentiment-wise, mostly long-side, while ignoring, or going
contrary to, 95 % of all Media messages, and "indexes/averages" comments, from
the peanut gallery ? By just getting my output, alone, you do much
better, and save time, by not having to even try to "seek, and process" tons of
other, useless fundamental info., anyway....and we also help remove potential
emotional decision-making problems for you, before they begin....
Always remember to view
"1-year-at-least past" charts of everything you can view, herein, along with
their 200 day moving averages (DMA's), to "see/learn" the "PSYCLE patterns", and
see where/when stocks in section (3) were Hypothetically bought near lows, and
put near highs....all % percentage 'Gains' are just logical ESTIMATES for L.T.,
ITM options, where exist, and/or on Margin, where no options exist....
"Q" = 'quick', i.e., after
less than a month or so holding, "VQ" = 'very quick', i.e., just a couple of
weeks time, and "VVQ" = 'very very quick', i.e., often after just a few days
since 'bought' herein....and, L.T., means 'long-term', i.e., at least a few
months' time holding period:
still more quick, large % Gains:
0 more Longs, neat....
and,
0 more Puts:
as you have always done, please read them carefully and VIEW their charts
carefully, to learn patterns....note, "s.o.m.", means, 'stock bt. on margin" (hypothetically)
1/for Q % Gain.....
and/but, longs, SUNW stbd, IRSN stbd, ISIS stbd, ENZN bd, bal. RPMM bd ?, fo ?, and, puts, BPFH bo ?, for quick, mostly very small losses, normally of small overall consequence to a properly diversified L.T. portfolio ....are you learning the pattern ? if not, why not ?
NOTE: while most of the $ 5. to $ 10. stocks are listed here
as "stocks on margin" ("stk.on.mgn."), if one Had bought L.T., in-the-money calls
options, their % Gains/Losses would have been multiplied, higher, right ? We
prefer not to buy Calls on most stocks under $ 10., unless their patterns are
phenomenal, as their options premiums tend to be too high, vs. buying those
stocks on Margin, with close stops, where suitable, instead, with less arithmetic
risk, and yet, similar reward potential--- stocks themselves have no "premium",
right ? and, of course, if one just bought said longs for cash, and not
on margin, the % Gains/Losses here would be relatively smaller, though still
excellent, for such short holding periods, yes ? also, obviously, these
"hypothetical transactions" are always listed, from biggest % Gains, to smallest,
then all losses....
(either for Cash, especially in Pensions,
and/or on Margin where suitable, and/or Only L.T., in-the-money Options, where
suitable/available, always Diversifying, always with close Stops below/above
recent lows/highs):
again, "just get real close" to
suggested prices:
1/2 calls SWY @ 18+, PSY @ 20 5/8 anew, big div., 1/4 LU @ 2.70 ?, 1/4 NT @ 2.70 ?, 1/2 pos. ACCL @ 5+,
1/3 ALSC @ 2.55 eh, 1/3 MSO @ 20+ eh, CRA fobd ? @ 10+ (L), C.AY.U @ 11 3/4 big div., 1/3 GM @ 28+, 1/2 UMC opb soob,
"Repeats": (some of these are/were '1/2 size positions'): STTS fobd, cb, RPMM bd ?, 1/4 SINX @ 0.02- super spec, eh, LENSE @ 1.50+ eh, 1/3 SOHU again @ 0.175, wc, 1/3 pos. IRSN ? stbd, 1/3 NOVL soon opb ? 1/3 ENZN 10+ fobd, 1/3 UAMA @ 0.10+, 1/3 COMS @ 3 1/2 ? bd ?, 1/2 PLXS @ 10.2, 1/3 TQNT @ 3 1/4, 1/3 SPRT @ 5.1 ?, 1/3 ETLT @ 0.40+ spec, fobd, CLTK @ 0.70+ fobd, PMCS @ 8++ eh....
remember, near major market turns/bottoms, you have been taught many times,
to "stick around and give stocks a bit more leeway, as to 'fobd's', etc.,
continuing to stay in, diversify more, allow for more risk, etc.", yes ? hence
the questions about 'fobd's', and buys that say 'fobd', right ? but some normal,
usual, QSL's still occur and are accepted along the way with no emotion nor
incompleting trading my way, right ? you're welcome....
