1) "PSYCLE SENSE sm": new:
3) Most recent Hypothetical
"PSYCLE sm" transactions, to be mimicked, and referred back to:
4) Already given out in previous NL's,
assumed Hypothetical "Long-side" positions:
7) other, still Extended/potentially
Toppy, "Puttables", near recent Highs Only, for potential Price Drops, using,
Only, L.T., in-the-money Puts Only, Always Diversified, w/stops if patterns abort
to the upside, for potential drops towards their 200 DMA's, at least:
a) Important Industry Group
(Rotation) notes:
1) gold's recent high was in 1996 around $ 416.70, just fyi... 2) proud of my here-only pick of THC, with all the doomers, dig ?, you're welcome.... 3) ditto, with being the first/only to call the NIkkei s.t. top recently herein recall, already down from 11,500 to 9.5000, neat, huh....you learning the patterns ?, if not, why not ? ....4) while a bit weaker lately, some of my OIl Svc. stks. still look buyable near lows, close stops....and, Tue. already, I once again am proven correct, you're welcome... 5) enuf REITs are extended, to suggest puttability as an I.G. ....6) the nyse "dfenesuive index' still looks puttable as well....you know, foods, consumer stuff, etc.
b) more, misleading, sensationalized, Late, and/or
improper/incorrect comments from the Financial Media, Reporters, Govt.,
etc.:
1) only now did the often-late-high-bullish B.,S. write, "the semis cont. to get pounded by bad sentiment, yet the SOX remains strong, ready to springboard again"....useless, as usual ...nonsense....hey, man, find some I.G. near its lows, just once, and maybe I';ll stop succe4ssfully fading your output, dig ?
c) more incorrect/misleading/sensationalized, and/or
improper comments, from Fundamentalists/Companies, newspapers/magazines, etc.,
vs. illogical/Contrary/Unlinkable, past/present/future Economic items, and/or
stock price moves:
1) huge recent tomes about "Calif. exports rising, mostly due to selling stuff China needs/ordered....first rise in 3 years, etc." - well, good....as i predicted Calif.'s bottom as well herein, yes ? ....2) exactly as only I first predicted herein, noting real, continuing increase in 'housing starts', INCREASING SUPPLY, while prices level off, get it ? you know what normally happens next to PRICES, yes ?
d) more, likely late, incorrect, and/or misleading,
comments, from Brokerage firms, NL writers, Analysts, economists, Money Managers,
etc.:
1) ...
e) more general, political, misreported items proving
why one should probably ignore 95 % of everything else out there:
1) ....
So, as you have seen, for years now, how well one does,
often, just "doing" the best 'individual' stocks, and rotating Ind. Groups,
chart-technically, and sentiment-wise, mostly long-side, while ignoring, or going
contrary to, 95 % of all Media messages, and "indexes/averages" comments, from
the peanut gallery ? By just getting my output, alone, you do much
better, and save time, by not having to even try to "seek, and process" tons of
other, useless fundamental info., anyway....and we also help remove potential
emotional decision-making problems for you, before they begin....
Always remember to view
"1-year-at-least past" charts of everything you can view, herein, along with
their 200 day moving averages (DMA's), to "see/learn" the "PSYCLE patterns", and
see where/when stocks in section (3) were Hypothetically bought near lows, and
put near highs....all % percentage 'Gains' are just logical ESTIMATES for L.T.,
ITM options, where exist, and/or on Margin, where no options exist....
"Q" = 'quick', i.e., after
less than a month or so holding, "VQ" = 'very quick', i.e., just a couple of
weeks time, and "VVQ" = 'very very quick', i.e., often after just a few days
since 'bought' herein....and, L.T., means 'long-term', i.e., at least a few
months' time holding period:
still more quick, large % Gains:
2 more Longs, neat....
and,
3 more Puts:
as you have always done, please read them carefully and VIEW their charts
carefully, to learn patterns
note, from now on, "s.o.m.", means, 'stock bt. on margin" (hypothetically)
bal. s.o.m. TTEC (3++ to 10+) for l.t. % Gain....1/2 pos. RCL (31+ to 27+) for Q % G....1/2 pos. puts WHR (73 to 66) for Q % G....1/2 pos. puts DST (40 to 36) for Q % G....bal. puts CTL , bal. puts PSUN ?, 1/2 pos. s.o.m. VC (6 to 8-) for l.t. % G....bal. s.o.m. MRN (7. to 9++ ), ....1/2 pos.s.o.m. VC (6- to 8+) for l.t. % G....
and/but, longs, AIV fobd ?, CVTX fobd, and, , puts, IVX, for very quick, very small losses, normally of small overall consequence to a properly diversified L.T. portfolio ....but longside a bit upsetting, rare, as U know....and always presages a better period, yes ? are you learning ? if not, why not ?
