1) "PSYCLE SENSE sm": new:
3) Most recent Hypothetical
"PSYCLE sm" transactions, to be mimicked, and referred back to:
4) Already given out in previous NL's,
assumed Hypothetical "Long-side" positions:
7) other, still Extended/potentially
Toppy, "Puttables", near recent Highs Only, for potential Price Drops, using,
Only, L.T., in-the-money Puts Only, Always Diversified, w/stops if patterns abort
to the upside, for potential drops towards their 200 DMA's, at least:
a) Important Industry Group
(Rotation) notes:
1) did you get my Precious metals stocks given you herein from recent lows ? you're welcome....funny, how so many people only get int. in these after rises, and never exploit their declines - i must still be among the best ever swinging them, and gold price moves, yes ? gee, the money and help i could be giving people, if they would only let me, huh.... 2) also note, as once again, I was among the very first few to correctly time another cash Crude Oil move, right from its recent pb low, yes ?, rising to just over 4 30. on Mon., you're welcome.... 3) am I also the first/only to predict s.t. pops among Railroads herein 4 U recently ? ....4) don't miss the upcoming bottomand rise in depr. pulling-back Biotechs, ahead....as usual, i will be among the first few to give them out 2 U herein to take advantage of....but not quite yet, dig ? ....as the IBB/BBH/PPH, all reached their 200 DMA's, as only I predicted from their lows, herein, yes ? so you know what to expect thereafter, yes ? ....5) depr. 'fiber optic networks' stock look buyable after pb's, by my view of Daily Graophs i.g. chart, I will let you know when/if....as usual, the 95 % hate them right ?, thats enuf to warrant looking at them, yes ? the pattern rarely changes....
b) more, misleading, sensationalized, Late, and/or
improper/incorrect comments from the Financial Media, Reporters, Govt.,
etc.:
1) ....
c) more incorrect/misleading/sensationalized, and/or
improper comments, from Fundamentalists/Companies, newspapers/magazines, etc.,
vs. illogical/Contrary/Unlinkable, past/present/future Economic items, and/or
stock price moves:
1) proving my PSYCLE once again, and how truly ignorant the 95 % and even 'experts', not until Mon., as i was among the first few to mentioned a while ago herein, did the Media realize that Venezuela produces 14 % of USA's oil, while Iraq only 4-8 % max., dig ?, so, allofosudden, they are 'noticing' the Zvenezuelan 'crisi', etc. - only AFTER the s.t. oil price rise, which, again, I was among the first few to predict, yes ? the patterns rarely change, and you have made a mint from my output, yes ? if not, why not ? aint my doing.... 2) and, VZ finally sold its 40 mm shs. of CWP - right near its lows, after losing a ton, as the pattern rarely changes, and still more proof that 'just because a co. is huge, in and of itself, alone, does not guarantee much of anything, forward, in success or correct decisions by them', dig ?
d) more, likely late, incorrect, and/or misleading,
comments, from Brokerage firms, NL writers, Analysts, economists, Money Managers,
etc.:
1) the pattern (unfortunately for the 95 %) never changes: Multex highlighted "EDS's wild gyrations week" - when, in fact, its stock barely moved - yet when I was first/alone Putting in herein 4 U at its obvious PSYCLE top, they loved it, dig ?, and, it certainly had a couple of wild (down0 weeks there after, for real, get it ? this proves my concept even more, yes ?
e) more general, political, misreported items proving
why one should probably ignore 95 % of everything else out there:
1) in their continued screwing of innocent, unsuspecting consumers, Calif. enacted a new law 1/1/03, that - get this - automatically withholds 3.3 % of ALL 'second home/property sales' (not primary residence, note, but anything else, dig ?) - AT the time of the sale....wow....big brother to the max....and then penalizes escrow companies if they don't alert sellers of this beforehand ....well, 3.3 % on the GROSS sale price, will really hurt tons of people, ay ? thanks again, govt. for another nasty messed-up law....they pay upfront, and cannot even recover overpayments, until they file their reg inc. taxes....dgms ....
