1) "PSYCLE SENSE sm": new:
3) Most recent Hypothetical
"PSYCLE sm" transactions, to be mimicked, and referred back to:
4) Already given out in previous NL's,
assumed Hypothetical "Long-side" positions:
7) other, still Extended/potentially
Toppy, "Puttables", near recent Highs Only, for potential Price Drops, using,
Only, L.T., in-the-money Puts Only, Always Diversified, w/stops if patterns abort
to the upside, for potential drops towards their 200 DMA's, at least:
a) Important Industry Group
(Rotation) notes:
1) as expected, Oil Service stocks, reporting earnings Today, Tue., all down more, off S.T. rolling tops, I was first/only to have predicted, yes ? and you missed tham again ? ....2) and, the T-bond hit higher, 102. Monday, B4 pulling back.... 3) also notice continued relative predicted-here-first strength in Railroad stocks again.... 4) and still watching soem Biotechs longside....
b) more, misleading, sensationalized, Late, and/or
improper/incorrect comments from the Financial Media, Reporters, etc.:
1) all day Tues., CNBC reported, "paper stocks, on a roll", bouncing....oy.... 2) recall when I mentioned herein, that the analysts sais, that "HMO stocks always rise early each year, then fade the second half of each year " ? well, Thu., CNBC, 8 am, Pisani mentioned how "they continue stronger as expected...." Interesting, huh....and they get paid for such drivel and deception....meanwhile, very late/high, as usual, CNBC interviewed pres. of WLP and OXHP up here....where were they when I liked the Health stocks, way lower, herein, for you ? the pattern rarely changes....
c) more incorrect/misleading/sensationalized, and/or
improper comments, from Fundamentalists/Companies, newspapers/magazines, etc.,
vs. illogical/Contrary/Unlinkable, past/present/future stock price moves:
1) note more Semis, like NSM, down big, even as they report much higher eps....and, Wed., 8:00 am, the CNBC idiots actually said, "even VERT, which beat the street on eps, is down...." , which is funny and stupid, since VERT stock has RISEN from 20-34 recently....and, NT also beat-the-street eps, and still got whacked big-time....ditto, VRSN, Thu., hah, hah....NO 'links'....next....
d) more, likely late, incorrect, and/or misleading,
comments, from Brokerage firms, NL writers, Analysts, economists, Money Managers,
etc.:
1) The Telecom Analyst NL, now hates COVD, and loves AKAM, so we shall see ....
e) more general items proving why one should probably
ignore 95 % of everything else out there:
1) every month the L.A.T. does a 'financial makeover' for a local person (don;'t getme started), and, their recent couple were age 38 super-yuppies, complaining that they have 'only' been earning $ 300,000 a year, and rising, but have - get this - absolutely NO money, no retirement accounts of any kind, no savings, nothing ! oh, boo-hoo, huh....my friends here in Orange County, Calif., tell me there are tons of similar people out here....is it that way where you live as well ?
So, as you have seen, for years now, how well one does,
often, just "doing" the best 'individual' stocks, and rotating Ind. Groups,
chart-technically, and sentiment-wise, mostly long-side, while ignoring, or going
contrary to, 95 % of all Media messages, and "indexes/averages" comments, from
the peanut gallery ? By just getting my output, alone, you do much better, and
save time, by not having to even try to "seek, and process" tons of other,
useless fundamental info., anyway....and we also help remove potential emotional
problems for you, before they begin....
Always remember to view
"1-year-at-least past" charts of everything you can view, herein, along with
their 200 day moving averages (DMA's), to "see/learn" the "PSYCLE patterns", and
see where/when stocks in section (3) were Hypothetically bought near lows, and
put near highs....all % percentage 'Gains' are just logical ESTIMATES for L.T.,
ITM options, where exist, and/or on Margin, where no options exist....