NOTE: while most of the $ 5. to $ 10. stocks are listed here
as "stocks on margin" ("stk.on.mgn."), if one Had bought L.T., in-the-money calls
options, their % Gains/Losses would have been multiplied, higher, right ? We
prefer not to buy Calls on most stocks under $ 10., unless their patterns are
phenomenal, as their options premiums tend to be too high, vs. buying those
stocks on Margin, with close stops, where suitable, instead, with less arithmetic
risk, and yet, similar reward potential--- stocks themselves have no "premium",
right ? and, of course, if one just bought said longs for cash, and not
on margin, the % Gains/Losses here would be relatively smaller, though still
excellent, for such short holding periods, yes ? also, obviously, these
"hypothetical transactions" are always listed, from biggest % Gains, to smallest,
then all losses....
(either for Cash, especially in Pensions,
and/or on Margin where suitable, and/or Only L.T., in-the-money Options, where
suitable/available, always Diversifying, always with close Stops below/above
recent lows/highs):
again, "just get real close" to
suggested prices:
1/2 pos. MCH @ 9+, 1/2 pos. HMN @ , 1/3 pos. DRD @ 13+ eh, 1/3 pos. SGI. @ 1.00+ eh, 1/2 pos. LFP @ 0.36, 1/3 pos. AWE 9 3/4 % recons @ 99, MAT @ 18++, AIV @ 33+ fobd ?, EP 18.25 % recons,
MCEM @ 18-, LFP opbos, 1/3 pos. ENZN @ 10++, OIH @ 53++, 1/3 pos. ALOY @ 4+, and a super-spec ISYN @ 0.011, PYX @ 5 7/8, 1/4 pos. IOM @ 5+ eh, lto, no ?, CVTX fobd @ 16.00,
"Repeats": (some of these are/were '1/2 size positions'): PTGC @ 0.155, HPI. @ 24+ eh, 1/3 pos. ZF @ 4.66, NOI. @ 18, 1/3 pos. NLY @ 15+, RIG @ 18+.... and, of course, tons previous here, after they pb, again, yes ? "buy (only) low", right ?,
remember, near major market turns/bottoms, you have been taught many times,
to "stick around and give stocks a bit more leeway, as to 'fobd's', etc.,
continuing to stay in, diversify more, allow for more risk, etc.", yes ? hence
the questions about 'fobd's', and buys that say 'fobd', right ? but some normal,
usual, QSL's still occur and are accepted along the way with no emotion nor
incompleting trading my way, right ? you're welcome....
*** Important: took, , and a few from the 'just missed' list below, Off the pot. Long Buys list, before they might have been Hypothetically "bt."....we do Not "Guess" at bottoms, nor tops....and, most 'missed' ideas just below, were also 'removed', to keep immediate potential Buy lists smaller for you....
PXD soon ?, UHS ? ny, ACL @ 58 ??, ANPI. @ 49 ?, LEH @ 75-, KMRT @ 30,
HCC no, STK @ 27, CHS @ 38+, WAT @ 31, ALA no, ny, heating-oil @ 0.87+, PKE @ 25-, ATYT ny, VSTA @ 36+,
added to, ICST @ 35-, UOPX @ 74-, JPM @ 36+, MHK @ 75, 1/2 pos. SLVN @ 31-, ANSI. @ 42- eh, 1/3 pos. TTWO @ 40+, DNA @ 85, ISIL osa, WMAR @ 24-,
1/2 pos. BK @ 32, 1/2 pos. FDRY @ 25 fo, JKHY @ 19+, RNR @ 48-, ANT eh, ANSI. @ 42- eh, TECD @ 35, BNI. @ 30, PCL @ 27+, PWN @ 18, RCL @ 32-, PKG @ 20++, WFSI @ 40+, TECH fobo @ 36+, VOD ?, NZT @ 24++, AMI. @ 17, GTM @ 40+ eh fo ?, PCZ @ 41-, OSI. @ 40-, ADS @ 29-, WWY @ 57- eh, RNR eh, CTL @ 36, TOT @ 80-,
"Repeats":
>
1/2 pos. CCL @ 35++, CVX @ 75+, EQR @ 30 fo, 1/3 pos. MIL @ 48, the D.G. steel alloy index @ 126, 1/2 pos. GTM @ 40+ fo, TGT @ 40, COX @ 34, MCY @ 48, LC @ 45-,
and/but, took, 'anything already way down', and, DAL, VSTA, TRMB, HCC, CF, WMAR, and the 'just missed' ones just below here, Off the pot. Puts list, before "put", as they aborted their patterns immediately (also see recent past issues taken off, here)....remember, any new highs = off the Puts list (although expect some "fobo's" along the way, have patience)....so VIEW their charts, to see what 'aborted Puts patterns' look like, for YOUR lifetime benefit....also, obviously, where they have fallen nicely, many of these were 'just missed' herein as well, right ?
