1) "PSYCLE SENSE sm": new:
3) Most recent Hypothetical
"PSYCLE sm" transactions, to be mimicked, and referred back to:
4) Already given out in previous NL's,
assumed Hypothetical "Long-side" positions:
7) other, still Extended/potentially
Toppy, "Puttables", near recent Highs Only, for potential Price Drops, using,
Only, L.T., in-the-money Puts Only, Always Diversified, w/stops if patterns abort
to the upside, for potential drops towards their 200 DMA's, at least:
a) Important Industry Group
(Rotation) notes:
1) first, I will again take credit for being the only/first to give out many Energy/Service stocks as Puts herein from recent tops for you, for S.T. drops....2) and, a client kudo'd me for being the first to, on KWHY-TV, predict the huge declines in Internet-type stocks from their parabolic tops late 1999 and early 2000, my saying that probably 2/3 of all such companies would not even exist 3-5- years hence from then....while a very small % of them ran higher first, most fell tremendously, therefrom, yes ? and, even those that rose a bit first, fell -90 % anyway, right ? and NONE of those holders from those middle-tops sold any before huge drops, anyway, as usual in the pattern, ay ? the sequential pattern rarely changes.... 3) and, interestingly, i was the first/only to (correctly-so-far give out some depressed-hated-feared Japan stocks herein, SNE, MBK, etc., fobd's ? ...and be sure not to miss some of the 'power stocks' i gave recently here near their lows....sometime betwen here and this summer, those are all likely to have pops, regardless, yes ? if only to sucker people in again, after their big % S.T. rises coming, dig ?
b) more, misleading, sensationalized, Late, and/or
improper/incorrect comments from the Financial Media, Reporters, etc.:
1) I gotta say it....CNBC's M.C. Cabrera has develeoped a shockingly annoying speech impedement....while I would not say this about someone NOT overpaid to talk in the air, it is very upsetting to try to listen to her, so I don't - and millions of listeners get hurt - again.... 2) J. Kernan, CNBC, Tue., trying to sensationalize (re-read my booklets), vastly misleading, saying, "the Drug index is SOARING, up 3 points, to 634...." similarly, gal reporter misled, "the Gold stocks are up huge...." uh, NO, wrong....'nuff said.... 3) more CNBC bull, Wed., with a reporter asked, "but where is the real pain ? where is the gut-wrenching, end-of-the-world pain ? I don't see it from anyone I speak with/...." Which is, of course, total BS....it is all around....just proves again how ignorant those people in Media are....
c) more incorrect/misleading/sensationalized, and/or
improper comments, from Fundamentalists/Companies, newspapers/magazines, etc.,
vs. illogical/Contrary/Unlinkable, past/present/future economic items, and/or
stock price moves:
1) as the first/only to give out AZA at top as VG put herein for you, as per my Booklets, one should wonder why JNJ could not have easily bought out AZA near $ 20, or its base in 1999 nearer $ 11+, instead of paying over $ 40, dig ? ....
d) more, likely late, incorrect, and/or misleading,
comments, from Brokerage firms, NL writers, Analysts, economists, Money Managers,
etc.:
1) as expected, seeing more and more analysts just now beginning to come out with negative reports on all sorts of Tech. companies, in stage 7, as usual, ay ? thanks for nothing, fellas all.... 2) and TONS of wrong analysts finally lowered their opinions on ARBA, BVSN, CMRC, EPNY, DCTM, ENTU, INKT, today - amazing, huh....but I have been chronicling that behavior for months here, yes ?
e) more general items proving why one should probably
ignore 95 % of everything else out there:
1)
So, as you have seen, for years now, how well one does,
often, just "doing" the best 'individual' stocks, and rotating Ind. Groups,
chart-technically, and sentiment-wise, mostly long-side, while ignoring, or going
contrary to, 95 % of all Media messages, and "indexes/averages" comments, from
the peanut gallery ? By just getting my output, alone, you do much better, and
save time, by not having to even try to "seek, and process" tons of other,
useless fundamental info., anyway....and we also help remove potential emotional
problems for you, before they begin....
