1) "PSYCLE SENSE sm": new:
3) Most recent Hypothetical
"PSYCLE sm" transactions, to be mimicked, and referred back to:
4) Already given out in previous NL's,
assumed Hypothetical "Long-side" positions:
7) other, still Extended/potentially
Toppy, "Puttables", near recent Highs Only, for potential Price Drops, using,
Only, L.T., in-the-money Puts Only, Always Diversified, w/stops if patterns abort
to the upside, for potential drops towards their 200 DMA's, at least:
a) Important Industry Group
(Rotation) notes:
1) being the first/only to like some depr. Telecoms around here, note that the XTC index is approaching a 5-year-full-trip double-bottom, re-read my booklets....and don't miss this I.G., as people have missed umpteent similar bottoms from me herein, over the years.... 2) more Papers and Banks and Food and the Defensive/Consumer Index, puttable ? if so, as usual, I will be among the first few to notice that....both loved by Wall St. here, of course.... 3) but finding more potential S.T. bottoms among Biotechs.... 4) now that 'the 95 %' like their stocks, late/high as usual, with cash Gold up another $ 4. to $ 326, Mon., how come their stocks are not ?, dig ?, will i be correct with them yet again, to no respect or kudos ? and, Wed., finally got a few more late-and-not-very-helpful-as-usual B-firm saying, "we think gold may start a rally that might get towards $ 340. by year-end"....uh, excuse me ?, where have they been ?, operating badly within my excellent "PSDYCLE sm", yes ?, buyer beware from here, ay ?
b) more, misleading, sensationalized, Late, and/or
improper/incorrect comments from the Financial Media, Reporters, Govt.,
etc.:
1) an actually salient story, CNBC, Tue. 12:30, showing 'foreign capital inflows into the USA stocks and bonds markets', and how "People are worried, if foreign inflows slow, we could be in for trouble" - which is hilarious, because, i have reported this exact story several times over the past several years similarly, and, guess what ?, it has mostly not happened.... in 1998, $ 43. B. went into stocks, $ 111. B. into bonds from overseas....rising every year, in 2001, $ 112. B. came into stocks from foreigners, and $ 222. B. into our bonds....dig ?....please put this to rest, guys - just learn/memorize my "PSYCLE sm" pattern....
c) more incorrect/misleading/sensationalized, and/or
improper comments, from Fundamentalists/Companies, newspapers/magazines, etc.,
vs. illogical/Contrary/Unlinkable, past/present/future Economic items, and/or
stock price moves:
1) bullmarket.com now likes HMT< which I gave out first around 60-7, herein, 'because when they reinstate their dividend, their stock will rise a lot" - but, of course, you know better, PSYCLE-wise, yes ?....
d) more, likely late, incorrect, and/or misleading,
comments, from Brokerage firms, NL writers, Analysts, economists, Money Managers,
etc.:
1) ....
e) more general, political, misreported items proving
why one should probably ignore 95 % of everything else out there:
1) ?
So, as you have seen, for years now, how well one does,
often, just "doing" the best 'individual' stocks, and rotating Ind. Groups,
chart-technically, and sentiment-wise, mostly long-side, while ignoring, or going
contrary to, 95 % of all Media messages, and "indexes/averages" comments, from
the peanut gallery ? By just getting my output, alone, you do much better,
and save time, by not having to even try to "seek, and process" tons of other,
useless fundamental info., anyway....and we also help remove potential emotional
problems for you, before they begin....
Always remember to view
"1-year-at-least past" charts of everything you can view, herein, along with
their 200 day moving averages (DMA's), to "see/learn" the "PSYCLE patterns", and
see where/when stocks in section (3) were Hypothetically bought near lows, and
put near highs....all % percentage 'Gains' are just logical ESTIMATES for L.T.,
ITM options, where exist, and/or on Margin, where no options exist....
