1) "PSYCLE SENSE sm": new:
3) Most recent Hypothetical
"PSYCLE sm" transactions, to be mimicked, and referred back to:
4) Already given out in previous NL's,
assumed Hypothetical "Long-side" positions:
7) other, still Extended/potentially
Toppy, "Puttables", near recent Highs Only, for potential Price Drops, using,
Only, L.T., in-the-money Puts Only, Always Diversified, w/stops if patterns abort
to the upside, for potential drops towards their 200 DMA's, at least:
a) Important Industry Group
(Rotation) notes:
1) . 2) separately, some of the alternative-energy stocks broke, while others remain watchable.... 3) yes, they were wrong the last time, but tons more Insiders are buying more LU in the 1.40's, as I have been....their first foray, well over 1 mm shs., was $ 2.10+ or so, recall, dig ?, hmmmm....don't miss this one l.t. ....4) note, added some Railroads, to Banks, as Puttables, and some Energies also, mostly Intl. ones.... if you have no Puts, why not ?
5) an Alaron Trading guy on CNBC Tue. 8 am, correctly said that OPEC likes what is maybe happening with Iraq and idiot Bush, and mentioned that USA oil demand in June was highest for any June in USA history (dig ?), and that "we are poised for a huge price spike even further, this winter"....exactly as my insider guy said, which I reported first herein a while ago....great system, huh....not .... 6) Tue., B.S. correctly pointed out how the RTH retail index, rose, even as all of wall st. lowered their estimates, proving once again, how special my "PSYCLE sm" can be, since I was, as usual, the first/only to give you RTH as long buy from recent low, herein, yes ? are you learning, no links ? if not, why not ?
b) more, misleading, sensationalized, Late, and/or
improper/incorrect comments from the Financial Media, Reporters, Govt.,
etc.:
1) another s.t. top sign, as, Fri., CNBC had as their 'poll question', "will the DJIA get over 10,0000 by year-end?", get it ? talk about a fadeable statement, ay ?.... 2) then, at the close Mon., CNBC reporteed, "a record outflow of stocks M. fds., last month, and a record inflow into Bond funds" - get it ?, beautifully "PSYCLE-"ic fadeable actiuon, yes ?
c) more incorrect/misleading/sensationalized, and/or
improper comments, from Fundamentalists/Companies, newspapers/magazines, etc.,
vs. illogical/Contrary/Unlinkable, past/present/future Economic items, and/or
stock price moves:
1) ?
d) more, likely late, incorrect, and/or misleading,
comments, from Brokerage firms, NL writers, Analysts, economists, Money Managers,
etc.:
1) ..
e) more general, political, misreported items proving
why one should probably ignore 95 % of everything else out there:
1) in a rare good potential thing, congress (Bush) is considering raising the amount people would be able to write-off in yearly losses when investing, from $ 3 K, to $ 10 K, gee, would be a great thing if so....gotta be done....also, increasing 401-k amounts that can be deposited by people - and, eliminate the double-taxation of corporate divdends, all for huge benefits for our economy l.t. But, of course, democrats and political jerks are likely to kill these needed changes, so Republicans are assuming this bill will die in Senate, this year....what a shame.... 2) B.S.'s R. Pendergraft, correctly points out the LIES withing recent govt. reports about 'housing starts and median prices' being supposedly higher in June....he showed actualy price DOWN and 'new home starts' not at 1,000,000 - which was just a ploy to get a record 7-digit number into the Media (that's how damaging and nasty your govt. is, of course), but at 943,000....is the top in , in RE ?
So, as you have seen, for years now, how well one does,
often, just "doing" the best 'individual' stocks, and rotating Ind. Groups,
chart-technically, and sentiment-wise, mostly long-side, while ignoring, or going
contrary to, 95 % of all Media messages, and "indexes/averages" comments, from
the peanut gallery ? By just getting my output, alone, you do much better,
and save time, by not having to even try to "seek, and process" tons of other,
useless fundamental info., anyway....and we also help remove potential emotional
problems for you, before they begin....
Always remember to view
"1-year-at-least past" charts of everything you can view, herein, along with
their 200 day moving averages (DMA's), to "see/learn" the "PSYCLE patterns", and
see where/when stocks in section (3) were Hypothetically bought near lows, and
put near highs....all % percentage 'Gains' are just logical ESTIMATES for L.T.,
ITM options, where exist, and/or on Margin, where no options exist....
