1) "PSYCLE SENSE sm": new:
3) Most recent Hypothetical
"PSYCLE sm" transactions, to be mimicked, and referred back to:
4) Already given out in previous NL's,
assumed Hypothetical "Long-side" positions:
7) other, still Extended/potentially
Toppy, "Puttables", near recent Highs Only, for potential Price Drops, using,
Only, L.T., in-the-money Puts Only, Always Diversified, w/stops if patterns abort
to the upside, for potential drops towards their 200 DMA's, at least:
a) Important Industry Group
(Rotation) notes:
1) as usual, I was the first/only to suggest some depr. Steel stocks (and maybe some Copper ? soon), buyable, and, Wed., with 'the market' pulling back (also as predicted herein, Steels are popping, re-read my I.G.R. booklet.... 2) ditto, with Biotechs up, and, maybe Utils., Golds, Energies, again ahead ? as usual, I will have been the first/only to have added them near recent lows, again....
b) more, misleading, sensationalized, Late, and/or
improper/incorrect comments from the Financial Media, Reporters, etc.:
1) I heard way too many 'new bull market' comments, as expected, over the holiday period, so you know what THAT means, even though MY ideas herein will continue to outperform, in both directions....
c) more incorrect/misleading/sensationalized, and/or
improper comments, from Fundamentalists/Companies, newspapers/magazines, etc.,
vs. illogical/Contrary/Unlinkable, past/present/future Economic items, and/or
stock price moves:
1) perfect -- exactly as I have taught for decades, only Mon. 26th, did "the bureau of economic research" (dgms) finally declare the USA has been in a recession - get this - since "6 months B4 sept. 11th"....hey, thanks for nothing, as usual guys....but this is good for MY concept/predictions/stage change, yes ?
d) more, likely late, incorrect, and/or misleading,
comments, from Brokerage firms, NL writers, Analysts, economists, Money Managers,
etc.:
1) Tue. 12:25 on CNBC, a sharp NL guy, Weldon, showed 8-yr. chart of LME copper, showing double-bottom here, and in 1999, around 1.40+, where I add it bullishly, dig ?, was 3.00 in 1994....means, decent bottom for economy probably, as I figured.... 2) and, over last weekend, B. Schaeffer's guys continue to put out bearish technical/indicators....they even missed the 'overshoots' only I predicted from the start herein....but, as you know, I agree with some of his cautious sentiments, up here....
e) more general, political, misreported items proving
why one should probably ignore 95 % of everything else out there:
1) you know how I feel about the whole WTC/Taliban thing, but, Wed., just laughed horridly when I read, "the Taliban are trying to negotiate a surrender, for the benefit of Afgans" (dgms, they have been slaughtering and treating millions terribly for decades), but here's the kicker, they also say, "but they vow to continue their fight to kill everyone in the WQest, forever, fighting to the death if need be"....amazing, huh....and the Media actually publishes such crap...anyway, would be good if they did fight to their deaths, yes ?....
So, as you have seen, for years now, how well one does,
often, just "doing" the best 'individual' stocks, and rotating Ind. Groups,
chart-technically, and sentiment-wise, mostly long-side, while ignoring, or going
contrary to, 95 % of all Media messages, and "indexes/averages" comments, from
the peanut gallery ? By just getting my output, alone, you do much better,
and save time, by not having to even try to "seek, and process" tons of other,
useless fundamental info., anyway....and we also help remove potential emotional
problems for you, before they begin....
Always remember to view
"1-year-at-least past" charts of everything you can view, herein, along with
their 200 day moving averages (DMA's), to "see/learn" the "PSYCLE patterns", and
see where/when stocks in section (3) were Hypothetically bought near lows, and
put near highs....all % percentage 'Gains' are just logical ESTIMATES for L.T.,
ITM options, where exist, and/or on Margin, where no options exist....
