1) "PSYCLE SENSE sm": new:
3) Most recent Hypothetical
"PSYCLE sm" transactions, to be mimicked, and referred back to:
4) Already given out in previous NL's,
assumed Hypothetical "Long-side" positions:
7) other, still Extended/potentially
Toppy, "Puttables", near recent Highs Only, for potential Price Drops, using,
Only, L.T., in-the-money Puts Only, Always Diversified, w/stops if patterns abort
to the upside, for potential drops towards their 200 DMA's, at least:
a) Important Industry Group
(Rotation) notes:
1) once again, i may be the first/only to correctly time the DJUA and TJTA for you, hope you took advantage again.... 2) note, I was, as usual, the first/only to be correct Putting extended Media/News paper stocks for you herein, you're welcome.... 3) noting huge stage 4 top volume among Golds, are you learning ?, now reiterating puttability of extended Cosmetics, Consumer, internet-e-commerce, auto/truck, N.E. banks, amany alrteady falling a bit, yes ?, stil ignoring puts ? if so, why ? ....3) are you hearing it here first ?, i think some huge multinational energy comapnies are likely to scoop up the few depressed purveyors in trouble ahead, like, AES, CPN, DYN, MIR....do not dismiss them....but CPN has broken its base....
b) more, misleading, sensationalized, Late, and/or
improper/incorrect comments from the Financial Media, Reporters, Govt.,
etc.:
1) a rare correct article, 6/8 O.C.R., "market returns undercut index-fund 'wisdom' ", nicely, as I have tauight for years, that, "just buying and holding index funds fioorever", stil underperforms even mildly-done I.G.R. and my "PSYCLE sm" individual stocks selections, and shorting at times, etc., as recent past 3-5 years big index-fund losses have proven, dig ? they wrote, "logic, shmogic....in fact, index losses have polaced the biggest of those funds among the worst performing funds" - hmmm.....so much for the Media telling tons of investors they can get something for nothing, never changing anything 9when, in fact, the indexes themselves changed - but God forbis anyone might have told millions of people that over time, but, of course, they didn't, dig ?), without making some continual decisions, ay ?, I again rest my case.... 2) another headline, same OCR issue, "Bear market might send no-loads the way of the buffalo", said, "market slump has investors willing to pay for brokers' advice", is another touche for me, yes ? they also mention, a 'rising dependence on advisors".....of course, they only say this AFTER they lost people a ton of money, unnecessarily, the ast few years, dig ?, (which I also predicted herein, recall) ....gee, maybe marketing myself more might have another shot, nationwide, yay ?, that is,m if I dont get screwed again by several parties (everyone but Pitbull screwed me, big-time, they purposely hurt millions of people, as you know).... last, did you know that 80 % of all funds are sold through intermediaries, up from 60 % in 1990 ?, hmmmm....
c) more incorrect/misleading/sensationalized, and/or
improper comments, from Fundamentalists/Companies, newspapers/magazines, etc.,
vs. illogical/Contrary/Unlinkable, past/present/future Economic items, and/or
stock price moves:
1) ...
d) more, likely late, incorrect, and/or misleading,
comments, from Brokerage firms, NL writers, Analysts, economists, Money Managers,
etc.:
1) oy, Abbey Cohen, Mon., says, the S & P is 20 % undervalued....gee, and it wasn't so after 9/11/01 ?, and it also was not overvalued from higher tops when you stayed bullish ? next.... 2) saw tons of new super-buys from vereyone, analysts, b-firms, etc., on 'THC' last week, so, of course, fade that, addd as pot. puttable, yes ?
e) more general, political, misreported items proving
why one should probably ignore 95 % of everything else out there:
1) while I fervently hope they succeed without costing us a dime or hurting our freedoms, Bush is creating the first huge govt. agency, the Homeland Security thing, since Carter created the DOE and Dept. or Educ. - I hope this one works better than those have, dig ? mind you, part of the problems with all the disparate agencies, has been that theye left hand does not often know what the right hand is doing, etc.,the failed 'drug war' (dgms), and, he is just pretty-much joining many agencies into one bigger one, etc., oy....