"Q" = 'quick', i.e., after
less than a month or so holding, "VQ" = 'very quick', i.e., just a couple of
weeks time, and "VVQ" = 'very very quick', i.e., often after just a few days
since 'bought' herein....and, L.T., means 'long-term', i.e., at least a few
months' time holding period:
still more quick, large % Gains: 1 more Longs, and, 2
more Puts:
1/2 pos. puts TGT (46 to 40) for Q 66% Gain....1/2 pos. puts CYMI (52 to 42+) for VQ 80% G....1/2 pos. stk.on.mgn. MIR (8- to 10+) for VVQ 66% G....
and/but, longs, WGRD, REMC, CTV, KANA, CNC, and, puts, , MNI. ?, for very quick, very small losses, normally of small overall consequence to a properly diversified L.T. portfolio....
NOTE: while most of the $ 5. to $ 10. stocks are listed here
as "stocks on margin" ("stk.on.mgn."), if one Had bought L.T., in-the-money calls
options, their % Gains/Losses would have been multiplied, higher, right ? We
prefer not to buy Calls on most stocks under $ 10., unless their patterns are
phenomenal, as their options premiums tend to be too high, vs. buying those
stocks on Margin, with close stops, where suitable, instead, with less arithmetic
risk, and yet, similar reward potential--- stocks themselves have no "premium",
right ? and, of course, if one just bought said longs for cash, and not
on margin, the % Gains/Losses here would be relatively smaller, though still
excellent, for such short holding periods, yes ? also, obviously, these
"hypothetical transactions" are always listed, from biggest % Gains, to smallest,
then all losses....
(either for Cash, especially in Pensions,
and/or on Margin where suitable, and/or Only L.T., in-the-money Options, where
suitable/available, always Diversifying, always with close Stops below/above
recent lows/highs):
again, "just get real close" to
suggested prices:
1/3 pos. ITCD @ 0.14 or so, TKLC @ 10, 1/2 pos. APPX @ 13+, 1/2 pos. SFD @ 18, 1/3 pos. ISIS @ 9+, 1/3 pos. MTON @ 18- ?, 1/3 pos. NEOL @ 12+,
"Repeats": (some of these are/were '1/2 size positions'): 1/3 pos. TSO @ 7++ ?, 1/3 pos. MGL @ 5+, 1/2 pos. PWAV @ 10+, 1/4 pos. BABY @ 4, 1/3 pos. REP @ 11++, 1/2 pos. TGX @ 8.1, 1/2 pos. AWE @ 7+, 1/2 pos. RCOM @ 8-, 1/3 pos. RDRT @ 2 5/8, 1/4 pos. ELC @ 1.30, 1/2 pos. QTRN @ 14-, AMRI. @ 21+, 1/2 pos. TQNT @ 9-, 1/3 pos. ACPW @ 3 3/4, 1/3 pos. MLNM @ 16, 1/3 pos. CNXT @ 7+, full pos. AMT @ 3 7/8, 1/2 pos. MGM @ 15+, 1/3 pos. LPTH @ 1.36+, 1/2 pos. SCMR @ 3+, RTK @ 0.50+, 1/2 pos. TNOX @ 12, RT @ 10 1/2, CNU @ 0.265, SIEB @ 3 3/4, INFS no ? .... "buy (only) low", right ?
** Important: took, PGO, NMTC, ANR, and a few from the 'just missed' list below, Off the pot. Long Buys list, before they might have been Hypothetically "bt."....we do Not "Guess" at bottoms, nor tops....and, most 'missed' ideas just below, were also 'removed', to keep immediate potential Buy lists smaller for you....