"Q" = 'quick', i.e., after
less than a month or so holding, "VQ" = 'very quick', i.e., just a couple of
weeks time, and "VVQ" = 'very very quick', i.e., often after just a few days
since 'bought' herein....and, L.T., means 'long-term', i.e., at least a few
months' time holding period:
still more quick, large % Gains:
6 more Longs, and,
1 more Puts, neat:
as you have always done, please read them and VIEW their charts carefully, to learn patterns
1/2 pos. stk.on.mgn. KCIN (9- to 12+) for VQ 75% Gain....1/2 pos. calls IVX (11- to 14+) for VQ 60% G....1/2 pos. stock MIR (2++ to 4+) for VVVVQ 50% G....1/2 pos. puts SLM (98 to 90) for VVVQ 33% G....1/2 pos. stock LU (1.40+ to 1.90+) for VVVQ 40% G....bal. calls QQQ (22+ to 26-) for VQ 60% G....1/2 pos. stk.on.mgn. SLMC (11++ to 15+) for VQ 60% G....1/2 pos. calls TMO (15- to 18-) for Q 80% G.... 1/2 pos. calls MCGC (14+ to 17+) for VVQ 90% G....
as before, one could (have been) sell(ing) ALL puts Gainers, instead of
1/2-pos(itions)....and, as you have learned, the recent little-damage QSL's on
the longside, are part of the process and copncept, and never affect our OTHER
long buys here, right ?
and/but, longs, CHRT, X, and, puts, KSU ny, FNF ny, SIAL no, MCO no, fobo, for very quick, very small losses, normally of small overall consequence to a properly diversified L.T. portfolio....
NOTE: while most of the $ 5. to $ 10. stocks are listed here
as "stocks on margin" ("stk.on.mgn."), if one Had bought L.T., in-the-money calls
options, their % Gains/Losses would have been multiplied, higher, right ? We
prefer not to buy Calls on most stocks under $ 10., unless their patterns are
phenomenal, as their options premiums tend to be too high, vs. buying those
stocks on Margin, with close stops, where suitable, instead, with less arithmetic
risk, and yet, similar reward potential--- stocks themselves have no "premium",
right ? and, of course, if one just bought said longs for cash, and not
on margin, the % Gains/Losses here would be relatively smaller, though still
excellent, for such short holding periods, yes ? also, obviously, these
"hypothetical transactions" are always listed, from biggest % Gains, to smallest,
then all losses....
(either for Cash, especially in Pensions,
and/or on Margin where suitable, and/or Only L.T., in-the-money Options, where
suitable/available, always Diversifying, always with close Stops below/above
recent lows/highs):
again, "just get real close" to
suggested prices:
1/2 pos. DPH @ 9, 1/3 pos. GSIC @ 5, 1/4 pos. ITRI. @ 14+ ?,
"Repeats": (some of these are/were '1/2 size positions'):
1/4 pos. LPTH @ 0.50+, 1/3 pos. MTON @ 11++, 1/3 pos. SCTC @ 7 3/4 eh, 1/4 pos. INFT @ 7++, 1/3 pos. AGR.A @ 1.50+, 1/2 pos. VOXX @ 6++, 1/3 pos. RETK @ 5+, 1/2 pos. PLCM @ 10+, 1/4 pos. TLRK @ 6++, 1/4 pos. MCGC @ 15+, 1/4 pos. LBRT @ 1.85+, 1/2 pos. ULCM @ 5++, MAXY @ 8 5/8, 1/4 pos. ARQL @ 5++, ADVNB @ 7++, 1/2 pos. RRA @ 8 7/16, 1/4 pos. LU @ 1.42+, MONE @ 5+, 1/3 pos. MMTRS @ 26 (ck. div.), SLMC @ 12-, RNBO @ 4, 1/3 pos. TRN @ 17+, PRV @ 18-, 1/3 pos. REMC @ 4-, 1/3 pos. NITE @ 4+...."buy (only) low", right ?,
remember, near major market turns/bottoms, you have been taught many times,
to "stick around and give stocks a bit more leeway, as to 'fobd's', etc.,
continuing to stay in, diversify more, allow for more risk, etc.", yes ?
hence the questions about 'fobd's', and buys that say 'fobd', right ?
but some normal, usual, QSL's still occur and are accepted along the way with no
emotion nor incompleting trading my way, right ? you're welcome....
