Jim Goodman's "PSYCLE sm"

Jim Goodman's "The Right Side of the PSYCLE sm"
Stocks/Industry Groups Timing Newsletter, and Education service
"The Teaching Newlstter"....Learn the Patterns and Concepts Taught....then View the Charts, and Choose from sec. (3) and (6) and (7) ideas....NEWSLETTER, issue # 135, dated: 10:00 am, P.S.T., Monday, Oct. 04, 1999

I am now, formally, offering special one-on-one "Lessons", either in person, or, while on the phone looking at the same charts/websites simultaneously, hourly, etc. If you have an interest, please contact me soon, and we'll see what might work best for you....thanks....these could be sequential serious lessons, while viewing the patterns together, longside and shortside, and/or, questions you have had about all sorts of things in trading, investing, portfolio mgmt., order entry, how things work, stories you hear, etc. Hope this helps you further....

(this is in every NL): If you are a "NEWER" Subscriber, please take the time to read/printout ALL of the "wordy" parts of this NL, once or twice, anyway....If you are an "OLDER" Subscriber, of course, feel free to SKIP, or not print out, those specific NL sections you do not wish to glean your information from. (Save/printout all my CUMULATIVE newsletters, for future reference/educational learning/help). If you are pressed for time, at least read Section (2) to develop a "feel" for Sentiment patterns --- and Section (3) always, while taking the time to View some individual stock CHARTS, "piecemeal" at least....Please, neither expect ME to stay "super hot" nor "super cold" forever. NO emotion --- and do NOT "just extrapolate the most recent results forward, good or bad, forever" !!! Relax, take the time to VIEW/learn the pattern/charts, enjoy the process....Realize, that probably 2/3 of each NL is the "same" each issue ! so, once familiar with the 8 sections, and the concepts, you should NOT have to spend much time with each NL....

DO view at least SOME charts, every day, a big secret to success in stocks ! If pressed for time, just read section (1) and (2), and View some charts, from section (3)....I give a LOT, for very little money....spend 30 minutes, or spend up to 3 hours, with my output, twice a week, it's up to you.

1) "PSYCLE SENSE sm": new:
So, you sold many profitable Puts, and long Golds, "early Tuesday"....and you took a couple of Q, S, losses, both long and short....and, now, seeing predicted bounces off S.T. lows ....so let's briefly review:

Back in May '99, I specifically called for a 'semi-rougher-period" ahead, into Fall anyway, in two or three stages, as rotating extended I.G.'s correct their execesses, towards their still-rising 200 DMA's, remember ? We specifically gave you many Internets, Online Brokers, Techs, Chem., Trans., Util., Retail, Drug, Aero/Def., Financial, Energy Services, stocks as Puttables near highs (with some Q, S, losses along the way) herein, and had also predicted a mutli-year low in many depressed Commodities/related stocks, like, Copper/Alum./Steel, and especially Golds....Most all I.G.'s worked Very well for you, since....We also caught some lows among Staffing, and Health-related stocks, which nobody else liked at those times, (as usual)....Last, we are, so far, also 3-for-4 catching swing moves in the T-bond contract....Gosh, we're probably the only people around whoi have predicted all this....what a shame, no publicity, but I digress....

Now, I see potential S.T. bottoms forming among some of the previously-put I.G.'s, dig ? The pendulum swings back ? Obviously, it may take some time for some to form better patterns, but you should have learned by now, how this game works....We wait for drops to stop, and pessimism and fear among the "95 %" and Media sentiment, for potential long trades, with stops below....read section (2) just below, first items....EVB's are always a guess, even once we get the "cathartic volume" after the price drop, but, I think most of the "Y2K fear-mongers" are going to be disappointed from down here in many stocks....They may end up "expecting" what has already occured, in normal "PSYCLE sm" sequence, dig ? As taught in my "mastering PSY-chology" and "Scenarios" booklets, "they" are likely to have people looking 'over there', when one should be looking 'over here', if you catch my drift, the next few months....Remember, the fundamentalists, economists, and govt. people can mislead the masses all they wish --- but no one can hide the price chart patterns themselves, which 95 % of all those people rarely, if ever, view, right ? So, staying in the game here, still seeing some Extended stocks which have not yet corrected, while watching more bottoms beginning to form among depressed stocks in other I.G.'s....but we have NO "overall scenario" here, right ? Oh, and notice, I am not mentioning anything about "the Fed" at all here....

Recall how, when I was among the first/only to say, that, by the time the Fed might raise I.R.'s, the declines among interest-sensitive stocks would already have occured, as usual, as taught in my "Downside" booklet, right ? Well, here we are, maybe....So the Fed's 'actions' in Oct. and Nov., may not be more than window-dressing, sentiment-wise....I already taught you how Greenspan operates.... So, watch the CHARTS, and do not blindly accept the 'generally presented news at face value'....'nuff said.