"Q" = 'quick', i.e., after
less than a month or so holding, "VQ" = 'very quick', i.e., just a couple of
weeks time, and "VVQ" = 'very very quick', i.e., often after just a few days
since 'bought' herein....and, L.T., means 'long-term', i.e., at least a few
months' time holding period:
all puts AMCC (210 to 130) for VVVQ 150% G....all puts GLW (109 to 69+) for VVVVQ 125% G....all puts EXAR (61 to 42-) for VQ 125% G....bal. calls NITE (26+ to 32) for Q 90% G....bal. calls INTC (35 to 44+) for VVVQ 100% G....bal. puts CPN (103 to 79) for Q 80% G....all puts ENE (90+ to 75+) for VQ 66% G....1/2 pos. calls VOD (34+ to 41-) for VVQ 80% G....bal. calls CCU (45 to 56-) for VVQ % G....bal. calls NITE (26+ to 32+) for % G....all puts EMC (102+ to 82-) for VQ % G....1/2 pos. puts SFY (41+ to 31++) for VVVQ % G....bal. puts ADRX (90- to 66+) for Q % G....all puts JNPR (240 to 163) for VVVQ % G....1/2 pos. puts FLEX (42 to 32) for VVQ % G....at least 1/2 pos. puts XOI (548 to 508) for VVVQ % G....
and/but, longs, PDG, FFA ?, ASA, K., BYD, AIR, PB, TMG, and, puts, IMPH, SRNA, CHKP, for very quick, very small losses, normally of small overall consequence to a properly diversified L.T. portfolio, except recently perhaps.... which, again, normally presages much better performance forward, yes ?
NOTE: while most of the $ 5. to $ 10. stocks are listed here
as "stocks on margin" ("stk.on.mgn."), if one Had bought L.T., in-the-money calls
options, their % Gains/Losses would have been multiplied, higher, right ? We
prefer not to buy Calls on most stocks under $ 10., unless their patterns are
phenomenal, as their options premiums tend to be too high, vs. buying those
stocks on Margin, with close stops, where suitable, instead, with less arithmetic
risk, and yet, similar reward potential--- stocks themselves have no "premium",
right ? and, of course, if one just bought said longs for cash, and not on
margin, the % Gains/Losses here would be relatively smaller, though still
excellent, for such short holding periods, yes ? also, obviously, these
"hypothetical transactions" are always listed, from biggest % Gains, to smallest,
then all losses....
(either for Cash, especially in Pensions,
and/or on Margin where suitable, and/or Only L.T., in-the-money Options, where
suitable/available, always Diversifying, always with close Stops below/above
recent lows/highs):
BKC ny, 1/2 pos. DDR @ 12, 1/2 pos. DLTK ?, 1/2 pos. FCM @ 0.625 ?, 1/2 pos. GENE @ 14, 1/2 pos. GLGC @ 20-, IFMX @ 3 3/4, 1/2 pos. LGTO @ 9+ ?, LNUX @ 27, 1/2 pos. MDS @ 14-, MWY @ 6 1/4, 1/2 pos. NSC @ 12+, REV @ 6.06, 1/2 pos. SKS @ 9-, SOL @ 4,
"Repeats": (some of these are/were '1/2 size positions): AAI. @ 4, AAPL @ 19, ADIC @ 11++, AII. @ 8, AM @ 16++, AN @ 5 3/4, BGO @ 0.405, BGP @ 13-, BKS @ 17-, BNP @ 8, CIT @ 13+, CN @ 4, CSCQ @ 3+, CRDS @ 5++, DG @ 15, DL @ 10, DPH @ 14-, ENN @ 6+, FFA no ?, FMT @ 3 3/16, GLT @ 10, GRA @ 3 3/8, HDG @ 1.00, HLIT @ 11-, IHK @ 1-, LBRT @ 20, LU @ 20+, MDS @ 13++, MOT @ 20++, OCN @ 5.47, ORB @ 7 3/4, PAP @ 1.15, PGA @ 2.43, PKS @ 14+, STEI. @ 2-, USU @ 4 1/8, VIXL @ 4 1/2, WH @ 11...."buy (only) low", right ?
** Important: took, NNN, ROH, MLS, TMPW, ARJ, DRTN, DCX, Off the pot. Long Buys list, before they might have been Hypothetically "bt."....we do Not "Guess" at bottoms....or tops....