So, as you have seen, for years now, how well one does,
often, just "doing" the best 'individual' stocks, and rotating Ind. Groups,
chart-technically, and sentiment-wise, mostly long-side, while ignoring, or going
contrary to, 95 % of all Media messages, and "indexes/averages" comments, from
the peanut gallery ? By just getting my output, alone, you do much
better, and save time, by not having to even try to "seek, and process" tons of
other, useless fundamental info., anyway....and we also help remove potential
emotional problems for you, before they begin....
Always remember to view
"1-year-at-least past" charts of everything you can view, herein, along with
their 200 day moving averages (DMA's), to "see/learn" the "PSYCLE patterns", and
see where/when stocks in section (3) were Hypothetically bought near lows, and
put near highs....all % percentage 'Gains' are just logical ESTIMATES for L.T.,
ITM options, where exist, and/or on Margin, where no options exist....
"Q" = 'quick', i.e., after
less than a month or so holding, "VQ" = 'very quick', i.e., just a couple of
weeks time, and "VVQ" = 'very very quick', i.e., often after just a few days
since 'bought' herein....and, L.T., means 'long-term', i.e., at least a few
months' time holding period:
still more quick, large % Gains:
5 more Longs, and,
1 more Puts:
as you have always done, please read them carefully and VIEW their charts carefully, to learn patterns
note, Gains, on both, longside and putside, neat, huh ?
all calls CI (36 to 43+) for Q 90 % Gain....1/2 pos. calls TXI (23 to 27) for VQ 66% G....1/2 pos. calls CNA (24- to 27-) for VVVVQ 50% G....1/2 pos. puts KCP (26 to 21-) for VQ 75% G....1/2 pos. stk.on.mgn. SMRT (5+ to 7++) for Q 70% G....1/2 pos. stk.on.mgn. GRP (8.4 to 11.9) for Q 75% G....
as before, one could (have been) sell(ing) ALL puts Gainers, instead of
1/2-pos(itions)....and, as you have learned, the recent little-damage QSL's on
the longside, are part of the good process and concept, and never affect our
OTHER long buys here, right ?
and/but, longs, , and, puts, BSTE, BOH no, fo, SAFC fo ?!, LFG fo ?, GYMB ? no, fobd ?, but prob. a fobo, UOPX fobo....for very quick, very small losses, normally of small overall consequence to a properly diversified L.T. portfolio....
NOTE: while most of the $ 5. to $ 10. stocks are listed here
as "stocks on margin" ("stk.on.mgn."), if one Had bought L.T., in-the-money calls
options, their % Gains/Losses would have been multiplied, higher, right ? We
prefer not to buy Calls on most stocks under $ 10., unless their patterns are
phenomenal, as their options premiums tend to be too high, vs. buying those
stocks on Margin, with close stops, where suitable, instead, with less arithmetic
risk, and yet, similar reward potential--- stocks themselves have no "premium",
right ? and, of course, if one just bought said longs for cash, and not
on margin, the % Gains/Losses here would be relatively smaller, though still
excellent, for such short holding periods, yes ? also, obviously, these
"hypothetical transactions" are always listed, from biggest % Gains, to smallest,
then all losses....