Please appreciate, how much time/effort I put in, to put ALL applicable, staged, stocks, which fit learnable, and actionable, "PSYCLE sm" patterns, into each NL....Sometimes fewer, sometimes more, as befits market conditions....again, the "Most Actionable, Do-able, stocks, Here/Now", are in Section (3). And, the "Learning/feeling/Sentiment/commentary" items, are in section (2). Longer lists, and Industry Groups, are in section (6) and (7)....and all "follow-ups", are in sections (4) and (5). Of course, if you do not own any of the stocks in sec. (4) or (5), you may choose to save time by ignoring those if you wish....Eight, very clear NL "sections". You have No excuses for not taking advantage, over time.

2) "What's Been Said, and What I've Read":

a) Important Industry Group (Rotation) notes: 1) I hope you VIEWED the recent Gold stock charts to learn to see the bases, etc.... 2) let me again be the first/only to say, some depressed Banks, Drugs, and even Retail and Aero/Def. and Mass Storage and maybe even Waste, stocks, may be bottoming, surprising, huh....I added some as "watching" in section (6) below.... 3) I think, from soon ahead, people will look back at the Funeral, Airline, and "Housing", stocks, and wish the bought potential EVB's here....4) last, obviously, look for an "EVB" to form, ahead, among 'recently depressed on over-fears from hurricanes/storms', P & C insurance stocks....

b) more, misleading, sensationalized, and/or improper/incorrect comments from the Financial Media, Reporters, etc.: 1) the pattern never changes: of course, only AFTER the recent pops, USA today headline, 9/28, "Gold gets more precious" ....saying, "behind the euphoria: central banks limiting future gold sales." Late, as usual....All their recent article have been bearish on Gold, yes ? Their chart showed a beautiful base, and parabolic rise....yet, NOWHERE was the pattern mentioned in their two big articles ! next.... 2) L.A. Times, 9/20, headline, "new office construction shows 6 % Rise, igniting concern that new R.E. development may exceeed demand for new office space, according to Paine Webber ....believe that new construction is not slowing sufficiently to prevent pressure on growth and vacancy rates." more proof.... 3) as I was, again, the first to predict herein a while ago, CNBC, Mon. 4 th, 9:15 am, reported, "the cigar craze is now over...." Hey, great timing guys....not....those stocks had already fallen big-time when I gave them to you herein near their 1998 higs....the pattern never changes.... 4) CNBC's Bill Griffeth continued to bait another internet pres., of Symantec, Mon. 9:35 am, asking when "E-tailers would replace brick-and-mortar retailers", etc. Oy. Anyway, note, he only interviewed the pres. of SYMC, with their stock already up at $ 34....CNBC of course panned SYMC negatively, just last year, when it was around $ 8....the pattern never changes.... 5) similarly, CNBC interviewed pres. of "LSI.", 9:55 am, already way up around $ 55., another stock, which they panned, less than a year ago, around $ 11. You know, I was thinking, that, CNBC might have visited, say, a steel-industry area, near its lows, instead of the Silicon valley near its highs, dig ? just a thought....

c) more incorrect/misleading/sensationalized, and/or improper comments, from Fundamentalists/companies/newspapers/magazines, etc., vs. illogical/contrary/unlinkable, past/present/future stock price moves: 1) Fri. CNBC, 11 am, a report mentioned how Warren "excellent for a long time but his time is past" Buffett, has now had three recent years of significant Underperformance, vs. the S & P: in 1990, by -20 %, in 1996, by -17%, and, so far, in 1999, by -16 % returns below that of the S & P....as my NL mentioned last year, when I suggested his "no stops" concept might have had its day, being in stage 4, when I was the first/only to calla the top in his stock prices, herein, for you....CNBC intimated his approach is "not automatically safe/guaranteed", and said he held, KO, U., and G., all the way down....

d) more, likely late, incorrect, and/or misleading, comments, from Brokerages, NL writers, Analysts: 1) none, rare....

e) more general items proving why one must ignore 95 % of everything else out there: 1) USA today, 9/28: "MSFT's predicament puts 'green (mutual) funds' in a pickle": exactly as I mentioned herein, they called it, "when clean companies play dirty", should MSFT stock be in those hypocritical "socially responsible" (don't get me started) M. Funds ? ....According to them, if MSFT loses its antitrust case (i.e., guilty of a crime), would all those funds then have to eliminate it from their portfolios ? Those kinds of Funds are "facing a moral dilemma", they said....Of course, the whole argument is a waste of time and resources....I just wanted to follow-up my previous comments on such MF's for you....