Always remember to view
"1-year-at-least past" charts of everything you can view, herein, along with
their 200 day moving averages (DMA's), to "see/learn" the "PSYCLE patterns", and
see where/when stocks in section (3) were Hypothetically bought near lows, and
put near highs....all % percentage 'Gains' are just logical ESTIMATES for L.T.,
ITM options, where exist, and/or on Margin, where no options exist....
"Q" = 'quick', i.e., after
less than a month or so holding, "VQ" = 'very quick', i.e., just a couple of
weeks time, and "VVQ" = 'very very quick', i.e., often after just a few days
since 'bought' herein....and, L.T., means 'long-term', i.e., at least a few
months' time holding period:
still more Puts Gainers for you....aren't you glad you have always had a few Puts withe me ? all puts TDW (50 to 41+) for Q 75% G....all puts UNT (20 to 15+) for VQ 125% G....all puts NOI (40 to 32+) for VQ 75% G....1/2 pos. puts ATVI. (24+ to 21-) for VVVQ 60% G....1/2 pos. puts RCII. (46 to 36) for VQ 90% G.... 1/2 pos. puts ADM (16- RO 12+) for Q % G....bal. puts HUM (14+ to 10) for % G....
and/but, longs, bal. GSPN (19+ to 26+ to 19-), SPCT, FBR ?, QQQ, KEI, NOVL, RHAT, AMZN, ZMBA, SNDK, INKT, TERN, VIGN, LSI, and, puts, none, for very quick, very small losses, normally of small overall consequence to a properly diversified L.T. portfolio....still have plenty of cash to deploy soon....
NOTE: while most of the $ 5. to $ 10. stocks are listed here
as "stocks on margin" ("stk.on.mgn."), if one Had bought L.T., in-the-money calls
options, their % Gains/Losses would have been multiplied, higher, right ? We
prefer not to buy Calls on most stocks under $ 10., unless their patterns are
phenomenal, as their options premiums tend to be too high, vs. buying those
stocks on Margin, with close stops, where suitable, instead, with less arithmetic
risk, and yet, similar reward potential--- stocks themselves have no "premium",
right ? and, of course, if one just bought said longs for cash, and not on
margin, the % Gains/Losses here would be relatively smaller, though still
excellent, for such short holding periods, yes ? also, obviously, these
"hypothetical transactions" are always listed, from biggest % Gains, to smallest,
then all losses....
(either for Cash, especially in Pensions,
and/or on Margin where suitable, and/or Only L.T., in-the-money Options, where
suitable/available, always Diversifying, always with close Stops below/above
recent lows/highs):
1/2 pos. BCU @ 5/8, SNWL @ 10, TMCS @ 7++,
"Repeats": (some of these are/were '1/2 size positions): BGO @ 0.405, BSRTS @ 5 1/2, CAS @ 8.8, CBJ @ 1/4, CC @ 10+, CCRT @ 7+, CTHR @ 0.85, DD @ 40, FON @ 20+, GAB @ 10, HNV @ 1/4, IN @ 5+, IOM @ 3 1/2, KRY @ 3/4, MGM @ 16-, PPE @ 10-, ROS @ 5-, SAWS @ 16+, SFE @ 4++, SONE @ 6+, TG @ 15+, X @ 14-...."buy (only) low", right ?
** Important: took, ACTL, ITXC, RHAT, RFMD, NITE, OPTV, PRGN, REMC, Off the pot. Long Buys list, before they might have been Hypothetically "bt.".... we do Not "Guess" at bottoms....or tops....
alphabetically by symbol:
(new ones): ASFC @ 55, TJX @ 33,
"Repeats": ATVI. @ 25-, CNT @ 47+, EIX @ 15, GCO @ 26++, HSIC @ 34+, JNY @ 39, KPP @ 34-, LNCR @ 58, PBG @ , PPL @ 46, TDW @ 50-,
and/but, took, 'anything already way down', and, , and the 'just missed' ones just below here, Off the pot. Puts list, before "put", as they aborted their patterns immediately (also see recent past issues taken off, here)....remember, any new highs = off the Puts list....so VIEW their charts, to see what 'aborted Puts patterns' look like, for YOUR lifetime benefit....also, obviously, where they have fallen nicely, many of these were 'just missed' herein as well, right ?
