1) "PSYCLE SENSE sm": new:
3) Most recent Hypothetical
"PSYCLE sm" transactions, to be mimicked, and referred back to:
4) Already given out in previous NL's,
assumed Hypothetical "Long-side" positions:
7) other, still Extended/potentially
Toppy, "Puttables", near recent Highs Only, for potential Price Drops, using,
Only, L.T., in-the-money Puts Only, Always Diversified, w/stops if patterns abort
to the upside, for potential drops towards their 200 DMA's, at least:
a) Important Industry Group
(Rotation) notes:
1) another useless analyst on CNBC, Thu. 9:30, said, "where can an investor go now for low-risk investments ? US Treasuries, GIC's, annuities, fixed-income insurance contracts, etc." Hmmm, has he not viewed their historical record ? don't get me started....hey, guy, try buying near lows, stocks in good patterns, diversified, with close stops, and occasional puts....but, that will never happen, ay ? ....2) I was, as usual, the first/only guy to have given out, twice now, perfect, first, long, then short, signals, on EIX and PCG, recently, herein, for you....neat....learning the pattern ? ...3) and, as usual, I was the first/only to give out depressed Semi. stocks as Buys recently for you - are you in those nicely volatile ideas ? if not, why not ? ....4) and, exactly as only I suggested recently, the Techs. rising money, is coming out of other I.G.'s in rotation, normal, usual, no biggie - then why do so few other people know of this rotation that has been occuring for decades ? dont' get me started....
3) as I.G.R. becomes clearer again, we see nicely split market growing, with, for instance, extended, Financial, Utility, Health-related, Insur., Bank, Mtg., Housing, Tobacco, Energy, still looking toppy rolling over ?, so section (7) puttables llist growing a bit again, dig ? ....4) as only I figured recently, the moment the European market indexes were overrreported super negatively by the Media, has seen decent rallies there since....the pattern rarely changes....
b) more, misleading, sensationalized, Late, and/or
improper/incorrect comments from the Financial Media, Reporters, etc.:
1) morew good news: late Wed., MER downgraded the Semis/Chips - right at their lows....we shall see....
c) more incorrect/misleading/sensationalized, and/or
improper comments, from Fundamentalists/Companies, newspapers/magazines, etc.,
vs. illogical/Contrary/Unlinkable, past/present/future economic items, and/or
stock price moves:
1) idiots - all the CNBC'ers Thu. after initial pops, saying, "with Tech. cp.'s profits likely to remain lower for a while, do not expect any decent rises in those stocks any time soon", dig ? interesting, since, they all LOVED those stocks at tops, never warned of parabolas, nor non-existent 'profits' back then, right ? and, 'if' they are supposedly 'linking' that way (re-read my booklets) now, then, if those stocks rose 1997-98-99 with no profits/sales, why cannot they at least bounce nicely from normal oversold condition, now ? I rest my case....exactly as I was first/only to have prediucted herein, Fri., CNBC said that the SEC's new (and ridiculous) 'reg. rule FD' (fair disclosure - an oxymoron if I ever heard one), is having the opposite (PSYCLE, yes ?) effect - that is, that tons of companies, instead of dealing with announcements, etc., are just NOT saying enough of anything for iinvestors' supposed benefit if so, dig ? What asystem, ay ? people get creamed again, yes ? so what else is new....
d) more, likely late, incorrect, and/or misleading,
comments, from Brokerage firms, NL writers, Analysts, economists, Money Managers,
etc.:
1) Fri., I got more confirmation from Joe Dinapoli, of an impending S.T. bottom in NASDAQ regardless....so far, he and I are among the very first few to say this Tuesday or so....
e) more general items proving why one should probably
ignore 95 % of everything else out there:
1)
So, as you have seen, for years now, how well one does,
often, just "doing" the best 'individual' stocks, and rotating Ind. Groups,
chart-technically, and sentiment-wise, mostly long-side, while ignoring, or going
contrary to, 95 % of all Media messages, and "indexes/averages" comments, from
the peanut gallery ? By just getting my output, alone, you do much better, and
save time, by not having to even try to "seek, and process" tons of other,
useless fundamental info., anyway....and we also help remove potential emotional
problems for you, before they begin....