(new ones): 1/2 pos. AMCC @ 217, AZA @ 86+, 1/2 pos. DDIC @ 45-, 1/2 pos. ESRX @ 78, EXPD @ 48++, 1/2 pos. FLEX @ 43-, 1/2 pos. GLW @ 109, IPL @ 23+, 1/2 pos. IVX @ 47+, 1/2 pos. MMCN @ 133+, 1/2 pos. MTG @ 64-, 1/2 pos. PWER @ 88, 1/2 pos. SANM @ 119, 1/2 pos. VRTX @ 96+, and the "XOI" amex.oil.index @ 540,
"Repeats": (some are/were '1/2 pos.') COGN @ 43-, EMC @ 100, EXAR @ 59, ITWO @ 190+, JNPR @ 240+, KMI. @ 40-, NBL @ 42-, OAT @ 79++, PNK @ 22+,
and/but, took, 'anything already way down', and, LH, MANH, SUNW, PE, UCM, Off the pot. Puts list, before "put", as they aborted their patterns immediately (also see recent past issues taken off, here)....remember, any new highs = off the Puts list....so VIEW their charts, to see what 'aborted Puts patterns' look like, for YOUR lifetime benefit....also, obviously, where they have fallen nicely, many of these were 'just missed' herein as well, right ?
*** and/but, among stocks recently given you herein, in sections (6) and (7)
below, we "just Missed", AFFX, MCOM, NCI, NSI, REY, SRM, CEL, HON, BTY, FBR, TSG, NWK, USB, HTV, CCL, PGA, SKS, BOW, NCX, EWB, BTC, CBE, ANAD, as Longs/Buys near very recent lows, and, SUPX, FCEL, ASGN, POG, DGX, UNT, GUC, SUNW, PLXS, MCDT, BRCM, as Puts/Shorts, near recent highs....Every single stock ever listed here over past NL's was specifically given you herein, in sec. (6) or (7), previously, and you very likely could still have caught them, if you took the time to view their charts....More proof of the power of "PSYCLE sm" patterns....again, just because I honestly admit to "missing" some, which DO work anyway, that I give you herein, does not mean YOU have to miss those same stocks....if you do just a little work, YOU may certainly catch ones, which I may happen to just miss, herein ....making you money, in both directions, most of the time, yes ?
(issues moving since last time, worthy of following-up, and/or
mentioning, because of recent price moves, still remaining long in most all of
them, unless otherwise noted):
**** note: (sos) means "Sell On Strength" (i.e., on
a bounce up towards resistance, and/or where it broke down from)....("S") means
Sell it here (if still right at/near the listed price level).
acting a.o.k., or strong(er):
still giving you plenty more nice, mostly Tech. Winners/Risers....CA 31 up 7 1/2, IHK 1.31 up 0.31, PGA 3.06 up 0.69, CIT 16.37 up 1.81, GLGC 23 7/8 up 4 1/8, VIXL 6.06 up 1.91, CVD 9 1/8 up 1 5/8, DLX 22 1/4 up 1 7/8, ODP 7.50 up 1.25, GIGA 8.56 up 0.75, FILE 26 up 3.37, UNP 38 7/8, 43 1/2, LEA 24.81 up 3, GENE 15 5/8 up 1 5/8, AAPL 20.56 up 1.69, PRGN 24 up 2,
more: LNUX 29 up 2, INTC 47 up 2 3/4, DL 10.81 up 0.87, NSC 13.06 up 0.87, UB 20 up 1 3/4, CPB 28.68 up 2.37, MSTR 27.43 up 1.62, PKS 14.93, INTC 45, LBRT 26 1/4, VOD 41 3/4, UIS 12.56 up 0.87, MOT 24 1/2, WH 12.18, N. 15 1/4, IIT 7 7/8, IFMX 4, CSX 23 1/8, BWL/A 8 3/8, higher, since last time here....and the March T-bond hit 102, higher still....and, HNCS 20, HRC 13-, FFD 13, WIN 17+, even higher still....and, BGP, hit its 200 DMA....