*** Important: took, CPN stbd, CRAY bd, ny ?, and a few from the 'just missed' list below, Off the pot. Long Buys list, before they might have been Hypothetically "bt.".... we do Not "Guess" at bottoms, nor tops....and, most 'missed' ideas just below, were also 'removed', to keep immediate potential Buy lists smaller for you....
1/2 MSO (see above) @ 37, 1/4 EBAY @ 43+, EWJ @ 11, the 10-yr. bond @ 113, maybe even the major stk. indexes, like, INDU @ 11,000 or so, SPY @ 121+ fobo, COMPX @ 2100-, BPFH bo, no ?, EVG @ 41+, CVX @ 60++,
"Repeats":
BKMU @ 12+, GOOG anyway @ 204+,
and/but, took, 'anything already way down', and, , and the 'just missed' ones just below here, Off the pot. Puts list, before "put", as they aborted their patterns immediately (also see recent past issues taken off, herein)....remember, any new highs = off the Puts list (although expect some "fobo's" along the way, have patience)....so VIEW their charts, to see what 'aborted Puts patterns' look like, for YOUR lifetime benefit ....also, obviously, where they have fallen nicely, many of these were 'just missed' herein as well, right ?
*** and/but, among stocks recently specifically given you herein, in sections
(6) and (7) below, we "just Missed", ACTI, SWY soon, OATS, as Longs/Buys near very recent lows, and, , as Puts/Shorts, near recent highs (obviously, they were removed from sec. (7).... Every single stock ever listed here over past NL's was specifically given you herein, in sec. (6) or (7), previously, and you very likely could still have caught them, if you took the time to view their charts....More proof of the power of "PSYCLE sm" patterns....again, just because I honestly admit to "missing" some, which DO work anyway, that I give you herein, does not mean YOU have to miss those same stocks....if you do just a little work, YOU may certainly catch ones, which I may happen to just miss, herein....making you money, in both directions, most of the time, while hopefully stopping losses smallishly....
(issues moving since last time, worthy of following-up, and/or
mentioning, because of recent price moves, still remaining long in most all of
them, unless otherwise noted):
**** note: (sos) means "Sell On Strength" (i.e., on
a bounce up towards resistance, and/or where it broke down from)....("S") means
Sell it here (if still right at/near the listed price level).
acting a.o.k., and/or strong(er):
also be sure to VIEW charts of all given winners lately from last few NL's, to
learn the patterns yet again:
several nice pops among given-from-lows techs:
MSO 20. (B), 22.5, ACCL 5.10 (B), 5.82, up/further since last NL here....
and, these are either pulling back, or bouncing, after expected pb's already occuring/occured:
ALSC 2.50 cbm 2.63, GM 29.6 up, 28.3, CRA 11.05 up, 10.34 msa, SEHO 0.22, 0.27, UAMA 0.0121 up, PLXS 11.57 ctbo, ETLT 0.47 pb....
and/but, these
already assumed Longs, are acting weaker S.T., and/or must strengthen, and/or
must strengthen "again/anew", and/or must "break above recent high or else",
and/or are sales on strength ("sos") to/towards/near resistance:
(note, some of these are also in "pb" list above
....obviously, any stock near its lows, or close to breaking "must strengthen" or
else, yes ?)
SPRT stbd, SEBL sos, PMCS, RPMM, LENSE, NYB, and, DSS stbd, ENZN 10.98, but 10.28 (S)....
5) Already given out in
previous NL's, assumed Hypothetically long "Puts" positions:
(issues moving since last time, worthy of
following-up, still remaining long in these Puts, unless otherwise noted):
check
their patterns out to learn:
DJIA 10,405, SPY 116.60, COMPX 1975, down/lower since last time here....and, MSO 20 (L), hah ! (S)
* But, then, these, are
acting too Strong, and/or are Bouncing, intraday, and/or Must Weaken anew,
nevertheless, and/or are sales on pullbacks/weakness ("sow"):
these must
weaken anew:
CVX 59.3 up, EWJ (fo)bo ?, BKMU dn, fobo, BPFH, the March 10-yr. t-bond, are and/or up/dn, bouncing, when/and they should be falling more....and, GOOG 185 up, 178, GLD 423.8, and, crude back dn to 53.5, thu., hah....