(either for Cash, especially in Pensions,
and/or on Margin where suitable, and/or Only L.T., in-the-money Options, where
suitable/available, always Diversifying, always with close Stops below/above
recent lows/highs):
again, "just get real close" to
suggested prices:
1/2 pos. ARM @ 15+, 1/3 pos. WHES @ 14, 1/2 pos. OPTV @ 1.00+, 1/3 pos. DDS @ 16, 1/4 pos. KM @ 0.50+ ?, 1/2 pos. HAN @ 22-, 1/3 pos. MC @ 9+, 1/3 pos. NHP @ 15+,
1/3 pos. CNA @ 23++, 1/2 pos. RTN @ 28-, 1/2 pos. HUM @ 10- ?, 1/2 pos. MCK @ 26, 1/3 pos. AAPL @ 14 5/8, 1/3 pos. ENZN @ 17-, MNC @ 15+, ASO @ 18+,
"Repeats": (some of these are/were '1/2 size positions'): 1/2 pos. CMK @ 8-, 1/2 pos. KO @ 44++, 1/2 pos. MHX @ 7 3/8, 1/4 pos. DG @ 12+, 1/3 pos. AMRI @ 14+, 1/3 pos. BSET @ 13+, HD res's due 7/03, 11.5 %, at $ 89, cvt. into 32 shs., 1/3 pos. HPC @ 9-, HD res's 11.5 % due 5/03, @ 69, cv into 25 shs, 1/2 pos. DEG @ 17+, 1/4 pos. KOSN @ 6+, 1/2 pos. REVU @ 5-, 1/3 pos. BVC @ 5.50+ eh, OEH @ 13, 1/3 pos. FALC @ 4-, 1/4 pos. USU @ 6 eh, GE's res's 10 % of 4/03 at $ 86., $ 78, DIS's res's 11.5 % exp. 3/03 at $ 69, 1/2 pos. MMTRS @ 25+ (ck. pot. big div.), 1/3 pos. HLR @ 9++...."buy (only) low", right ?,
remember, near major market turns/bottoms, you have been taught many times,
to "stick around and give stocks a bit more leeway, as to 'fobd's', etc.,
continuing to stay in, diversify more, allow for more risk, etc.", yes ? hence
the questions about 'fobd's', and buys that say 'fobd', right ? but some normal,
usual, QSL's still occur and are accepted along the way with no emotion nor
incompleting trading my way, right ? you're welcome....
and, of course, with so many quick pops, best to wait for pb's in those in
sec. (4) top, and buy the laggards, yes ? the pattern rarely changes....
*** Important: took, ATI, USPI. ?, PDLI, ABC, and a few from the 'just missed' list below, Off the pot. Long Buys list, before they might have been Hypothetically "bt." ....we do Not "Guess" at bottoms, nor tops....and, most 'missed' ideas just below, were also 'removed', to keep immediate potential Buy lists smaller for you....
the COMPX @ 1500+, 1/3 pos. ADP @ 44-, 1/3 pos. JBHT @ 29+, BSTE @ 32+, DVA @ 26-, 1/3 pos. MBRS @ 19+, and, LSTR 2 55, SMG, UCBH @ 43+, AVY @ 65-, IMN @ 42+, RF @ 35, 1/2 pos. WON @ 39+, 1/3 pos. BLUD @ 23+, 1/2 pos. CTSH @ 73+, 1/2 pos. FCN @ 42, 1/3 pos. SMG @ 49+, 1/2 pos. INTU @ 55, for potential Drops:
"Repeats":
1/2 pos. CFBX @ 27++, 1/2 pos. CHTT @ 45-, 1/2 pos. RTBK @ 29+, 1/3 pos. OLOG @ 23-, SCIO @ 31, AZN @ 39++, POT @ 67+, ADP @ 43, 1/3 pos. KCP @ 25++, 1/3 pos. GNTX ?, TJX @ 21, ROAD @ 40, SKT @ 29, 1/2 pos. CPG @ 34+, RGIS @ 30, PETC @ 25+ fo ?, UCBH 43+, GTY @ 20, COLM no, 1/2 pos. RARE @ 28, AMLN @ 18, 1/3 pos. DL @ 22, POG @ 30 fo, 1/2 pos. MMM @ 130, CRL 2 40, ED @ 44+, LFG @ 27-, SAFC @ 36 fo ?, MHP @ 65, HR @ 32, CPG @ 35 fo, LIZ @ 32, BSC @ 66+, APOL @ 44+, ECL @ 50 fo ?, BAC @ 72, APA @ , SKT @ ,
and/but, took, 'anything already way down', and, ADI, BSTE, and the 'just missed' ones just below here, Off the pot. Puts list, before "put", as they aborted their patterns immediately (also see recent past issues taken off, here)....remember, any new highs = off the Puts list (although expect some "fobo's" along the way, have patience)....so VIEW their charts, to see what 'aborted Puts patterns' look like, for YOUR lifetime benefit....also, obviously, where they have fallen nicely, many of these were 'just missed' herein as well, right ?
