1) "PSYCLE SENSE sm": new:

With all the unusual cross-currents, I try to stay with the program....viewing all QSL's, whipsaws, etc., as actually confirming the value of staying with my "PSYCLE sm" patterns.... we again have a decently 'split' market, with a few definite longside, and shortside, I.G.'s rotating....previous winners topping, for potential drops, and previous weaklings basing for potential rises....

Perhaps the/our relatively rough period is ending ? I am noticing more stress from unenlightened traders/investors out there, but may be due to the season, end of summer doldrums, economy slowing a bit, etc. Regardless, seeing more clear par=tterns here, both sides....

2) "What's Been Said, and What I've Read":

a) Important Industry Group (Rotation) notes:
1) as I was the first/only to suggest herein at its lows, CNBC said, Mon., 10:57 C.S. Einhorn, that "Coffee" supplies will be lower due to droughts, sending its price up further.... 2) as everyone else begins to get bullish on Bonds, 'market vane's' bullish consensus on them is now up to 72 %, its highest in a LONG time, so, watch out, right ? ....3) and realize that just 18 months ago, the currently super-bullish analysts now, were predicting Oil below $ 10., right ? Now, at $ 32, they are predicting $ 50. crude, dig ? you know what to do.... 4) the T-bond pulling back after breakout, normal, from 100-18 to 99-15 so far.... 5) speaking of Semis puttable, sems every analyst I observe, loves "CY" here....but, recall I was first/only to give out herein as put at recent rolling top for you for nice Gain, and now, just normal stage 5 or 6 bounce....still up against resistance, yes ? we shall see....as with the Energy I.G., they are all only 'now' saying, "it is still very early in the cycle" -- the same thing they said about teh Internet and Cellular stocks, before they fell -50 % and more, ay ?

b) more, misleading, sensationalized, Late, and/or improper/incorrect comments from the Financial Media, Reporters, etc.:
1) CNBC, Fri., 11:22, gal reported negatively on Auto Parts stocks, so that helps on on any pullbacks, as you might figure.... 2) recent full-page Newspaper ad, says, "after 10 issues, you'll never buy a low-down, cheap stock again", and, "historically, what seems low and cheap usually sinks lower." Uh, WRONG....no further comment needed... 3) the pattern rarely changes: Mon., 12:45, CNBC's Joe Kernan highlighted "LH", late, as usual, in parabola, up + 100 % already, see it ? Gee, who was the first to suggest LH, much lower, on an S.I. site ? ....4) all day Mon., CNBC'ers were trumpeting a small % pop in extended Brokerage stocks as if it was a big deal, dig ? always happens as rollover tops form, yes ? ....5) Tue. 8:33, CNBC's T. Matheson actually correctly surmised, "people can criticize the low trading volume all they want, as the market goes higher and higher....by the time the masses get in, couldn't it be too late ?" kudos....

c) more incorrect/misleading/sensationalized, and/or improper comments, from Fundamentalists/Companies, newspapers/magazines, etc., vs. illogical/Contrary/Unlinkable, past/present/future stock price moves:
1) int. article in barrons 8/21, "Just a Commodity ? ....no big boost from Crude" Andrew Bary (an actually decent guy, as I have mentioned herein B4), suggests one reason why "Intl. Oil and/or natural resource stocks" have not skyrocketed even with Crude price rise, is because they are still cyclical (which is what I also say)....the Amex Oil stk. index is only up + 20 % since early 1999 (!) while cash Crude is up + 160 % since then....

d) more, likely late, incorrect, and/or misleading, comments, from Brokerage firms, NL writers, Analysts, economists, Money Managers, etc.:
1) some saavy B-firm (sic) on CNBC, Mon. 8:52, now hates WHR, after loving it all the way down....as usual, where were thay much higher ? the pattern rarely changes.... 2) in a rare probably-correct article, Aug. written Ticker Mag. likes MAT down here....compelling turnaround poss.,,as with HAS, I agree.... 3) recent Barrons 8/21 finally rec'd. IBC, 19 up from 12 wher I gave it out herein, as a "Tasy Turnaround ?" the pattern rarely changes....

e) more general items proving why one should probably ignore 95 % of everything else out there:
1) a recent study by the AARP, shows that, contrary to appearances in Media, americans "have no desire to be rish"....hmmmmm...."people and baby boomers not enchanted with their work, are stepping back and asking, is it worth it....when is enough, enough ? ....family comes first for most...." They cite as 'what money can do for them', "suppoort family, contribute to worthy causes, reduce stress, and add excitement to their lives...." Interesting, huh.... 2) did you know that Foriegn ownership of U.S. Assets is $ 6.4 trillion, about 2/3 of them ? and 38 -44 % of our Treasury securities and 20 % of our Corporate debt (according to Bridgewater's Mr. Jensen in 8/21 Barrons)....sounds a little high to me, and these guys have been super-bearish for decades ....dig ? But, of course, Barron's fails to give their L.T.T.R. Anyway, America's ownership of Foreign assets, at $ 4.7 trillion (48 % of our GDP), is less....this leaves an unprcedented imbalance of 18 % of our GDP....Whether that will be good or bad down the road (so far, iut has been a Good thing, right ? contrary to what the Media has been improperly trying to warn us about for years, yes ?), is unknown....Interestingly, Foreigners own just 8 -14 % of our 'equities' (stocks)....the article was bearish all-around....we shall see....

3) recent article, L.A.T., 8/27, "Cheap Shots at a Steep Price ?", mentioned what I have been saying for years: that the Media's overcoverage of Political stuff, esp. humorous jabbings, is, in effect, telling people it is O.K. Not to care, dig ? It also sends negative vibes to youngsters (don't get me started), and hurts the psyche of america....Of course, one otther culprit is the "system of just 2 parties, hypocrisy, power, graft, etc." ....4) I couldn't believe that Ticker Mag. actually gave a guy a full-page, who supposedly uses 'solar wind patterns and ion ratios' to try to predict stock indexes, daily....I won't even dignify by giving his name, but, I have seen several of these kinds of guys, and none made anyone anything over decent time periods....Stupidly (as usual, right ?), they said, "he has the numbers to back it up....the last 6 months, beginning Jan. 2000, he outperformed...." To which I say, show me several years, and then maybe I will listen....but, of course, Ticker did not....next....the behavior rarely changes....

So, as you have seen, for years now, how well one does, often, just "doing" the best 'individual' stocks, and rotating Ind. Groups, chart-technically, and sentiment-wise, mostly long-side, while ignoring, or going contrary to, 95 % of all Media messages, and "indexes/averages" comments, from the peanut gallery ? By just getting my output, alone, you do much better, and save time, by not having to even try to "seek, and process" tons of other, useless fundamental info., anyway....and we also help remove potential emotional problems for you, before they begin....

3) Most recent Hypothetical "PSYCLE sm" transactions, to be mimicked, and referred back to:

Always remember to view "1-year-at-least past" charts of everything you can view, herein, along with their 200 day moving averages (DMA's), to "see/learn" the "PSYCLE patterns", and see where/when stocks in section (3) were Hypothetically bought near lows, and put near highs....all % percentage 'Gains' are just logical ESTIMATES for L.T., ITM options, where exist, and/or on Margin, where no options exist....