*** and/but, among stocks recently specifically given you herein, in sections
(6) and (7) below, we "just Missed", MTSC, NTOP, AXP, NXCD, IDCC, AU, as Longs/Buys near very recent lows, and, , as Puts/Shorts, near recent highs....Every single stock ever listed here over past NL's was specifically given you herein, in sec. (6) or (7), previously, and you very likely could still have caught them, if you took the time to view their charts....More proof of the power of "PSYCLE sm" patterns....again, just because I honestly admit to "missing" some, which DO work anyway, that I give you herein, does not mean YOU have to miss those same stocks....if you do just a little work, YOU may certainly catch ones, which I may happen to just miss, herein....making you money, in both directions, most of the time, while hopefully stopping losses smallishly....
(issues moving since last time, worthy of following-up, and/or
mentioning, because of recent price moves, still remaining long in most all of
them, unless otherwise noted):
**** note: (sos) means "Sell On Strength" (i.e., on
a bounce up towards resistance, and/or where it broke down from)....("S") means
Sell it here (if still right at/near the listed price level).
acting a.o.k., or strong(er) :
be
sure to VIEW charts of all the big winners lately from last few NL's, to learn
the pattern, more:
still more nice Gains for you, all through recent travails, ay ? :
CWCO 9 7/8 up 1 1/2, IN 6 3/4 up 1 7/8, MT 4 1/2 up 1, CC 12 1/2 up 2 7/8, RNWK 7 7/8 up 1 1/4, TG 17.6 up 2, TMCS 8 up 1/2, IOM 3 3/4 up 1/4, SNWL 10 3/4 up 7/8, DITC 11 1/2, MGM 17.45, BWL.A 9 3/4, higher since last NL here....and, USU 8 3/4, even higher still....
and/but, then, seeing Many pullbacks,
and more bounces after pullbacks:
VRTA 12- dn 1, RNWK 6.56, 7.21, SNBC, CTHR 0.90, 1.11, CC 11+ (B), KRY, RCG, CAS, HPOW, HA, SVRN, HNV, GAB, VRA, BCU 0.66, MT 3.91, STTX, INFA, FON 21.7, 20.5 (B), SAWS 16+ (B), AWE 17+, SFE, DD 41.7 up 1.6, TG 17 1/2 up 2, MGM 16-.... some of these are also in the "ms/sos" list below, and, those must strengthen or else....
and/but, these
already assumed Longs, are acting weaker S.T., and/or must strengthen, and/or
must strengthen "again/anew", and/or must "break above recent high or else",
and/or are sales on strength ("sos") to/towards/near resistance:
(note, some of these are also in "pb" list above
....obviously, any stock near its lows, or close to breaking, "must strengthen"
or else, yes ?) ASML 19-, 20++, IOM 3.22, LNUX, CCRT, PAP, SNBC, CTHR, DCLK 10-, INSP, SFE, KANA, STG, ASML 19, NOVL 4 5/8....
5) Already given out in
previous NL's, assumed Hypothetically long "Puts" positions:
(issues moving since last time, worthy of
following-up, still remaining long in these Puts, unless otherwise noted):
check their patterns out to learn:
RCII. -10 (S), TDW -4 1/2, ATVI. -4, GCO -2 1/2, TJX -2 1/2, ATBI. -2, HUM -2 (S), JNY -1 1/2, UNT -1 1/4, RCII. -1, ASFC -1 1/2, PBG -1, BMET -1, CMH, ADM, lower since last NL here....and, CBE 32, PLXS 20, even lowr still.... and, Oil Svc. and Health puttables fell to their 200 DMA, as only I expected/predicted from recent tops....
* But, then, these, are
acting too Strong, and/or are Bouncing, intraday, and/or Must Weaken anew,
nevertheless, and/or are sales on pullbacks/weakness
("sow"):
6) Now--- Here are Other, Fuller lists,
of still-Depressed, Long Buys, near their recent Lows Only, for potential Rises
towards resistance, always Diversified (w/close stops, when/if their basing or
"EVB" patterns break down):
Potential Longs, by Industry Groups, for "Rotation":
some
decent bases here, and many decent EVB's and double-or-triple- bottoms, (but,
again, Not when/if any of these make new lows here, and, NOT if they are already
"up", much, off lows, right ?):
these REIT's, most also with big potential Dividends ? (BSRTS, FRT, HCN, TCC, ARI, ARJ, TCO, JPR, etc.)
and, ahead, most Cyclicals, "natural resources/precious metals" (CAS (also nice pot. div.), CBJ, KRY, STTX, KGC, etc.)
depressed Farm/Land/Fert., Health-related Depresseds, Golds, STEEL, and most Chem., Ind. Groups....and, on bigger pullbacks, Papers, Apparel, Regional Banks/Finls.