So, as you have seen, for years now, how well one does,
often, just "doing" the best 'individual' stocks, and rotating Ind. Groups,
chart-technically, and sentiment-wise, mostly long-side, while ignoring, or going
contrary to, 95 % of all Media messages, and "indexes/averages" comments, from
the peanut gallery ? By just getting my output, alone, you do much better,
and save time, by not having to even try to "seek, and process" tons of other,
useless fundamental info., anyway....and we also help remove potential emotional
problems for you, before they begin....
Always remember to view
"1-year-at-least past" charts of everything you can view, herein, along with
their 200 day moving averages (DMA's), to "see/learn" the "PSYCLE patterns", and
see where/when stocks in section (3) were Hypothetically bought near lows, and
put near highs....all % percentage 'Gains' are just logical ESTIMATES for L.T.,
ITM options, where exist, and/or on Margin, where no options exist....
"Q" = 'quick', i.e., after
less than a month or so holding, "VQ" = 'very quick', i.e., just a couple of
weeks time, and "VVQ" = 'very very quick', i.e., often after just a few days
since 'bought' herein....and, L.T., means 'long-term', i.e., at least a few
months' time holding period:
still more quick, large % Gains:
0 more Longs, and,
11 more Puts:
read them and view their charts carefuilly, to learn patterns
bal. puts IDPH (71 to 37) for 200% Gain....bal. puts COHU (29 to 20) for Q 133% G....all puts AGM (38 to 24) for 133% G....all puts BWC (25 to 20+) for Q 75% G....bal. puts CBH (50 to 44) for VQ 50% G....bal. puts BBY (53 to 44) for 75% G ....1/2 pos. puts HDI (55 to 51) for Q 33% G....1/2 pos. puts BHE (31+ to 26+) for Q 75% G.... bal. puts FCS (30+ to 24) for Q 88% G....1/2 pos. puts MTX (54 to 50) for VQ 33% G.... 1/2 pos. puts ROIA (25 to 21) for Q 60% G.... bal. puts IWM, for big % G....all puts MEDQ (30 to 26) for 50% G....1/2 pos. puts IDXC (18 to 15) for Q 66% G....all puts SPW (150 to 123+) for 66% G....1/2 pos. puts MYG (47+ to 42+) for 50% G....1/2 pos. puts BAC (76 to 69) for VVVQ 40% G....note, because of recent bottom, I would have sold ALL of the '1/2 pos.' puts sales last time here, protects portfolio, raises money, etc., as you have been taught by the best....
and/but, longs, ILXO, TKLC, TPC, MGL, ORCL fobd, AWE yes ?, RT fobd ?, HGSI. ?, and, puts, LMT ? ny, FDP ?, for very quick, very small losses, normally of small overall consequence to a properly diversified L.T. portfolio....
NOTE: while most of the $ 5. to $ 10. stocks are listed here
as "stocks on margin" ("stk.on.mgn."), if one Had bought L.T., in-the-money calls
options, their % Gains/Losses would have been multiplied, higher, right ? We
prefer not to buy Calls on most stocks under $ 10., unless their patterns are
phenomenal, as their options premiums tend to be too high, vs. buying those
stocks on Margin, with close stops, where suitable, instead, with less arithmetic
risk, and yet, similar reward potential--- stocks themselves have no "premium",
right ? and, of course, if one just bought said longs for cash, and not
on margin, the % Gains/Losses here would be relatively smaller, though still
excellent, for such short holding periods, yes ? also, obviously, these
"hypothetical transactions" are always listed, from biggest % Gains, to smallest,
then all losses....
