|
McClellan Oscillator
McClellan Oscillator is a market breadth indicator. It is used primarily
for short term and intermediate term trading. A small number of stocks making large
gains characterizes a weakening bull market. It looks like the overall market is
healthy; however, in reality the rising prices may come to an end soon. Conversely,
when a bear market is still declining, but a smaller amount of stocks are declining,
an end to the bear market may be near.
The calculation for the McClellan Oscillator is as follows:
Subtract a 39 day exponential moving average of advancing issues - declining issues
from a 19 day exponential moving average of advancing issues - declining issues.
New York Stock Exchange data is used for the calculation.
In a bear market, when the oscillator reaches about -150, it may indicate that the
bear market is ending. In a bull market, when the oscillator reaches a reading of
about +100, it may indicate that the bull market is ending. Also, when the oscillator
goes from below zero to above zero, a bullish signal is indicated. Conversely, when
the oscillator goes from above zero to below zero, a bearish signal is indicated.
|
McClellan Summation Index
The McClellan Summation Index is a cumulative total of the McClellan
Oscillator. It is used for intermediate term and long term trading.
Major tops occur when the index reaches +1600. Major bottoms occur when the index
reaches -1300. After moving 3600 points in either direction, and the indicator reaches
a level above or below +1900 or -1900, a significant bull or bear market is underway.
Notice how closely the Summation index reversals also mark the intermediate turning
points in the market. We have always found this to be a confidence builder and sanity
check in the face of all of the bearish market prognostications.
A full and extensive discussion of the McClellan Oscillator is available in "Patterns
for Profit: The McClellan Oscillator and Summation Index" by Sherman and Marian
McClellan.

RETURN
|