"Q" = 'quick', i.e., after
less than a month or so holding, "VQ" = 'very quick', i.e., just a couple of
weeks time, and "VVQ" = 'very very quick', i.e., often after just a few days
since 'bought' herein....and, L.T., means 'long-term', i.e., at least a few
months' time holding period:
still more quick, large % Gains, 6 more new Longs (plus several 'balances'), and, 1 more Puts, wow:
1/2 pos. calls CAL (15+ to 23+) for VVVQ 200% Gain....bal. calls ZQK (10+ to 15+) Q 175% G....1/2 pos. calls X (14 to 17+) for VQ 100% G....all puts ATVI (27 to 22-) for VQ 75% G....1/2 pos. stk.on.mgn. HLIT (7+ to 10+) for VQ 80% G....1/2 pos. stk.on.mgn. IDXC (9+ to 12-) for 50% G ....1/2 pos. stock EMT (2.65 to 4.25) for VQ 60% G.... 1/2 pos. calls DIS (17+ to 21++) for Q 90% G....and, as I suggested last Tuesday, should/could have sold bal. calls CSCO, LIN, LTBG, KLM, NXTL, AES, CPQ, NWAC, GLW, PXLW, AGU, TCP, NT, RBK, RGEN, ENR, UNH, WIN, LU, LWIN, TSN, GT, etc., for many more big Q. longside Gains from recent lows only/first given herein !
and/but, longs, IO, and, puts, UGI, LGND, POSS, for very quick, very small losses, normally of small overall consequence to a properly diversified L.T. portfolio, and, BTY (47+ to 52, to 42), for large calls loss (rare)....all still have plenty of cash to deploy soon....and we always expect some "fobd's" along the way among depressed stocks....
NOTE: while most of the $ 5. to $ 10. stocks are listed here
as "stocks on margin" ("stk.on.mgn."), if one Had bought L.T., in-the-money calls
options, their % Gains/Losses would have been multiplied, higher, right ? We
prefer not to buy Calls on most stocks under $ 10., unless their patterns are
phenomenal, as their options premiums tend to be too high, vs. buying those
stocks on Margin, with close stops, where suitable, instead, with less arithmetic
risk, and yet, similar reward potential--- stocks themselves have no "premium",
right ? and, of course, if one just bought said longs for cash, and not on
margin, the % Gains/Losses here would be relatively smaller, though still
excellent, for such short holding periods, yes ? also, obviously, these
"hypothetical transactions" are always listed, from biggest % Gains, to smallest,
then all losses....
(either for Cash, especially in Pensions,
and/or on Margin where suitable, and/or Only L.T., in-the-money Options, where
suitable/available, always Diversifying, always with close Stops below/above
recent lows/highs):
1/2 pos. DPL @ 23+, 1/2 pos. REI. @ 26+, 1/2 pos. TE @ 26+, 1/2 pos. TEO @ 6+, 1/2 pos. CEI @ 17+, 1/2 pos. SNV @ 24, 1/3 pos. FNV @ 0.87 ?, KERX @ 5, 1/2 pos. SWC @ 15, 1/2 pos. DCEL @ 9++, 1/2 pos. MICC @ 9 1/8,
"Repeats": (some of these are/were '1/2 size positions):
1/2 pos. NR @ 6, 1/2 pos. PGO @ 5, 1/2 pos. UCR @ 7+, the DJ. Util. Avg. @ 285, 1/2 pos. PHI. @ 7, ACLA @ 4 1/2, 1/3 pos. ABY @ 6+, 1/2 pos. KEYN @ 7+, ORG @ 4+, 1/3 pos. CVAS @ 5+, 1/2 pos. NTK @ 20+, 1/3 pos. PRM @ 2, FSII. @ 7.11, LOR @ 1.21, 1/2 pos. TRID @ 4+, 1/3 more pos. KFY @ 7.1, TORC @ 4.80, FORR @ 16+, 1/3 pos. CHRS @ 4.55, 1/3 pos. RRC @ 4, TG @ 16+, AVGN @ 9+, 1/3 pos. CTHR @ 0.90, 1/2 pos. PCTI @ 6++, TCC @ 9+, 1/4 pos. VGZ @ 0.075, VRA @ 1.2, TIE no, UTHR @ 9-.... "buy (only) low", right ?