1/2 pos. HDI. @ 55, MTX @ 54-, 1/2 pos. CBSH @ 45-, 1/2 pos. KMB @ 66-, 1/3 pos. ASO @ 22+, 1/2 pos. WON @ 40, 1/3 pos. EAT @ 34+, 1/2 pos. DF @ 38-, 1/3 pos. UB @ 49+, 1/3 pos. CEN @ 22+,
PPG @ 55++, 1/2 pos. DVN @ 50, 1/2 pos. ETN @ 87+, 1/3 pos. OSI. @ 37++, 1/2 pos. MLHR @ 25 eh, IDXC @ 18, 1/2 pos. JRC @ 22-, 1/3 pos. TMA @ 20+, 1/3 pos. IFIN @ 78, EDMC @ 44, 1/3 pos. RKH @ 124, 1/3 pos. CBM @ 44, 1/3 pos. TOT @ 78, 1/3 pos. IJS @ 100-, 1/3 pos. AAPL @ 26-, 1/3 pos. MNC @ 29+,
"Repeats":
>1/3 pos. SPF @ 35, 1/2 pos. SSS @ 32-, 1/2 pos. AG @ 22+, 1/3 pos. ROIA @ 25, 1/3 pos. PFGC @ 38+, 1/2 pos. MRR @ 16-, MYG @ 47+, NBL @ 40+, 1/3 pos. AVP @ 57, 1/3 pos. BHE @ 32+, ARRO @ 47+, MI. @ 64-, 1/2 pos. ONE @ 42, 1/2 pos. BRO @ 35+, MCRS @ 29+, 1/2 pos. PX @ 59++, 1/3 pos. MNI. @ 61+, CB @ 77+, MEDQ @ 29, SPF @ 35-, BDX @ 38, BWC @ 25-, MYG @ 47+, SYY @ 29+, XTO @ 21+, XLF @ 27+, EXPD @ 60+, 1/3 pos. TOM @ 16++, 1/2 pos. PTSI. @ 26,
and/but, took, 'anything already way down', and, , and the 'just missed' ones just below here, Off the pot. Puts list, before "put", as they aborted their patterns immediately (also see recent past issues taken off, here)....remember, any new highs = off the Puts list (although expect some "fobo's" along the way, have patience)....so VIEW their charts, to see what 'aborted Puts patterns' look like, for YOUR lifetime benefit ....also, obviously, where they have fallen nicely, many of these were 'just missed' herein as well, right ?
*** and/but, among stocks recently specifically given you herein, in sections
(6) and (7) below, we "just Missed", FORR, PDII, CRXA, UAL, NXTP, SMT, IBB, NMTC, as Longs/Buys near very recent lows, and, SLM, ATK, GISX, UNT, OSG, DHR, ETM, LEA, FMX, CNI, as Puts/Shorts, near recent highs....Every single stock ever listed here over past NL's was specifically given you herein, in sec. (6) or (7), previously, and you very likely could still have caught them, if you took the time to view their charts....More proof of the power of "PSYCLE sm" patterns....again, just because I honestly admit to "missing" some, which DO work anyway, that I give you herein, does not mean YOU have to miss those same stocks....if you do just a little work, YOU may certainly catch ones, which I may happen to just miss, herein....making you money, in both directions, most of the time, while hopefully stopping losses smallishly....
(issues moving since last time, worthy of following-up, and/or
mentioning, because of recent price moves, still remaining long in most all of
them, unless otherwise noted):
**** note: (sos) means "Sell On Strength" (i.e., on
a bounce up towards resistance, and/or where it broke down from)....("S") means
Sell it here (if still right at/near the listed price level).
acting a.o.k., or strong(er) :
be
sure to VIEW charts of all the big winners lately from last few NL's, to learn
the pattern:
still banging out many winners for you, even during pb's times,
yes ?:
TKLC 10.58 up 0.62, TGX 8.66 up 0.47, BGEN 51.19 up 2.02 sos, PWAV 11.53 up 1.33, BABY 4.20 up 0.22, SFD 19.1 up 1.1, NEOL 13.46 up 0.88, APPX 13.61, SYD 22.20, TOY 18.44, MIR 10.50, AWE 8.21, higher, since last missive here....and NOVN 26, even higher still....
and/but, then, seeing Many pullbacks,
and/or more Bounces after pullbacks:
obviously, with many good bounces, also getting many S.T. pb's all-around, in Techs, Telecoms, and others, etc., allowing you to buy them again....