*** and/but, among stocks recently specifically given you herein, in sections
(6) and (7) below, we "just Missed", CPSI, LENF, IRSN, MCCC, CK, Q, AWE, TOY, PLUG, FRM, CE, VRC, CPSI, TDW, AGEN, DUK, SBIB, GYMB, CDCY, RINO, KFT, LMT, ABS, DSS, BMRN, LSCC, CRXA, as Longs/Buys near very recent lows, and, ANSS, AVB, PFCB, HYSL, CYMI, FWRD, COF, DAL, PRX, SBL, KMT, WWCA, GTRC, PFCB, PNRA, MERQ, as Puts/Shorts, near recent highs (obviously, they were removed from sec. (7)....Every single stock ever listed here over past NL's was specifically given you herein, in sec. (6) or (7), previously, and you very likely could still have caught them, if you took the time to view their charts....More proof of the power of "PSYCLE sm" patterns.... again, just because I honestly admit to "missing" some, which DO work anyway, that I give you herein, does not mean YOU have to miss those same stocks....if you do just a little work, YOU may certainly catch ones, which I may happen to just miss, herein ....making you money, in both directions, most of the time, while hopefully stopping losses smallishly....
(issues moving since last time, worthy of following-up, and/or
mentioning, because of recent price moves, still remaining long in most all of
them, unless otherwise noted):
**** note: (sos) means "Sell On Strength" (i.e., on
a bounce up towards resistance, and/or where it broke down from)....("S") means
Sell it here (if still right at/near the listed price level).
acting a.o.k., and/or strong(er):
also be sure to VIEW charts of all given winners lately from last few NL's, to
learn the patterns yet again:
TTEC 10.78 up 4.32 wow sos, VC 8.41 up 1.41, LFP 0.45 up 0.10, SGI. 1.15 up 0.14, MCH 10.48 up 1.21, ALOY 5.42 up 0.87, MRN 9.83 up 0.91 sos, POL 5.90 up 0.45, MAT 20.05 up 1.41, MCEM 19.00 up 1.40, AWE 7.33 up 0.83, PYX 6.99 up 0.85, IOM 5.39 up 0.34, HMN 13.52 up 0.71, COKE 55.20 up 1.20, AVY 61.75, 54.93, DTE 37.65 up 1.17 ctbo ?, THC 14.93 up 1.14, NTIQ 12.30, NLY 17.37, DRD 13.94 up 0.83, higher since last NL here ...also noting, GIM, NOC, even higher still....
and, these are either pulling
back, or bouncing, after new expected pb's:
obviously, getting plenty of pb's:
NOI. 19.41, 18.68 (B), 19.28, SGP 15.05 pb, 15.62, IFPG 0.20, 0.25, JNJ 50.60 pb, SGI. 1.08 pb, bopb, RIG 18.55 (B), 19.50, NCA 9.11, 9.27, CVTX 16.00 fo (B), 17.83, BORL 9.14, 8.54 vstbdo, bopb, COKE 52.00, 53.59, DRD 13.34 pb....
and/but, these
already assumed Longs, are acting weaker S.T., and/or must strengthen, and/or
must strengthen "again/anew", and/or must "break above recent high or else",
and/or are sales on strength ("sos") to/towards/near resistance:
(note, some of these are also in "pb" list above
....obviously, any stock near its lows, or close to breaking "must strengthen" or
else, yes ?)