Always remember to view
"1-year-at-least past" charts of everything you can view, herein, along with
their 200 day moving averages (DMA's), to "see/learn" the "PSYCLE patterns", and
see where/when stocks in section (3) were Hypothetically bought near lows, and
put near highs....all % percentage 'Gains' are just logical ESTIMATES for L.T.,
ITM options, where exist, and/or on Margin, where no options exist....
"Q" = 'quick', i.e., after
less than a month or so holding, "VQ" = 'very quick', i.e., just a couple of
weeks time, and "VVQ" = 'very very quick', i.e., often after just a few days
since 'bought' herein....and, L.T., means 'long-term', i.e., at least a few
months' time holding period:
all puts EIX (15 to 7+) for Q 175% G....all puts PCG (14+ to 7+) for Q 155% G.... bal. puts RCII. (46 to 34+) for VVQ 100% G....bal. puts CEFT (48+ to 38+) for Q 100% G....1/2 pos. calls BMC (19+ to 24+) for VVVQ 100% G....1/2 pos. puts BMET (41 to 36) for VQ 50% G....bal. stk.on.mgn. FUN (18 to 21) for 30% G....
and/but, longs, BSRTS, SONE ?, MOT, TRMB, SFE, FBR ?, X ?, CAS ? (a few were immediate), and, puts, PPL, PIR, for very quick, very small losses, normally of small overall consequence to a properly diversified L.T. portfolio....still have plenty of cash to deploy soon....
NOTE: while most of the $ 5. to $ 10. stocks are listed here
as "stocks on margin" ("stk.on.mgn."), if one Had bought L.T., in-the-money calls
options, their % Gains/Losses would have been multiplied, higher, right ? We
prefer not to buy Calls on most stocks under $ 10., unless their patterns are
phenomenal, as their options premiums tend to be too high, vs. buying those
stocks on Margin, with close stops, where suitable, instead, with less arithmetic
risk, and yet, similar reward potential--- stocks themselves have no "premium",
right ? and, of course, if one just bought said longs for cash, and not on
margin, the % Gains/Losses here would be relatively smaller, though still
excellent, for such short holding periods, yes ? also, obviously, these
"hypothetical transactions" are always listed, from biggest % Gains, to smallest,
then all losses....
(either for Cash, especially in Pensions,
and/or on Margin where suitable, and/or Only L.T., in-the-money Options, where
suitable/available, always Diversifying, always with close Stops below/above
recent lows/highs):
(most are repeats from last time here) 1/2 pos. AMKR @ 15+, 1/2 pos. APCC @ 11+, APCS @ 10, 1/2 pos. ARI. @ 23+, 1/2 pos. ASYT @ 11 1/8, 1/2 pos. BBOX @ 41+, BCGI. @ 6 1/2, 1/3 pos. BELM @ 7+, BMC @ 19, BOW @ 45-, 1/3 pos. CCK @ 3 1/2, 1/2 pos. CS @ 11, 1/3 pos. CSCO @ 13++, CTC @ 12++, 1/2 pos. CTV @ 15+, 1/2 pos. EGLS @ 14+, 1/2 pos. FNV @ 1.5, 1/3 pos. GRL @ 8++, 1/2 pos. INTI. @ 5, 1/2 pos. JBL @ 19+, KEM @ 16+, 1/2 pos. KFY @ 15+, 1/2 pos. LSCC @ 17+, LTD @ 15+, MLT @ 7, 1/2 pos. N @ 14++, PGO @ 8+, 1/2 pos. PLUG @ 13 1/8, 1/2 pos. PMTC @ 8+, 1/3 pos. PROX @ 9, 1/3 pos. SCI. @ 16+, 1/2 pos. TCC @ 11, 1/3 pos. TSM @ 17, TSTN no ?, 1/2 pos. TV @ 33+, 1/2 pos. UFI. @ 6+, 1/2 pos. VOXX @ 7+, ZRAN @ 14+,
"Repeats": (some of these are/were '1/2 size positions): ASML @ 19, AWE @ 17, BCU @ 5/8, BGO @ 0.405, CAS ?, CBJ @ 1/4, CCRT @ 7+, CGO @ 26, CTHR @ 0.85, FON @ 20+, GAB @ 10, HNV @ 1/4, IN @ 5+, IOM @ 3+, KRY @ 3/4, MERX @ 11+, MGM @ 16-, PPE @ 10-, PRSF @ 6 1/8, ROS @ 5-, SAWS @ 15, TMCS @ 7 1/8, VGZ @ 0.08...."buy (only) low", right ?