(either for Cash, especially in Pensions,
and/or on Margin where suitable, and/or Only L.T., in-the-money Options, where
suitable/available, always Diversifying, always with close Stops below/above
recent lows/highs):
again, "just get real close" to
suggested prices:
1/4 pos. AETH @ 3.0+, 1/3 pos. ISIL @ 22+, and the DJUA @ 270, the DJTA @ 2650+, 1/3 pos. PXLW @ 8- fobd, 1/4 pos. TUNE @ 9+, 1/4 pos. MANU @ 5+, 1/4 pos. CDT @ 10++ ?, 1/3 pos. HTCH @ 15+ eh ?, 1/3 pos. GTW @ 5 ?, 1/3 pos. AMR @ 19+, 1/3 pos. SONE @ 6 3/8 ?, 1/4 pos. AWGI. @ 8, 1/2 pos. RIGL @ 3.33,
"Repeats": (some of these are/were '1/2 size positions'): 1/4 pos. KANA @ 4-, 1/2 pos. SBL @ 8+, 1/3 pos. PCTI. @ 6.55, 1/3 pos. KEYN @ 8-, 1/2 pos. SRA @ 17++, CSGS @ 24+, PACW @ 0.40+, ANDW @ 15+, CHU @ 9, 1/4 pos. BABY @ 4, EMC @ 7- ?, 1/2 pos. RCOM @ 8- eh, 1/4 pos. ELC @ 1.10, MXT @ 11++, IVGN @ 30+, 1/3 pos. ACPW @ 4-, 1/2 pos. MGM @ 15+, MIPS @ 6-, MIR @ 7++, RTK @ 0.505, SIEB @ 3 3/4, NT @ 1 1/2, AMT @ 3++.... "buy (only) low", right ?
** Important: took, SWY, CHB, PLUG ny, HGSI. ?, and a few from the 'just missed' list below, Off the pot. Long Buys list, before they might have been Hypothetically "bt."....we do Not "Guess" at bottoms, nor tops ....and, most 'missed' ideas just below, were also 'removed', to keep immediate potential Buy lists smaller for you....
BSG @ 35++, GDW @ 70+, PHM @ 55,
"Repeats":
1/2 pos. CBSH @ 45-, 1/2 pos. KMB @ 66-, 1/3 pos. ASO @ 22+, 1/3 pos. EAT @ 34+, 1/2 pos. DF @ 38-, 1/3 pos. AVP @ 55, 1/3 pos. UB @ 49+, 1/3 pos. CEN @ 22++, LMT no ?, 1/2 pos. BLC @ 24, VIA @ 50+, KMB @ 66-, 1/2 pos. ACS @ 56+, 1/2 pos. MLHR @ 25 eh, 1/3 pos. TMA @ 20+, 1/3 pos. IFIN @ 78, 1/3 pos. MNC @ 29+, 1/3 pos. SPF @ 35-, 1/2 pos. SSS @ 32-, 1/3 pos. PFGC @ 38+, 1/2 pos. MRR @ 16-, 1/3 pos. BHE @ 32+, 1/2 pos. PTSI. @ 26, AG @ 22+, (note, I accidently neglected to remove, PPG, OSI, etc., the last 2 weeks, but viewing their patterns, you jknew they werre no longer put buys, right ?),
and/but, took, 'anything already way down', and, , and the 'just missed' ones just below here, Off the pot. Puts list, before "put", as they aborted their patterns immediately (also see recent past issues taken off, here)....remember, any new highs = off the Puts list (although expect some "fobo's" along the way, have patience)....so VIEW their charts, to see what 'aborted Puts patterns' look like, for YOUR lifetime benefit ....also, obviously, where they have fallen nicely, many of these were 'just missed' herein as well, right ?
*** and/but, among stocks recently specifically given you herein, in sections
(6) and (7) below, we "just Missed", CRXA, VRTY, JOYG, JBL, SCH, BKI, ACTU, FTE, as Longs/Buys near very recent lows, and, GILD, INFY, LGND, XRAY, OMC, UBS, R, RL, as Puts/Shorts, near recent highs....Every single stock ever listed here over past NL's was specifically given you herein, in sec. (6) or (7), previously, and you very likely could still have caught them, if you took the time to view their charts....More proof of the power of "PSYCLE sm" patterns....again, just because I honestly admit to "missing" some, which DO work anyway, that I give you herein, does not mean YOU have to miss those same stocks....if you do just a little work, YOU may certainly catch ones, which I may happen to just miss, herein....making you money, in both directions, most of the time, while hopefully stopping losses smallishly....