OIH 53.67 fobd (B), 55.51, TTIL sos, TIBX 5.56 pb, hold, WTNT ms, IKN up, ctbo ?, JNJ 50.03, 51.49, LVLT 4.85, 5.19, PTGC 0.15 (B), 0.22, APC, might AIV 33.00, 34.45, be another fobd....
5) Already given out in
previous NL's, assumed Hypothetically long "Puts" positions:
(issues moving since last time, worthy of
following-up, still remaining long in these Puts, unless otherwise noted):
check
their patterns out to learn:
GD -2 1/2, LEH -2 1/2, EQR, WMAR, KMRT -1 1/8, UHS , CF , ACL , CTL (S), KRB, lower since last NL here....also, SEIC 27+, NDN 26+, even lower still....and, CTL, below 200 DMA....
* But, then, these, are
acting too Strong, and/or are Bouncing, intraday, and/or Must Weaken anew,
nevertheless, and/or are sales on pullbacks/weakness ("sow"):
these must
weaken anew:
note, as mentioned in sec. (2) above, how many puttables popped
back up to potential resistance levels - and some are on verge of breaking
out/up, and some had minor breakouts, poss. fobo's ?, so you're call from here in
those, as usual (pun intended):
RCL -1 1/2, +1 1/2, NAZ up, SPX, EQR, WAT -1, -1 1/4, TECH +1 1/4, TROW +2, TEVA +2, LC, FDRY +1 1/2, ANSI. +2 mw, UOPX +3 1/2, TECD +1, USTR, BER, CVX up, fobo ?, WHR +3, ACXM, ANPI. +1, -2, ANF, DNA +2, -2, BNI, TROW +1, DST +1 1/4, RNR -1, TGT +1, APD +1, ACXM, CNCT, PCL, COX dn, MESA, AMI. dn, CHS, RNR +1, MCY +1, -1, EQR mwa, +1, CVX up....and, might AMG, CACI, have been fobo's ? this ends the 'Downside' follow-ups for this NL....
6) Now--- Here are Other, Fuller lists,
of still-Depressed, Long Buys, near their recent Lows Only, for potential Rises
towards resistance, always Diversified (w/close stops, when/if their basing or
"EVB" patterns break down):
Potential Longs, by Industry Groups, for "Rotation":
some
decent bases here, and many decent EVB's and double-bottoms, (but, again, Not
when/if any of these make new lows here, and, NOT if they are already "up", much,
off lows, right ?
some Depressed:
** in
lieu of IGR here, just do those individual stocks below, they tend to be depr.
techs, telecoms, most/all computer-stuff, biotechs, drugs, cap. goods,
machy/equip., some blue chips, alt.-energy-relateds, internets, etc. No need to
give specific IG's here....except for sec. (2) part (1) above comments, like,
cap. goods/equip./trans. stocks as recent pot. db's, etc.
We are Also "Watching" --- as potential EVB's, or "basing", or "double"
bottoms", near recent lows ONLY:
*** as S.T., "EVB's": in no particular
order, as a "watching" list: note, some have been on this list for a while,
allowing you ample opportunity to have SEEN their charts, and bought them when/if
suitable, yes ?
added, (in no particular order !): (be sure thay have not popped up too
much too fast recently, already, before you buy, and, note I took some off list
already),
understand, some of these stil need more work/pullbacks....this list
will be revised over each weekend....
added:
added these, note list growing as mentioned above:
note how many
previously-given 'fobd's' are being re-added !
'opbo', means 'on pullback
only', yes ?
I removed a bunch more....then added some fobd's and new ones,
as usual....as you have been taught, be patient and selective:
of course, from
here, most are ONLY on/after pb's, yes ?
