1) "PSYCLE SENSE sm": new:
3) Most recent Hypothetical
"PSYCLE sm" transactions, to be mimicked, and referred back to:
4) Already given out in previous NL's,
assumed Hypothetical "Long-side" positions:
7) other, still Extended/potentially
Toppy, "Puttables", near recent Highs Only, for potential Price Drops, using,
Only, L.T., in-the-money Puts Only, Always Diversified, w/stops if patterns abort
to the upside, for potential drops towards their 200 DMA's, at least:
a) Important Industry Group
(Rotation) notes:
1) note, more of the depressed Energy
stocks only I gave out near lows, are higher still- even as energy 'prices'
pb.... 2) note, i was wrong (rare) but removed most extended bldg./constr.,
textile, containers, gaming, and some leisure, stocks, from the potential
puttable list....no damage, as we hardly 'did'; any of them herein anyway, but,
as always, we admit when incorrect....
b) more, misleading, sensationalized, Late, and/or
improper/incorrect comments from the Financial Media, Reporters, Govt.,
etc.:
1) ....
c) more incorrect/misleading/sensationalized, and/or
improper comments, from Fundamentalists/Companies, newspapers/magazines, etc.,
vs. illogical/Contrary/Unlinkable, past/present/future Economic items, and/or
stock price moves:
1) ...
d) more, likely late, incorrect, and/or misleading,
comments, from Brokerage firms, NL writers, Analysts, economists, Money Managers,
etc.:
1) ?
e) more general, political, misreported items proving
why one should probably ignore 95 % of everything else out there:
1) ....
So, as you have seen, for years now, how well one does,
often, just "doing" the best 'individual' stocks, and rotating Ind. Groups,
chart-technically, and sentiment-wise, mostly long-side, while ignoring, or going
contrary to, 95 % of all Media messages, and "indexes/averages" comments, from
the peanut gallery ? By just getting my output, alone, you do much better,
and save time, by not having to even try to "seek, and process" tons of other,
useless fundamental info., anyway....and we also help remove potential emotional
problems for you, before they begin....
Always remember to view
"1-year-at-least past" charts of everything you can view, herein, along with
their 200 day moving averages (DMA's), to "see/learn" the "PSYCLE patterns", and
see where/when stocks in section (3) were Hypothetically bought near lows, and
put near highs....all % percentage 'Gains' are just logical ESTIMATES for L.T.,
ITM options, where exist, and/or on Margin, where no options exist....
"Q" = 'quick', i.e., after
less than a month or so holding, "VQ" = 'very quick', i.e., just a couple of
weeks time, and "VVQ" = 'very very quick', i.e., often after just a few days
since 'bought' herein....and, L.T., means 'long-term', i.e., at least a few
months' time holding period:
still more quick, large % Gains: 2 more Longs, and, 1
more Puts:
1/2 of rem. pos. stk.on.mgn. UFI (7 to 11) for % Gain....bal. puts ROAD (40+ to 31++) for Q % G....bal. calls UHS (37+ to 47+) for % G.... 1/2 pos. rem. calls PDE (12++ to 18+) for % G....bal. stk. on. mgn. RRC (4 to 5 1/2) for % G....bal. stk.on.mgn. NSI (7- to 11++) for L.T. % G....all puts NTRS (60+ to 52+) for Q % G....bal. stk.on.mgn. MGL (5+ to 9-) for Q % G....bal. calls PBCT (21 to 26++) for % G....bal. calls IFC (15- to 19+) for % G....1/2 pos. puts C. (50 to 45) for VQ % G....
and/but, longs, 2nd. pos. SATC, CRA, CHTR, KME ?, and, puts,
CUNO ?, OCAS !?, BCM ?, ABC, OEI, the DJUA, FCN, MO, for very quick, very small losses, normally of small overall consequence to a properly diversified L.T.
portfolio....
