1) "PSYCLE SENSE sm": new:

As I mentioned to my people last week, many stocks were as oversold as they have been, around the last several bottoms we have had in the last few years....

According to a company that tracks such stuff, Fri., CNBC after close, Liquidity Trendtabs, says, Mon-Tue-Wed. last wk., had the record largest w/d ($ 10 bill.) from M. Funds, bailing out, ever, in history....So, what does that tell you ? But, then, for the week ended Oct. 11, the previous wk., they had an inflow ! showing how confusing all this stuff is, and, why, WE use charts and behavioral and sentiment, patterns....clearer, better, than other measures or indicators....

So, are you dipping your longside toes in the water recently, with close stops ? or are you shell-shocked, unable to ACT as I teach, and going to miss many bounces ?

2) "What's Been Said, and What I've Read":

a) Important Industry Group (Rotation) notes:
1) note added, as usual after nice drops, I added more EVB's among Techs, for hopefully, as before, nice, quick bounces.... 2) just notice I added many more EVB's in section (6) below, several I.G.'s, including some Utils, as they pullback from breaking out (stage 2 potential, dig ?)....but, simultaenously, added more Puttanles, including some Utils. as well.... 3) let me, as usual, also be the first/only to suggest EVB's soon among depr. Indl. Machy. stocks, like, BGG, BWA, FWC, etc. ...4) also note, more EVB's among Retail, REIT's, Banks, etc.... 5) also, as I ntimated last NL here, the 98 area on the long T-bond was/is support, hitting 99 5/8 already on Tues.

b) more, misleading, sensationalized, Late, and/or improper/incorrect comments from the Financial Media, Reporters, etc.:
1) another amazingly misleading after-the-fact front-page article, L.A.T., Tom Petruno (don't get me started), 10/2, "New Millenium, Different Leaders ? investors need to rethink strategy", showed how, counter to what they were all saying Dec.'99/Jan.'00, I.G.'s like, our Health Care, REIT, Finl. Svcs., Mid-caps, Utils., have vastly outperformed all the I.G.'s which 'the experts' incorrectly said, would be the leaders for 'the new paradigm' (again, don't get me started), like, Techs, Semis, Interrnet, stocks, etc., dig ? 'nuff said....they also showed another article/chart showing how, while "mid-caps/old econ. stocks" had underperformed from 1994 to 1999, they outperformed so far 2000, as I predicted....and, as usual, the same people who loved Techs at tiop, and hated depresseds at lows, now love the high ones, and hate the alread-down ones....the pattern never changes....too late already, as usual....if they had wanted to truly help, they would have shorted Techs into parabolas, right ? ....2) they also had another box/chart, saying, "the supposed cushoining effect of diversifying into Foreign stocks, is called into question", as those stocks have also underperformed, as I also predicted, when I was on TV, at/from their highs in 1994....next....

3) L.A.T. front-page scared-at-the-bottom-after-drops-not-predicted article, "Markets are desparate for 4th quater rally", says it all....remember, such rallies are quite normal hisotircally....saying, after drops, most M.Funds will not want to hand investors cap. gains distributions for ty 2000, when, in fact, they have unrealized bigger losses, dig ? (I reported on this recently herein), so, most Funds likely sold tons of Techs near lows....hah, hah....and people still pile tons of money into them, when they can outperform with more control, in individual issues....oy.... 4) then, L.A.T. 10/15, Walter (dont getme started) Hamilton big article, with stock list, as "Time to Buy - at least for a Trade ?" , listed a ton of busted Tech. stocks, like, LU @ 33+ (now 21), YHOO @ 81+ (now 50+), AOL 59+ (now 40, then 45), VRSN 188 to 157, CSCO 56 to 49, VZ 50 to 45, T @ 27+ (now 24), MSFT (55+ (now 50), AMAT 54 to 48, INTC 40 to 35, NOK 37+ to 30+, EBAY (59 to 50 to 60), etc., were already down more, VERY, VERY quickly....I cannot express my upset with these jerks, as you are aware....while I languish undeservedly....