still adding some, dig ?:
like:
LENF, AAMI, DRD, AMRI, BRCD opbo, BCGI. ?, MEDI. nobpbo, HMN, PTEN opbo, ROXI, PCS opbo, LMT, CE, KSS nqy, MCH, FRM, DSS, ATW, NWL, SBIB, PCS ?, to, RPHL (spec), AIV, DUK, JRSE, ICOW opbo, GONT obpbo, ACTI, IOM l.t. db ?, MCEM, JNJ fobd, CPKI, CVTX fo ?, DYII. ?, MCCC, ENZN, NTIQ, VRC, FSS, SBIB eh ?, the OIH, AG obpboas, to, IFPG obpbo, BMRN obpbo, RINO eh, CEPH vsto ?, CSTR ?, MYGN eh, PCS owo, MAT opb, CVG opbo ?, ABS obpbo, CRXA obpbo, CPKI. ?, CPSI. ?, IDPH sto ? eh, SBC obpbo, Q. eh ?, ESV opb, LSS ds ?, SGI. ny, THC, ITMN ?, AG obpbo, to, PSS ?, CEI. div., LSCC opbo, PYX opb, BORL opbo, AVY, HPS eh, LEXG opbo, to, NOI, COKE opbo, SGP eh, lto, IDNX obpbas, FTO obpb, HPI. 9 % ?, UGRD, DTE obpbo, ZF, POM opbo, AGIL opb, LEXG obpbo, IKN obpbo, GLBL ny, LFP opbo, CRGN obpbo, VC obpbo, FIA opbo, to, AKLM obpbo, RIG, TDW, SUNW obpbo,
all, as EVB's, or double-bottoms, or bases....
and, including, for pot. price rises, plus pot. high-dividends/interest while
you wait ?
added, EP 18.25 % recons @ 6.66, d/s prot. to 4.62, to, CEI, AIV no, HPS, NLY, ZF 10 % ?, HPI. eh ?, NCA, LEO, DTE opbo, to, GAB opbo, VLCCF opb, EVM opbo,
and/but, not any of these above, when/if they make new lows or break budding
bases/patterns....don't "force" trades....and be sure to do your 'fundamentals'
homework on all, especially the lesser-known/cheaper ones....
(NOTE: again, if they are already down appreciably from their highs, do NOT
chase them down, wait for bounces):
note: as always, because so many patterns have changed, be sure to view
each of these, B4 acting on any !
added, ACL, IR, SBL, UHS, EVG, HSC, CYMI, KLAC, ANSS, BBBY, ITT, PKE, CHS, ALA, AMT, MOGN, to, AMZN, APOL, HTCH, MBWM, SLVN, TTWO, VTSS ?, TALX, COF, PHS ?, WAT, SDS, MHK, VIP, CBI, CFBX oso, to, CAT fo ?, WAT ?, BSX no ?, FDRY, HLYW, UOPX, ANPI. ?, ASKJ ?, WWCA, AD eh, BHE, STK oso, PGR, DNA, to, SHFL nah ?, HDL ?, TRB eh, GS os, STAR eh, JPM, FBR ds ?, BK fo ?, EL ?, AN os, AMG fo ? eh, AVB, RCL, BER fo, CVX fobo ?, EQR fo, ET, TMO, PKG, SIB, HON ?, ASMI, ALLSB, FCFS, SRCE, ICST, GTRC ?, HTCH ?, IVGN ?, MRVL, NVLS, PIXR, PDII. ?, SCHS, TECD, WWCA, VOLVY, VHSI. ?, WFSI, MTCT ?, to, DJUA tln, ANF, DNA, TOT, GSK, MKL, HCC ?, SOHU, MESA, TROW, AMI. oso, RMK fo, DKS ?, WHR, RNR, TDI, WWY, STZ, VOD, CTL, NHY, OKE, NZT, JWA ?, UPC, USB, TGT, KMT, AKZOY, ACXM, KRON ?, MXIM, CMCSK, TECH eh, HSIC ?, to, CCL, HUM, ADS, FFH fo, HCR ?, PCL, BBV, TEF ?, ASPG, GYI, ACLS ?, NTRS, PLCM dsto ?, SII. ?, to, ATMI. ?, ABER, EON ?, SNS ?, SINA ?, TEVA, GENZ, EXBD, AGN, MLI. ?, CVC, DIGE nah, SRNA oso ?, EAT sto ?, CTL fo bo, BHI. fo ?, VSTA, COX eh, ECA, from recent past NL's....
**** the Best Puttable Industry Groups: in no particular order,
and/but, understanding we have already HAD some real nice drops:
added, Extended: (for I.G.'s, please see sec. (2) above, from now on, , all near their recent Highs ONLY, w/close stops above their patterns highs.... this ends our putside-downside follow-ups/ideas
section....
general note: as per my teachings, WITHIN some industry groups, there
may be bpth, extendeds, and depresseds, as recently, certainly normal....
VIEW THE CHARTS....SEE where the 200 DMA's are....LEARN THE
PATTERNS/STAGES