*** and/but, among stocks recently specifically given you herein, in sections
(6) and (7) below, we "just Missed", OMM, CSX, FRNT, TTIL, BONZ, CHRS, PGH, WMB, as Longs/Buys near very recent lows, and, LQD, SYNT, EXPE, , as Puts/Shorts, near recent highs (obviously, they were removed from sec. (7).... Every single stock ever listed here over past NL's was specifically given you herein, in sec. (6) or (7), previously, and you very likely could still have caught them, if you took the time to view their charts....More proof of the power of "PSYCLE sm" patterns....again, just because I honestly admit to "missing" some, which DO work anyway, that I give you herein, does not mean YOU have to miss those same stocks....if you do just a little work, YOU may certainly catch ones, which I may happen to just miss, herein....making you money, in both directions, most of the time, while hopefully stopping losses smallishly....
(issues moving since last time, worthy of following-up, and/or
mentioning, because of recent price moves, still remaining long in most all of
them, unless otherwise noted):
**** note: (sos) means "Sell On Strength" (i.e., on
a bounce up towards resistance, and/or where it broke down from)....("S") means
Sell it here (if still right at/near the listed price level).
acting a.o.k., and/or strong(er):
be sure to VIEW charts of all the big winners lately from last few NL's:
OPTV 1.35 up 0.31, AKS 8.50 up 1.78, PDG 11.65 up 2.51, SMRT 7.85 up 1.35, KO 46.50, CNA 26.90 up 2.55, MCK 27.31 up 1.40, CE 16.58 up 0.90, ARM 16.03 up 0.53, RTN 29.65 up 1.11, MNC 16.60, LTR 41.95 up 1.10, MC 10.10 up 0.52, ASO 19.10, WHES 15.30 up 1.42, ABX 16.23, TXI. 28.25 up 1.25, ASO 19.29 up 0.86, HAN 22.83 up 1.03, HD 27.54, GRP 12.01 ip 0.70, BSET 14.50 up 0.50, DKWD 10.75, NHP 15.25, higher since last NL here....while, CNA, GRP, SVC, CNX, AES, TDW, already approaching their 200 MA....and,
and, these are either pulling
back, or bouncing after pb's, stick around:
obviously, getting plenty of v.s.t. pb's, after recent gains/pops, mostly techs:
BRP 22.25 (B), 24.90, KO 44.50 (B), 45.66, DUK 18.78 pb, 19.63, SGEN 2.95, 3.45, 3.11, FALC 3.90 (B), 4.20, CNA 25.55 pb, REVU 4.95 (B), 5.35, HYGS 3.66, 3.98, KOSN 6.25, 6.70, 6.30, ARM 15.31 pb, bopb, 15.95, OEH 12.96 (B), GT 7.13, 7.41, MAY 23.73 up, MHX 7.28 dn, ENZN 16.54 (B), 17.28, MNC 15.91 pb, MCD 17- (B), SMRT 6.51 pb, AKS 7.82 pb....some of these are also in the "ms/sos" list below, and, those must strengthen or else....
and/but, these
already assumed Longs, are acting weaker S.T., and/or must strengthen, and/or
must strengthen "again/anew", and/or must "break above recent high or else",
and/or are sales on strength ("sos") to/towards/near resistance:
(note, some of these are also in "pb" list above
....obviously, any stock near its lows, or close to breaking "must strengthen"
or else, yes ?)
DIGE 7.47, 8.50, GE's res's, KFY, BVC, CHRT 4.50 (S), BRP bopb, DRRA, DPH 7.94, 8.40....
5) Already given out in
previous NL's, assumed Hypothetically long "Puts" positions:
(issues moving since last time, worthy of
following-up, still remaining long in these Puts, unless otherwise noted):
check
their patterns out to learn:
INTU -5, KCP -4 1/2, MMM -2 1/2, SCIO - , BBBY -2, CRL -1 3/4, ADP -1, GYMB -1, ROAD -1, AFL -1, PENN -1, RBK -1, FCN, down further since last time here....and, ETTS another fobo, 64, 72, 55....