6) Now--- Here are Other, Fuller lists,
of still-Depressed, Long Buys, near their recent Lows Only, for potential Rises
towards resistance, always Diversified (w/close stops, when/if their basing or
"EVB" patterns break down):
Potential Longs, by Industry Groups, for "Rotation":
some
decent bases here, and many decent EVB's and double-bottoms, (but, again, Not
when/if any of these make new lows here, and, NOT if they are already "up", much,
off lows, right ?
some Depressed:
*** in
lieu of IGR here, just do those individual stocks below, they tend to be depessed....
We are Also "Watching" --- as potential EVB's, or "basing", or "double"
bottoms", near recent lows ONLY:
*** as S.T., "EVB's": in no particular
order, as a "watching" list: note, some have been on this list for a while,
allowing you ample opportunity to have SEEN their charts, and bought them when/if
suitable, yes ?
added, (in no particular order !): (be sure thay have not popped up too
much too fast recently, already, before you buy, and, note I took some off list
already),
understand, some of these stil need more work/pullbacks....this list
will be revised over each weekend....
added:
added these, note list growing as mentioned above:
note how many
previously-given 'fobd's' are being re-added !
'opbo', means 'on pullback
only', yes ?
I removed a bunch more....then added some fobd's and new ones,
as usual....as you have been taught, be patient and selective:
of course, from
here, most are ONLY on/after pb's, yes ?
but, now, 10/5, many are already up, so only buying them near lows - but you knew that....
obviously, many have already bounced, so oopbo for most, yes ?
added, GM, DAL near 3 ? ny, ENZN fobd, PLXS, BWNG ?, COMS, UAMA, CRA ny (L), UMC, ACTI. obpbas, SOHU tln, SINX fobd, TXEO another super spec. ?, PCLE tln, CY obpbo, STTS, SKIL ?, SWY, PKS ltp ?, RPMM bd ? fobd ?, LSCC opbo, TQNT opbo, ADCT obpbo, SUNW obpb, SPRT fobd ? eh, SEHO opbo, IRSN opbo, eh, CLTK fobd, held....
and, including, for pot. price rises, plus pot. high-dividends/interest while
you wait ?
added, GM 7 % @ 28, WIW opb, NYB fobd ?, to, PSY, PMCS 15 % recons, eh, opbo, DCS ?, ZF obpbo, EVC obpbo, to,
and, still been watching 2 cdn. o & g. royalty trusts, C.AY.U, and C.NAE.U, (APF energy trust, & NAL o & g trust), but both are already up around 11+ and 13++ now, so too high ?, yielding 15 % each here anyway ?, eh, tln ?,
and/but, not any of these above, when/if they make new lows or break budding
bases/patterns....don't "force" trades....and be sure to do your 'fundamentals'
homework on all, especially the lesser-known/cheaper ones....
(NOTE: again, if they are already down appreciably from their highs, do NOT
chase them down, wait for bounces):
note: as always, because so many patterns have changed, be sure to view
each of these, B4 acting on any !, recent drops to s.t. support means only 'put' these after rallies towards highs, right ?, so removed a bunch, with recent drops....and may remove more, so chk. charts B4 considering:
note, finally removed some stks which had, obviously, already worked big-time, or broken out, belatedly....
added, to, INDU, SPY, COMPX, GOOG (prob. fobo), DJTA oso, fobo, EWJ, bonds on strength ?, XMSR ?, SBUX ? (see above), EVG, BKMU bo ?....
**** the Best Puttable Industry Groups: in no particular order,
and/but, understanding we have already HAD some real nice drops:
added, Extended: (for I.G.'s, please see sec. (2) above, from now on, , all near their recent Highs ONLY, w/close stops above their patterns highs.... this ends our putside-downside follow-ups/ideas
section....
general note: as per my teachings, WITHIN some industry groups, there
may be bpth, extendeds, and depresseds, as recently, certainly normal....
VIEW THE CHARTS....SEE where the 200 DMA's are....LEARN THE
PATTERNS/STAGES