** Important: took, LHO, Off the pot. Long Buys list, before they might have been Hypothetically "bt."....we do Not "Guess" at bottoms, nor tops....and, most 'missed' ideas just below, were also 'removed', to keep immediate potential Buy lists smaller for you....
i try
to give them alphabetically by symbol:
(new ones): 1/2 pos. ABT @ 54+, 1/2 pos. ICBC @ 24+, 1/2 pos. QQQ @ 40,
FTN soon ?,
"Repeats": RMD @ 60-, 1/2 pos. DRI. @ 32+, 1/2 pos. UDR @ 14+, SYK @ 59, ASBC @ 36, DF @ 46+, 1/2 pos. APU @ 24, GNCMA @ 12, 1/2 pos. PDCO @ 38-, 1/2 pos. MAA @ 26, MATR @ 25+, RWT @ 25, 1/2 pos. NHP @ 21-, 1/2 pos. SPH @ 28-, 1/2 pos. PHC @ 35, AMG @ 69++, FBC @ 25-, JCI. @ 81+, 1/2 pos. DL @ 18-, 1/2 pos. CEFT @ 29, 1/2 pos. IBM @ 116+ ?, 1/2 pos. GCI. @ 69++, 1/2 pos. ICBC @ 24+, 1/2 pos. FISV @ 41, 1/2 pos. NMTC @ 27-, 1/2 pos. RYL @ 62+, 1/2 pos. KRI. @ 62, 1/2 pos. MCHP @ 38-, 1/2 pos. CBH @ 75,
and/but, took, 'anything already way down', and, SLM ?,
and the 'just missed' ones just below here, Off the pot. Puts list, before
"put", as they aborted their patterns immediately (also see recent past issues
taken off, here)....remember, any new highs = off the Puts list (although expect
some "fobo's"....so VIEW their charts, to see what 'aborted Puts patterns' look
like, for YOUR lifetime benefit....also, obviously, where they have fallen
nicely, many of these were 'just missed' herein as well, right ?
*** and/but, among stocks recently specifically given you herein, in
sections (6) and (7) below, we "just Missed", DTPI, CSGS, FTUS, LBRT, PCH, XRX, CTLM, ALN, as Longs/Buys near very recent lows, and, , as Puts/Shorts, near recent highs....Every single stock ever listed here over past NL's was specifically given you herein, in sec. (6) or (7), previously, and you very likely could still have caught them, if you took the time to view their charts....More proof of the power of "PSYCLE sm" patterns.... again, just because I honestly admit to "missing" some, which DO work anyway, that I give you herein, does not mean YOU have to miss those same stocks....if you do just a little work, YOU may certainly catch ones, which I may happen to just miss, herein....making you money, in both directions, most of the time, while hopefully stopping losses smallishly....
(issues moving since last time, worthy of following-up, and/or
mentioning, because of recent price moves, still remaining long in most all of
them, unless otherwise noted):
**** note: (sos) means "Sell On Strength" (i.e., on
a bounce up towards resistance, and/or where it broke down from)....("S") means
Sell it here (if still right at/near the listed price level).
acting a.o.k., or strong(er) :
be
sure to VIEW charts of all the big winners lately from last few NL's, to learn
the pattern:
ORG 5.50 up 1.30 nice, EMT 4.35 up 0.65, MICC 10.34 up 1.29, ANEN 18+ up 2+, STLD 11.39 up 1.19, CCBL 9.05 up 1.50, X. 17.50 up 2.60, PGO 5.70 up 0.70, UCR 8.75 up 1.05, HLIT 10.77 up 1.28, TEO 6.79 up 0.68, XOMA 8.89 up 0.85, PHI. 7.50 up 0.60, CAL 23.74 up 2.22 (sos), AVGN 10.00 up 0.70, WWF 12.49 up 0.49, CVAS 5.80, PXLW 16.50 (sos), ZQK 15.64 (S), FMC 53.16 up 1, UHS 44 1/4, F. 18.35, NR 6.80, SNV up, DJ. Util. Avg. 290 up 5, WIN 14.99, CASY 13.22, DY 16., up/higher since last NL here....and, VIRL 14+, ALA, AAPL 21+, AMZN 11-, PROX 12+, rose even higher still....while, AGU, approached/hit their 200 DMA....
