1) "PSYCLE SENSE sm": new:

You know we don't do 'indexes', but, extended stocks, and much of 'the market', do not look VG here, S.T., and viewing new charts over weekend, Semis, Banks, Energy, more and more puttable again....Lots of double-tops abound on the NASDAQ....am I the only guy seeing this ? as usual, probably....representing, potentially, stages 5 or 6 in my "PSYCLE sm", for those stocks (only)....

While digesting all the Longside Winners I gave out when I could not get enough of my people to buy them in depressed bases not too long ago, some other, S.T. extended Techs, are already falling towards/approaching their also-still-too-high 50 DMA's, and are 1/2-position sales in their puts, for now....they may rally, then fall below recent lows, but one step at a time.... I have no other major words of wisdom today, just to do what is in section (3), as usual....even given all the Gains I gave out, what a difficult period this has been, also for everyone else I know inside and outside the business....

2) "What's Been Said, and What I've Read":

a) Important Industry Group (Rotation) notes:
1) thanks to the ex-subscribers who thanked me lately for being the first to recommend all those Utilities several months ago at their double-bottom lows....but, now, all I hear are normal late stage 3 comments, yes ? caveat emptor.... 2) heard the Saudi oil guy, Mon., say, "there is no shortage" of Crude....hmmmm....but was kinda hidden in the press, ay ? if things are still 'going to be' so bullish from here, forever, or at least through he coming Winter, then how come most Enmergy stocks are not rising hugely anymore, and/or still forming potential rolling tops, and/or exhausting their rises ? you know the answer ....3) another likely incorrectly bearish article, front-page, L.A.T., 9/10, "Definition of a trend: the fall of Gold's price", goes back to 1978 at $ 140. an ounce, up to $ 500- 800 in 1980-81, breaking stage 6 potential support under $ 300 in 1997, but then misleads big-time, NOT showing a monthly chart since 1997, which, instead of their incorrect 'downtrend', would show a BASE forming here around $ 250-270 or so, dig ? Amazing ignorance on their part, as usual.... anyway, Oh, yeah, it was a Tom Petruno article....anyway, he did mention that "today, the U.S. faces the opposite problem it confronted 10 years ago - now, the popular view is that nothing can go wrong with our economy...." True....hey, at least I helped teach him a little....and that, ditto with the world's economy, with that thinking by those people, ruefully scary and incorrect, of course.... given the INF's lousy track record, he correctly says that is not a good sign sentiment-wise, to which I agree.... Interstingly, he also sees signs of the beginning of the end, as I do, for all this....so, for once, he and I agree....But you may not wish that our thoughts come true, dig ? keep posted here....

b) more, misleading, sensationalized, Late, and/or improper/incorrect comments from the Financial Media, Reporters, etc.:
1) as usual, CNBC's Obrien/Bauman, Mon. 9:50 am, highlighted "HUF", a co. that makes those ubiquitous 'scooters' you see kids have everywhere....late, as usual, dig ? see, NO ONE even recognized their stock at recent low around $ 3, and already rose to $ 13 before this story, dig ? now $ 9, nah....the pattern rarely changes.... 2) in a rare potentially-correct front-page article, the L.A.T. 9/8, highlighted "IN" stock/company, spun-off from CSC a while ago, is properly depressed basing, see it ? let's follow it....

c) more incorrect/misleading/sensationalized, and/or improper comments, from Fundamentalists/Companies, newspapers/magazines, etc., vs. illogical/Contrary/Unlinkable, past/present/future stock price moves:
1) a VG treatise in Technology Investor Mag. 10/00 issue, is valuable: correctly pointing out how much BS there is in the VC field, with those multi-page blind-mailer come-ons for individual stocks, from those chrun-out PR firms, wherin every statement they say is 'technically, semantically, possibly true in the future, but no way absolutely true now", and, again, where is the SEC ? anyway, they always say things in the exact same formula, like, "the mkt. for our product is x today, but is due to grow to 1 m times x by 2000-something", and, "big companies have selected our product already", when untrue, and, "discussions have been held with huge famous co. XYZ, who want to be our partner", when, in fact, that usually means they spoke to someone there, but that was it, and, "we have a world-class mgmt. team", when, in fact, you know...."we have virtually no competition", when, in fact, there is no competition, because there is no product/market yet, and, we are in a new paradigm" (no explanation necessary), and, "big industry mags are planning articles on us", when, in fact, they have their PR co. send releases out to everyone, with no answers, and, "we are considering an IPO soon" (they all say that, but how many fulfill ?).... next....

2) only now, after big unpredicted drop by them, two B-firms reiterated they still like MCD, but, also cited that, with weakness in Europe will hurt them -- if so, then why no stops all the way down, and why still like it now ? dont get me started....and two of the B-firms who loved PRIA at highs, have now finally gone negative....at the lows....ditto with DD, another 'blue-chip, stellar mamanged' co. stock, like, LU, VZ, etc., which 'the experts' failed to forseee big drops in....re-read my Booklets....the pattern rarely changes....

d) more, likely late, incorrect, and/or misleading, comments, from Brokerage firms, NL writers, Analysts, economists, Money Managers, etc.:
1) Technology Investor Mag., 10/00 issue, big article title, "Semiconductor Sales Couldn't Be Stronger", is as good a top sign, as we get ? if you think about it, they could be right, even though their title seems bullish, it is inherently end-of-the-trend-soon bearish ? get it ? ....2) MSDW's Peter Canelo, Tue., real bullish, saying 'upward earnings revisions highest in 2 years', and also mentioned depr. Retail stocks as future leaders, kudos, guy, rare....

e) more general items proving why one should probably ignore 95 % of everything else out there:
1) without a long dissertation, I notice that, in Times Square, they turned off the "U.S. $ trillion debt counting clock", begun in 1989, near the previous top in R.E. nationwide... As 'the 95 %' would have you (mis)believe our debt will no longer ever be a problem again, and 'supposed surplusses' (don't get me started) are permanent, might this turn out to be a contrary top signal at some point ? stay tuned....

So, as you have seen, for years now, how well one does, often, just "doing" the best 'individual' stocks, and rotating Ind. Groups, chart-technically, and sentiment-wise, mostly long-side, while ignoring, or going contrary to, 95 % of all Media messages, and "indexes/averages" comments, from the peanut gallery ? By just getting my output, alone, you do much better, and save time, by not having to even try to "seek, and process" tons of other, useless fundamental info., anyway....and we also help remove potential emotional problems for you, before they begin....

3) Most recent Hypothetical "PSYCLE sm" transactions, to be mimicked, and referred back to:

Always remember to view "1-year-at-least past" charts of everything you can view, herein, along with their 200 day moving averages (DMA's), to "see/learn" the "PSYCLE patterns", and see where/when stocks in section (3) were Hypothetically bought near lows, and put near highs....all % percentage 'Gains' are just logical ESTIMATES for L.T., ITM options, where exist, and/or on Margin, where no options exist....