1) "PSYCLE SENSE sm": new:
3) Most recent Hypothetical
"PSYCLE sm" transactions, to be mimicked, and referred back to:
4) Already given out in previous NL's,
assumed Hypothetical "Long-side" positions:
7) other, still Extended/potentially
Toppy, "Puttables", near recent Highs Only, for potential Price Drops, using,
Only, L.T., in-the-money Puts Only, Always Diversified, w/stops if patterns abort
to the upside, for potential drops towards their 200 DMA's, at least:
a) Important Industry Group
(Rotation) notes:
1) i guess the newest exploitable I.G. are some of the major Pharm./Drug stocks, and Biotechs !, long, which I have been excellent at timing in both directions often herein over the years....will you catch them or miss them ? .... 2) and re-added as Puttables, some extended Shoes/Apparel, auto/truck, aero./def., retail, internet e-commerce, conmtainers, most all media, oil svc., housing/building....and still some banks....and the "defensive consumer stocks index".... 3) and, interestingly, all 3 financial ind. mags, I received over the weekend, had - you guessed it - 'now bullish on Gold' covers, get it ? ....4) the QQQ had both, its 50 -and 200 DMA, just above recent highs, so, as I said, would have sold above 33 or so, and we need a bit more work before bigger upside rises coming in it.... 5) and, note extended recently-liked-only Consumer-blus-chip-big-name- type stocks pulling back as only I added herein in the IJH, RKH, MDY, IJS, etc., indexes poyttables one shoudl have taken advantage of recently, yes ?
5) recall my comments a little while ago about how all the latecomers who lost money holding stocks all the way down', finally found the RUT, Russell 2000 index, and the SML, S & P small-cap index, as 'high-releative-strength buys' ponly AFTER they were already way up (and they had missed THEM also) ?, well, let me be among the first few to suggest a S.T. top in both indexes....re-read my I.G.R. booklet.... 6) note bottoms and pops ampng depr. Brokerage stocks you know I have been watching for....even as they announce lower revenues, obviously....no 'links'.... 7) as to cash Gold 316+, and XAU over 83, with its L.T. double-top target I gave you a while ago when lower, not much above current levels, one certainly does not want to begin to get bullish now, way too late....I gave you plenty of great L.T. longside Gains in these stocks already....actually gotta look to begin to take Gains from here, yes ?
b) more, misleading, sensationalized, Late, and/or
improper/incorrect comments from the Financial Media, Reporters, Govt.,
etc.:
1) I keep hearing in the sensationalising Media how 'bankruptcies are at all-time highs', yet recent chart in the OCR, showed BK. down, not up, since high mid-1998....
c) more incorrect/misleading/sensationalized, and/or
improper comments, from Fundamentalists/Companies, newspapers/magazines, etc.,
vs. illogical/Contrary/Unlinkable, past/present/future Economic items, and/or
stock price moves:
1) as expected, recent articles say "the USA's power supplies elec. will be ample for the next couple of years, due to the largest increase in capacity since 1989", leaving reserve generating capacioty of 18.5 %, up from last year's 15.7 %"....well, we shall see if they do something about AFTER 'the next couple of years", NOW, in thre meantime, instead of waiting till the next big crunch....but we doubt it, huh ....2) I read where WMT is trying to add banks to its arsenal....Sears did this a while ago....
d) more, likely late, incorrect, and/or misleading,
comments, from Brokerage firms, NL writers, Analysts, economists, Money Managers,
etc.:
1) ...
e) more general, political, misreported items proving
why one should probably ignore 95 % of everything else out there:
1) having helped cause/contribute to the Calif. Energy crisis crap last summer, Gov. Davis (dgms) now wants, exactly as i predicted, consumers to bail state out, raising tons of taxes on products and services, great system, huh....and, they 'blame' the state's budget deficit on "$ 17. B. in expected stock-gain taxes from consumers which never materialized, as stocks prices fell a lot instead"....no surprise there....if I was running their investments, welll, you know....even a monkey could have done better....stock-gains-taxes had risen from providing 6 % of the state's revenues in 1996, to 25 % in 2001....they never learn....and Davis continues to try to sue energy co's. for overcharging Calif. last year....doubt he can get blood from a stone, ay ?