NOTE: while most of the $ 5. to $ 10. stocks are listed here
as "stocks on margin" ("stk.on.mgn."), if one Had bought L.T., in-the-money calls
options, their % Gains/Losses would have been multiplied, higher, right ? We
prefer not to buy Calls on most stocks under $ 10., unless their patterns are
phenomenal, as their options premiums tend to be too high, vs. buying those
stocks on Margin, with close stops, where suitable, instead, with less arithmetic
risk, and yet, similar reward potential--- stocks themselves have no "premium",
right ? and, of course, if one just bought said longs for cash, and not
on margin, the % Gains/Losses here would be relatively smaller, though still
excellent, for such short holding periods, yes ? also, obviously, these
"hypothetical transactions" are always listed, from biggest % Gains, to smallest,
then all losses....
(either for Cash, especially in Pensions,
and/or on Margin where suitable, and/or Only L.T., in-the-money Options, where
suitable/available, always Diversifying, always with close Stops below/above
recent lows/highs):
again, "just get real close" to
suggested prices:
1/3 pos. AXTI. @ 9-, 1/3 pos. ANDW @ 16+ ?, 1/3 pos. EOT @ 6-, 1/3 pos. LEXG @ 8, QTRN @ 15- ?, 1/4 pos. LU @ 4.1, HBIO @ 7+, 1/3 pos. FNSR @ 6 1/2+, 1/3 pos. RTRSY @ 43+ ?,
"Repeats": (some of these are/were '1/2 size positions'): ARNA @ 9+, 1/4
pos. STXN @ 4 5/8, 1/3 pos. TALX @ 15+, 1/3 pos. NOVT @ 6 5/8, 1/3 pos. MCCC @
12, 1/4 pos. GLW @ 6 5/8, 1/4 pos. RSAS @ 7+, 1/4 pos. JDSU @ 4 7/8, 1/3 pos.
HBIO @ 7+, 1/2 pos. DIGL @ 5.1, 1/3 pos. FDRY @ 5.78, 1/3 pos. JNIC @ 6+, TLGD @
21, 1/2 pos. ICCI. @ 18+, 1/2 pos. OPWV @ 5 1/2, 1/3 pos. ALA @ 13-, 1/2 pos. TPC
@ 8.11, AMCC @ 7.52, /3 pos. DRIV @ 5--, 1/2 pos. MIPS @ 7--, HAIN @ 20, 1/3 pos. NOR @ 19, 1/2 pos. MUSE @ 8, 1/3 pos. VANS @ 11++, CMGI. @ 1.24, RTK @ 0.50+, 1/3 pos. KME @ 4 1/2, 1/2 pos. SUNW @ 8-, RT @ 10++, TERN @ 6-, VRSN @ 22, CHU @ 9, WWCA @ 7.13, PACW @ 0.42-, NUAN @ 5.87, WGRD @ 5+...."buy (only) low", right ?
** Important: took, BMC, VNT, PRGO, MCDTA, and a
few from the 'just missed' list below, Off the pot. Long Buys list, before they
might have been Hypothetically "bt."....we do Not "Guess" at bottoms, nor
tops.... and, most 'missed' ideas just below, were also 'removed', to keep
immediate potential Buy lists smaller for you....
1/2 pos. PLCE @ 36 + ?, 1/2 pos. RML @ 19+, 1/3 pos. EXPD @ 58+, ZBRA @ 58+, 1/3 pos. UOPX @ 42 + ?, 1/3 pos. ONE @ 42+ ?, 1/2 pos. BRO @ 35, TGT @ 45,
"Repeats":
SEE @ 47+, 1/2 pos. PX @ 59+, CHS @ 35+, 1/2 pos. BUD @ 52+, 1/2 pos. KRI. @ 69+, 1/3 pos. MCO @ 41, 1/2 pos. the DFX defense index @ 201+, 1/2 pos. PLAB @ 35, 1/3 pos. CB @ 77-, XL @ 97++, BCM @ 36+, 1/2 pos. the XLF @ 27+, OCAS @ 20, 1/2 pos. ASTSF @ 16+, MANH @ 39-, 1/3 pos. COL @ 24++, 1/2 pos. BGP @ 24, 1/3 pos. the BKX @ 907, EV @ 40+, LNC @ 52+, BDX @ 38+, 1/2 pos. MEDQ @ 30+, 1/2 pos. MATW @ 25, 1/3 pos. RYAN ??, CFBX @ 26+, 1/2 pso. APPB @ 38 ?, IBC @ 26+, BBBY @ 36, BCS @ 136, KLIC @ 21+, CUNO @ 37, the RLX index @ 970, the SOX index over 615,
and/but, took, 'anything already way down', and, , and the 'just missed' ones just below here, Off the pot. Puts list, before "put", as they aborted their patterns immediately (also see recent past issues taken off, here)....remember, any new highs = off the Puts list (although expect some "fobo's" along the way, have patience)....so VIEW their charts, to see what 'aborted Puts patterns' look like, for YOUR lifetime benefit....also, obviously, where they have fallen nicely, many of these were 'just missed' herein as well, right ?