As you have seen over the last year, how well one does, just "doing" the best individual stocks, and Ind. Groups, chart-technically, and sentiment-wise, mostly long-side, while ignoring, or going contrary to, 95 % of all Media messages, and "indexes/averages" comments, from the peanut gallery ? By just getting my output, alone, you do much better, and save time, by not having to even try to "seek, and process" tons of other, useless fundamental info., anyway....and we also help remove potential emotional problems before they begin.

3) Most recent Hypothetical "PSYCLE sm" transactions, to be mimicked, and referred back to:

Always remember to view "1-year-at-least past" charts of everything you can view, herein, along with their 200 day moving averages (DMA's), to "see/learn" the "PSYCLE patterns", and see where/when stocks in section (3) were Hypothetically bought near lows, and put near highs....note: (Q = quick; i.e, was less than 2-3 months holding period ....VQ = very quick; i.e., was less than 3-4 weeks holding period)....and "VVQ" means it was held even shorter-term than that....

Also re-read "the Guide" for how I derive the Estimated % percentage Gains I show herein, on assumed Hypothetically closed-out trades (always assumed to have been in Options, where applicable/suitable, and on margin where available/suitable/logical, and on a cash basis where not, as per "PSYCLE sm" tenets)....and "bal." here in section (3), means, "the balance" of assumed long positions, assuming an initial "1/2 pos." sale....and, "css" means "covered (previous) short sale", where no puts options existed....

* Previously assumed Long positions most recently SOLD (showing the actual price changes, in parentheses, from the price where/when recently originally recommended herein, to the price where very recently Hypothetically "Sold"):
puts QLGC (92- to 66+) for Q 222% Gain....bal. puts ADRX (75- to 50-) for 200 % G....1/2 pos. puts ADIC (34+ to 24+) for VQ 175% G....puts ILN (32+ to 27++) for VQ 100% G....bal. calls CNS (16+ to 22+) for Q 111% G....1/2 pos. puts ATML (40- to 34) for VVQ 55% G....1/2 pos. puts RSC (39+ to 31+) for Q 75% G....css DIGX (31 to 21+) for VQ 55% G....1/2 pos. puts JCI. (71- to 65+) for Q 55% G....1/2 pos. puts BPA (114+ to 106) for VVQ 55% G....

and/but, longs, RXSD, FTL, TFT, TO, HMA, HMY ?, SCS ?, and, puts, CBRNA ?, ARMHY ?, DSCP, SONC ?, GDW, BCE ?, IBIS, STM, for more, quick, very small losses, normally of smaller overall consequence to a properly diversified L.T. portfolio ....still been too many of them lately....rare....

NOTE: while most of the $ 5 to $ 10. stocks are listed here as "stocks on margin" ("stk.on.mgn."), if one Had bought L.T., in-the-money calls options, their % Gains/Losses would have been multiplied, higher, right ? We prefer not to buy Calls on most stocks under $ 10., unless their patterns are phenomenal, as their options premiums tend to be too high, vs. buying those stocks on Margin, with close stops, where suitable, instead, with less arithmetic risk, and yet, similar reward potential--- stocks themselves have no "premium", right ? and, of course, if one just bought said longs for cash, and not on margin, the % Gains/Losses here would be relatively smaller, though still excellent, for such short holding periods, yes ? also, obviously, these "transactions" are always listed, from biggest % Gains, to smallest, then all losses....

* Newly/Additionally BOUGHT/Buyables, right around/near these prices only:
(either for Cash, especially in Pensions, and/or on Margin where suitable, and/or Only L.T., in-the-money Options, where suitable/available, always Diversifying, always with close Stops below/above recent lows/highs): (note: If you are New to this NL, here are the most recent "Buyables/Puttables", long/short) (note: a " - " after a price, means "just under" that price....and, a " + " means "just over" that price....i.e., 16+ means, 16 to 16 3/8, and, 56-, means, 55 5/8 to 56, etc.)....again, the idea is to "just get real close" to my listed prices here, when buying long/selling/putting issues given....try NOT to worry about every 1/8 or 1/16....
**** Newly BOUGHT Long-side, for potential Rises: (note, most are still pretty low-priceds, read thoroughly, some new "repeats" and "revisited" "new" ones again, here): each alphabetically by symbol: again, "just get real close" to suggested prices:

(new ones)
AHP @ 42, FLE @ 20+, 1/2 pos. STK @ 19, TMO @ 13+,

"Repeats": (note, some new ones) BWL/A @ 7-, CASY @ 13.06, CHB @ 8 3/8, CPQ @ 22+, CTK @ 8-, EAR @ 4 9/16, GLB 16-, IHK @ 6-, MSN @ 9/16, MT @ 8+, MWHS @ 11++, NHC @ 6 1/8, ONSL @ 13+, SWK @ 24+, SYNX @ 2.06, TCA @ 6+, "the T-Bond @ 112+", TSC @ 4.06, TXB @ 3 5/8, UQM @ 4 1/8, VBAC @ 1 3/16, WTT @ 1 3/4....most are still EVB's, bases, and/or very low-priceds...."buy (only) low", right ? (but still 'Not that great' a list, as I have been intimating recently)