*** and, of course, many depr. Techs, Semis, data storage, internet, software, emi., comp. - relateds, below, and soon....ONLY near lows, as always....
We are Also "Watching" --- as potential EVB's, or "basing", or "double"
bottoms", near recent lows ONLY:
*** as S.T., "EVB's": in no particular
order, as a "watching" list: note, most have been on this list for a while,
allowing you ample opportunity to have SEEN their charts, and bought them when/if
suitable, yes ?
added, (in no particular order !): (be sure thay have not broken down, nor
popped up too much recently, already, before you buy, as I Removed a bunch
already-up's, and broken-down's from last NL list here...always check current price to see they have not broken between publication and when you view them)
added, BMC, BOW, BRW ?, CS, CA ?, CY, DT ?, ET, HRS, IBI, JBL, KMT ?, LTD, N, PRGS, LSCC, IDCC ?, JDAS ?, HOMS, HIFN, GLGC ?, ELNT ?, LENS, CLTK ?, BELM ?, BCGI. ?, ATMI, ALSC ?, AMSC ?, INFS ?, APCC, UFI., NZT, KFY, ENTU ?, MSO ?, MPS ?, TRMB ?, MLT, MAXY, LPTH ?, PPE, JRC, CCK ?, BKI, MBK, CGO, ARI, AVX, VOD ?, TSM ?, UTSI. ?, TER ?, SCI. ?, IDTI. no, to, PWER, CC, AWE, DD, MGM, ABSC, ASML ?, GOTO, PLUG, TMCS, PKI, X, NCX, CTC, NEM, SNWL, BRIO, QTRN, SNWL, PRGN, DCLK ?, VRTA, IOM ?, RNWK, SONE, NOPT ?, SFE, HPOW, IN, SONE, TMCS, DITC, GRA ?, GRL ?, CTHR, FCTR, CBR, MPH, STLD, BS, GSPN, TG, ZRAN, PDG, SVRN, AU, CRDS, FNV, CCRT, CAS, KGC, RCG, TSTN, KNT, BLDP, HLIT ?, PRSF, NTOP ?, NMSS, NTRO no ?, ASYT, MWBX, TRAC, SNE, as EVB's or bases....and/but, not any of these above, when/if they make new lows or break budding bases/patterns....don't "force" trades....and be sure to do your 'fundamentals' homework on all, especially the lesser-known/cheaper ones....
(NOTE: again, if they are already down appreciably from their highs, do NOT
chase them down, wait for bounces):
* add, SGR, CF, ITG, SPH, UNH, TFX ?, ASFC, BSYS, CHIC, COCO, CHTR ?, WCNX ?, (note list shrinking again a bit, mostly due to Gainers gave you): APOL, ATVI, SOTR, RCII, BMET, HSIC, KPP, ASBC, GCO, JNY, SNV, SSP, SKE, to, JCI, PBG, LNCR, IVGN, CV, EXC, WAG, ALSI, EXPD, PPDI, DUK, TJX, PIR, MET, PX, PNC, BRO, CYTC, CNT, INSUA, CMH, MNI., DHI, from recent past NL's....
**** the Best Puttable Industry Groups: in no particular order, and/but,
understanding we have already HAD some real nice drops: Extended: Utilities,
Insur./Bank/Mtg./S & L, Energy and Services (but some are already down, yes ?),
Commercial Services, Tobacco, Trans., Enterprise/software,
Health/Medical/Drug/Biotech, Fuel Cell, Homes-related/bldg.,
Computer/Internet/Software/Services, High-PE Techs, all near their recent Highs
ONLY, w/close stops above their patterns highs....this ends putside-downside
follow-ups/ideas section....
VIEW THE CHARTS....SEE where the 200 DMA's are....LEARN THE
PATTERNS/STAGES