* But, then, these, are
acting too Strong, and/or are Bouncing, intraday, and/or Must Weaken anew,
nevertheless, and/or are sales on pullbacks/weakness ("sow"):
these must
weaken anew:
note, as mentioned in sec. (2) above, how many puttables popped
back up to potential resistance levels - and some are on verge of breaking out/up, and some had minor breakouts, poss. fobo's ?, so you're call from here in those, as usual (pun intended):
BRK.B +20, APOL +1 3/4, GDW fobo, BAC -1 3/4, PETC fo, BG sow, ECL fo ?, RARE up, GYMB fo ?, CLX fo ?, BSC, CRL up, sow, BLC dn, HR fo, SKT, GGP, SAFC, ED up, DE bo ? fo ?, WON +1, -1 1/2, TSH, RGIS, BDK, WEC up to MA, CPG fobo ?, GCI, LOW, MNTR ....also, MKL up to MA....this ends the 'Downside' follow-ups for this NL....
6) Now--- Here are Other, Fuller lists,
of still-Depressed, Long Buys, near their recent Lows Only, for potential Rises
towards resistance, always Diversified (w/close stops, when/if their basing or
"EVB" patterns break down):
Potential Longs, by Industry Groups, for "Rotation":
some
decent bases here, and many decent EVB's and double-bottoms, (but, again, Not
when/if any of these make new lows here, and, NOT if they are already "up", much,
off lows, right ?
some Depressed:
** in
lieu of IGR here, just do those individual stocks below, they tend to be depr.
techs, telecoms, most/all computer-stuff, biotechs, drugs, cap. goods,
machy/equip., some blue chips, alt.-energy-relateds, internets, etc. No need to
give specific IG's here....except for sec. (2) part (1) above comments, like,
cap. goods/equip./trans. stocks as recent pot. db's, etc.
We are Also "Watching" --- as potential EVB's, or "basing", or "double"
bottoms", near recent lows ONLY:
*** as S.T., "EVB's": in no particular
order, as a "watching" list: note, some have been on this list for a while,
allowing you ample opportunity to have SEEN their charts, and bought them when/if
suitable, yes ?
added, (in no particular order !): (be sure thay have not popped up too
much too fast recently, already, before you buy, and, note I took some off list
already),
understand, some of these stil need more work/pullbacks....this list
will be revised over each weekend....
added:
added these, note list growing as mentioned above:
note how many
previously-given 'fobd's' are being re-added !
'opbo', means 'on pullback
only', yes ?
I removed a bunch more....then added some fobd's and new ones,
as usual....as you have been taught, be patient and selective:
of course, from here, most are ONLY on/after pb's, yes ?