** Important: took, , and a few from the 'just missed' list below, Off the pot. Long Buys list, before they might have been Hypothetically "bt."....we do Not "Guess" at bottoms, nor tops....and, most 'missed' ideas just below, were also 'removed', to keep immediate potential Buy lists smaller for you....
the DIA @ 90, NPBC @ 28-, 1/2 pos. SOTR @ 26++, MARY @ 24+, ZBRA @ 57-, SAFC @ 35-, BLC @ 24, GGC @ 26, 1/2 pos. OEI. @ 22, PII. @ 74-, WFC @ 52+ ?, 1/2 pos LFG @ 36+, BTH @ eh, 1/2 pos. KBH @ 51+, MME @ 37+, 1/3 pos. XTO @ 21-, TTC @ 60, SOTR @ 27 ?, PNWR @ 31+ ?, MARY ny ?,
CVH @ 34+, VFC @ 42+, DLX @ 47+, 1/2 pos. SYY @ 29+, 1/2 pos. CED @ 34+, FESX @ 34, OKSB @ 26+ eh ?, COCO @ 34+, 1/2 pos. ECA @ 31-, TRBS ?, SII. @ 36+, MMM @ 129+, 1/3 pos. JJSF @ 45-, D. @ 65+, BBT @ 38, PL @ 33, BTH ny ?,
recent repeats: AFL @ 32-, 1/2 pos. RF @ 35-, 1/3 pos. LII. @ 18, 1/3 pos. FNF eh, CRL @ 39+, TEVA @ 69+, 1/3 pos. SIAL @ 52, 1/3 pos. AEE @ 45-, 1/3 pos. KSU @ 17+ fobo ?, 1/2 pos. WEC @ 25++, TKTX @ 40+, 1/2 pos. ED @ 43+, 1/3 pos. CECO @ 46+, ECL @ 48+ fobo ?, 1/2 pos. HR @ 31+, ASO @ 23-, BUD @ 52+ fobo ?, 1/3 pos. NWL @ 36, 1/3 pos. DDR @ 22+, 1/4 pos. PG @ , MCO @ 52- ?,
"Repeats":
the aboves....
and/but, took, 'anything already way down', and, DF ?, and the 'just missed' ones just below here, Off the pot. Puts list, before "put", as they aborted their patterns immediately (also see recent past issues taken off, here)....remember, any new highs = off the Puts list (although expect some "fobo's" along the way, have patience)....so VIEW their charts, to see what 'aborted Puts patterns' look like, for YOUR lifetime benefit ....also, obviously, where they have fallen nicely, many of these were 'just missed' herein as well, right ?
*** and/but, among stocks recently specifically given you herein, in sections
(6) and (7) below, we "just Missed", TBH, TNE, OAKT, VRTY, AHMH, BCGI, PYX, SUNW, as Longs/Buys near very recent lows, and, GILD, BKNG, CSTR, KSS, IDXX, WFMI, BDK, ITT, as Puts/Shorts, near recent highs (obviously, they were removed from sec. (7)....Every single stock ever listed here over past NL's was specifically given you herein, in sec. (6) or (7), previously, and you very likely could still have caught them, if you took the time to view their charts.... More proof of the power of "PSYCLE sm" patterns....again, just because I honestly admit to "missing" some, which DO work anyway, that I give you herein, does not mean YOU have to miss those same stocks....if you do just a little work, YOU may certainly catch ones, which I may happen to just miss, herein....making you money, in both directions, most of the time, while hopefully stopping losses smallishly....
(issues moving since last time, worthy of following-up, and/or
mentioning, because of recent price moves, still remaining long in most all of
them, unless otherwise noted):
**** note: (sos) means "Sell On Strength" (i.e., on
a bounce up towards resistance, and/or where it broke down from)....("S") means
Sell it here (if still right at/near the listed price level).
acting a.o.k., or strong(er) :
be
sure to VIEW charts of all the big winners lately from last few NL's, to learn
the pattern:
tons of new Gains for you, read them slowly and thoroughly to
learn the patterns....you're welcome:
lots more Gains for you:
TLRK 6.80 (B), 8.55, PTEC 9.20 up 1.07, LU 1.98 up 0.36, PDG 9.75 up 1.13, CIEN 4.86 up 0.56, SCTC 8.15 up 0.82, RNWK 5.00 up 0.25, STEL 5.50 up 0.50, MAXY 9.00 up 0.50, ARQL 6.41 up 0.26, DPH 10.01 up 1.01, GSIC 5.20 up 0.20, FPHC 17.93, SPCT 7.50, MCGC 17.19, CMVT 9.13, WEBX 15.40, SLMC 15.73, ADVNB 8.98, the QQQ 26.00 (S), higher since last NL here....while, VC, MCGC, MIR, VOXX, MCAF, XOMA, AMRI, PYX, above or approaching their MA....and, CIMA 22, see ?