(issues moving since last time, worthy of following-up, and/or
mentioning, because of recent price moves, still remaining long in most all of
them, unless otherwise noted):
**** note: (sos) means "Sell On Strength" (i.e., on
a bounce up towards resistance, and/or where it broke down from)....("S") means
Sell it here (if still right at/near the listed price level).
acting a.o.k., or strong(er) :
be
sure to VIEW charts of all the big winners lately from last few NL's, to learn
the pattern:
still banging out many winners for you, even during pb's times,
yes ?:
RIUGL 3.63 up 0.38, ISIL 26.00 up 3.80, MANU 5.14 (B), 6.35, SBL 8.27 (B), 9.09, KEYN 7.86 (B), 8.55, TUNE 10.21 up 1.11, SRA 17.72 (B), 18.84, AMR 21 up 1 1/2, the DJUA 275.5 up 5, the DJTA 2722 up 59, CSGS 25.35 up 1, HGSI. 13.95 (B), 14.63, SFD 20.34, higher, since last missive here....
and/but, then, seeing Many pullbacks,
and/or more Bounces after pullbacks:
PXLW 7.58 (B), 8.59, 8.10 eh, SIEB 3.83 (B), 4.10, IVGN 30.70 (B), 33.25, 30.81, ANDW 15.27 (B), 16.15, BABY 4.05, 4.23, BOL 35.25 pb, ACPW 3.90 (B), 4.25, MIPS 5.94 (B), 6.35, RCOM 7.67 (B) bms, MANU 5.89, PACW 0.45, 0.50, WPI. 25.10 pb, KANA 4.12 pb (B), MIR 7.60 bopb, ISIL 24 pb, RIGL 3.40 pb....some of these are also in the "ms/sos" list below, and, those must strengthen or else.... and, add, NOVT, PXLW, ALXN, AMT, ILXO, as potential fobd's ? eh....
and/but, these
already assumed Longs, are acting weaker S.T., and/or must strengthen, and/or
must strengthen "again/anew", and/or must "break above recent high or else",
and/or are sales on strength ("sos") to/towards/near resistance:
(note, some of these are also in "pb" list above
....obviously, any stock near its lows, or close to breaking, "must strengthen"
or else, yes ?)
NT 1.40 (B), 1.91, AMCC 5.38 sos, AWE (S) ?, RTK (B) ?, PCTI. 6.47 bd ?, MGM 16.02, 15.20 (B), 15.57, MXT 11.57 ms, SIEB, CHL, PCTI, CNU 0.21, 0.27 (S) ?, CPRT, TLAB, NTIQ, ELC, PWER, ANDW (B) non, RT (S) ?, RFMD....
5) Already given out in
previous NL's, assumed Hypothetically long "Puts" positions:
(issues moving since last time, worthy of
following-up, still remaining long in these Puts, unless otherwise noted):
check
their patterns out to learn:
AGM 36, 40 (B), 22, 30 (S), IDPH 50 to 35 wow (S), SPW -4 (S), BSG -2 3/8, ACS -2 1/4, ARRO -1, BAC -1, NBL, HD, BDX, XTO sow, CUNO, lower, since last NL here....and, KLIC 13, PLAB 21, XLNX 30-, SPY, C., TSM 14, AGM, SMH, IDPH 35, down even further....and, NTBK, ITW, RL, WHR, BBY, HIG, FCS, XTO, GWW, IWM, TV, JCI, MDY, SPW, TGT, IDXC, down to/below their 200 DMA....
* But, then, these, are
acting too Strong, and/or are Bouncing, intraday, and/or Must Weaken anew,
nevertheless, and/or are sales on pullbacks/weakness ("sow"):
6) Now--- Here are Other, Fuller lists,
of still-Depressed, Long Buys, near their recent Lows Only, for potential Rises
towards resistance, always Diversified (w/close stops, when/if their basing or
"EVB" patterns break down):
Potential Longs, by Industry Groups, for "Rotation":
some
decent bases here, and many decent EVB's and double-bottoms, (but, again, Not
when/if any of these make new lows here, and, NOT if they are already "up", much,
off lows, right ?
some Depressed:
refining ?, added to, Retail/Apparel, Cable/Wireless/Telecom, Foreign depr. stocks - like Japan/China, some Argentina/Brazil, Agriculture-oriented, Biotech/Drugs, Health-related, Chem./Farm/Fert., alternative Energy, some Transportation/ Airlines/Parts, Ind. Groups....
*** and, of course, many depr. Techs, Semis, data storage, internet, software, memory, computer - relateds, etc., below, and soon....ONLY near lows, as always, with close stops....