CNU 0.36 up 0.10 nice, AMT 3.90 pb (B), OPWV 6.06, 6.36, TNOX 13.26 up 1.26, MLNM 16.21, 17.10. 16.66, AXTI. 9.15 pb, bopb, MXT 14.28 pb, QTRN 13.70 (B), REMC 8.36, 7.92 (B), CNXT 7.70 bopb, WPI. 26.75 up, TPC 9.40, 10.05, PACW 0.63, 0.48, ACPW 4.43 pb, ASIA 11.82 pb, MIR 9.89 pb, TOY, CHU 9.28 pb, bopb, SANM 11.86 pb, TQNT 9.23 pb, ....some of these are also in the "ms/sos" list below, and, those must strengthen or else....
and/but, these
already assumed Longs, are acting weaker S.T., and/or must strengthen, and/or
must strengthen "again/anew", and/or must "break above recent high or else",
and/or are sales on strength ("sos") to/towards/near resistance:
(note, some of these are also in "pb" list above
....obviously, any stock near its lows, or close to breaking, "must strengthen"
or else, yes ?)
LFB 9.87 dn, SIEB, IVGN, FON, CHL, CPRT, NTIQ, SYD sos, DRIV 6.17 pb, PWER 9.06 pb, SPOT, RDRT 2.60, MDTH, LPTH 1.35 (B), 1.46, 1.38, INFS 11.78 (S) ?, CTV (S) ?, PKI. 14.50 up, AMT 3.72 (B), CNC 3.17 (B), 3.35, 2.91 (S)....and, was, MEDC, NEOL, more fobd's ?
5) Already given out in
previous NL's, assumed Hypothetically long "Puts" positions:
(issues moving since last time, worthy of
following-up, still remaining long in these Puts, unless otherwise noted):
check
their patterns out to learn:
NVLS -3 1/2, RKH -3, KMB -2 1/2, CYMI. -2 1/2, MNC -2, PG -2, CBM -2, TGT -2 sow, AAPL -2, IJS -2, MDY -1 3/4, CB -1 1/2, ETN -1 1/2, HDI. -1 1/2, WON -1 1/2, AVP -1, BRO -1 1/4, IJH -1, EAT -1, DF -1 1/4, BWC -1, IMNC -1, DXC -1, MLHR -3/4, NBL -1, MTX, MRR, MCRS -3/4, ONE, PFGC, lower, since last NL here....while, TGT, approach their 200 DMA....
* But, then, these, are
acting too Strong, and/or are Bouncing, intraday, and/or Must Weaken anew,
nevertheless, and/or are sales on pullbacks/weakness ("sow"):
6) Now--- Here are Other, Fuller lists,
of still-Depressed, Long Buys, near their recent Lows Only, for potential Rises
towards resistance, always Diversified (w/close stops, when/if their basing or
"EVB" patterns break down):
Potential Longs, by Industry Groups, for "Rotation":
some
decent bases here, and many decent EVB's and double-bottoms, (but, again, Not
when/if any of these make new lows here, and, NOT if they are already "up", much,
off lows, right ?
some Depressed:
Retail/Apparel, Cable/Wireless/Telecom, Foreign depr. stocks - like Japan/China, some Argentina/Brazil, Agriculture-oriented, Biotech/Drugs, Health-related, Chem./Farm/Fert., alternative Energy, some Transportation/ Airlines/Parts, Ind. Groups....
*** and, of course, many depr. Techs, Semis, data storage, internet, software, memory, computer - relateds, etc., below, and soon....ONLY near lows, as always, with close stops....
We are Also "Watching" --- as potential EVB's, or "basing", or "double"
bottoms", near recent lows ONLY:
*** as S.T., "EVB's": in no particular
order, as a "watching" list: note, some have been on this list for a while,
allowing you ample opportunity to have SEEN their charts, and bought them when/if
suitable, yes ?
added, (in no particular order !): (be sure thay have not popped up too
much too fast recently, already, before you buy, and, note I took some off list
already),
understand, some of these stil need more work/pullbacks....this list
will be revised over each weekend....