and, these are either pulling
back, or bouncing after pb's, stick around:
obviously, plenty of v.s.t. pb's,
after recent pops:
LPTH 0.61 up 0.10, CRGN 5.45, 6.19, AMCC 4.36 pb, CEGE 12.95 pb, AAPL 15.16 pb, INTC 17.16 pb, INCY 6.26 pb, 6.98, CMVT 8.60 pb, CIEN 4.33 pb, SCTC 7.40 pb (B), 7.85, AMAT 14.52 pb, KCIN 10.65 pb, AKS 8.25 pb, QCOM 28.88 pb, LBRT 2.03 pb, EK 30.88 pb, RETK 5.43 pb, TRN 18- pb eh, WEBX 14.75 pb, INHL 7.05 pb, DRTE 5.46 pb, 5.85, ABX 15.59 up, STEL 4.75 pb, VOXX 6.81 pb, RNBO 3.99 (B), 4.95, DGX 57- pb, PRV 17.79 pb (B), 18.50, MU 18.51 pb, DIGE 7.61 pb, 8.15, NITE 4.20 pb, bopb, CUM 32.41 up 1, PLCM 10.96 pb, bopbo....some of these are also in the "ms/sos" list below, and, those must strengthen or else....
and/but, these
already assumed Longs, are acting weaker S.T., and/or must strengthen, and/or
must strengthen "again/anew", and/or must "break above recent high or else",
and/or are sales on strength ("sos") to/towards/near resistance:
(note, some of these are also in "pb" list above
....obviously, any stock near its lows, or close to breaking, "must strengthen"
or else, yes ?)
SLMC 11.60 (B), 14.03, WFII, RFMD, MVSN, MOT sos ?, ISIL, DIGE, TMO, DGX, CAT....also, note, HD, 27- to 34, AMD, 7 to 11, fobd....
5) Already given out in
previous NL's, assumed Hypothetically long "Puts" positions:
(issues moving since last time, worthy of
following-up, still remaining long in these Puts, unless otherwise noted):
check
their patterns out to learn:
PII. -3, ZBRA -2 3/4, the DIA -2 1/2, TKTX -2 1/2, TTC -2, SLM -2, MME -1 3/4, SAFC -1 1/2, ECL -1, MMM -1, AFL -1, NWL -1, JJSF -1, MCO -1, CECO -1 1/2, KBH -1 1/2, NPBC -3/4, DLX -1, TKTX, SIAL, KSU, LIZ, SYY, GGC, down lower since last NL here....and, SLM, fell to its 50 DMA....
* But, then, these, are
acting too Strong, and/or are Bouncing, intraday, and/or Must Weaken anew,
nevertheless, and/or are sales on pullbacks/weakness ("sow"):
6) Now--- Here are Other, Fuller lists,
of still-Depressed, Long Buys, near their recent Lows Only, for potential Rises
towards resistance, always Diversified (w/close stops, when/if their basing or
"EVB" patterns break down):
Potential Longs, by Industry Groups, for "Rotation":
some
decent bases here, and many decent EVB's and double-bottoms, (but, again, Not
when/if any of these make new lows here, and, NOT if they are already "up", much,
off lows, right ?
some Depressed:
** in
lieu of IGR here, just do those individual stocks below, they tend to be depr.
techs, telecoms, most/all computer-stuff, biotechs, drugs, cap.
goods/machy/equip., some blue chips, energy-relateds, internets, etc.
No need to give specific IG's here....except for sec. (2) part (1) above
comments, like, cap. goods/equip./trans. stocks as recent pot. db's, etc.
We are Also "Watching" --- as potential EVB's, or "basing", or "double"
bottoms", near recent lows ONLY:
*** as S.T., "EVB's": in no particular
order, as a "watching" list: note, some have been on this list for a while,
allowing you ample opportunity to have SEEN their charts, and bought them when/if
suitable, yes ?
added, (in no particular order !): (be sure thay have not popped up too
much too fast recently, already, before you buy, and, note I took some off list
already),
understand, some of these stil need more work/pullbacks....this list
will be revised over each weekend....
added even more:
added these, note list growing as mentioned above:
note how many
previously-given 'fobd's' are being re-added !