and/but, then, seeing Many pullbacks,
and/or more Bounces after pullbacks:
and, almost every stock out there, dig ? AVGN, AVX, FAF, CLTK 13- dn, WCOM up, LOR, CCRT, ACPW 5.78, MODT, STXN 7+ up, BLS 39.22, HMT 8.30, FMC 51.50, HLIT 9.90 pb, UTHR 9.02 dn, then 6.42, CVAS 5.46, CLRS 3.90, IFC 16.10 pb....some of these are also in the "ms/sos" list below, and, those must strengthen or else....
and/but, these
already assumed Longs, are acting weaker S.T., and/or must strengthen, and/or
must strengthen "again/anew", and/or must "break above recent high or else",
and/or are sales on strength ("sos") to/towards/near resistance:
(note, some of these are also in "pb" list above
....obviously, any stock near its lows, or close to breaking, "must strengthen"
or else, yes ?)
AVGN, CSCO dt ?, ENTG pb, TTEC, MOT, ACLA 4.44 (B), 4.98, TIE, KEYN, RADS, LNUX, EMC, KANA, VGZ, HOT, DY, WFII, FSII, NWAC, AOL 38, IDXC, TORC 4.77, COHU, CLTK, IFC, CHINA, DTPI, STXN, LWIN, X, NXTL, JNIC, ATMI, UAL 17 up (sos), NT, TORC, TCC, FORR, VSH, and most all Techs and rallied stocks, and those listed in sec. (3) last time above, must follow-through up further.... above their bases and resistance highs of this week....
5) Already given out in
previous NL's, assumed Hypothetically long "Puts" positions:
(issues moving since last time, worthy of
following-up, still remaining long in these Puts, unless otherwise noted):
check
their patterns out to learn:
ATVI. -6 (S), QQQ -1 1/2, NDC -1 (sow), IART -1 (sow), ICBC, media stocks, lower, some further, since last NL here....
* But, then, these, are
acting too Strong, and/or are Bouncing, intraday, and/or Must Weaken anew,
nevertheless, and/or are sales on pullbacks/weakness
("sow"):
6) Now--- Here are Other, Fuller lists,
of still-Depressed, Long Buys, near their recent Lows Only, for potential Rises
towards resistance, always Diversified (w/close stops, when/if their basing or
"EVB" patterns break down):
Potential Longs, by Industry Groups, for "Rotation":
some
decent bases here, and many decent EVB's and double-bottoms, (but, again, Not
when/if any of these make new lows here, and, NOT if they are already "up", much,
off lows, right ?
some Depressed:
Utilities, Entertainment/Leisure, Retail/Apparel, Cable, Brokers, Agriculture-oriented, Golds, Telecom, Steel, to, Depressed Telecom/Wireless, Biotech, Health-related, Chem./Farm/Fert., alternative Energy, Ind. Groups...and, the 'defensive index' is improving as well....and, more Foreign Closed-End M. Funds at bigger discounts soon ? hmmmm....
*** and, of course, many depr. Techs, Semis, data storage, internet, software, memory, computer - relateds, below, and soon....ONLY near lows, as always....