and/but, then, seeing Many pullbacks,
and more bounces after pullbacks:
MSTR 21, 27+, 24+, VIXL 4 1/2, NITE 30 1/2, 32 1/2 (S), BKS 18.43 up 1 3/4, LU 23 1/2, 20 1/2, USU 4 1/2, GIGA 7 1/8, 6 1/4, 7, NTLI. (NLI) 42 5/8, 40, 44, 39, PRGN 22 1/2, 23 3/4, 21 1/2, F. 23 5/8, 24 1/2, AM, CSCQ, OHI, ADIC 11 5/8, USB 21.56, PMTC 12 5/8 up 1, CCU 50-, 56 (S), AFWY 15 7/8, JWN, EMA, ORB 7 3/4, LBRT 20.18, CRDS 7.18, 6, 6.81, 5.62, VOD 39-, GY, CN, MLG, HA, DL 10.06, ALI. 2, 2 1/4, MOT, GRA 3 3/8, BGP 13.06, CVD 7 3/8, 8.68, BKS 17 7/8 up 1 1/4, OHI, HCM, VGZ....some of these are also in "ms/sos" list below, and, those must strengthen or else....
and/but, these
already assumed Longs, are acting weaker S.T., and/or must strengthen, and/or
must strengthen "again/anew", and/or must "break above recent high or else",
and/or are sales on strength ("sos") to/towards/near resistance:
(note, some of these are also in "pb" list above
....obviously, any stock near its lows, or close to breaking, "must strengthen"
or else, yes ?) CHINA 10.93 up 1.12, AAPL 18-, MRCH 12 1/2,14 5/8, 4 3/4 (unbelieveable, this kind of additional drop never happened 2 me B4), CMH, FMT, INTC 45+, IHK 0.93, HLIT 12, RAD 2.43, LBRT 19 7/8, STEI, FFA, PMTC, MLG, AM, CN, DL, ASL, AU, BTO....
5) Already given out in
previous NL's, assumed Hypothetically long "Puts" positions:
(issues moving since last time, worthy of
following-up, still remaining long in these Puts, unless otherwise noted):
check their patterns out:
lots more nice drops for you: JNPR -89, AMCC -92 (S), MMCN -45, GLW -32 (S), ITWO -22, +6, -25, SANM -29, MMCN -18, EXAR -17 (S), PWER -13, SFY -10 (sow), DDIC -10, EMC -4, +10, -13 (S), FLEX -11, VRTX -9 1/2, AZA -8, PWER -8, JNJ -6 1/2, NVDA -5 1/2 (S), RKY +1, -5 1/2, FS -4 1/2 (S), MTG -4, ENE +3, -8 1/2 (S), RKY -4 3/8, EPG -4, ADRX +11, -15 (S), BHI. -5, EXPD -3 1/2, PE -3, IVX -3, DV -2 (S), OAT -2 1/2, ENZN -2 1/2, MTG -2 3/4, TOT -2 1/2, SZA -3 1/4, KMI. -2, SKYW -2, GE -1 1/2 (S), CIN -2, HSY -1, ESRX -1, BXP, CBL -1, IPL -1, the XOI. -39, lower, since last NL here....
and, EXAR, ENE, AMCC, EMC, SUNW, hit or approached their 200 DMA....and, JDSU 62, even lower still....even as MSDW continues to rate it a'buy/hold', from $ 150. yet....no stops for them, ay ?
* But, then, these, are
acting too Strong, and/or are Bouncing, intraday, and/or Must Weaken anew,
nevertheless, and/or are sales on pullbacks/weakness
("sow"):
6) Now--- Here are Other, Fuller lists,
of still-Depressed, Long Buys, near their recent Lows Only, for potential Rises
towards resistance, always Diversified (w/close stops, when/if their basing or
"EVB" patterns break down):
Potential Longs, by Industry Groups, for "Rotation":
some
decent bases here, and many decent EVB's and double-or-triple- bottoms, (but,
again, Not when/if any of these make new lows here, and, NOT if they are already
"up", much, off lows, right ?):
and, these REIT's, most also with big potential Dividends ? (HCN, ENN, CWN, DDR, MLS ?, BNP, BPL, GRT, RAS, TCC, HRP, JDN, AII, ARJ, etc.)
Railroad/Auto/Trans. (BD, AAI, F, DPH, AFWY, AN, NSC, CSX, PX, etc.)
and, ahead, most Cyclicals, "natural resources/precious metals" (USU, BMG, SWC, BGO, CBJ, N, AKS, etc.), Food-related (FFA, WH, IHK, BLM, etc.)