*** and/but, among stocks recently specifically given you herein, in sections
(6) and (7) below, we "just Missed", PDII, APS, CRK, GTW, WXS, AVE, NWS, BRW, RDRT, TNOX, INFA, SAPE, PDLI, UNWR, SANM, SFA, as Longs/Buys near very recent lows, and, FRX, BMET, ASH, MNI, BWC, MCRS, GWW, ITW, MCRS, NVLS, TSM, as Puts/Shorts, near recent highs....Every single stock ever listed here over past NL's was specifically given you herein, in sec. (6) or (7), previously, and you very likely could still have caught them, if you took the time to view their charts....More proof of the power of "PSYCLE sm" patterns....again, just because I honestly admit to "missing" some, which DO work anyway, that I give you herein, does not mean YOU have to miss those same stocks....if you do just a little work, YOU may certainly catch ones, which I may happen to just miss, herein....making you money, in both directions, most of the time, while hopefully stopping losses smallishly....
(issues moving since last time, worthy of following-up, and/or
mentioning, because of recent price moves, still remaining long in most all of
them, unless otherwise noted):
**** note: (sos) means "Sell On Strength" (i.e., on
a bounce up towards resistance, and/or where it broke down from)....("S") means
Sell it here (if still right at/near the listed price level).
acting a.o.k., or strong(er) :
be
sure to VIEW charts of all the big winners lately from last few NL's, to learn
the pattern:
still banging out many winners for you, even during pb's times,
yes ?:
UFI. 11 up 3 sos, NOVT 7.35, 8.85, MGL 8.90 up 1.11 sos, LU 4.72 up 0.72, PDE 18 up 2, HBIO 7.80 up 0.55, JDSU 5.43 up 0.37, UHS 47 up 3, DIGL 5.40 up 0.25, PHSY 27.65 up 1 (sos), BR 44-, RRC 5 5/8, NSI. 12-, PBCT 26,95 (S), NOVT 8.11, NOR 20.67, higher since last missive here....also see HL 3-, AYE 43-, even higher still.... and MGL approaches its 200 DMA....
and/but, then, seeing Many pullbacks,
and/or more Bounces after pullbacks:
obviously, with bounces, also getting
tons of S.T. pb's all-around, in Techs, Telecoms, and others, etc.,
EMKR 8.76
pb, TLGD 21 (B), 22, CLTK 11.20 up, ABI. 20.86 (B), EMIS 15.40 pb, bopb, WGRD
5.47 pb, bopb, CEGE 15.37 pb, bopb, CIEN 7.84, bopb, 8.25, SUNW 8.56, 9.03, GLW 6.91 pb, ARNA 9.26 (B), WWCA 7.11 pb, bopb, VRSN 22 pb, bopb, HBIO 7.25, RSAS 7.11 (B), SLNK 10.85 pb, RMD 39 pb, AXTI. 9.62 pb, PMCS 16.65 pb, NOVT 7.35, 7.79, JDSU 5.06 (B), ASIA 10.78 (B), 11.65, FDRY 5.69 (B) ?, NTIQ 23 pb, 24.02, KOPN 8.75 pb, CMGI. 1.35 pb, bopb, FALC 6.27 pb, bopb, UHS 36+ pb, PLXS 26.49 up, MEDC 14.15 up, STXN 4.40 (B) ?, 4.72, CHU 9.00 (B), 9.80, LEXG 7.95 (B), 8.34, NOVT 8.25 pb, AMT 4.70, 5.13, EOT 6.20 pb, TPC 8. (B), 8.55, AMRI. 22., 23.39, MUSE 8.18 pb, bopb ....some of these are also in the "ms/sos" list below, and, those must strengthen or else....