added, LEON, EMIS, OPTV, TTIL, ABGX opb, CHRS, ELNK opb, IBIIS ?FWRD ?, GLGC ?, IMMU opbo, BONZ opbo, MCSI, IDTI, NAFCE ?, MIMS, QLTI, MCDTA ?, NEOFE ?, RTRSY, RFMD opbo, ARRY, TSAIE ?, TSN, LNT ?, CNP, CKR, HMN, MXT, PCH, PLL ?, WIN, TUP, MWY, CVX, to, AAPL, ASO, BP, BNI, CSX, EMN, ET, HUM, MCK, MU, SFA, SVU ?, EP dbs ?, ARM, GW, MDR d, MC, NHP, OLN, FCH ?, IVGN ny, LJPC opbo, SCMM ?, SONE opbo, WHES, QSFT opbo, CHKP opbo, DSPG opbo, EMBT opbo, NYFX opbo, APWR opbo, LTD opbo, CHV eh, CVG opbo, to, ABX, EL ?, OMM, RTN, MAY, CK, ACRI, ARM, UAG, VTS, UFI, WMB, NSC eh ?, GSIC, IPXL, SKYWE, STEL, COMS obpbo, CLTK ?, MNC, INMT, BBI, ABG, CEN, CNA, MHX, SNH div. ?, PGH div. ?, FRNT, AHMH, SYNP, VANS, VECO opbo, AMRI, GBCB ?, BSET, CHRT obpbo, ARNA, AKSY opb, EFDS, SEAC fobd, BFT, UCL, AKS, CKR, KM opbo, AHO, DG, TOL, NLS obpbo, PHI, DEG, DPL, SNE opbo, LTR, FS, SAH, HD, HRC, SNE obpbo, CHB opbo, CDT opbo, CE, KO, MNC, SNE opb, TTEC, REVU, CMK, KOSN, SGEN, DDS opb, GT opbo, MCD obpbo, DUK, AFC opbo, HPC, PPCO, BEV obpbo, BAY, AMX opbo, ACF opbo, KG fobd ?, OEH, SVC ?, MTF nah, CNH, CKP, DYN opbo, ACRI, ENZN, NTRT, PDLI, CBR, RAD, HYGS, FALC, HLR,
all, as EVB's, or double-bottoms, or bases....
and, including, for pot. price rises, plus pot. high-dividends/interest while
you wait ?
add, PGH, SNH, to, MMTRS eh, HQH eh nah, CMK opb, REX. U (HD 11.5 % 7/03 res's), REX.W (Intel 14 % res's, above), JPM 13 % res's's exp. 9/30/03 GE res's, DIS 14 % res's, BA 11 % res's '03, C. 13 % res's, BBY 18.5 % res's, EOP, also see sec. 3) above ! and, HD res's, BMY res's, and, on bigger pb's, res's on TGT, HON, we shall see....but all only near recent lows....
and/but, not any of these above, when/if they make new lows or break budding
bases/patterns....don't "force" trades....and be sure to do your 'fundamentals'
homework on all, especially the lesser-known/cheaper ones....
(NOTE: again, if they are already down appreciably from their highs, do NOT
chase them down, wait for bounces):
note, removed still
more, some not listed in sec. (3) above, get it ? what does this tell
you about the future, longside-wise ? again, it helped show us a s.t.
bottom, yes ?
added, CPWM, DVA, EXPD ?, EXPE, EBAY ?, HOTT, WDFC ?, to, CTSH, JBHT, BLUD, INTU, FNFG, ONE, AVY, IMN, NYT, RF, SKT, WON, KSS ?, SSP, FCN, to, LQD, KCP, SYK, ACV, LXK dt ?, OFG dt ?, ADP, AZN, KCP, LSTR, CTSH, CFBX, REPB, CHTT, ABFS, MWRK fobo ?, GNTX, ROAD, KSWS ?, EXPE, SMG, TJX, RBK, UN ?, LIZ, CCR, OLOG, CRL, MHP, AMLN, HCP, UCBH, RGIS, GTY, SKT, PETC, MBG ?, MBRS, APA, AGL, ETR ?, HP, MAC, UBS, GPN, CAJ, AME, RCI, AME, SYK, SKT, PXD, WPO, BAC bwc, BSC, BBBY, DL, MKL, DF eh, BOH no ?, from recent past NL's....
**** the Best Puttable Industry Groups: in no particular order,
and/but, understanding we have already HAD some real nice drops:
added, Extended: Precious Metals ?, Transp. Svcs., Leisure./Movies, Fert., cosmetics, newspapers, dairy ?, to, compu. mfgs., comp. svcs, gems, Schools, Video Games, some Media,
added, to, REIT's/RE-homes-bldg.-orienteds, some Banks/S & L, Financials, High-PE Techs, all near their recent Highs ONLY, w/close stops above their patterns highs....this ends our putside-downside follow-ups/ideas
section....
general note: as per my teachings, WITHIN some industry groups, there
may be bpth, extendeds, and depresseds, as recently, certainly normal....
VIEW THE CHARTS....SEE where the 200 DMA's are....LEARN THE
PATTERNS/STAGES