5) it never changes: recent BW mag. article, titled, "Play ing the Oil Patch", is a little late, ay ? and, same issue big article,, "Cloning Money - Biotech shines even in a weak market", is also near a double-top, ay ? they only like them after big rises, as usual....how many times have I mentioned THAT herein ? and, contraily, same issue BW, a big slam-piece (near low, get it ?) titled, "Lucent: a large battleship with gaping holes", as usual, the same Mag. that loved it at highs, now hates at lows....the pattern never changes, ay ?

c) more incorrect/misleading/sensationalized, and/or improper comments, from Fundamentalists/Companies, newspapers/magazines, etc., vs. illogical/Contrary/Unlinkable, past/present/future stock price moves:
1) more confirming sentiment: recent L.A.T. front-page editorial, "the Dream American Economy", saying, recent 'exuberant' economy nothing new for USA, no big deal....which, itself, is worrisome at this stage, yes, contrarily ? also, this "still-longest-running 112-mo.-long rise of our econ., shows no sign of slowing"....So, watch for the end in here, ay ? we shall see.... 2) found a BW mag. dated Feb. 2000, with big artiocle titled, "Apple Mac hits another home run" - uh, as I mentioned herein at that time, its stock around 60, rose a little - then collapsed to 20 recently, yes ? see ? the pattern rarely changes !

d) more, likely late, incorrect, and/or misleading, comments, from Brokerage firms, NL writers, Analysts, economists, Money Managers, etc.:
1) idiot analysts Fri. CNBC 11:15, were actually now talking negatively about Semi. Ind., warning of, get this, "excess capacity" ! of course, they never warned anyone at the top, before big recent drops in stocks, right ? the pattern naver changes....meanwhile, they still love, CY, PMCS, IDTI, ADI....wonder what their actual L.T.T.R.'s have been on their stocks.... 2) a fairly sharp guy CNBC Fri., 12:31, Kevin , pointed out that, also in 1997, 98, 99, and, now, bottoms in Oct., and pos. divergences in new low numbers, as S.T. bottom positives from here,

e) more general items proving why one should probably ignore 95 % of everything else out there:
1) you know I detest most things politcal, but articles about recent useage of "U.S. Petroleum reserves" was a 'slick' ploy for Gore, supposedly, ay ? ...2) editorial, L.A.T. 10/9, "The Not-rich are getting Not-risher", mentioned what I have been saying for years: that the schism/gap between the haves and have-nots is wideining, even into this supposed 'boom'....incomes of those over $ 121,000 (the top 1 %) rose 31 %, between 1995 and 1999....compared to the 3.4 % rise in incomes of the other 90 % of tax-return filers....and that 72 % of all capital gains went to people with incomes over $ 200,000....and that the avg. after-tax income FELL for the bottom 40 % of all taxpayers, ouch....and that the 'your taxes at work' census recently undertaken, left out any measure of capital-gains questions....and, of course, 44 mm people still do not have health insurance....amazing, huh....your Govt. at work, don't get me started....

So, as you have seen, for years now, how well one does, often, just "doing" the best 'individual' stocks, and rotating Ind. Groups, chart-technically, and sentiment-wise, mostly long-side, while ignoring, or going contrary to, 95 % of all Media messages, and "indexes/averages" comments, from the peanut gallery ? By just getting my output, alone, you do much better, and save time, by not having to even try to "seek, and process" tons of other, useless fundamental info., anyway....and we also help remove potential emotional problems for you, before they begin....

3) Most recent Hypothetical "PSYCLE sm" transactions, to be mimicked, and referred back to:

Always remember to view "1-year-at-least past" charts of everything you can view, herein, along with their 200 day moving averages (DMA's), to "see/learn" the "PSYCLE patterns", and see where/when stocks in section (3) were Hypothetically bought near lows, and put near highs....all % percentage 'Gains' are just logical ESTIMATES for L.T., ITM options, where exist, and/or on Margin, where no options exist....