So, as you have seen, for years now, how well one does,
often, just "doing" the best 'individual' stocks, and rotating Ind. Groups,
chart-technically, and sentiment-wise, mostly long-side, while ignoring, or going
contrary to, 95 % of all Media messages, and "indexes/averages" comments, from
the peanut gallery ? By just getting my output, alone, you do much better,
and save time, by not having to even try to "seek, and process" tons of other,
useless fundamental info., anyway....and we also help remove potential emotional
problems for you, before they begin....
Always remember to view
"1-year-at-least past" charts of everything you can view, herein, along with
their 200 day moving averages (DMA's), to "see/learn" the "PSYCLE patterns", and
see where/when stocks in section (3) were Hypothetically bought near lows, and
put near highs....all % percentage 'Gains' are just logical ESTIMATES for L.T.,
ITM options, where exist, and/or on Margin, where no options exist....
"Q" = 'quick', i.e., after
less than a month or so holding, "VQ" = 'very quick', i.e., just a couple of
weeks time, and "VVQ" = 'very very quick', i.e., often after just a few days
since 'bought' herein....and, L.T., means 'long-term', i.e., at least a few
months' time holding period:
still more quick, large % Gains: 9 more Longs, and, 2
more Puts:
1/2 pos. calls VSH (17++ to 26+) for 175% Gain....1/2 pos. stk.on.mgn. OPWV (5- to 7+) for VVQ 111% G....bal. calls PLXS (22 to 28) for VQ 111% G....1/2 pos. calls TALX (15 to 18-) for VVQ 80% G....1/2 pos. calls XLK (17+ to 20) for VVQ 66% G....1/2 pos. stk.on.mgn. DRIV (5 to 7+) for Q 100% G....1/2 pos. calls MDTH (16+ to 19+) for VQ 75% G....1/2 pos. calls SPOT (21- to 25) for L.T. 75% G....1/2 pos. calls WPI (24 to 27+) for VVQ 66% G....1/2 pos. stk.on.mgn. MIPS (6 to 8) for VQ 60% G....1/2 pos. puts SYY (30+ to 28) for 33% G....1/2 pos. puts IJS (100- to 95+) for VVVVQ nice % G....
and/but, longs, 2nd pos. LNUX, and, puts, CMA, MNI. ?, for very quick, very small losses, normally of small overall consequence to a properly diversified L.T. portfolio....
NOTE: while most of the $ 5. to $ 10. stocks are listed here
as "stocks on margin" ("stk.on.mgn."), if one Had bought L.T., in-the-money calls
options, their % Gains/Losses would have been multiplied, higher, right ? We
prefer not to buy Calls on most stocks under $ 10., unless their patterns are
phenomenal, as their options premiums tend to be too high, vs. buying those
stocks on Margin, with close stops, where suitable, instead, with less arithmetic
risk, and yet, similar reward potential--- stocks themselves have no "premium",
right ? and, of course, if one just bought said longs for cash, and not
on margin, the % Gains/Losses here would be relatively smaller, though still
excellent, for such short holding periods, yes ? also, obviously, these
"hypothetical transactions" are always listed, from biggest % Gains, to smallest,
then all losses....