NOTE: as I teach in the "Green Guide", countless times, you should know, that, often, there is NOT "just one day, time, or price" when my stocks become "long buys" or "long puts"....some stocks may hit around originally suggested prices, 2, 3, 4 times, etc., sometimes over a period of weeks, as they may form EVB's, double-bottoms and/or bases, or longer tops, right ? When/if they rise/fall in between those times, I follow-up those moves, in section (4) and (5)....this is a Positive, a Benefit, for you....Remember, I have subscribers who ARE already in stocks which have already moved before YOU may have just noticed them herein, dig ? And there ARE many subscribers who ARE viewing the charts of the stocks herein, first....and there ARE subscribers who DO want "longer, more thorough, teaching" NL's/items from me....so I give it all, for all your situational needs....your choices, no excuses....

*** therefore, all my given stocks REMAIN buyable/puttable, every time they hit originally suggested prices, unless/until they break their patterns....even if weeks pass by !!! "Just get close", and do everything else properly: the stops, VIEWING the charts BEFORE acting, NOT forcing trades, NO emotion, diversifying, etc., and, of course, LEARNING the stages/patterns of price, ind. group, and sentiment/media, patterns.

** Important: took, ENN, AVM, ADSK, PMS, --- Off the pot. Long Buys list, before they might have been Hypothetically "bt." ....we do Not "Guess" at bottoms....

Note, I try to give "something for every type of investing/trading desire/account/objective", including some real cheapies, some $ 5-10. stocks, some over $ 20. stocks, and some "names" blue chips, etc. --- either, for straight Cash, and/or, on Margin, and/or (only) L.T., in-the-money Options, etc., so that all my valued subscribers have Choices, and for proper Diversification --- all still having similar, exploitable patterns, in each NL....LEARN the patterns !

**** Newly BOUGHT, long "PUTS" (or "short sales" if no puts), for potential Drops: alphabetically by symbol:

(new ones) CPWM @ 50-, CYTC @ 39, DOV @ 41-, LD @ 21+, LVMHY @ 59,

"Repeats": (note, added names) AGX ?, ARMHY ?, ASML @ 68+, EUSA @ 30-, HAE @ 20, HLIT @ 135+, LMG/A @ 37++, MGG @ 51, NEV @ 17+, SPW @ 90+, TAM @ 12++, TYC @ 104+....

and/but, took, AGN, WMT, WIC, Off pot. Puts list, before "put", as they aborted their patterns immediately (also see recent past issues taken off, here)....also, any new highs = off the Puts list....VIEW their charts, to see what aborted Puts patterns look like, for YOUR benefit....

*** and/but, among stocks recently given you herein, in sections (6) and (7) below, we "just Missed", NTN, CBJ, MGA, FC, as Longs/Buys near very recent lows, and, CDCO, SAWS, MNMD, TERN, as Puts/Shorts, near recent highs....Every single stock listed here over past NL's was specifically given you herein, in sec. (6) or (7), previously, and you very likely could still have caught them, if you took the time to view their charts recently....More proof of the power of "PSYCLE sm" patterns....again, just because I honestly admit "missing" some, does not mean YOU have to....if you do just a little work....

I will always tell you here, also when we "miss" catching suggested ideas, so you can "view/see" and LEARN their charts/patterns, for your educational benefit. Also, this tells us whether the market itself is providing more bottoms/tops, at that time, right ? Another reason why it is important to consider ALL my output, each NL....Again, the idea is to Learn the "Patterns" of previously "given/done" ideas, for YOUR future benefit.

*** All previously mentioned ideas are Followed-up here below, for your Educational/Trading benefit....check these lists/issues briefly, to see if any YOU own, or are considering owning, are mentioned....
4) Already given out in previous NL's, assumed Hypothetical "Long-side" positions:
(issues moving since last time, worthy of following-up, and/or mentioning, because of recent price moves, still remaining long in most all of them, unless otherwise noted):
(* too late to buy up here, up already, and/but acting O.K., so stay in these, long, for now):
**** note: (sos) means "Sell On Strength" (on a bounce up towards resistance, and/or where it broke down from)....("S") means Sell it here (if still right at/near the listed price level).

still giving you some nice risers (note, these have always been listed, in order, from the biggest % moves, to the smallest important most recent % price moves): read this, and the last few lists here, thoroughly, carefully, and check their Charts to see the Patterns:

NPSI. 18 3/8 up 4 3/8, GDC 3 1/4 up 1/2, MLG 9 1/2 up 1, SDH 18 1/2 up 1 1/2, ALB 20 up 1 5/8, AHP 44 up 2 3/8, TMO 13 7/8 up 5/8, TE 22 1/8 up 7/8, BDX 28 3/8, ASO 24 1/8, HMT 9 1/2, CGI. 23 3/8, RAH 17 7/8, GSR 7/8, higher, since last time here....and, ALB, TE, hit their 200 DMA....stay in....and, AFCI> hit 23+, higher....

note: please try to appreciate, that I have some subscribers, who want "real quick and out" trades, and others, who want the "multi-month holds for bigger potential gains" trades....by VIEWING the "higher still" list above, you will hopefully learn better PERSPECTIVE in the overall chart patterns, and what can really be accomplished at times, if one lets them....always view the One-year Daily charts....

and/but, then, seeing Many pullbacks, and/or bounces off pullbacks: CCC 7 up 3/4, LDW 7 1/4 up 1/2, BDX 27 1/8, GDC 2 7/8, ALB 18 5/8, GLB 16-, ONSL, HEB, MWHS, HOC, ATHM +3, TPN, NPSI, BWL/A, SEEK, APFC, CPQ, IFMX, OJ, NPK, TCA, MCL, TSC, BCP, CPU, CDE, EGRP, TBFC 22-, NWK, ATC, SWK, SYNX, CASY, NTBK, CHY, ESOL, FWC, TXB, RLC, TPS, NHC, WTT, TBP, MSN, CCH, "the T-Bond"....some of these are also in "ms/sos" list below.... remember, many "Golds" are already having normal stage 2 pullbacks, right ?

again, please do not be afraid of buying the "Real Depressed Stocks", even in pension accounts, always diversifying, with close stops.... Again, you Must buy at least a FEW, minimum, at one time, to increase your chances of being in the bigger movers....Lesson: there is NO such thing as "but, Jim, which 1 or 2 are your favorites ?" It is impossible, and illogical, to expect anyone to be ble to choose just 1 or 2, out of 2,500 issues....maybe 5 to 10, long-siders, and also 5 to 10, put-siders, sometimes, but never just 1 or 2 ....One must also eliminate one's "PSY-chological need for excitement", and/or of "instant/S.T. gratification".

and/but, these already assumed Longs, are acting weaker S.T., and/or must strengthen, and/or must strengthen "again/anew", and/or must "break above recent high or else", and/or are sales on strength ("sos") to/towards/near resistance:

(note, some of these are also in "pb" list above....obviously, any stock near its lows, or close to breaking, "must strengthen" or else, yes ?) SSC 2 3/8 up 1, "the T-Bond", SYNX, FWC, TXB, WTT, PMC, MT, APFC, CCC, LWN, SWK, MWHS, SEV, HMA, CHY, TCA, LDW, HOC, HCM, HIV, MSN, IO., TG....note, this list has chrunk, partly due to Q, S, losses, partly because of recent S.T. lows....

5) Already given out in previous NL's, assumed Hypothetically long "Puts" positions:
(issues moving since last time, worthy of following-up, still remaining long in these Puts, unless otherwise noted):
* may too late to "begin" to buy puts on these stocks now, but they are acting properly, stick around:
Puttables specifically given you herein, many which are Falling/further:
ADRX -8, QLGC -5 (S), SNDK -8 (sow), DIGX -3 1/2 (css), SPW -3 1/2, EMLX -4, CYTC -3, CPWM -3 1/2, GMH -2, HWP -3 1/2 (S), QLTI. -1, ADTN -1, SEWY -1, CAKE -1, ACV (sow), FLM (sow), SSCC, SUI, LD, lower, still, since last NL here....while, ILN fell to its 200 DMA (S), as did P. (S), and, ADRX, ADIC, MU, fell to their 50 DMA....and, SNDK 57+ (S), RHAT, SYK 50-, lower anyway....

Note: these have always been listed, by "number of points falling", from most, to least...."(sow)" means, "Sell previously long puts On next Weakness, towards/near support"...."(S)" means sell/sold their previously long Puts right near here, and/or as in section (3) above....I follow-up Every idea mentioned, for YOUR benefit....remember, these are NOT "overnite" trades, they take a little time to fulfill, so please have some patience, and no emotion, nor antsiness....let them do their thing.