(note, 'db' means potential
'double bottom', yes ? and, 'opbo', means 'on pullback only', yes ?
and, in light of recent few days, only near their lows, right ? and
already removed already-popped ones....as you have been taught, do not 'chase
up', be patient:
added, AFCO, WIND, VMSI, TLAB, THOR, QGENF, ITRI. ?, SONE, PMCS, GSIC, PWAV ?, SEAC, NTEC, FUJIY ?, EAGL, FHRX, CCBL, ADVS opbo, AAII. ?, BRW opbo, PRM, PWR, OMX ?, DLP, DPH, CKC ?, CSK ?, CGO opbo, ATI. ?, AAI. ?, SGR ?, FLM ?, A, to, LPTH, PLA, DFIB, BRCD, INFS, MTON, INFT, MEDX, DCLK tln, BOBJ tln, EEFT, EFII, ORBK opbo, PHTN opb, PLCM, LBRT, MCGC, TTEC, TLRK, LUV, X. no, ALA opbo, TEK, PYX, EYE, NT, , to, ULCM, BMC, AGR.A, PER, SCH opbo, TSM, UMC opbo, AKS, ATYT eh, ARNA, ARQL, PTEC opbo, RETK, SCTC eh, VERS, EPIX, ECLP, SLVN, RRA, VC, EMC, CIEN, SPCT opbo, REMC, GTW obpbo, TRN eh, TSS, DIGE opbo, ULCM, VICR opbo, JDSU, LU, MOT opbo, PRV, MU opbo, AETH, ADVNB, VOXX, MAXY, GMH opbo, KFY opbo, CTXS opb, PRGS, JDEC, CMVT, ACLA ? eh, RNWK opb, FPHC obpbo, ANEN eh, WEBM opbo, KCIN opbo, INCY opb, STEL opbo, NITE, ELON, MONE opb, RCGI. opb, MMTRS, CRXA, WFII. opb,
all, as EVB's, or double-bottoms, or bases....
and/but, not any of these above, when/if they make new lows or break budding
bases/patterns....don't "force" trades....and be sure to do your 'fundamentals'
homework on all, especially the lesser-known/cheaper ones....
(NOTE: again, if they are already down appreciably from their highs, do NOT
chase them down, wait for bounces):
note, removed still
more, some not listed in sec. (3) above, get it ? what does this tell
you about the future, longside-wise ?
added, EDMC, ERIE, NPBC, RARE, SOTR, MARY, WFMI, PNBW, HYSL ?, BKNG, MME, AF, AVY, CPS, BLC, BDK, BNI. ?, UNP, CYN, GPT, COH, CF, MDG, MME, NCF, OEI, RBK, PII, SYY, STI, AOS, XTO, LFG, NWN, PEI, EGP, TTC, to, BRK.B os, BBT, DLX, CVH, DE os, DF , ECA, LIZ, K. tln, SII, VFC, NVS, WFC, SYY, CED, PL, FESX, RGLD, WFMI, OKSB, TRBS, IDXX os, GILD, to, GGP, GDW os, KSU ?, STZ, CRL, TEVA, AEE ?, WRI, to, FNF no ?, PG, MMM, DDR, THC, COL, NWL, ECL, JJSF, MCO, HR, RF, ASO, BUD, AFL, ASD, reit's (and the RWR index os), APOL, CECO, WEC, MMSI, JJSF, NWL, SIAL no ?, DF no ?, to, GISX, TKTX, from recent past NL's....obviously, sentiment-wise, the previous 'no-puts' condition would not last, right ? .
**** the Best Puttable Industry Groups: in no particular order,
and/but, understanding we have already HAD some real nice drops:
added, Extended: soem railroads, some Energies, surprisingly, added to, REIT's, and, Banks/S & L, High-PE Techs, all near their recent Highs ONLY, w/close stops above their patterns highs....this ends our putside-downside follow-ups/ideas section....
general note: as per my teachings, WITHIN some industry groups, there
may be bpth, extendeds, and depresseds, as recently, certainly normal....
VIEW THE CHARTS....SEE where the 200 DMA's are....LEARN THE
PATTERNS/STAGES