added even more: but, note,
obviously, I removed a bunch, and some others are already up, as well (and many
others previously given from lows, remain buys on big pullbacks, also note,
re-added some previously whipsawed ones):
added these, note list growing as mentioned above:
KOPN ny, MTON, SFD, IBB ?, Q, ADX, AW, GEG eh, FTE ny, BPUR ?, JNPR ?, ISIS, MCRL opbo, HGSI, GNSS obpbo, CRGN, INFS ?, BKI. ?, CASY, AMCC ? eh, THER, ITCD, NOVL, DSS, to, WCOM, CMVT, DTPI. ny, DVSA, SEPR, TKLC, TNOX, VRTX, VRTY, APPX, MIPS obpbo, BOL, ICN, CHB, MGL, SWY, to, HPQ, CWP, ELC, SRA, SBL, XRX, CZN, CBR ?, CDT opbo, PWAV, RCOM, GLGC, EFDS, LGTO, PLUG opbo, NOVT opb, TUNE, SMT, MXT, to, LPTH ?, ACTU, ASIA, BPUR ny, AMT, CNXT, SEAC opbo, SLR, TOY tln, FBF ?, AV, CWP, CZN opbo, UAL, TLAB, SONE, CCUR eh, VLCCF, LGVN, MLNM, IMNY, MMS, MGM, BABY, NOVL, TSS, TZH, ALGN, WFII, ULGX eh, ACPW, RAD, IO, POZN, KM obpb, IN, SIEB, AXTI, RT opbo, RSTN no, RMBS opbo,
as EVB's or bases....
some Biotechs, Drugs, and health-relateds: RAD obp, WPI, CNU, AMRI, TGX,
among Telecom-Networking-Internet-Satellite-Commun.-equip.-orienteds: PACW opbo, CHU, ANDW, AMT no ?, SCMR, RFMD opbo,
techs, computer-orienteds, hardware, storage, software, equip., semis, etc.: NOVL, RDRT opb, NTIQ opbo, TQNT,
and/but, not any of these above, when/if they make new lows or break budding
bases/patterns....don't "force" trades....and be sure to do your 'fundamentals'
homework on all, especially the lesser-known/cheaper ones....
(NOTE: again, if they are already down appreciably from their highs, do NOT
chase them down, wait for bounces):
added, MNTR, SWBT, CYN, ATK, CNI, DF, FDP ?, JCI. ?, LM, KMB, PNR, TCB, WON, UB, CEN, SLM ?, MSCC ?, PDII, NXTP, NEOL ?, to, EAT, CCL, CXR, ETM, MCL ?, UNT, TRY ?, MTX, LEA, FBN ?, ASO, CBSH, GISX, APA, AZO, ZBRA, BLL, BJS, DHR, FCS, ETM, DVN, ETN, RKH index, IJS index, PPG ?, MNC, NBL, EDMC, IGEN, CXR, IDXC, PTSI, RCL, TOT, WHR, CNF, JRC, TMA, FITB, AG, FMX, MDY, FCS, MRR, SSS, TOM, PFGC, TRB ?, VIA, MYG, NBL, XTO ?, AVY, AVP, COHU, TREE, IFIN, the IJH, ARRO, EXPD, BMS, BRO, ONE, BWC, MNI, AAPL, RML, MI, PX, XLF, MCRS, CB, PBI, WAG, PFG, SYY, CUNO, MEDQ, BDX, from recent past NL's....
**** the Best Puttable Industry Groups: in no particular order, and/but,
understanding we have already HAD some real nice drops:
added, Extended: (some may be fobo's, as bove, so tread lightly)
machinery/cap. goods/makers, auto parts, retail, containers, travel, to, comp. software, auto/truck/OEM, optical character recognition, energy, home-related/furnishings, retail and apparel, shoes, security, restaurants, Comp./Educ. co's., Peripherals, Security, temp. staffing, Pollution-related, Aero./Def., "Medical-outpatient-home-care", "commercial services', Insur./some Banks/Mtg./S & L's/Loans, 'extendeds only' within Health/Medical/Drug/Dental/Biotech, most types of Media/newspapers/tv, Funeral, extended-only Food, and some High-PE Techs, all near their recent Highs ONLY, w/close stops above their patterns highs....this ends putside-downside follow-ups/ideas section....
general note: as per my teachings, WITHIN some industry groups, there
may be bpth, extendeds, and depresseds, as recently, certainly normal....
VIEW THE CHARTS....SEE where the 200 DMA's are....LEARN THE
PATTERNS/STAGES