* But, then, these, are acting too Strong, and/or are Bouncing, and/or Must Weaken anew, nevertheless, and/or are sales on pullbacks/weakness ("sow"):
JDSU +6 1/2, EMLX +8, BPA +8, VNWK +5, -3, GDW +3, -2, SPW +3, -3, CBRNA +2, QLTI. +3, HLIT, MACR, KLAC -3 1/2, +3, NTLI. -2, MEDI., EUSA -2, ARMHY +1, JNPR -8, BRR, SDLI. +6, BRCM, JBL, CPWM +2 1/2, SANM -3 1/2, +4 1/2, ATML +2, RSC, MSFT +2 1/2, RSC +2, SONC -1 1/2, POWI., ASML, VISX -1, ARTC, AHAA -3, SEIC, TEF -1, NEV, MACR, DYN +1 1/2, LMG/A +1, HAE, ADTN +2 1/2, TSI., TAM, BCE, TYC +4, MGG -1 3/8, EQT, DOV, JCI. +1 1/2, SNDK -1, +1, CCL +1, RDC....

once again, remember, to form a "top" over time, a stock most often must jockey around, right ? this takes days and even weeks, as taught in my "Downside" booklet, re-read it please....that's one reason it helps to view these types of "bounces" in this section at times....

Again, we still need to see more stocks break below recent lows/necklines....hence the recent "1/2 pos.(ition)" sales in sec. (3), dig ? You are on your own, regarding buying Puts after "bounces" which occur in between NL's, which do not break to new highs, or do not break toppy patterns ! Remember, we either buy our Puts right up near each stock's High, or not at all....but you can still view their charts, to "see" previously formed/worked/aborted "PSYCLE sm" patterns, to hopefully Learn the Patterns from.

6) Now--- Here are Other, Fuller lists, of still-Depressed, Long Buys, near their recent Lows Only, for potential Rises towards resistance, always Diversified (w/close stops, when/if their basing or "EVB" patterns break down):

Be patient here, and do not "force" trades, or overtrade, just because, PSY-chologically, you "want" to have "something" to buy long....do NOT be "antsy", relax....let the patterns come to YOU....also, there may seem to be "a lot", or "fewer" stocks to review here, especially in the next two sections here....but that says how cheap many stocks have been at times, right ? View their charts, piecemeal, at least....Also, remember, we do NOT "chase up"....only buy the ones You prefer to choose, which are still near their lows, with stops for protection, i.e., in a "pension plan", one should probably not do the real cheapies, etc.

"Potential Longs, by Industry Groups, for Rotation":
some decent bases here, and many decent EVB's and double-or-triple- bottoms, (but, again, Not when/if any of these make new lows here, and, NOT if they are already "up", much, off lows, right ?):
NOTE: obviously, given recent pops, has gotten more difficult to find "depresseds still right near their lows", so keep that in mind....we'll sometimes pay an eentsy bit more, but will NOT "pay up" much.

note how "not great" this side of the marketplace is, lately....
Health-relateds (THC, UQM, HEB, TMD ?, HMA, TXB, NHC, EAR, TCA, NHP, AHP)
Prec.Metals (CCH, VGZ, CAU, DAY, KRY, on big pullbacks only, right ?)
Foods (UFD.A, VBAC, SACY),
and, some Cyclical/Steel/Copper/Temp. Employment/Gaming, etc., stocks, likely, again, but ONLY after/on bigger pullbacks....
Internet-and-Online Broker-ralated (scary, use close stops) SEEK, TBFC, ATHM, ONSL, EGRP, AGE, and more below, on pullbacks only, etc.
emerging groups ?: still, "Medical/Hospital/Health", "Athletics/Shoes", and, Foods ?
and/but, some busted REIT's, like, GLB, HMT, FCH, PRT, WIR, MT, for possible income/dividends, plus price upside....this may jive with the depressed health/REIT/hospital/HMO stocks, like, VTR, LWN, NHP, etc., we are watching (which have no dividends, of course) ? and, now, perhaps my famous "Thermo's" stocks will bottom, that no one else sees ? (TMD, TMO, TCA, etc. ??)

* The stocks on this next list, are also, still, Current, or, Potential, "EVB's" ("exhaustion V bottoms"), read that Booklet !): Remembering ONLY to buy near their recent Lows (do not "pay up" much off lows), diversified, w/close stops....these, plus the stocks listed above, and the "Newly Boughts" in Section (3) above, comprise the "total" complete long-side buyable lists in today's market.

Note how many stocks there are on these lists....what I see, I share, for your benefit....as I have said countless times here, try to VIEW at least "some" of them, every day, for, say, 10 mins....do NOT try to view them all, at once.... since most remain on these lists for a while, hopefully you will know when they pullback to buyable levels, having seen their chart patterns before....