** Important: took, CA, CY, ET, HRS, BRW, PRGS, AMSC, GRL, TSTN, GRA, BRIO, UTSI, JRC, ENTU, MSO, HIFN, CLTK, LENS, Off the pot. Long Buys list, before they might have been Hypothetically "bt.".... we do Not "Guess" at bottoms....or tops....but, just last time here, many issues were decent 'shots', given my V.S.T. bottom assumption....
alphabetically by symbol:
(new ones): ASFC @ 55, 1/2 pos. CHG @ 44+, 1/2 pos. CPT @ 33, 1/2 pos. GTK @ 28, KMP @ 63-, MTB @ 70, 1/2 pos. MTG @ 68++, 1/2 pos. ORI. @ 29-, 1/2 pos. PNW @ 47+, 1/2 pos. SLM @ 75, SOTR @ 47-, 1/2 pos. THC @ 46+, TJX @ 33, 1/2 pos. UVV @ 39+, WSC @ 306+,
"Repeats": ATVI. @ 25-, CNT @ 47+, GCO @ 26++, HSIC @ 34+, JNY @ 39, KPP @ 34+, PBG @ ,
and/but, took, 'anything already way down', and, , and the 'just missed' ones just below here, Off the pot. Puts list, before "put", as they aborted their patterns immediately (also see recent past issues taken off, here)....remember, any new highs = off the Puts list....so VIEW their charts, to see what 'aborted Puts patterns' look like, for YOUR lifetime benefit....also, obviously, where they have fallen nicely, many of these were 'just missed' herein as well, right ?
*** and/but, among stocks recently specifically given you herein, in sections
(6) and (7) below, we "just Missed", FCTR, GOTO, PRGN, DT, ELNT, GLGC, MAXY, QLGC, QSFT, AHAA, RSAS, VOD, HOMS, ATMI, INFS, RWY, TEO, PCS, NEM, IFX, MHP, ABSC, SCI, NSM, AVX, LPTH, APCS, PKI, BLDP, as Longs/Buys near very recent lows, and, CCE, DUK, ICCI, BRK.B, PNW, WWY, FTN, as Puts/Shorts, near recent highs.... Every single stock ever listed here over past NL's was specifically given you herein, in sec. (6) or (7), previously, and you very likely could still have caught them, if you took the time to view their charts....More proof of the power of "PSYCLE sm" patterns....again, just because I honestly admit to "missing" some, which DO work anyway, that I give you herein, does not mean YOU have to miss those same stocks....if you do just a little work, YOU may certainly catch ones, which I may happen to just miss, herein....making you money, in both directions, most of the time, while hopefully stopping losses smallishly....
(issues moving since last time, worthy of following-up, and/or
mentioning, because of recent price moves, still remaining long in most all of
them, unless otherwise noted):
**** note: (sos) means "Sell On Strength" (i.e., on
a bounce up towards resistance, and/or where it broke down from)....("S") means
Sell it here (if still right at/near the listed price level).
acting a.o.k., or strong(er) :
be
sure to VIEW charts of all the big winners lately from last few NL's, to learn
the pattern, more:
still more nice Gains for you, all through recent travails, ay ? : are you in enif ?