and/but, these
already assumed Longs, are acting weaker S.T., and/or must strengthen, and/or
must strengthen "again/anew", and/or must "break above recent high or else",
and/or are sales on strength ("sos") to/towards/near resistance:
(note, some of these are also in "pb" list above
....obviously, any stock near its lows, or close to breaking, "must strengthen"
or else, yes ?)
FON sos, HAIN 20.83 up, LNUX, USU sos, AMCC 7.46 pb, DIGL, KME 4.28 (S) ?, TPC 8. ?....was CHTR a 'fobd' ?
and, still, most all Techs and rallied stocks, had to follow-through up
further, but have not (read sec. (1) and (2) above....above their bases and
resistance highs of this week....and/or, above their
previously-broken-below-before-Sept. 11th-levels....
5) Already given out in
previous NL's, assumed Hypothetically long "Puts" positions:
(issues moving since last time, worthy of
following-up, still remaining long in these Puts, unless otherwise noted):
check
their patterns out to learn:
SPW -5 1/2, LNC -5, MANH +1, -5, SEE -3, C. -2 1/2, PX -2 1/2, GD -2, NTRS -1 (S), ZBRA -1 1/2, ROAD -1 1/2 (S) below its 200 DMA, the DFX -2 1/2, BGP -3/4, CB -1, BRO, TGT, lower, since last NL here....and the XAL fell under 93, a new low....
* But, then, these, are
acting too Strong, and/or are Bouncing, intraday, and/or Must Weaken anew,
nevertheless, and/or are sales on pullbacks/weakness ("sow"):
6) Now--- Here are Other, Fuller lists,
of still-Depressed, Long Buys, near their recent Lows Only, for potential Rises
towards resistance, always Diversified (w/close stops, when/if their basing or
"EVB" patterns break down):
Potential Longs, by Industry Groups, for "Rotation":
some
decent bases here, and many decent EVB's and double-bottoms, (but, again, Not
when/if any of these make new lows here, and, NOT if they are already "up", much,
off lows, right ?
some Depressed:
Energy &
Services, etc., Utilities, Retail/Apparel, Cable/Wireless/Telecom, Foreign depr.
stocks - like Japan/China, some Argentina/Brazil, Agriculture-oriented, Biotech,
Health-related, Chem./Farm/Fert., alternative Energy, Precious and other Metals,
some Transportation/Airlines/Parts, Ind. Groups...and, the 'defensive index' is
improving as well....
*** and, of course, many depr. Techs, Semis, data
storage, internet, software, memory, computer - relateds, etc., below, and
soon....ONLY near lows, as always, with close stops....
We are Also "Watching" --- as potential EVB's, or "basing", or "double"
bottoms", near recent lows ONLY:
*** as S.T., "EVB's": in no particular
order, as a "watching" list: note, some have been on this list for a while,
allowing you ample opportunity to have SEEN their charts, and bought them when/if
suitable, yes ?
added, (in no particular order !): (be sure thay have not popped up too
much too fast recently, already, before you buy, and, note I took some off list
already),
understand, some of these stil need more work/pullbacks....this list
will be revised over each weekend....