We are Also "Watching" --- as potential EVB's, or "basing" or "double" bottoms, near recent lows ONLY: adding, AHP, CMA, DDS, FCH, HB, LYO, TAP, WDC, AWA, CBR, MGA, RSG, SNV, HCP, ACRT, JBOH, UBID, BAMM, EEE, USL, BND, BYX, (note, more "big names"), to,

"repeats" BE, CBG, FLS, ASO, JOB, SEV, MWHS, THC, FLE, PIR, SCS, BWL/A, TCA, IMG, TG, RTI, MGL, HMY, SYNX, FC, HWD, RAH, HLX, ESOL, STK, CKP, UNA, LWN, OMM, EAR, TKN, NTN, HIV, SEV, to, those listed in section (3), and those just above here, plus, DMI, JM, CASY, GDC, GRERF, HEC, HNV, IO., MSN, SAMC, XCL, still, most as "EVB's", with a few basers....

also "Repeating" recent, 'Longer-term-only' "watching" list: a real mish-mosh: adding, add, AN, AMTD, BDX, AGE, ALB, AW, CPU, WIR, CPTH, MSPG, SIEB, PCCC, BXM, SDH, CGI, CTX, CNB, MGL, CHB, CTK, ONSL, FWC, NHC, FNL, ONX, HLX, NTBK, NPSI., as potential "EVB"s", and may base/bottom ahead....will let you know in sec. (3), as usual....some still need technical work....and/but most, only on pullbacks towards lows....and/but, not any of these above, when/if they make new lows or break budding bases/patterns....don't "force" trades....and be sure to do your 'fundamentals' homework on the lesser-known ones....

Remember, the last list, is primarily a "watching to possibly buy" list.... They only become Buys, when they appear(ed) in sec. (3) above, and/or when/if they decline towards lows and hold, yes ? That's why YOU must LOOK at their charts, over time, when you have a few minutes....How else are you going to learn the patterns ? This is a positive, not a negative....

**** The potential Longs above are chosen, First, by their EVB, or "base" technical chart patterns, then, I do do a "little Fundamentals research" on each, to make sure they are viable companies, with no "hidden time bombs"....

7) other, still Extended/potentially Toppy, "Puttables", near recent Highs Only, for potential Price Drops, using, Only, L.T., in-the-money Puts Only, Always Diversified, w/stops if patterns abort to the upside, for potential drops towards their 200 DMA's, at least
(NOTE: again, if they are already down appreciably from their highs, do NOT chase them down):
(re-read my "Downside/Puts" booklet): Fuller, Potential Puts list, by I.G.'s where practical, near their Highs, ONLY --- do NOT "chase down" much: note: this list supercedes all previous ones....these are the ONLY Puttables here, all others have been removed....

Biotech, Pharm., Drug, Health, Medical: VISX, HAE, IDPH, ZOLL, DGX, etc.
other "Techs/computer/software/media/internets, etc.", Puttables, are in two lists just below here....
**** others, and new ones: many more, added, GE, IPI, DTPI, DISH, BRCD, LBRT, LVMHY, LTXX, QCOM, TERN, CPWM, KIDE, ARA, MGG, DOV, SUI, UTR, NYT, to, CNG, HPK, SU, DGX, EMLX, HOMS, INKT, LLTC, MXIM, NXLK, PESC, PLMD, SAWS, ZOLL, VVTV, CYTC, ADIC, AGX, CCL, CXY, FFIV, IVX, LD, LSI, MMM, PHCM, PHG, QLGC, RHAT, SDLI, TSI., VSEA, to, ARBA, ASML, ANTC, CLRN, JBL, MACR, SLR, SONC, VNWK, ZBRA, to, ARTC, DYN, NBL, QLTI, TCB, WLM, JPM, MWD, SPW, TAM, ALGX, MEDI, INSS, MSFT, NTLI, HLIT, SANM, DOX, TLAB, AHAA, DST, ADVS, ECP, CDI, CLS, DOX, BC, VISX, VTSS, FDS, PEB, EXDS, SNPS, ACS, CAKE, GE, KWP, PB, JNPR, RNWK, SFX, ABDR, ADVP, AWRE, CPN, EL, PKS, from recent past NL's,

**** the Best Puttable Industry Groups: in no particular order, and, understanding we have already HAD some nice drops, and/or QSL's: Extended and at least Semi-parabolic: Energy, Health/Medical/Drug/Biotech, Computer/Internet/Software, High-PE Techs, Media, and most all Tele.-Commun., all near their recent Highs ONLY, w/close stops above their patterns....of course, many issues are already down now, so fewer "still near their highs", right ?

8) "PSYCLE sm" Lesson for today:

VIEW THE CHARTS....SEE where the 200 DMA's are....LEARN THE PATTERNS/STAGES

NEW very brief LESSON: new: given recent action and ideas above, none needed today....