(either for Cash, especially in Pensions,
and/or on Margin where suitable, and/or Only L.T., in-the-money Options, where
suitable/available, always Diversifying, always with close Stops below/above
recent lows/highs):
again, "just get real close" to
suggested prices:
1/2 pos. MIR @ 8-, 1/3 pos. TSO @ 8, 1/3 pos. BGEN @ 40++,
"Repeats": (some of these are/were '1/2 size positions'): 1/3 pos. REP @ 11++, 1/2 pos. TGX @ 8.1, 1/3 pos. AWE @ 7+, 1/2 pos. RCOM @ 8-, 1/3 pos. RDRT @ 2 5/8, 1/4 pos. ELC @ 1.30, 1/2 pos. MON @ 29++, 1/3 pos. MIPS @ 6+, 1/2 pos. QTRN @ 14+, 1/2 pos. CTV @ 16+, 1/3 pos. AWE @ 7.36, 1/3 pos. CNC @ 3.30, 1/4 pos. LFB @ 10 ?, AMRI. @ 21+, 1/2 pos. REMC @ 8-, 1/2 pos. TQNT @ 9-, 1/3 pos. ACPW @ 3 3/4, 1/3 pos. TOY @ 16+, 1/3 pos. CNXT @ 7+, 1/3 pos. AMT @ 3 3/4, 1/2 pos. MGM @ 15+, 1/3 pos. LPTH @ 1.40, 1/2 pos. SCMR @ 3+, EMKR @ 8-, RTK @ 0.50+, RT @ 10 1/2, CHU @ 9, WGRD @ 5-, CNU @ 0.265, GLW no ?, SIEB @ 3 3/4 ...."buy (only) low", right ?
** Important: took, ARMHY, BRW, and a few from the 'just missed' list below, Off the pot. Long Buys list, before they might have been Hypothetically "bt."....we do Not "Guess" at bottoms, nor tops....and, most 'missed' ideas just below, were also 'removed', to keep immediate potential Buy lists smaller for you....
1/2 pos. HDI. @ 55, MTX @ 54-,
PPG @ 55++, 1/2 pos. DVN @ 50, 1/2 pos. ETN @ 87+, 1/3 pos. OSI. @ 37++, 1/2 pos. MLHR @ 25 eh, IDXC @ 18, PTSI. @ 26, 1/2 pos. JRC @ 22-, 1/3 pos. PG @ 93+, 1/2 pos. CEFT @ 34+, 1/3 pos. TMA @ 20+, 1/3 pos. NI. @ 23+, 1/2 pos. the 30-yr. T-bond @ 103 eh, 1/3 pos. IFIN @ 78, EDMC @ 44, 1/3 pos. RKH @ 124, 1/3 pos. CBM @ 44-, 1/3 pos. TOT @ 78, 1/4 pos. FCS @ 30+, 1/3 pos. IJS @ 100-, 1/4 pos. CYMI. @ 52+, 1/4 pos. NVLS @ 52+, 1/3 pos. MDY @ 100+, 1/3 pos. AAPL @ 26-, 1/3 pos. FCS @ 30, 1/3 pos. MNC @ 29+, 1/2 pos. IJH @ 109, 1/2 pos. ATN @ 42-,
"Repeats":
>1/3 pos. SPF @ 35, 1/2 pos. SSS @ 32-, 1/2 pos. AG @ 22+, 1/2 pos. AFCE @ 34++, 1/3 pos. ROIA @ 25, 1/3 pos. PFGC @ 38+, 1/3 pos. MRR @16, 1/2 pos. BWA @ 64,1/2 pos. MRR @ 16-, MYG @ 47+, 1/3 pos. BRO @ 35+, NBL @ 40+, 1/3 pos. AVP @ 57, 1/3 pos. BHE @ 32+, ARRO @ 47+, MI. @ 64-, 1/2 pos. COHU @ 28++, 1/2 pos. RML @ 19+, 1/2 pos. ONE @ 42+, 1/2 pos. BRO @ 35+ ?, TGT @ 45-, 1/2 pos. PX @ 59++, 1/3 pos. MNI. @ 61+ no ?, 1/2 pos. PLAB @ 35, CB @ 77+, 1/2 pos. BGP @ 24, CUNO @ 27+, SPF @ 35-, BDX @ 38, 1/3 pos. MCRS @ 29+, BWC @ 25-, MYG @ 47+, AG @ 22+, SYY @ 29+, XTO @ 21+ ?, XLF @ 27+, EXPD @ 60+ ?, 1/2 pos. PTSI. @ 26,
and/but, took, 'anything already way down', and, , and the 'just missed' ones just below here, Off the pot. Puts list, before "put", as they aborted their patterns immediately (also see recent past issues taken off, here)....remember, any new highs = off the Puts list (although expect some "fobo's" along the way, have patience)....so VIEW their charts, to see what 'aborted Puts patterns' look like, for YOUR lifetime benefit ....also, obviously, where they have fallen nicely, many of these were 'just missed' herein as well, right ?