We are Also "Watching" --- as potential EVB's, or "basing", or "double"
bottoms", near recent lows ONLY:
*** as S.T., "EVB's": in no particular
order, as a "watching" list: note, most have been on this list for a while,
allowing you ample opportunity to have SEEN their charts, and bought them when/if
suitable, yes ?
added, (in no particular order !): (be sure thay have not popped up too
much too fast recently, already, before you buy, and, note I took some off list
already),
understand, some of these stil need more work/pullbacks....this list
will be revised over each weekend....
added even more: but, note,
obviously, I removed a bunch, and some others are already up, as well (and many
others previously given from lows, remain buys on big pullbacks, also note,
re-added some previously whipsawed ones):
added, (note, we removed a bunch, and some may break today, Fri., after this
NL out)
but look at all the new ones - you know what THIS usually means (read
sec. (1) above), added these:
ABX, CEI, BR, CPN, DUK, HAL, KM, NEM ?, PDE, USB, APW, SLR, DPL, FNV, PDS, SWC, SRP, SRR opb, CORR ?, CALP, CSGS, CPST, DCEL, LBRT, INHL ?, MICC, NNDS ?, NTBK, PFGI, VRSN, SNDK, INET ?, KERX, HBIO, to, the DJ. Util. Avg., AFL, GX ?, ICN, DPL, REI, PGO, TEO, UCR, TE, ECLP, HGMCY, VLCCF, PROX, SCOR, UTEK, WFII, to, KEYN, ALL, ABY, ZIXI, BCGI, SBGI, NTK, TFS, SGR, CNH, PRM ?, TCC, LOR, as EVB's or bases....
and, some Energy/Alt./Svcs. again as EVB's: FCEL, RRC, ENER, TORC, ACPW, REI, RRI. opbo, NE, and some just added above,etc.
some Biotechs ? ACLA ?, AVGN, UTHR, CVAS,
among Telecom-Net-Commun.-orienteds: PACW, FON, CLRS, T, TIE ?, WFII,
among Semi.-orienteds: PSEM, TRID, FSII,
computer-storage-software-orienteds: PCTI, RVST,
retail/apparel: CASY, CTHR, CHRS, GPS,
health-realteds: SGP, SCOR, ICN,
and/but, not any of these above, when/if they make new lows or break budding
bases/patterns....don't "force" trades....and be sure to do your 'fundamentals'
homework on all, especially the lesser-known/cheaper ones....
(NOTE: again, if they are already down appreciably from their highs, do NOT
chase them down, wait for bounces):
* added, to, QQQ, PCSA, CERN, ICBC, MSCC, COST, ABT, BBY, DL, BAC, FO, GPC, IFF, JCI, PSA, PGR ?, ACV, IBC ?, ITT, IBM, GCI, GPC, FBC, DBD no, to, FNM, CEFT, FISV ?, IMCL ?, KMX, CBH, FTN ?, STW ?, SLM no ?, TXU, WRI, RWT, RYL, ISIL, NMTC, MRCY, MCHP, SKYF, RGIS, ROST, RESP, MI, to, AMG, DF, COO, NDC, RMD, SYK, UDR, DRI, BCS, APU ?, AMN, IART, FDC, RWT, TOO, HUB.B, APPB, MATR, MATR, PDCO, FDO ?, FBC, JEF ?, SPH, NHP no ?, MAA, RJR, ACDO, ATRX, ENZN, LIZ, BBY, STU, ITT, CHD ?, from recent past NL's....
**** the Best Puttable Industry Groups: in no particular order, and/but,
understanding we have already HAD some real nice drops: Extended: Comp./S'w/Educ. co's., Pollution-related, Aero./Def., Funeral, "Medical-outpatient-home-care", "commercial services', 'mobile homes',
Disc. Retail Chains, Insur. brokers/Bank/Mtg./Loans, Construction/Electrical, Health/Medical/Drug/Dental/Biotech, Commercial Services, all types of Media, Apparel, Tobacco, Food, Retail, Elec., Security, and some High-PE Techs, all near their recent Highs ONLY, w/close stops above their patterns highs....this ends putside-downside follow-ups/ideas section....
VIEW THE CHARTS....SEE where the 200 DMA's are....LEARN THE
PATTERNS/STAGES