We are Also "Watching" --- as potential EVB's, or "basing", or "double"
bottoms", near recent lows ONLY:
*** as S.T., "EVB's": in no particular
order, as a "watching" list: note, some have been on this list for a while,
allowing you ample opportunity to have SEEN their charts, and bought them when/if
suitable, yes ?
added, (in no particular order !): (be sure thay have not popped up too
much too fast recently, already, before you buy, and, note I took some off list
already),
understand, some of these stil need more work/pullbacks....this list
will be revised over each weekend....
added even more: but, note,
obviously, I removed a bunch, and some others are already up, as well (and many
others previously given from lows, remain buys on big pullbacks, also note,
re-added some previously whipsawed ones):
added these, note list growing as mentioned above:
AETH ?, ANEN, BEAS, ELON, CRXA, CHKP ny, FDRY, EMBT ?, HTCH eh ny, NYFX, LMNX, MSFT ?, PDII, OPMR, TIBX ?, AMR, DOX, ASH, ET, ITG, JBL, SWC, TWK, SRP obpbo, BKI, AES ?, VOD ?, CWP, SUN ?, NT, AGR.A, to, AVGN ?, MANU, KEYN, PCTI, AWGI, BRCM opb, RIGL, PXLW fobd ?, CSGS, KOPN bd ?, SFD, Q, ADX, AW, GEG ?, FTE, JNPR ?, MCRL fobd ? eh, HGSI. ?, AMCC nah, THER, NOVL ?, WCOM, DVSA, VRTY, MIPS, HPQ ny, ELC, SRA, SBL, CDT, GTW, RCOM, LGTO, TUNE eh ok, ULGX, MXT, ACTU, CWP obpbo, BPUR, AMT, CZN obpbo, UAL, TLAB, MIR, SONE, MGM, BABY, NOVL, ALGN, WFII, ACPW, RAD ny, POZN, KM obpb, IN, SIEB, RMBS opbo, IVGN,
as EVB's or bases....
and/but, not any of these above, when/if they make new lows or break budding
bases/patterns....don't "force" trades....and be sure to do your 'fundamentals'
homework on all, especially the lesser-known/cheaper ones....
(NOTE: again, if they are already down appreciably from their highs, do NOT
chase them down, wait for bounces):
added, EMMS, PHM, GDW, BLC, PCG, KTC ?, BBI. ?, GCI. ?, ECL, ACV.A, THC, TO, TKTX, ACS, BSG, BLC, LMT ?, RAH ?, VIA, to, MNTR, SWBT, CYN, ATK, CNI, DF, FDP ?, LM, KMB, PNR, TCB, WON, UB, CEN, to, EAT, ETM, MCL ?, TRY ?, LEA, FBN, ASO, CBSH, GISX, APA, AZO, ZBRA, BJS, PPG ?, MNC, NBL, CXR, PTSI, TOT, WHR, CNF, TMA, FITB, AG, MRR, SSS, TOM, TRB ?, VIA, MYG, NBL, AVY, AVP, TREE, IFIN, ARRO, EXPD, BMS, ONE, RML, XLF, MCRS, CB, PBI, WAG, PFGC, SYY, from recent past NL's....
**** the Best Puttable Industry Groups: in no particular order, and/but,
understanding we have already HAD some real nice drops:
added, Extended: (some may be fobo's, as bove, so tread lightly)
internet e-commerce (S.T. only), machinery/cap. goods/makers, auto parts, retail, containers, travel, to, comp. software, auto/truck/OEM, optical character recognition, energy, home-related/furnishings, retail and all clothes/apparel, shoes, security, restaurants, Comp./Educ. co's., Peripherals, Security, temp. staffing, Pollution-related, Aero./Def., "Medical-outpatient-home-care", "commercial services', Insur./some Banks/Mtg./S & L's/Loans, 'extendeds only' within Health/Medical/Drug/Dental/Biotech, most types of Media/newspapers/tv, Funeral, extended-only Food, and some High-PE Techs, all near their recent Highs ONLY, w/close stops above their patterns highs....this ends putside-downside follow-ups/ideas section....
general note: as per my teachings, WITHIN some industry groups, there
may be bpth, extendeds, and depresseds, as recently, certainly normal....
VIEW THE CHARTS....SEE where the 200 DMA's are....LEARN THE
PATTERNS/STAGES