(read these thoroughly) ZRAN 16 1/4 up 1 3/4, PRSF 7 1/2 up 1 1/2, DCLK 12 3/8 up 1 7/8, JBL 23.44 up 4+, BMC 24.6 up 5.6, JBL 25 up 3 1/2, APCC 13.60 up 2.60, CS 13.3 up 2.5, CCK 3.95 up 0.45, LPTH 11.81 up 1.81, DD 44.3 up 1.7, MLT 7 3/4 up 3/4, TMCS 8.68 up 0.68, RNWK 8.15 up 0.78, PMTC 9.94 up 1.66, PLUG 15.08 up 1.90, PROX 10.44 up 1.55, LTD 16.4 up 1.4, VRTA 12.8 up 1.4, SCI. 19 up 2.57, CTC 13.38 up 1, TSM 18 up 1 1/8, APCS 10.93 up 1, AWE 19.27 up 1.45, AMKR 16.75 up 1.60, CGO 28.3 up 2.5, ASYT 12.8 up 1.8, TV 38.1 up 5, BMC 25.3 up 1.8, LSCC 18.48 up 1.48, EGLS 15 1/2 up 1 1/4, BBOX 45.3 up 4.3, KEM 17 1/2 up 1 1/4, VOXX 8 1/4 up 1, BOW 46.8 up 2.4, CC 12.8, IN 7.13, UFI. 6.65, N. 15.6, CTV 16.09, higher since last NL here....
and/but, then, seeing Many pullbacks,
and more bounces after pullbacks:
ASML 19+, 22+, 21, 22 3/8, MERX 12.93 up 1.75, KNT 18 up 2, SNBC, CTHR, KRY, RCG, CAS, HA, SVRN, PRSF 7, 7.45, HNV, GAB, VRA, BCU, HPOW 6.68, 7.37, PRSF 6.43, FON 20.6 (B), 22.7, MT, STTX, VGZ 0.08, INFA, TG, MGM 17.1....some of these are also in the "ms/sos" list below, and, those must strengthen or else....
and/but, these
already assumed Longs, are acting weaker S.T., and/or must strengthen, and/or
must strengthen "again/anew", and/or must "break above recent high or else",
and/or are sales on strength ("sos") to/towards/near resistance:
(note, some of these are also in "pb" list above
....obviously, any stock near its lows, or close to breaking, "must strengthen"
or else, yes ?) ASML, IOM, LNUX, CCRT, PAP, SNBC, CTHR, DCLK, INSP, KANA, ARI, TMCS 7, SAWS 15,, BCGI. 6.5, STG....
5) Already given out in
previous NL's, assumed Hypothetically long "Puts" positions:
(issues moving since last time, worthy of
following-up, still remaining long in these Puts, unless otherwise noted):
check their patterns out to learn:
PCG -4 1/2 (S), SLM -3 1/2, KMP -3, SOTR -2 1/2, RCII. -2 (S), EIX -4 (S), ADM, PCG -2, BMET -2, MTB -2, RL -1 1/2, UVV -1 1/2, CHG -1 1/4, THC -1 1/2, GTK -1 3/8, HI. -1 1/2, PNW -1, MTG -1, PBG, CPT, GIS, WSC -10, lower since last NL here....and, HUM 8 1/2, even lower still....and, BMET, CEFT, fell to its 200 DMA....
* But, then, these, are
acting too Strong, and/or are Bouncing, intraday, and/or Must Weaken anew,
nevertheless, and/or are sales on pullbacks/weakness
("sow"):
6) Now--- Here are Other, Fuller lists,
of still-Depressed, Long Buys, near their recent Lows Only, for potential Rises
towards resistance, always Diversified (w/close stops, when/if their basing or
"EVB" patterns break down):
Potential Longs, by Industry Groups, for "Rotation":
some
decent bases here, and many decent EVB's and double-or-triple- bottoms, (but,
again, Not when/if any of these make new lows here, and, NOT if they are already
"up", much, off lows, right ?):
these REIT's, most also with big potential Dividends ? (FRT, HCN, TCC, ARI, ARJ, TCO, JPR, etc.)
and, ahead, most Cyclicals, "natural resources/precious metals" (CAS (also nice pot. div.), CBJ, KRY, STTX, KGC, etc.)
depressed Farm/Land/Fert., Health-related Depresseds, Golds, STEEL, and most Chem., Ind. Groups....and, on bigger pullbacks, Papers, Apparel, Regional Banks/Finls.