*** and/but, among stocks recently specifically given you herein, in sections
(6) and (7) below, we "just Missed", CMVT, CBST, DVSA, FORR, CTAC, EXTR, FWC, VLCCF, KEM, SWY, PNC, FLEX fobd, LGTO, PLUG, SURE, ET, as Longs/Buys near very recent lows, and, CHE, INTL, HP, LEA, ETM, WEG, BJS, ETM, HP, UNT, CCL, LEA, as Puts/Shorts, near recent highs.... Every single stock ever listed here over past NL's was specifically given you herein, in sec. (6) or (7), previously, and you very likely could still have caught them, if you took the time to view their charts....More proof of the power of "PSYCLE sm" patterns....again, just because I honestly admit to "missing" some, which DO work anyway, that I give you herein, does not mean YOU have to miss those same stocks....if you do just a little work, YOU may certainly catch ones, which I may happen to just miss, herein....making you money, in both directions, most of the time, while hopefully stopping losses smallishly....
(issues moving since last time, worthy of following-up, and/or
mentioning, because of recent price moves, still remaining long in most all of
them, unless otherwise noted):
**** note: (sos) means "Sell On Strength" (i.e., on
a bounce up towards resistance, and/or where it broke down from)....("S") means
Sell it here (if still right at/near the listed price level).
acting a.o.k., or strong(er) :
be
sure to VIEW charts of all the big winners lately from last few NL's, to learn
the pattern:
still banging out many winners for you, even during pb's times,
yes ?:
ETS 1.92 up 0.48, ACPW 4.90 up 1.01, DRIV 7.29 up 0.96, MIR 8.95 up 1.25, IVGN 37.12 up 1.69, RDRT 3.11 up 0.08, F. 17.69 up 1.14, MXT 14.22 up 0.47, AOL 19.99, WPI. 27.43 up 0.88, SYD 21.94, VSH 26.15, LU 5.03, PDG 13.72, LFB 10.29, higher, since last missive here....also, see, TVX 0.23 wow, TVX 1.15, higher still, and cash Gold 316+ breakout ?
and/but, then, seeing Many pullbacks,
and/or more Bounces after pullbacks:
obviously, with bounces, also getting
tons of S.T. pb's all-around, in Techs, Telecoms, and others, etc.,
PACW 0.58, 0.67, 0.58, 0.64, TPC 9.14, 10.10, MON 30.40, 31.10, TOY 17.91 up, PDG 13.45 up, MIPS 7.66 pb, WGRD 4.90 pb, bopb, OPWV 6.45 pb, TALX 16- pb, SANM 13.98, 12.67, EMKR 8.37, 7.77 (B), CTV 16.25 pb, TLAB 9.55 pb, RDRT 2.95 pb, CNXT 8. pb, TQNT 9.76 pb, ANDW 16.53 pb, MGM 16.65 up, AXTI. 10.10 pb, CHU 9.71 pb, ILXO 16.02 pb, PKI. 13.58 pb, RCOM 7.80 pb, cb ?, ETS 1.66 pb, MLNM 17.47 pb, ELC 1.25 pb (B), MON 29.78 (B), SCMR 3.79, 3.47....some of these are also in the "ms/sos" list below, and, those must strengthen or else....
and/but, these
already assumed Longs, are acting weaker S.T., and/or must strengthen, and/or
must strengthen "again/anew", and/or must "break above recent high or else",
and/or are sales on strength ("sos") to/towards/near resistance:
(note, some of these are also in "pb" list above
....obviously, any stock near its lows, or close to breaking, "must strengthen"
or else, yes ?)