**** The following several paragraphs are in every NL:
I have been so busy, expending so much time/effort, researching, finding, and giving the ideas I do in each NL lately, and creating each NL itself, I have not had time to give many more "Lessons" here lately, nor to finish 3 more real valuable "Booklets"....FYI, besides all the previous Lessons you have hopefully gleaned from all my past materials, NL's, ideas, and my (7) educational Booklets, I re-ran "the seven sequential stages of my "PSYCLE sm", from my 12/7/98 NL, through the 12/28/98 NL....refer back to, and re-read, those section (8) lessons, any time....hope they helped....they remain available, on the web....also take this time to VIEW charts from section (3) and (6)....

NOTE: just a quick reminder, that, as per the green "Guide", a single stock herein may certainly be found, in 1, 2, 3, even 4, different sections of my NL at any given time....this is logical, and helpful for you....example: it may be in sec. (3) as a new buy at a certain price area, and, in sec. (4) if it has risen or fallen decently from the bought level, as I follow-up its movements for your benefit, and, still also in sec. (6) as a buy when/if it pulls back to its original suggested buy level....This is a GOOD thing for you, NOT a bad/confusing thing....A stock might have risen, from, say, $ 6 (sec. 3) , to $ 7 1/4 (sec. 4 follow-up), then pulls back again (sec. 4, next paragraph), and, when/if it pulls back towards $ 6 again, without breaking its original pattern, is remains a buy (sec. 6)....GOT THAT ? Finding such ideas among the "repeats" in sec. (3), iliustrates this helpful item....This is very simple: All suggested stocks remain actionable when/if they remain/return to original prices, in the future, provided their original chart pattern is still intact....period.

Remember, the time length of the full trip from stage 1 through 7, can be one year, or ten years, or 100 years, etc., depending on one's desired perspective....A stock can be in one stage S.T., and another stage L.T. But one cannot have "everything", that is, we try not to turn a S.T. position into a L.T. position, and we never even try for "potential 10-baggers over several years"....One must decide beforehand, whether one expects a S.T. trade or a L.T. investment....But at least knowing the normal, usual characteristics of each sequential stage, puts us way ahead of "the 95 %". I use 1-year and 2-year charts, period, because we seek 1-2-3-4-month patterns, holds, and moves, and NOT overnite, nor daily nor intraweek moves. Trade less, make more, lower stress, free-up time, etc.

IMPORTANT: people keep trying to "formula-ize/computerize" my "PSYCLE sm" process, which, as I keep saying, is a fruitless waste of your valuable time...."just get close(r)", and do everything else correctly....The KEY is just plain learning the simple VISUAL chart patterns for each of the 7 sequential stages in my "logo chart" on my webpage and on the front of every Booklet, then adding the "sentiment" nuances of each stage.

As I keep reiterating, It is also still better most times, to, 1) buy "some" stage 1 "PSYCLE sm" stocks, in depressed or EVB chart patterns, when their "news seems so bad" but their patterns show EVB's (and have occasional, small, cut losses), than to never do that at all....Because, historically, and as you have seen herein, any small, cut losses, will be more than overcome by larger % Gains, over time, off those EVB lows, when one properly Diversifies, and stays with it....and, to, always, 2) TRY at least "some" "Puts/options" the opposite way, near their Highs only, when/where suitable, than to never do any Puts ever....always diversifying properly, with close stops....

Remember, "PSYCLE sm" stocks tend to move much more INDEPENDENTLY of any/all "external" stuff, than "the 95 %" incorrectly believe....one does Not "need" "events" to happen, in order to exploit normal, probable stock price moves.... this is a Good thing....One Key is to have the strength to Buy, when there is a "scary story", provided the stock pattern is intact....Connectedly, realize, by nature, there is SUPPOSED to be no "sexiness" in stocks/groups, near their lows, in bases, nor EVB's....they only become "sexy", After they rise a bunch, right ? and, by then, it is/will be too late....One must buy into NON-sexiness, into NON-positiveness, into "fear", when the patterns are intact, right ? Also, buying PUTS options "the Psycle Way", can be viewed as just plain intelligent/logical, and proper, as just "insurance" or "protection", as well as for direct profit at times, yes ? The March '98 tops, and July '98 tops, and drops, have proven that yet again.

I also assume you have read the "Significant Disclaimers" paragraph, under my main webpage logo....I cannot infer that my future performance will always match my excellent, real, actual past track records, as each person will, obviously, have differing experiences with my output, and/or do/not do various things, properly/improperly, etc. Thanks for understanding. It is also assumed that you actually "VIEW" 1-and-2-year past Charts of stocks, with their 200 DMA's, BEFORE you "do" anything for real, and that you are aware of their recent highs/lows, for stops price levels, and past/future resistance/support. I am also assuming you have learned to eliminate the potentially hindering emotional "stuff" from the decision-making/stock-choosing side of your brain....