added even more: but, note,
obviously, I removed a bunch, and some others are already up, as well (and many
others previously given from lows, remain buys on big pullbacks, also note,
re-added some previously whipsawed ones):
added these, note list growing as mentioned above:
LU, LLY, TZH, ILA,
CBT, to, NOVL, VTA, TSS opbo, AGEN opbo, EXLT, ILXO obpbo, QTRN,
QLTI. ?, RFMD opbo, SANM opbo, RTRSY, SAPE opbo, to, F, NYFX, AMT,
AVNX, ACTU, AMTD, ANDW, DRIV, KOPN, MCSI, NXTP, MIPS, GNSS opbo, MCDTA, TNOX, BRW
?, NXTL, the 'IBB', the 'BBH' ?, the 'XLK', APS, NOR, TPC, MCCC, VANS, SYNP,
ALGN, ACPW obpbo, TWTC, MC, HAIN, JNPR obpbo, ARTC, ICCI, IO, FNSR, MSCC, POZN,
KM obpbo, VGZ obpbo, UTOB, BABY ?, SCMR, ENMD, IN, SIEB, AKAM, AXTI, UCU, RT
opb,
as EVB's or bases....
and, some Energy/Alternatives/Svcs.: FCEL opbo, KME, VTS, WR, NR, EOT,
some Biotechs, Drugs, and health-relateds: CEGE, RAD obpbo, NOVT, MEDC,
ARNA, RMD obpbo, CNU, SQNM eh, ABI, HBIO, AMRI,
among
Telecom-Networking-Internet-Satellite-Commun.-orienteds: TWTC, PACW, CMGI,
FDRY, REMC opbo, TLGD, EMIS, GLW, CCI, CHU, FALC, OPTV, ITWO, KME, CIEN, JDSU,
NXTP, NXTL, TERN, DIGL, OPWV,
techs, computer-orienteds, hardware,
storage, software, semis, etc.: WGRD obpbo, SUNW, VTSS, MUSE, PLXS, RDRT, MVSN
opbo, PMCS opbo, MIPS, ANDW, DRIV, KOPN, OPWV, NTIQ opbo, AMT, RSAS,
and/but, not any of these above, when/if they make new lows or break budding
bases/patterns....don't "force" trades....and be sure to do your 'fundamentals'
homework on all, especially the lesser-known/cheaper ones....
(NOTE: again, if they are already down appreciably from their highs, do NOT
chase them down, wait for bounces):
added, CEFT,
MXIM, MCRS, EASI, ARRO, NVLS ?, EXPD, ZBRA, USAI. ?, BMS, HCR, GAP ?, BRO, ONE,
R, TGT, TSM, SLM os, BWC, MNI, NEU, ITW ?, RMHT ?, KMT os, AAPL ?, INFY,
to, RML, MCO, UTX, KRI, CHS, MI, PX, XL, RDN, CBH, CPWM, AGE, TJX ?,
RJF, ASTSF ?, PLAB, MRVL, WFMI. ?, OCAS, NTRS, KLIC,, PLCE, PBI, GD, MCK, SAP oso, XLF, MI, KWD, WAG, PFG, SKY ?, DRS, SYY, the BKX, APPB, TKTX, the SPX, MAY, EV, SMG, KROL, SPW, ABX, CUNO, ITG, MIK, MATW, RYAN ?, MEDQ, BBBY, VRST, MANH, BDX ?, COST, BCS ?, AMG, NHP, IBC, from recent past NL's....
**** the Best Puttable Industry Groups: in no particular order, and/but,
understanding we have already HAD some real nice drops:
added, Extended: machinery/cap. goods/makers, auto parts,
to, comp. software, auto/truck/OEM, optical character recognition,
home-related/furnishings, retail and apparel, shoes, security, restaurants,
Comp./Educ. co's., Peripherals, Security, temp. staffing, Pollution-related,
Aero./Def., "Medical-outpatient-home-care", "commercial services', Insur./only
some Banks/Mtg./S & L's/Loans, 'extendeds only' within
Health/Medical/Drug/Dental/Biotech, most types of Media/papers/tv, Funeral,
extended-only Food, and some High-PE Techs, all near their recent Highs ONLY,
w/close stops above their patterns highs....this ends putside-downside
follow-ups/ideas section....
general note: as per my teachings, WITHIN some industry groups, there
may be bpth, extendeds, and depresseds, as recently, certainly normal....
VIEW THE CHARTS....SEE where the 200 DMA's are....LEARN THE
PATTERNS/STAGES