AWE 7.38 (B), SIEB, GLW 5.90 dn ?, IVGN 35.45 pb, FON, CHL, CNU 0.27 pb (B), CPRT, NTIQ 23. pb, SYD, PWER, AMT bd ?, no ?, 3.72 (B), 4.04, SPOT 24.40 pb, RT 10.39 (B), 10.98, MDTH, LPTH 1.40 (B), bms, VSH....
5) Already given out in
previous NL's, assumed Hypothetically long "Puts" positions:
(issues moving since last time, worthy of
following-up, still remaining long in these Puts, unless otherwise noted):
check
their patterns out to learn:
CYMI. -5 1/2, ATN -4, IJS -4 1/4, COHU -3, ETN -3, CB -3, CEFT -2 1/2, BWA -2 1/2, IJS -2 1/4, ETN -2 1/4, NVLS -2 1/2, IJH -2 1/4, MDY -2 1/2, EDMC -2 1/4, AFCE -2 1/2, TGT -2, AG +1, -1 1/2, IFIN -2, RKH -2 1/2, MNC -2, AAPL -1 3/8, RKH -2, PG -2, AVP -1 1/2, MYG -1, MTX -1 1/4, TOT -1, FCS -2, MLHR -1 1/4, DVN -1 1/8, BGP, TMA, MRR, NBL -1, ROIA -1, lower, since last NL here.... while, PLCE, SYY, fell to their 200 DMA, and PLAB below its....and, our ABT, 46 dn further, hah, ditto CCRD 14, INVN 18....
* But, then, these, are
acting too Strong, and/or are Bouncing, intraday, and/or Must Weaken anew,
nevertheless, and/or are sales on pullbacks/weakness ("sow"):
6) Now--- Here are Other, Fuller lists,
of still-Depressed, Long Buys, near their recent Lows Only, for potential Rises
towards resistance, always Diversified (w/close stops, when/if their basing or
"EVB" patterns break down):
Potential Longs, by Industry Groups, for "Rotation":
some
decent bases here, and many decent EVB's and double-bottoms, (but, again, Not
when/if any of these make new lows here, and, NOT if they are already "up", much,
off lows, right ?
some Depressed:
Retail/Apparel, Cable/Wireless/Telecom, Foreign depr. stocks - like Japan/China, some Argentina/Brazil, Agriculture-oriented, Biotech/Drugs, Health-related, Chem./Farm/Fert., alternative Energy, some Transportation/ Airlines/Parts, Ind. Groups....
*** and, of course, many depr. Techs, Semis, data storage, internet, software, memory, computer - relateds, etc., below, and soon....ONLY near lows, as always, with close stops....
We are Also "Watching" --- as potential EVB's, or "basing", or "double"
bottoms", near recent lows ONLY:
*** as S.T., "EVB's": in no particular
order, as a "watching" list: note, some have been on this list for a while,
allowing you ample opportunity to have SEEN their charts, and bought them when/if
suitable, yes ?
added, (in no particular order !): (be sure thay have not popped up too
much too fast recently, already, before you buy, and, note I took some off list
already),
understand, some of these stil need more work/pullbacks....this list
will be revised over each weekend....