Farm/Land/Fert., Aero./Def. (LEA, ORB), Leisure/Travel/Toys (MAT, CCL, PKS, MWY, TSG), Housing-related, Industry Groups....
and, Online Brokers/Financials (CIT, NITE, FGH, UB, XRX, CNC, SVRN, USB)
and, Commun. (and 'long-distance stocks' ? WCOM, WSTL, WCII, LU, MOT, MWL, FON, CEL, BTY, etc., as EVB's, etc.), and, Chem. (EMN, GRA),
also, Retail (BKS, BGP, DG, ODP, MAY, SKS, JWN, CLE), and some
Health-relateds (SOL, LTC, SRV, GENE, GLGC, PHSY ny)
and, of course, the many 'busted Techs' just below....
We are Also "Watching" --- as potential EVB's, or "basing", or "double"
bottoms", near recent lows ONLY:
*** as S.T., "EVB's": in no particular
order, as a "watching" list: note, most have been on this list for a while,
allowing you ample opportunity to have SEEN their charts, and bought them when/if
suitable, yes ?
added, (in no particular order !): (many depr. Techs getting bounces already, so we do not 'pay up') added, IFMX, LGTO, CBE, FBN, DLX, API, ECO, RCG, FCM, MXR, BKC, CSDS, PLL, EWB, FGH, FBR, IFS, MLS ?, NCI, NWK, NSI, NCX, XLA, BMCS, IIT, PHI, JWL, MU ?, to, AAPL, REV, GRT, VIXL, APN, EMA, DGTC, STSA, WH, MZ, DDR ?, BTC ?, SVI, ADIC, LOJN, CVD, LBRT, PRGN, UIS, ATI, CRDS, DLTK, BTX ?, BAL, PLB, PLUG, LNUX, SQNM, AIB, CTXS, TEC, OBJX, FSW, RBC, JS ?, FBN, PHC, BOW, JBM, MDG, CTO, MAT, DL, AEM, OMI, may well base/EVB/bottom ahead....and/but, not any of these above, when/if they make new lows or break budding bases/patterns ....don't "force" trades....and be sure to do your 'fundamentals' homework on all, especially the lesser-known ones....
'total return potential/yield-plus' section: GTA, ENN, TCC, USU, CWN, BNP, MLS, JDN....
(NOTE: again, if they are already down appreciably from their highs, do NOT
chase them down, wait for bounces):
* add, to,
(repeats) BRCM, SSTI, MTG, BSC, XLNX, DFXI, ELF, IONA, RSYS, CB, IPL, IVX, ESRX, EXPD, FHCC, COF, MMCN, MANU, MANH, PLXS, VRTX, LLTC, FPC, HP, JNJ, NBL, OAT, NE, CIN, GUC, ELN, EPG, HBC, KMI, HDI, PMI, OAT, PHA, SZA, UNT, WAG, MKL, PNK, ADVS, BELM, APWR, CHCS, IMPH, IMGN, NEWP, SKYW, VRTS, OSIP, CGP, AVE, BXP, D, HSY, BRCM, MRX, COGN, MXIM, GLW, MLNM, NMSS, CHKP, BLDP, IWOV, MVSN, EXTR, CBL, APH, PLXS, ARBA, AUDC, from recent past NL's....some Semis declibned to their initial downside levels, already....
**** the Best Puttable Industry Groups: in no particular order, and,
understanding we have already HAD some nice drops: Extended and at least
Semi-parabolic: Brokers, REIT's, Energy and Services (but most are already down, yes ?), Enterprise/software, Electronics, Health/Medical/Drug/Biotech, Food/Bev., Fuel Cell, Computer/Internet/Software/Services, all Semiconductor-related, High-PE Techs, almost all Financial-related I.G.'s, and most all Tele.-Commun., all near their recent Highs ONLY, w/close stops above their patterns highs....this ends our putside-downside follow-ups/ideas section....
VIEW THE CHARTS....SEE where the 200 DMA's are....LEARN THE
PATTERNS/STAGES