*** and, of course, many depr. Techs, Semis, data storage, internet, software, emi., comp. - relateds, below, and soon....ONLY near lows, as always....
We are Also "Watching" --- as potential EVB's, or "basing", or "double"
bottoms", near recent lows ONLY:
*** as S.T., "EVB's": in no particular
order, as a "watching" list: note, most have been on this list for a while,
allowing you ample opportunity to have SEEN their charts, and bought them when/if
suitable, yes ?
added, (in no particular order !): (be sure thay have not broken down, nor
popped up too much recently, already, before you buy, as I Removed a bunch
already-up's, and broken-down's from last NL list here...always check current price to see they have not broken between publication and when you view them)
added, BMC, CS, DT, IBI, JBL, KMT ?, LTD, N, LSCC, JDAS ?, HOMS, GLGC, BELM ?!, BCGI, ALSC ?, APCC, UFI., NZT, KFY, MPS ?, MLT, MAXY, LPTH, PPE, CSCO, CSC, JCCK ?, BKI, MBK, CGO, ARI, AVX, VOD ?, TSM, TER ?, SCI, IDTI. no, to, PWER, CC, AWE, MGM, ASML, PLUG, TMCS ?, X. no, NCX, CTC, PRGN, DCLK ?, VRTA, IOM ?, RNWK, SONE ?, NOPT ?, HPOW, IN, DITC, CTHR, CBR, MPH, STLD, BS, GSPN, TG, ZRAN, PDG, SVRN, AU, CRDS, FNV, CCRT, CAS, KGC, RCG, KNT, BLDP, HLIT ?, PRSF, NTOP ?, NMSS, NTRO no ?, ASYT, MWBX, TRAC, SNE, as EVB's or bases....and/but, not any of these above, when/if they make new lows or break budding bases/patterns.... don't "force" trades....and be sure to do your 'fundamentals' homework on all, especially the lesser-known/cheaper ones....
(NOTE: again, if they are already down appreciably from their highs, do NOT
chase them down, wait for bounces):
* add, FTN, CHG, THC, MTB, HCA, ORI, PNW, RJR, SLM, UNP, UVV, WSC, RE, PB, DEO, GVA, KMP, GTK, CHD, CBL, ABM, CPT, JOE ?, WWY, HOTT, ICCI, PHCC, RESP, KNGT, to, SGR, CF, ITG, SPH, UNH, TFX ?, ASFC, BSYS, CHIC, COCO, CHTR ?, WCNX ?, APOL, ATVI, SOTR, HSIC, KPP, ASBC, GCO, JNY, SNV, SSP, SKE, JCI, PBG, LNCR, IVGN, CV, EXC, WAG, ALSI, EXPD, PPDI, DUK, TJX, MET, PX, PNC, BRO, CYTC, CNT, INSUA, CMH, MNI., DHI, from recent past NL's....
**** the Best Puttable Industry Groups: in no particular order, and/but,
understanding we have already HAD some real nice drops: Extended: Utilities,
Insur./Bank/Mtg./S & L, Energy and Services (but some are already down, yes ?),
Commercial Services, Tobacco, Trans., Enterprise/software,
Health/Medical/Drug/Biotech, Fuel Cell, Homes-related/bldg.,
Computer/Internet/Software/Services, High-PE Techs, all near their recent Highs
ONLY, w/close stops above their patterns highs....this ends putside-downside
follow-ups/ideas section....
VIEW THE CHARTS....SEE where the 200 DMA's are....LEARN THE
PATTERNS/STAGES