added even more: but, note,
obviously, I removed a bunch, and some others are already up, as well (and many
others previously given from lows, remain buys on big pullbacks, also note,
re-added some previously whipsawed ones):
added these, note list growing as mentioned above:
CXRA, CMVT, BGEN, DTPI, DVSA, NMTC, SEPR, TKLC, TNOX nah ?, VRTX, VRTY, APPX, BOL, ICN, CHB, MGL, SWY, to, HPQ, MIR, PKI, NOK, CWP, ELC, SRA, SBL, XRX, CZN, CTV, CBR ?, ANR ?, CDT opbo, ETS, FWC, LFB, JOYG, ULGX ?, PCOM, PXLW, PWAV, RCOM, MIPS, GLGC, EFDS, LGTO, PLUG opbo, NOVT opbo, TUNE, MON, SMT, PGO, MXT, to, LPTH, ACTU, ASIA, BPUR ny, AMT, CNXT, SEAC, SLR, CPRT, TOY, FBF ?, AV, CWP, CZN opbo, UAL opb, TLAB, SONE, CCUR eh, VLCCF, LGVN, MLNM, IMNY, CNC, MMS, SYD, TGX, MGM, BABY, NOVL no, BRW no ?, ALN opb eh, TSS, TZH, F, VANS, ALGN, LGTO, WFII, ACPW, RAD, IO, POZN, KM obpbo, VGZ obpbo, UTOB, ENMD, IN, SIEB, AXTI, RT opb, RSTN ?, RMBS,
as EVB's or bases....
some Biotechs, Drugs, and health-relateds: RAD obpbo, WPI, CNU ?, AMRI,
among Telecom-Networking-Internet-Satellite-Commun.-equip.-orienteds: PACW opbo, REMC, GLW ?, CHU, ANDW, AMT, SCMR, RFMD opbo,
techs, computer-orienteds, hardware, storage, software, equip., semis, etc.: WGRD, RDRT opb, NTIQ opbo, EMKR, GNSS, SANM, TQNT,
and/but, not any of these above, when/if they make new lows or break budding
bases/patterns....don't "force" trades....and be sure to do your 'fundamentals'
homework on all, especially the lesser-known/cheaper ones....
(NOTE: again, if they are already down appreciably from their highs, do NOT
chase them down, wait for bounces):
added, EAT, CCL, CXR, ETM, MCL ?, LZB ?, UNT, TRY ?, MTX, LEA, FBN ?, ASO, CBSH, GISX, to, APA, AZO, BLL, BJS, DHR, FCS, ETM, DVN, ETN, RKH index, IJS index, PPG ?, MNC, NBL, OSI, EDMC, IGEN, CXR, IDXC, PTSI, RCL, TOT, WHR, CHE, CNF, FMC, JRC, TMA, NI. ?, to, FITB, AG, FMX, HIG, MDY ?, FCS, MRR, SSS, TOM, BWA, PFGC, TRB ?, VIA, MYG, NBL, XTO ?, AVY, AVP, AFCE, COHU, INTL, TREE, IFIN, CYMI, the IJH, ARRO, NVLS, EXPD, BMS, BRO no ?, ONE, BWC, MNI, AAPL, RML, MI, PX, XLF, MCRS, CB, PBI, WAG, PFG, SYY, CUNO, MEDQ, BDX, from recent past NL's....
**** the Best Puttable Industry Groups: in no particular order, and/but,
understanding we have already HAD some real nice drops:
added, Extended: (some may be fobo's, as bove, so tread lightly)
machinery/cap. goods/makers, auto parts, retail, containers, travel, to, comp. software, auto/truck/OEM, optical character recognition, energy, home-related/furnishings, retail and apparel, shoes, security, restaurants, Comp./Educ. co's., Peripherals, Security, temp. staffing, Pollution-related, Aero./Def., "Medical-outpatient-home-care", "commercial services', Insur./some Banks/Mtg./S & L's/Loans, 'extendeds only' within Health/Medical/Drug/Dental/Biotech, most types of Media/newspapers/tv, Funeral, extended-only Food, and some High-PE Techs, all near their recent Highs ONLY, w/close stops above their patterns highs....this ends putside-downside follow-ups/ideas section....
general note: as per my teachings, WITHIN some industry groups, there
may be bpth, extendeds, and depresseds, as recently, certainly normal....
VIEW THE CHARTS....SEE where the 200 DMA's are....LEARN THE
PATTERNS/STAGES